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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    It is a tough situation. I can't see the Twins trading him with his value so low and I don't see how he is a future part of the team with Rodriguez getting closer and Wallner who seems to have passed him and who has more options. The Twins have Rosario not that far away and if Jenkins is a fast mover he might be a possibility in 2025. If they hang onto Kepler then it gets even tougher. I still think he is going to be a strong bat once he gets his shot. I don't know what the right answer is but they can't trade him for nothing and if they wait much longer than next year he might not fit at all. It is a tough spot to be in, but hopefully this FO can make it work one way or the other.
  2. Dman
    If you like to follow the draft at all you have to watch this show. Guest was so knowledgeable and fun to listen to. Was a real treat. Thanks Jeremy and Jamie for an awesome show!
  3. Dman
    I go back and forth on whether to keep him or trade him, but I have the team picking up his option no matter what. When healthy I don't think we have a better 2nd baseman on the team. Still he is getting older and his trade value is likely the highest it will be this off season. The Twins have a glut of utility infield type players even beyond Lee so they can easily backfill if they move on. However, the team is in compete now mode so making room for him probably makes more sense than trading him, Unless of course there is an offer for pitching help that is too good to pass up.
  4. Dman
    He has been a pretty consistent pitcher all the way up through the minors. The only thing holding him back was his lower velocity fastball. Still he rarely gave up HR's in the minors and that skill bodes well for making it in the majors. Yeah he got crushed in a high leverage situation where he was struggling with command sometimes that happens but I think he could be the reliable lefty we need. Working on that fastball might be key though. Maybe Thielbar can help him some there.
  5. Dman
    Jenkins is good at making contact. I don't think I have seen a bat like him since maybe Joe Mauer (another tough guy to strike out). Agree the sample size is too small to gain much insight and there are a lot of challenges ahead, but he is off to a really good start and those are hard to come by for 18 year old's in their first year. Really happy to see him doing so well and hope he becomes a star player in time.
  6. Dman
    Not sure I have the faith you do in Miranda but can't say I disagree all that much. He was good at the plate once before and should be good again. Donnie Barrels is old and limited defensively, but I am not sure what the Twins will do there. Not a ton of space on the 40 man and they need these younger players to build value so you could be right. I should have clarified that I meant Celestino and and Martin are almost identical hitters. They walk about as much as they K. Both are good at getting the bat to the ball and both aren't really known for their power. Both players most likely position is center field but yes Martin could play the infield if needed as well so he does one up Celestino for position flexibility and Martin has all three option years left. They might not "need" to trade Celestino but they also don't need two of the same type of player on the 40 man. Not sure if I would go with a DFA but if there is no trade interest at all from other teams then I guess that says all that needs to be said about his value.
  7. Dman
    I have the Twins trading or trying to trade Farmer after the season. They have Lewis who can handle short in a pinch and Castro with Lee likely on the way and all three can bat righty if needed. I think all three can likely match Farmer's .700 OPS. With Martin, Severino, Rodriguez and Carmargo likely adds to the 40 man I just don't see room. Also Martin and Celestino are almost identical players can they afford to have both on the 40 man? Martin would have a full three option years left, appears to have more power and runs as well as Celestino. Moving Celestino would make sense as well if you ask me. I don't know what they do with Solano. He is a clutch right handed bat and would be hard to replace. How long he can keep this up is hard to say but since he doesn't need to play every day maybe the Twins can keep him fresh if they can hang onto him.
  8. Dman
    I have the Twins trading Farmer after this season. They have Correa for short and Lewis can spell him as well as Castro. Castro is also a versatile defender who can play anywhere and they will likely need room for Lee at some point next year and Lee can play short as well. Farmer looks redundant in too many ways to me and his .700 OPS seems easily replaced. He is a favorite of mine but I don't see a spot for him with the Twins likely needing to add Severino and then later Lee. It is going to be hard for Miranda to build his value up but dominating AAA like he did before would be a good start. From there maybe the Twins can get him some games at 1st or DH and see how he does again but it will take some time for him to prove that he belongs again.
