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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Miranda has a better projection for next season than Goldschmidt.
  2. DJL44
    The Twins won't get as much subscriber $$ from cable (guessing less than $1 per subscriber per month) but they'll capture all of the advertising revenue. This is a very rough guess but I think cable subscriber $$ will go down to $3M-5M, streaming makes another $2.5M-$5M and then advertising revenue adds another $5M-$10M. TV revenue drops from $45M to $12M-$20M depending on fan enthusiasm.
  3. DJL44
    This is key. When Duran pitched poorly he wasn't hitting the corners. He was missing well off the plate and throwing strikes middle-middle.
  4. DJL44
    Canterino's all-time high innings pitched in a season is 37. He didn't pitch in 2023 or 2024. The odds he never pitches again are higher than the odds that he solves the Twins bullpen issues. He's going to have to prove he can pitch in AAA before he gets a chance in the majors.
  5. DJL44
    That is a hypothetical you could say about every pitcher the Twins have in AAA.
  6. DJL44
    If you want an elite bullpen for the playoffs, start the season with 12 good relievers. By the end of the year you'll have 6 that you can actually depend on. Your list is 5 arms short (Paddack is in the rotation or traded) and doesn't have any lefties.
  7. DJL44
    The Twins will not cost you any additional money to watch on cable next year. As a bonus, you won't have to worry about your cable company dropping them in the middle of the season.
  8. DJL44
    If a big league hitter knows what the pitch is and where it is going he can generally hit it.
  9. DJL44
    There were many times last year where the Twins pitchers were killed by bad pitch location. Often times a pitcher doesn't need to improve his velocity or break, he needs to put the pitch in the right spot.
  10. DJL44
    When I saw the headline I just assumed Gaetti would send me a compliment periodically. "Good news on the results from your recent colonoscopy. Way to keep up your health" - Gary Gaetti
  11. DJL44
    Prospects have to prove they're ready in the minors all the time. They didn't hesitate to bring up Brooks Lee when he was doing well in AAA. Emmanuel Rodriguez is pretty close. If he can beat up on AAA until May, he will probably get a callup. He could have been promoted in 2024 if he had been healthy at the right time. Jenkins hasn't proven he's ready yet. An .450 OPS in Double-A says he isn't ready yet. A measly 6 HR in 368 plate appearances in the minors in 2024 says he isn't ready yet.
  12. DJL44
    Not until their mid-20s, until they prove it for 2 months in AAA. You know who was terrible during his first callup? Byron Buxton (and many other All-Stars). If you look at Jenkins' numbers in Double-A this fall they project to a 550 OPS in MLB.
  13. DJL44
    I have no interest in burning up a year of service time watching Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez help the Twins lose while they suck at the plate in 2025. They can trade Larnach AFTER either of them have an OPS > 1000 in AAA for > 2 months. If you want to trade Larnach for a comparable RH hitting OF bat, that's defensible but you can't just expect guys who have hardly played in Double-A to produce.
  14. DJL44
    They agreed to build a new ballpark in St. Pete but I think they may want to reconsider everything and plan the rebuild of Tampa Bay more holistically. I have not heard detail on the extent of the damage to Tropicana Field (not a good week for buildings named Tropicana). Would they be able to repair it in time for the next season? Would they want to spend millions repairing a stadium they already plan on tearing down? Will they spend the next two years as the Oakland Rays as they build a new stadium? Lots of questions to answer.
  15. DJL44
    Trading Correa would signal a full rebuild, which I don't think is necessary. If they trade Correa then they should also trade Jax, Castro, Vazquez, Paddack, Buxton, Stewart and Topa. Trade everyone older than 29 with less than 3 years of team control. They should also seriously consider trading Larnach, Alcala, Jeffers, Lopez, Ober, and Ryan. That's 14 players in total which suggests this would be a terrible idea.
  16. DJL44
    Thielbar could be one of those free agents. The Twins like the players they had on the roster last season or they would have cut several of them sooner. At the right price they will bring them back.
  17. DJL44
    I would have voted Ober, Lopez, Ryan, Jax, Woods-Richardson.
  18. DJL44
    How did you manage to get Twins baseball for free? Piracy?
  19. DJL44
    They need a RH outfield bat who can field the ball (not Martin or Margot). That could be Willi Castro but then they need to find a 2B. I floated bringing back Polanco for < $5M on a different thread. Castro won't be non-tendered. He has more trade value than Polanco did last season (costs half as much, plays more positions competently, more team control, younger).
  20. DJL44
    It's a net loss to the league revenue but the Twins are in the same situation as 16-20 other teams. The Yankees, Red Sox, Cubs and Dodgers will be able to use their revenue advantage to get the top players but the Twins should be on a level playing field with the rest of the league.
  21. DJL44
    I agree that this trade as proposed is weighted too heavily toward the Twins. If a team can trade a reliever for a top 30 prospect they should do that every time (think how irritated you would be if the Twins traded Emmanuel Rodriguez for a relief pitcher). Then you subtract the negative value of Vazquez and add another good pitching prospect for the Twins. If they can get the Cubs to offer this much they should agree quickly.
  22. DJL44
    The pricing is 62 cents a game, cancel any time.
  23. DJL44
    50% of broadcast revenue is shared. It's a huge win for baseball fans. Instead of $1000/year it's $100/year to watch the team. It will take a few years for the free agent market to adjust but the best players will still make tens of millions.
  24. DJL44
    Ricardo Olivar is probably the top catching prospect. He has questions about his glove and has only spent 19 games in AA.
  25. DJL44

    Giants

    DJL44 replied to Twodogs's topic in Other Baseball

    Bill James doesn't look like he knows anything about baseball. Aaron Gleeman really doesn't look like he knows anything about baseball.
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