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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. I don't have any hope that he will somehow become a good defender at LF or 1B so it's really about his bat. Can he hit the ball well enough to play every day or is he Randy Bush?
  2. I found Rob Antony's very sad LinkedIn page (26) Rob Antony | LinkedIn
  3. Anyone know what Rob Antony is doing now? Maybe he and Levine can play golf next summer. I wonder which one of them said "Hey, let's give Joey Gallo $11M. We only have a five LH hitting outfielders on the roster." I wonder if the "Falvine" moniker upsets Falvey. He's the main decision maker but has to share credit. That could be enough to let him go.
  4. Danny De Andrade is the 2nd best SS prospect they have.
  5. Falvey interview on si.com makes it sound like they will just eliminate the position.
  6. He's their best option at 2B. He's not the best option in CF (Keirsey) or SS (Lee) if there is an injury to the starter at those positions.
  7. Twins GM Talks Draft, Risk-Taking – David Shama's Minnesota Sports Headliners (shamasportsheadliners.com)
  8. I heard someone comment that every Matthews pitch breaks in the same direction, it's just how much they break. That could be a problem that can only be fixed by adding a pitch like a sinker or splitter to go with the slider. A split-change could help him a lot.
  9. With hindsight, this move was probably inevitable after the trade deadline. Levine says he's the risk taker and Falvey is risk averse. They didn't make any deals which implies they aren't listening to Levine anymore.
  10. He needs to be able to learn from his mistakes. Make sure players are prepared to play defense. Quit pinch hitting early in games and giving away the platoon advantage. Pay attention to the opposing team's baserunners.
  11. The MLB minimum salary already sets the floor. If you want a minimum salary of $2M I'm sure the players would agree to that. The players would make less money with cap and floor than they do now. That's why they haven't agreed to it. Fix the revenue sharing incentives so winning is more profitable than losing and filling the stands is a priority.
  12. Miranda seems like a perfectly adequate first baseman. I doubt the Twins have the budget to find anyone better to replace him so I expect him to play a lot at 1B next season. He's not a good fielder at 3B and shouldn't play there except when someone else is injured and unavailable.
  13. Somebody is digging deep in the archives. It's easy to be wrong about prospects. Most people are, including major league front offices. I am very happy with how the Lopez/Arraez trade worked out even though Salas has not turned into anything at all. Arraez has turned into a DH who only hits singles. If he was still on the Twins they would non-tender him this offseason.
  14. If they were "focusing on hitting HR" then they were awful at it. The main reason they stopped scoring in September is they hit fewer HR. HR by month: April 31, May 31, June 37, July 29, August 34, September 21 Runs by month: April 133, May 121, June 150, July 111, August 133, Sept 94 The difference between their hitting in May and September is mostly explained by hitting 10 fewer HR.
  15. I wish Martin's defense was mediocre. He was terrible. He needs a lot of work on his defense. If he can't get better defensively, he's going to wash out of MLB. I don't think Keirsey has the speed or arm strength to be elite on defense. He's certainly better than you would expect given his tools. Good person to stash in AAA and use when Buxton goes on the IL.
  16. It's even more expensive to have TWO crews follow a team around. This is one of the first costs I see getting cut - MLB will likely shrink to a single broadcast crew for each game. Each team will provide one on-air announcer for the booth and the video crew will be locals.
  17. I don't want any of these guys on the opening day roster next season. They're fine for minor league depth but none of them has really earned a spot.
  18. They shouldn't want exclusivity. That is the old, dead model and it isn't returning. Sell the broadcast rights cheaply, increase the audience size as large as you can and make as much money possible on advertising. They should want Twins games available on basic cable packages. They had a model that was 100% subscriptions and 0% ads. They need a new model that is 20% subscriptions and 80% ads.
  19. So $10M off streaming, plus whatever they're still making from cable/satellite.
  20. 100% revenue sharing of broadcasting. 0% revenue sharing for local ticket sales, concessions, etc. That's the model that encourages teams to put fans in the stands.
  21. They're making $4.5M in subscriptions. How much are they making selling ads to those subscribers? The real money is in selling the viewing audience to advertisers.
  22. Less than half of people subscribe to cable/dish. Among people 18-30 it's 30%. Those numbers are 2 years old, and cable is shedding millions of viewers each year. Many of the people who have cable subscriptions were unable to get Twins games because BSN was so bad at getting the games broadly distributed. Dish Network hasn't had games for years and Comcast was blacked out for the entire summer. The latest estimates had the Twins reaching 15% of their audience through BSN.
  23. Sports are still great at generating cash on TV. They command high ad rates because people are much less likely to skip the ads. Old model: People with money who don't watch baseball pay MLB a lot of money through cable subscriptions for games they don't watch. People with less money who want to watch baseball can't watch their favorite teams play on television. TV audience actually watching baseball shrinks every year. New model (hopefully): People who actually like watching baseball are able to watch the games of their favorite team without restriction. Number of people watching baseball games on TV increases by 2 to 4 times. Advertisers have a larger pool of people available to watch their advertising. The new model may not make as much money, but it will still make plenty of money. Easier access to games on TV might even grow the sport as more people follow their local teams.
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