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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    The decision to not use Cole Sands for two last night, or alternatively, not pitch him at all, looms potentially large.
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    This makes no sense. Sure he was warmed up; he could just as easily have been sat back down. I didn't see the game, but did Fulmer continue to warm while the Twins scored each of their runs? He assuredly threw more pitches from the mound in between half innings. All of that is unnecessary strain on his arm.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    I am also confused why the Twins don't try and use the opener strategy in order to squeeze an extra inning out of the primary pitcher. If the primary starts his day against batter 4-6 in the lineup, you can let him go halfway through the order the third time, and he'll face batters 4-6, 5-7, or 6-8. Seems a pretty easy way to get your primary pitcher on the day to face 21-24 batters instead of 18.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    This right here summarizes the problem perfectly. It's fine to only let your starters go 5 a game...if you have multiple options to eat multiple innings in the bullpen. It's fine to not have multiple options to eat multiple innings in the bullpen...if you have 7-8 guys you trust in 1 run games in the late innings. You have to have one of those 3 things (starters who consistently pitch 7 innings, 3-4 guys who can handle 2-3 innings every 2nd or 3rd day while giving up 0-1 runs most of the time, or 7-8 set-up caliber guys); the Twins have none, which is why the pitching staff is in shambles. If Falvine is going to continue on the current path with the starters, they better figure out which of the two bullpen options they're going to opt for, and they better have that answer before free agency starts in the fall/winter.
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    That would be 0. The Twins have lost 2 games this year by 10 or more runs. In the worst, July 17 against CWS, Archer gave up 4 in the 5th, and the Twins went on to lose 11-0. 3 days earlier, Gray gave up 6 runs in 3.2, and the Twins eventually lost 12-2.
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    I think you'll find very few Pagan supporters on this site. So long as your criticism of him is respectful and not excessive, you'll be totally fine.
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    This is my point--I have to think that if something is on the safe list, then the player is fine (the only reason they wouldn't be is if the substance is on the safe list, and the player is just taking the word of someone that what they're being given is actually what they're being told they're being given--this should never happen). If there are no ingredients on the label, then the player should run from taking it; failure to do so is not inadvertent, it's a willful disregard of readily available resources to ensure compliance. That's better described as recklessness or negligence.
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    I don't believe for a second that players can inadvertently test positive for a banned substance. I guarantee you every team has an established number that they provide to every single player to offer advice. I'm sure the team informs them that the doctor or pharmacist on the other end of the line will not disclose the questions being asked to the team. All a player has to do is call this number, send a picture of what they're wondering about taking, and the official fielding the call/text will advise them yes or no. If the official isn't sure, then they tell the player to hold off while they contact MLB to verify. Any player who can't wait even a couple of days to get the thumbs up is just acting stupidly, and deserves every bit of scorn and punishment they receive.
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    Taken to an extreme yes, it can end up there. It's why I specifically pointed out that I had no problem with Rocco using Jax, Duran, and Lopez last night; it was a two-run game, and you needed a win. However, when Rocco used both Duran AND Lopez with a 4-run lead last Friday, that's where I have an issue. Both of them were pretty shaky on Saturday (they combined for a 2.5 WHIP and 13.50 ERA on Saturday, and were then unavailable Sunday), and I think you have to attribute at least some of that to pitching on back to back days. I would have much preferred Rocco used only one of Duran or Lopez, and had either Jax, Theilbar, or even Megill get the other 3 outs (if you can't rely on a guy to keep his ERA under 18 in 95% of their appearances, they should not be on the roster). If your relievers' effectiveness is diminished when they don't get rest, you have to get them at least 1 days rest. That means if you're going to empty the bullpen on a Monday, the options will be limited on a Tuesday, so Rocco needs to be very sure he is thinking that through. Last night made sense to empty the pen. Last Friday? Not so much in my opinion.
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    That's where you and I differ; I would much prefer the pitching chart with Pagan not on it.
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    Available and effective are not necessarily the same thing. I haven't crunched the numbers on specifically Duran or Lopez, but when I did that in the past for Taylor Rogers, it was clear as day that pitching on 0 days rest resulted in Rogers being pretty bad. Anecdotally, that holds for Lopez this past weekend.