  9. Dman
    I agree with others that he needs to build his value back up before trading him. I also agree with the OP that there really isn't room for him on this team anymore. He won't be a plus defender anywhere and maybe not even an average one. He doesn't have great plate discipline to fall back on. The Twins have far more athletic players to put in the spots Miranda would be in. Things could change if he hits well at St Paul next year but I think given this Twins team the best case scenario would be for Miranda to get traded to a rebuilding team that can play him a full season and I think he blossoms in time. I still think he will be a dangerous hitter once he figures things out but I also think that is going to take time and he seems unlikely to fit on this Twins team. It looks like 1st base or DH to me so he will need to show the same hit tool or better at AAA to get his next chance.
  10. Dman
    I love the optimism, but Cleveland isn't all that far behind the Twins and we found out this year the Tigers look like a pretty balanced team and their farm is on the rise. The White Sox still have talent but do appear to be on the down side depth wise. KC does have a ways to go. The Twins system does lacks elite pitching and the cost to acquire arms is high looking at the Gray and Lopez trades. They might have good bats to trade though as the farm and team is looking good in that regard. They can still find arms in Free Agency as well. Still with a volatile pen and not a lot of ready arms on the farm there are weaknesses for the Twins as well. Yes if things break right the Twins could dominate but baseball is a fickle game. Injuries can change things in a hurry. There is a lot to like for the future, but I don't think it is going to be as easy as this article makes it out to be.
  11. Dman
    Yeah if they have that kind of precision they should make home plate a little larger or the zone larger. Once everyone gets used to it it will be OK. But having it so tight seems really hard for pitchers.
  12. Dman
    Rosario hit a home run for the magic number 20th time this year and leads the league in HR's and he is 3 to 4 years younger than most of those guys at the top except for his teammates Ross and Rodriguez. He still strikes out too much but his walk rate is very good and his power is legit. This could be the right handed bat the Twins have been waiting for. FWIW all three Kernel's as of today would lead the Midwest league in OPS. For as much crap as I give Rodriguez for some really ugly plate appearances and not getting to that .900 OPS mark, he is one of the youngest hitters in the league and leads the league in OPS. He is going to be a really good player in time. I think expectations might be skewed because of how he dominated for half the year last year.
  13. Dman
    Lewis was happily at the top of most boards and being fast tracked through the system until 2019 where he didn't perform well with the bat. The High leg kick and hands movement caught a lot more scrutiny after that. He lost the Covid year and then 2021 to injury. He only played a months worth of games at AAA in 2022 and then was injured again. There never was a large enough sample size for Lewis to gain his prospect status back and he also was getting older which knocks your status down as well. I think this is just a case where he was stuck with that one bad year and not enough time after that bad year to re-evaluate. IIRC most of those sources made caveats like "The swing can be changed over time for the better" or He still has a ton of talent but is not passing the eye test on the bat right now. He continued to rank high on boards but with no data to back him up for several years I can understand why he dropped and with the initial questions left unanswered why there was a lot more uncertainty about his future outcome. Royce Lewis never gave up on Royce Lewis and after a lot of adversity he is finally seeing all the hard work he put in pay off. Happy to see him playing well. The Twins need a star player and hopefully he is one of many on the way.
  14. Dman
    I too thought the 6th was early to pack it in but upon reflection this is Cleveland's last gasp. With that game lost they absolutely need at least one to have the tie breaker over the Twins and would love to win the last two as it essentially gets them an extra game closer because a tie would go to Cleveland because they will have won the series. I don't think this is something that would happen earlier in the season at least in the 6th inning if it weren't that he needs his best arms for Tuesday and Wednesday. If they just win one of the next two it is like getting two games back and the closer they get to the Twins the greater chances of something bouncing there way. You hate to see a team give up on a game that early but given the stakes it makes sense to me. If the Twins really want this to be over they need to sweep the Guardians as they have the starting pitching and bullpen to compete even with the good teams it is just scoring runs that seems to be holding them back this year. The Twins have the upper hand regardless of outcomes but it would be nice to rest some arms and get guys ready for the playoffs. If Cleveland wins the next two things are going to get tight.
