IndianaTwin
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Everything posted by IndianaTwin
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Twins (Paddack) vs White Sox (Perez): 3/31/25, 1:10pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
EDIT: Missed the last hit. 97 inches. -
Twins (Paddack) vs White Sox (Perez): 3/31/25, 1:10pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
You're saying Castro's not 96 inches tall? By my math, that would keep his BMI under 30. -
Twins (Paddack) vs White Sox (Perez): 3/31/25, 1:10pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
But on the bright side, all three have been effective! 😀 -
Twins (Lopez) vs Cardinals (Gray): 3/27/25, 3:15pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
At this pace, he’ll be able to wrap up the game on 12 pitches. -
Twins (Lopez) vs Cardinals (Gray): 3/27/25, 3:15pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Sure. Cut the sleeves off. -
Twins (Lopez) vs Cardinals (Gray): 3/27/25, 3:15pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Do you know if they are again this year? I'm just heading home from work to check. -
Twins (Lopez) vs Cardinals (Gray): 3/27/25, 3:15pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
I've since Googled. Looks like I was close on No. 1 in that they were the first team over $4M in 1991 and 1992 and then did it again in 1993, but were topped by another team that year. -
Twins (Lopez) vs Cardinals (Gray): 3/27/25, 3:15pm
IndianaTwin replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
1. Blue Jays? 2. Babe Ruth? -
Let's Overanalyze the Opening Day Lineup!
IndianaTwin replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
As in, the perception of over-platooning.- 40 replies
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- matt wallner
- jose miranda
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Let's Overanalyze the Opening Day Lineup!
IndianaTwin replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So last year the complaint was that the lineup was always loaded up with lefties against RHP and vice versa. Now we complain that aren't enough lefties against the RHP, since Julien, Gasper and Kiersey are on the bench? After all, we could have Kiersey for Bader in left; Gasper/Julien to 2B, with Castro shifting to 3B and Gasper/Julien for France, leaving just Buxton, Correa and Jeffers batting righty. Damned if you do, damned if you don't.- 40 replies
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- matt wallner
- jose miranda
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Yes, a pitcher's bad outings are almost always going to have a bigger effect on ERA than the good ones do. That's in part because the distribution isn't a bell curve around the average. There's only so much better a game can be in comparison to the average, whereas it can always get worse with more earned runs.
- 19 replies
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- carlos correa
- byron buxton
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2025 Sire of Fort Myers Coronation
IndianaTwin replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
@Tom Froemming, did the sportswriter for the Cedar Rapids Gazette actually play parts of three seasons for the Yankees? Because that's where that link goes.- 14 replies
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- jeferson morales
- andrew morris
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I don’t think he’ll DH much, if at all. The configuration will never be Larnach, Buxton and Wallner in the OF with Bader at DH. If they wanted to play those four, one of Larnach or Wallner would DH and Bader would take his spot. Basically, if Bader starts, he’s either in CF for Buxton or starting in one of the corners.
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(Deleted due to repetition --IT)
- 79 replies
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- eiberson castellano
- brooks lee
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"Integral" is in the eyes of the beholder. I think they see him more as "bonus" than "integral." With Duran, Jax and Sands, he's at best No. 4 on the pecking order. With Varland, Alcala, Coulombe and Topa, he could be as low as No. 8 when all is said and done. Getting 34.1 innings at 2023 performance level from your No. 8 during the time he is active would be solid. If he does more than that, it's bigger bonus. If he does less, well, they were solid last year pretty much without him and have reason to think they are already improved elsewhere in the pen.
- 58 replies
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- jose miranda
- edouard julien
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I said this in a different thread, but with Blewett not on the 40-man, I could see them rolling for a couple days with a seven-man bullpen, particularly if Gasper indeed avoids the IL. They have off days on days 2 and 9, with days 5-7 being games with the White Sox. I'd consider keeping Blewett off the 40-day for a few days and keep all three of Gasper, Martin and Kiersey around. After you've had a couple back-to-back games where you've the bullpen a full four innings, go ahead and send one of them, but for 3-5 days, maybe longer, you've got an extra pinch runner hanging around. EDIT: To add... https://www.mlb.com/twins/news/mickey-gasper-dashawn-keirsey-jr-make-twins-opening-day-roster "The Twins all but set the position-player side of their season-opening roster on Monday, notifying infielder-catcher Mickey Gasper and outfielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. that they will make the club and optioning infielder Austin Martin." Meaning, they don't appear to be taking my advice. Oh, well, they haven't the last eleventy-seven times either. Maybe I've been using the wrong email address.