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    Yet again Rocco has to use essentially every good bullpen option to nail down the win (not blaming him for that in this particular instance, just observing). It bit the Twins hard on Saturday and Sunday last; here's hoping the Twins bats can make the unavailability of the bullpen aces irrelevant tomorrow.
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    I think it should be pretty easy to find the 2023 version of Dylan Bundy, and pay him less than $10M. Given that, I don’t think it makes sense to pay $11M to actual Dylan Bundy.
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    This is what happens when you have a use all the ammo strategy; the Twins used all three of their best relievers Friday, some of them while up by 3 or 4 runs, and predictably, saw those relievers perform worse when asked to go back-to-back. Rocco has to figure out a way to keep more options available on a day-to-day basis, and Falvine has to figure out a way to get more quality options, or more multi-inning options.
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    Should be pretty easy to portion those out to other organizations who aren't spending as much.
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    It feels like to me that the relationship between owners and players is so fractured that the only way forward is for the owners to cede salary decisions to the MLBPA. Agree on a revenue split (I personally think that 50/50 of all baseball-related revenues is appropriate), and then let the MLBPA distribute that money as it sees fit. To ensure super teams don't get built up, restrict the number of player-years a team can have on players older than 27, which is the age at which every player is able to obtain full free agency. So for example, if the Twins have 11` players on their roster older than 27 with a total of 40 years under contract, and the limit is 45 player-years, the Twins can give one 5 year contract to a player over 27, or five 1 year contracts, or some combination.
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    I like some of these ideas--instead of forcing teams to pay a luxury tax, reduce the size of their 40 man roster; say for every $10M a team spends over the cap, they lose one spot on their 40 man. Further, have that be the case year round; if the Dodgers want to spend $70M over the cap, that's fine, but their 40 man roster is now a 33 man roster.
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    The Dodgers have indeed been exceptional at developing talent. As have the Rays. Unlike the Rays, the Dodgers retain all of their proven MLB talent on big-money contracts, unless they use it to acquire even better proven MLB talent. Doing this also allows them to use their farm system to acquire even more proven MLB talent (Betts, Darvish, Turner, and Scherzer for example) because the Dodgers don't need their prospects to remain competitive.
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    Can a team be honestly characterized as a playoff contender when they use Emilio Pagan and Tyler Duffey in close games? I vote no. I have no idea why the Twins didn’t try and cover the 6th through 8th with a combo of Megill and Jax, then turn it over to Lopez in the 9th.
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    That's pretty meaningless in my opinion. All we can really tell from that is Hayes has no sources that have told him the Twins are done.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    And according to MLBTR, the Padres are paying most of his salary. If true, this makes no sense to me, unless they literally just don't want Hosmer on the team under any circumstances.
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    The Padres have essentially boxed themselves into a contention window of 2022-2024; they already have a $99M payroll in 2025 BEFORE paying Soto, Darvish, Snell, Hader, and/or Manaea (or replacements). If I'm Falvine, I'm not trying to help them with a salary dump as much as I'm trying to help them accumulate talent now in return for strong prospect returns. That said, if the Padres really do want to dump Hosmer's salary, I'd be happy to do that, but like Nick said, for a top 100 caliber prospect at minimum.
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    In what universe has Buxton been healthy all year? Unless a player plays 150+ games, they should not be considered to have been healthy all year, imo.
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    I tend to agree with this. I would be ecstatic is two years from now we had Arraez and Martin as .320 AVG/.400 OBP guys batting 9/1 or 1/2 in front of Buxton, Miranda, Kiriloff, Wallner, etc. I have no idea if the Twins pushing him to hit for power is the issue; if it is, knock it off, and let it develop (as it seems to be doing for Arraez), or not. In that scenario, the worst case scenario is that Martin is "just" an elite OBP/speed tablesetter. That's worth 3-4 WAR a year easy.
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    Increasingly, he doesn't even look like a slap hitter, as his plate value derives from his OBP which is being held up by his walks. For a guy with supposedly the best bat in the 2020 draft, he is conspicuously not particularly good at actually hitting.
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