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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Arraez is likely to receive, and turn down, a qualifying offer. He's a free draft pick.
  2. DJL44
    True, which is why I'm asking for a couple in any trade with San Diego. Vazquez, Castro, Paddack, Duran, Julien for Cease, Arraez, prospects
  3. DJL44
    Just breaking down the trades 1) Looks like fair value for a season of Cease and the comp pick but I'm not sure it fits San Diego's desire to compete this season. They would have to find somewhere to flip those prospects. 2) Paddack and Martin have no net trade value so this is really Larnach and Morris for Cease. I could see them having interest in that package if they like Morris. 3) This trade has some possibilities because the Padres seem to like Vazquez but he has negative trade value. If they like Julien they can have him, he has little trade value after his 2024 season. This one boils down to Miranda and Matthews for Cease. It's similar enough to Larnach and Morris from trade #2. I think Larnach is a much better fit for their roster than Miranda.
  4. DJL44
    Dave Goltz next?
  5. DJL44
    No details on that yet.
  6. DJL44
    I don't know what the person did. I was just stating that there are perfectly legitimate reasons to not vote for a player if you have more candidates that you support than spots available. If you go back in time and look at past Hall of Fame ballots there have always been at least 10 future Hall of Famers on the ballot. Some of them took 50 more years to get inducted, but they were on the ballot. Even now, there are way more than 10 players on this ballot better than the bottom 20% of the players who have been inducted into the Hall of Fame. There were at least a dozen players on this ballot better than Billy Wagner and he got elected. Please forgive me if I don't understand the subtleties between "a jerk move" and "a jerk". Those look like the exact same thing to me.
  7. DJL44
    The honor is exactly the same for Ichiro as it is for Billy Wagner and Dave Parker. I don't know how why you would call someone a jerk for supporting a lot of players for Hall of Fame induction. There have been at least 10 players worth voting for on every ballot since they started voting.
  8. DJL44
    If your goal is to get the players you support elected, why throw away your vote on Ichiro? One person choosing not to vote for Ichiro makes absolutely no difference in the end result. When it comes to the Hall of Fame, you're either in or you're not. You don't get bonus Hall of Fame points for having a high vote total.
  9. DJL44
    I heard Falvey say that Buxton and Correa are in good health at the moment. I wondered why he didn't mention Royce Lewis in that sentence. I'm surprised nobody has mentioned the new Twins rewards program. Not sure if I understand it well enough to have an opinion.
  10. DJL44
    61 cents a game
  11. DJL44
    That is not in the ballot instructions. I have seen voters who vote for 10 refuse to add anyone new until a spot opens up. Their justification is "If I thought they were a Hall of Famer last year, why would I leave them off this year?" I wouldn't be surprised if some voters went alphabetically (the names are listed alphabetically) and checked off names until they ran out of votes. You can get to 10 names before you hit Suzuki.
  12. DJL44
    Vazquez is good but he's not a gold-glove caliber catcher like Yadier Molina. Players who can't hit are often overrated on defense. He's also getting into his mid-30s which is going to make it harder and harder to maintain his performance both at the plate and behind it.
  13. DJL44
    An 832 OPS in AA says he's not quite ready. That would be equivalent to an OPS in the low 600s in MLB. It's probably going to take another year before he's ready for a callup.
  14. DJL44
    LF, RF and DH. Where's the log-jam?
  15. DJL44
    You must not understand how Hall of Fame voting works. You can only vote for up to 10 players on the ballot. If you think there are 11 players (or more) who are worth a vote it actually makes a lot of sense to say "Ichiro will get elected easily without my vote, I will vote for the 10 other guys who need my vote more than Ichiro does". If they didn't limit the ballot slots, then I would agree there is no good reason to leave Ichiro off your ballot. You could argue about Ichiro being one of the top 10 players of all-time but I wouldn't agree with you. I don't think he's even one of the top 10 outfielders of all-time. I'd put him in a list of the top 120 players in baseball history which is pretty impressive. His status as a pioneer is pretty impressive as well. There are many Japanese stars in modern MLB and that is part of his legacy.
  16. DJL44
    This is getting way too much press. There are lots of defensible reasons NOT to vote for Ichiro. The best reason is if you have 11 players you want to vote for and they only let you vote for 10. It's perfectly acceptable to say, "Ichiro will get in without my vote, I'll vote for the other 10".
  17. DJL44
    Cease and Arraez for Vazquez, Castro, and Festa?
  18. DJL44
    The last time he did it was 5 years and two Tommy John surgeries ago. I have little faith that Chris Paddack is still that pitcher. It's unreasonable to expect him to perform at his highest level all the time and never have a bad start. It's especially unreasonable to have that expectation for him and not have that expectation for anyone else on the team. It's a good practice to assume the 50th percentile outcome and make roster plans based on that.
  19. DJL44
    If they don't add another bat, they're going to want to use Jeffers as the DH occasionally.
  20. DJL44
    I'm fine with using Castro there as the starter. Lee and Lewis are both better fits at 3B but I wouldn't want to construct the 26-man roster with Lee having a guaranteed spot anyway. If they give Lewis 2B the hole moves to 3B but they can also move Castro over there just as easily. If they want to keep Castro in the infield full-time they need to add another outfielder who can catch the ball.
  21. DJL44
    Yes, if Paddack has the best season of his career and doesn't have any bad starts, he could do that. That is his >90th percentile projection. Do you assume everyone will hit their >90th percentile projection?
  22. DJL44
    The on the field production wins a lot more games than "clubhouse leadership". If you want leadership, hire a manager. If you want a baseball player, get someone who can hit the ball.
  23. DJL44
    What in the world has Vazquez done in a Twins uniform that makes you want to lock him up until he's 36 years old?
  24. DJL44
    Or use your interpreter as a middleman to place bets for you. That was the whole reason they investigated Ohtani.
  25. DJL44
    Pitcher is a position, not reliever. Reliever is a role that allows a pitcher who isn't good enough to start to contribute to a team's success. John Franco owns several of the LH relief stats.
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