Cap'n Piranha
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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha
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If only we had a FO that could create a pitching pipeline, we wouldn’t need to worry about replacements. I find it so very Minnesotan to be happy just making the playoffs. We should all want more than that. Just making the playoffs is fine—if you’re an up-and-coming team like the Orioles, with young guys everywhere figuring it out. It’s not fine if you’re a veteran-heavy team massively underachieving; like the Twins. We’re more than 30 years removed from the last time the Twins were a factor in the postseason, and with the exception of a handful of years since then (early 2000’s, 2019-2020), this team has been completely irrelevant. Falvine’s job was to create a sustained winner, and while the early returns were promising, those are long gone. Their team plays in one of the worst divisions of all time, they’ve gotten unprecedented spending power, have repeatedly raided the farm system for arms, and still can’t get the team above .500. With the exception of Ryan, Odorizzi, and Duran, they have more or less lost every trade they’ve made. I don’t want the Twins to make the playoffs because I don’t think whatever Falvine is doing is working, and they’re unlikely to be fired if they make the playoffs.
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Austin Martin’s Not-So-Clear Path to the Twins
Cap'n Piranha replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Positions Austin Martin will almost assuredly not play for the Twins; C, SS, DH (self-explanatory, Correa, Buxton) Positions Austin Martin will probably not play for the Twins; 1B, 2B, 3B, RF, CF (Kiriloff, Julien, Lee, Wallner, Lewis--I think that's the best place for him long-term) That leaves either LF, where he will be average at best (MLB LF's this year have a .733 OPS compared to Martin's career MiLB OPS of .742), or he will be a super utility player. There is of course value in having a high-end super utility player making $4M or so across 4 seasons, but that's hardly what the Twins were hoping for when they agreed to get Martin back as the centerpiece in the Berrios trade. -
According to Gleeman, Kepler informed the Twins he is not willing to play CF anymore. If Falvine had any self-respect, they would have told him that Kepler would play any position the Twins deemed most helpful to the team, otherwise he could attempt to find employment with one of the other 29 teams. Also, Popkins (at a minimum) needs to go. Now.
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- pablo lopez
- carlos correa
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I personally would love Bradfield. Was reading Kiley McDaniel this morning, and he graded Bradfield as 80 run, 80 baserunning, 70/80 glove in CF, plus hit and plus pitch recognition. Since it's starting to look like Buxton's days in CF might be done for good, taking an SEC guy (read--can make the bigs in 2025/2026) that can tableset and provide elite defense in CF makes an awful lot of sense to me.
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Week in Review: Cold Spell
Cap'n Piranha replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Any team that rosters Willi Castro at the expense of Alex Kiriloff is not serious about winning.- 15 replies
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- jose miranda
- jorge polanco
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Is Byron Buxton Too Much Miguel Sano?
Cap'n Piranha replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I wonder if Buxton is one of those guys who just don't stay engaged when they have to go 30-45 minutes in between any kind of game action. Perhaps getting out on the field is necessary for Buxton to truly produce at the plate. Either way, this has to get figured out, and soon. -
The spirit of the IL rule is to keep teams from constantly trading out players who are only slightly injured for a day or two at a time. Without the rule, teams could essentially have 40 man rosters, and every game would have 5-7 transactions after it to trade out BP arms, platoon bats, etc. The calculus is that when a player is too injured to play, but not too injured to guarantee an absence of 10 or more days, a team has to determine where equilibrium falls (is it better to play short-handed for 9 games to get a game, or just give up 10 games for the injured player, but get those 10 games from a different, healthy player). As I mentioned before, the calculus of the Gallo IL move was altered when Correa needed multiple days off. Without that, Gallo probably stays active, and plays in Yankee stadium the past 2 days. With the Correa injury, the Twins were critically short on bench players, and needed to put someone on the IL. Since Correa is far more valuable, and was probably deemed to be on track to be available sooner, the obvious choice for the IL stint was Gallo.
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- yunior severino
- yoyner fajardo
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How pray would he get on the field pregame without crossing the white lines? Are those only chalked down as the home 9 is preparing for the imminent first pitch?
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- yunior severino
- yoyner fajardo
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Oh, I’m sure Gallo would be allowed to take BP or fielding practice at a major league park any time before the 18th.
- 26 replies
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- yunior severino
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The Twins needed help with their roster. When they IL’d Gallo, Correa had also been out multiple days, leaving the Twins with only 2 bench players, one of which was the backup catcher. If everyone else had been healthy, they probably let Gallo heal on the active roster; but since everyone else was not, they needed to do something to get another body up, and Gallo will lose out in that calculus v Correa every day of the week, and twice on Sundays.
