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TL

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Everything posted by TL

  1. TL
    Great article and can’t wait for the season! But, “Garver's production when on the field during this stretch (.250/.331/.528, 8 HR, 34-to-10 K/BB, 0.8 fWAR) was solid...” .859 OPS from catcher = solid? Wow has he set the bar high.
  2. TL
    I think you have to take 4 years of Snell. Helps you immensely this year and well beyond. I’m also trying to think of a reason to not take the Boyd trade. I’d probably do that too as he has, I think, 2 years after this one until free agency. Protects against losing Odo after this year and we aren’t giving anyone up that has a realistic chance to play a significant role on the Twins.
  3. TL
    Lewis could be ready for that, but I doubt it happens. I think they’ll want him to settle in and become as good as he can be at one position - SS or CF - and not turn into a super-utility, which is what he becomes if he doesn’t get enough reps at his primary position. That said, how valuable could a “rich mans” Marwin Gonzalez actually be? If he could literally play anywhere on the diamond at average or above except C/P and be in the lineup every day, could that be worth more than being an average SS or excellent CF? Feels like that could be a money ball opportunity if you had the right player for it.
  4. TL
    I’m sort of expecting one of Larnach or Kirilloff to have such a good year the Twins are compelled to have them up by September and on the postseason roster. May be as a bench bat for playoffs (bat for Buxton in close game?). Or could accelerate a trade of Rosario - though I’d rather see him get one last run with this team.
  5. TL
    He would jump on 5 for 90M. Much different situation than Wheeler since Berrios has 3 years of team control remaining. An article from early Feb compared his situation to 3 recent signings and pegged a 5 year deal around 60M give or take. Personally I think he would still be a steal at 90M verses a free agent at that price, but no reason the Twins should need to go that high.
  6. TL
    Perhaps Gordon is better suited to that super-utility role. He’s more of a SS than Arraez and I have to imagine would also fair average or better at 3B and corner outfield spots. Heck, may even be worthwhile seeing what he looks like as a back up CF for the (hopefully not) inevitable Buxton injury.
  7. TL
    Seems like kind of the perfect situation to me. One or both of Rosario and Cruz is gone by 2021 and both for sure by 2022. Between Sano, Kiriloff, and Larnach you have guys for 1B, LF and DH. Kiriloff being the one to spell both Larnach and Sano in the field while getting time at DH. He can also give Kepler a day off periodically.
  8. TL
    That’s ugly
  9. TL
    I think Jiminy is on to the Twins thinking. At some point they will need to make room for the top prospects, both because payroll will climb too high and they are ready. If Buxton doesn’t sign by next offseason (or maybe this coming trade deadline) on a relatively team-friendly deal they have to move him as a key part of a package for a #1. Lewis may be ready to take over without a significant drop off, or Celestino may also be close if Lewis sticks at short. This makes keeping a proven commodity like Cave a priority as a young guy learns the ropes and adapts to MLB pitching.
  10. TL
    It’s looking to me like Lewis eventually gets moved to CF. Buxton may not resign and in any event he is injury prone. Unless Lewis provides a significant upgrade to Polanco (hopeful, but seems unlikely) or they move Arraez for pitching and put Lewis at 2B I think CF may be where he ends up. In fact if Lewis has a good year at the plate I have confidence he could be the best option in CF if it became necessary to trade Buxton to get a #1 starter.
  11. TL
    Wow! Incredibly encouraging signs. great post.
  12. TL
    The guy I think keeps getting overlooked is Zack Littell. He’s not talked about as a lock for the bullpen, nor is he often listed as a young guy that has a chance to play an important role. Meanwhile, all he did since the beginning of June is put up a .88 ERA over 30 innings. Behind Rogers and Duffy I can see him as being the next most effective reliever.
  13. TL
    Great move to maximize what we can get out of him this year. Also demonstrates they are in win-now mode and not worrying about service time considerations with a guy they know can help them win right now. Would not mind seeing him get some “opener” time early in the year while we wait on Pineda to return so he can get 2-3 inning stints on a regular schedule, and then later in the year a late inning bullpen role.
  14. TL
    This team should have enough to be leading the division come July. I would not add another pitcher in the offseason and instead wait to see what they need and what is available. There may be guys on teams that currently think they are going to content this year that become available. This approach also let’s those other teams carry the injury risk through the first half of the season. How badly would it suck to give up our top prospects now only to have a Gray, Boyd or whomever blow out their elbow in April when we could have waited until closer to the deadline?
  15. TL
    100% agree. Especially as it relates to making a trade. See how the season plays out, who is having a great season on a bad team, and go get him at the deadline. Save your prospects for that.
  16. TL
    This could be a great move and in reality neither player’s contract should be a barrier to signing any pitcher if it’s only 2 years (or 3 with annual value at $10MM). This may also help make Sano available via trade for a young, controllable front line starter. He is much more likely than Rosario to help gather interest in such a trade.
  17. TL
    While unlikely that Cole signs even for that kind of money, I like the aggressive thinking. No doubt we win the division with Cole and Boyd added to the mix and then by October we will be dangerous. I think it is an overpay for Boyd though and could see swapping Rooker for Larnach and then starting Larnach in LF.
  18. TL
    Nice job. Realistic. I love the idea on Graterol.
  19. TL
    I’d do it! Upgrades and locks down 3b for 5 years instead of 2. We are not signing 2 $30MM free agent pitchers. But, maybe he can influence Strasburg to sign here? Can use Sano in a trade, perhaps for another starter, or move to 1b
  20. TL
    I could see him being part of a larger package to bring in a top end starter with years of control left. Twins may be in a good position to be able to deal with more teams because they can offer up both young (but established) MLB players and top end prospects.
  21. TL
    I think Royce can stick at SS because of the advances in defensive positioning, but do wonder if he would be better utilized in CF (not better than Buxton, but if we lose Buxton it may be best for the team to have Royce in CF). ...and Jeter is not really a good example to go by to give anyone hope Royce can turn out to be great defensively at SS. Probably the opposite of a good example.
  22. TL
    Twins were already set up with a young core and several high end minor leaguers, and then Luis comes along and looks like he will be a key piece for several years to come. That’s a huge windfall. His power should only go up from here (though Altuve-like would be a reach) and hopefully he can make some improvements at second base to turn into an all-star. He will also allow the Twins to be patient with Royce and potentially move him to CF, depending on Buxton’s injury status and willingness to resign in a few years
  23. TL
    Love that he is playing some CF. With analytics helping to better place infielders to where the ball is likely to go (the shift) it feels like CF may be over-taking SS as the most important defensive position. Plus with Buxton’s injury history and potential remaining bad blood due to service time manipulation he may not be long-term at CF for the Twins. From what I’ve seen written he has a chance to be an excellent CF.
  24. TL
    Paying an extra 4-6MM while limiting it to a 1 year deal is a fair trade off if I'm the Twins. They have only one starter returning with decisions to make on the other 4. I foresee a trade for a top starter and then bringing back one or both of Pineda and Odoriizzi. Hell I may extend them each a QO and hope they both take it or bring back a draft pick.
  25. TL
    I’m loving the young and talented MLB team with a very strong pipeline of prospects at virtually every position. We need a couple more guys to break out and become all stars, and several have that ability. I’m not against making a splash in free agency either given low ‘19 payroll and fact that minors will replenish the team with minimum salary guys over next few years.
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