- 79 replies
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- eiberson castellano
- brooks lee
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You obviously don't think they are going to ask me to come out of retirement and play one of those. 😀
- 58 replies
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- jose miranda
- edouard julien
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The article hints at going outside to fill the 8th spot in the bullpen. With off days on Day 2 and Day 9, I could see them trying to sneak a few days with an extra bench player available until the bullpen usage backs up a smidge. Plus, you can't say this in the paper, but Days 5-7 are against the White Sox, so it's not unlikely that starters could go long on those days and keep the bullpen fresh. EDIT: To add... https://www.mlb.com/twins/news/mickey-gasper-dashawn-keirsey-jr-make-twins-opening-day-roster "The Twins all but set the position-player side of their season-opening roster on Monday, notifying infielder-catcher Mickey Gasper and outfielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. that they will make the club and optioning infielder Austin Martin." Meaning, they don't appear to be taking my advice. Oh, well, they haven't the last eleventy-seven times either. Maybe I've been using the wrong email address.
- 58 replies
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- jose miranda
- edouard julien
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Last year, Correa didn’t take days off very often at all. He took weeks off on a couple of occasion, but when he was active, he played almost every day. Games 1-11: Played 11 of 11 Games 12-27: IL stint Games 28-94: Played 63 of 67 Games 95-147: IL stint Games 148-160: On-off-on-off-on-off in what would have been a rehab stint if not in a pennant race, then played 7 straight. Each year is different, but if last year is the pattern, while it’s fair to name the concern of Correa having two IL stints (one very long), the idea of Rocco giving a healthy Correa lots of days off needs to go away.
- 46 replies
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- brooks lee
- jose miranda
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Wait -- do you know something about my sons that I don't know? Mine have the exact same ages and similar dispositions. 😀 I was skeptical about the "quality start" at first, but have come to feel less so. As long as I define "quality start" as "kept my team in the game" as opposed to "Cy Young worthy," I think it means something. Not everything, by any means, but one of those quick-and-dirty stats that lets you look at a guy and say, "Yeah, he gave our team a chance to win." Most any time a starter gets through six and gives up only three runs (not distinguishing between earned and unearned runs), I've got some chance of winning. If my offense has scored no runs or only one, I'm generally sunk, period. If they've scored even two, I'm a solo run from tying. And as we've seen above, six innings also means that he's gone longer than average. The list of last year's leaders correlates pretty well with successful seasons. QS also has a way of softening the effect of outlier games in a pitcher's ERA when the manager leaves him in after getting shelled because the bullpen is depleted, etc. Ober had 18 quality starts out of 31, which is pretty good, for example, but his ERA was only 3.98 thanks to having given up 17 of his 79 earned runs in two starts. Without those, two starts, he's a spiffy 3.18. I found Jose Quintana as a guy who had a virtually identical ERA+ (105 compared to Ober's 104) in a similar number of innings (170.1 to 178.2). But Quintana only had 12 out of 31 QS compared to Ober's 18 of 31. That suggests Ober kept his team in the game in a bigger percentage of his starts. I'd rather have Ober's season on my team than Quintana's. An argument I've heard against the QS start is that it's only a 4.50 ERA, which it is for that individual game. But to keep using Ober as the example, only two of his 18 QS were exactly that figure. Every other combination in a QS, even three earned runs in 6.1 innings, lowers the ERA. I didn't do the math, but Ober's ERA in his 18 QS is likely well below the 3.18 referenced above. I'm not advocating for this, but I do wonder if, given that starts are getting shorter, someone will start advocating for a QS starting to include two runs in five innings or more.
- 20 replies
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- jhoan duran
- griffin jax
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That would be awesome, and they will sometimes. Lopez did eight times, Ober seven, Ryan five, Paddack twice and SWR once. So almost a quarter of the time with the top three and then a couple more. There were also a dozen or so other times when the starter was given a shot, but didn’t get through the seventh. Realistically, however, I don’t see them getting past an average of 5.5-5.7 in today’s game, but that would be well above average.
- 20 replies
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- jhoan duran
- griffin jax
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