Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

DJL44

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,444

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    66

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    The advantage a team has getting Paddack is the player can't say "no" like a free agent can. The Twins may have to take some salary back in the deal but that might not be awful. Paddack for a veteran reliever making $2.5M would be a small downgrade in the bullpen but save $5M.
  2. DJL44
    I would rather trade for SWR than Zebby. SWR clearly has the higher floor, showing he can be reasonably effective over the course of an entire season. Zebby got lit up in his debut and has a lot to work on. The ceiling might be similar for each, but SWR probably has more potential to add velocity (projectability).
  3. DJL44
    I don't get why Matthews would rate higher than Woods-Richardson. They're basically the same age but SWR has actually had MLB success.
  4. DJL44
    Sorry, net positive value. He's worth what he's paid but there's no bonus value on top of that.
  5. DJL44
    He's also really young, just 24 in 2025. There's more room for upside with SWR than there is for Miranda or Julien just due to age.
  6. DJL44
    And yet they're middle of the pack in stolen bases allowed (0.7 per game). If the Twins "don't control the running game" then the only team in MLB who does is Kansas City.
  7. DJL44
    His arbitration projection is $4.5M to $5M for this season. I think they could get him to sign 5/7/9/9. Jeffers would be risking about $6M to guarantee $25M.
  8. DJL44
    He's going to burn a half season and his last option making the adjustments, if he can. He's also working his way down the defensive spectrum toward 1B which means he has to really hit to contribute.
  9. DJL44
    No, as @chpettit19 pointed out elsewhere, Julien can't hit breaking balls. He got away with not swinging at them in the minors but they figured him out in the big leagues.
  10. DJL44
    2024: 17% caught stealing vs league average of 21%. 59 stolen bases and 12 caught stealing in 720 innings. That's 3 extra bases allowed in 720 innings compared to an average MLB catcher. That is approximately 1 extra stolen base allowed every 25 games. If you double his stolen bases allowed to 118 to account for playing 1/2 of the games and compare to MLB teams, that would rank just slightly better than average (3617 bases stolen by 30 teams = 120.5 per team). Over his career he's been better than 2024, only 7 extra stolen bases in 301 games worth of catching or one every 43 games. Your statement is directly contradicted by the data.
  11. DJL44
    They should absolutely be looking to extend Jeffers. This offseason is their last chance to buy out free agency seasons at a discount. Even if they want to trade him later, they should be looking to extend him now to increase his value as a trade asset.
  12. DJL44
    Julien's value is all about 2025-26. He's in the prime of his career and he looked bad last season. Not enough bat or glove to make the roster. Raya is a "going forward" kind of player. Miranda and Julien are "now or never".
  13. DJL44
    Talk is cheap. Julien shouldn't be on the 26-man roster to start the season and Miranda has shown so much unique and special ability that he's the one guy the GM is trying to replace in free agency.
  14. DJL44
    And the value of prospects on teams who are trying to win NOW is equal to their trade value. I wish I knew when the Twins were going to try to win. It would make an exercise like this make so much more sense. They can't seem to make up their mind about trying to win now or win later.
  15. DJL44
    Starting pitchers are the scarcest commodity in MLB. Objectively bad starting pitchers are getting $12-$15M a season in free agency. Mediocre bats with below average defense are freely available every offseason.
  16. DJL44
    This is false. Teams routinely sell off expensive veterans with little team control when they aren't trying to win in the near-term. Value to this team specifically is related to WHEN they are trying to build their championship caliber team.
  17. DJL44
    Except there aren't, because you can always use money to obtain players every offseason. It all boils down to dollar sign on the muscle. If you're looking at likelihood that a player helps the team win a championship this season as their "asset value" then I'd say their asset value to the Twins is much lower than their trade value. Nearly every other MLB team is trying harder to win a championship than the Twins are this season.
  18. DJL44
    How much value does Correa have each year? The value of the WAR he provided minus his salary. This is basically the same as his trade value. If a team lacks players at a particular position, then value to the team might be a little higher but not much. Same goes for a team that has a surplus at a particular position, they can devalue a player by not selling. If the Pohlads never sell the Twins they still have an asset value equal to what they could get if they sold them.
  19. DJL44
    It is nearly impossible to disentangle "asset values" from "trade values". A stock only has as much value as you can sell it for cash.
  20. DJL44
    That's a decent start for a list like this. I don't think Correa has that much positive value after two injured seasons. I don't think Julien has that much positive value after a season where he wasn't worth a roster spot.
  21. DJL44
    They absolutely should try to trade someone for Cartaya. They should probably aim higher and try to pick off some additional low-cost talent from the Dodgers organization.
  22. DJL44
    SWR would bring back more in trade than Miranda and Julien would together. He's clearly the most valuable asset in the 5 players mentioned in this article.
  23. DJL44
    I think Julien in the top 30 assets is a stretch.
  24. DJL44
    No. Everyone has qualified for the playoffs in the last 5 seasons except the Nationals, Rockies, Angels and Pirates. The Nationals won it all in 2019. The Angels and Rockies are trying but they're just really bad at it. Pittsburgh is the only team in baseball who never tries.
  25. DJL44
    Pittsburgh is 1/30 of the teams in MLB, not 1/3.
×
×
  • Create New...