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- yunior severino
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The hidden issue here remains the Twins' struggles with keeping day-to-day injuries actually day-to-day. Yesterday, for example, with both Gallo and Correa unavailable, the Twins had a 2 man bench (Buxton and Jeffers). This was only day 2 for Correa and day 3 for Gallo, but the direct result of having 2 unusable players is that Buxton more-or-less had to PH in a less than ideal spot, in order to keep a center fielder in the lineup. If Gallo had been put on the IL right away, either Garlick or Lamarre could have been brought up; Garlick would have been a great option to bat against Bummer, leaving Buxton available to PH for Taylor (either with at least one man on base, or leading off the 9th). If Lamarre was up, you could have still PH Buxton for Taylor, and used Lamarre to play CF in the 9th forward.
- 67 replies
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- kenta maeda
- michael a taylor
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Twins 3, Astros 2: Farmer Walks Off the Astros!
Cap'n Piranha replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Good thing Solano batted 5th then.- 68 replies
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- sonny gray
- jose miranda
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Seems to me there is an easy solution here—if Miller is considered more or less a lock to stick at short, reps there are less important than for Salas, for whom finding out if he can play at short is imperative. Put Miller at second, Salas at short, and see whether Miller’s bat or Salas’ glove merits a promotion to AA first.
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Could the Twins Still Swing a Deal for an Ace?
Cap'n Piranha replied to Hunter McCall's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree with what seems to be the consensus here--the Twins should wait for the deadline to add talent via trade, unless they can somehow pull off a steal on the AJ-for-Liriano/Nathan level. The farm system actually has a pretty nice collection of potential top-end talent (Lewis, Lee, Prielipp, Salas, and Rodriguez all have all-star potential, and all of them could be in the bigs by 2024/2025 if things break right). As such, I think the Twins should let the current roster start the year, and re-assess in early June as to what the true needs for 2023 are. -
Believe in Buxton for 2023
Cap'n Piranha replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is particularly hilarious given your stance in a different thread that the Twins should bring back Miguel Sano, based on the production he’s had IN THE PAST.- 64 replies
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- byron buxton
- nick paparesta
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Believe in Buxton for 2023
Cap'n Piranha replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Cal Ripken career OPS+ by month, with each month having at least 1700 PAs Mar/Apr--101 May--101 Jun--106 Jul--108 Aug--95 Sep/Oct--90- 64 replies
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- byron buxton
- nick paparesta
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Believe in Buxton for 2023
Cap'n Piranha replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I never implied he wouldn't be healthier. I implied it's silly to think, as you said, that Byron Buxton's injury history has no bearing on his injury future.- 64 replies
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- byron buxton
- nick paparesta
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Believe in Buxton for 2023
Cap'n Piranha replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I believe in Byron Buxton. I do not believe in Byron Buxton’s health. Unfortunately, the impact of the former is controlled by the latter.- 64 replies
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- byron buxton
- nick paparesta
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Believe in Buxton for 2023
Cap'n Piranha replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Good point. Everyone knows that humans get less injury prone as they age.- 64 replies
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- byron buxton
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The Twins should do in essence a 3 part contract with Correa; Part 1: 3 years, $120M, followed by a player opt-out Part 2: 2 years, $70M, followed by a team option with a $15M buy-out (payable across two years, disappears if Correa signs a deal in excess of 4 years, $100M, or $30M in AAV) Part 3: 3 years, $90M Correa gets another shot at FA (if he wants to), while the Twins max their investment at $205M ( in the years Correa should be healthy/producing)
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"Stepping Back" Isn't an Option
Cap'n Piranha replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Completely disagree. It’s time for a rebuild, and someone other than Falvine should be the architect. They’ve had 7 off-seasons, 4 of which presented clear need for upgrades combined with clear payroll space, and the sum total of their moves is 4 years of Josh Donaldson (only 2 of which happened), and 1 year of Correa that was handed to them on a platter. They’re never going to do what it takes to turn this team into a true contender, so I’d rather be done with them now.- 53 replies
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- sonny gray
- tyler mahle
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Minnesota Twins Sign Joey Gallo
Cap'n Piranha replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I mean, not to quibble or anything, but if you have positive WAR, you are by definition not below replacement level. -
Rumor: Breaking Down Potential Dansby Suitors
Cap'n Piranha replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Lewis was questionable to stick at short before the first ACL injury, let alone the second. Lee was also iffy as a future short before the draft. We can hope that at least one if not both ultimately can be a competent defensive SS at the MLB level, but if I had to put a bet on it, I'd wager neither will be as good as Polanco was at short, which is to say, not particularly good.