  15. Dman
    Really nice to see Salas have a 4 for 4 day. His bat and eye at the plate have been better since his return from the development league. Hopefully this is him turning a corner and he follows Miller upping his game at the plate. Rodriguez has really turned things on late as well and is second in the league in OPS. Ross and Rosario are tied for the lead in HR's and while Cossetti and McCusker don't qualify they both have .900 OPS's. Pitching has been great at High A and it seems like the Twins powerhouse team this year. The starters and pen have all been pretty solid all year and their record shows that. Helman with the game winning hit. He has had a tough start as he rounds back into game shape so nice to see him turn up clutch with the walk off win. Fun week for the affiliates and surprisingly Wichita is still in the hunt for second half playoff spot. Guys just seem to come through as needed and hopefully they get their season record back to .500. That would be an incredible accomplishment considering where they were at the half way point.
  16. Dman
    Stevenson has good righty lefty splits so I wonder if MAT ends up on the 15 day IL to rest the hamstring while they give Stevenson a shot? His speed will be nice to have and he seems like a decent contact hitter. Will be interesting to see how he does earning his way back to MLB. Hopefully he can be a catalyst for the offense and defense.
  17. Dman
    No idea and I agree with you about replacing Gallo with Stevenson. I think Stevenson would have more value to the team with more offensive flexibility as he can steal bases and play elite defense. He also doesn't K as much so can at least put the ball in play and is really hard to double up. Why not add him a day earlier?
  18. Dman
    My thinking was they use Stevenson to give MAT some time off to heal this month but will be taking MAT on the post season roster not Stevenson.
  19. Dman
    I was wondering if he is sort of a MAT replacement if that hamstring really is an issue? If that is the case Martin seems like the better choice but I guess I have no idea what they are thinking with this move.
  20. Dman
    Yeah not sure I understand that either. I assume he is there to use his speed as a weapon, He has stolen 44 bases at AAA and I can't tell you how many times players have rushed throws to 1st that ended in him getting on base via an error. I assume they are picking him because he is expendable? If they lose him it would be easy come easy go. He puts the ball in play if they do play him with only a 20% K rate. His walk rate could be better but in general he is an aggressive batter. Has some power too with a .500 slugging percentage. Not a great arm but can run down anything in the air. It seems like a solid move to me but if he performs well why not give him a chance to be on the playoff roster?
  21. Dman
    Supposedly Ohl doesn't even have a plus pitch but does appear to have plus control and command. I really do love his attacking style, but I kind of thought that with so few walks and tougher hitters at the higher levels that he would struggle. It looks like I am going to be wrong. We might have another Brad Radke type pitcher in Ohl. Nice to see the long shot make it to number one. I am sure lot's of hard work has gone into getting him this far. Hoping it translates all the way up to MLB. It is nice to see this list and dream on some more good to great arms to reinforce what we have. Just need to keep those arms healthy.
  22. Dman
    Keirsey hasn't missed a beat at AAA since his promotion. I am inclined to believe the bat is for real. I know a .900 OPS at that level doesn't mean too much these days as it takes 1.000 OPS or higher to stand out but a center field bat he looks real good IMO. When Culpepper is on he is one tough pitcher. Still needs more consistency start to start but he sure looks like he could be something special. Olivar, Jenkins and De Andrade continue to drive the offense for the Muscles. All seem to have hot bats coming down the stretch. All three look like they will get promotions if not for the playoffs then next year for sure.
  23. Dman
    Technically this whole thing is unprecedented so I don't think there will be rule changes. I think 40 man spots are supposed to be the limiting factor in claiming too many players off of waivers. The Guardians also have to find three 40 man spots for those guys so they might lose some young talent with years of control just for taking a shot at the division. Probably low hanging fruit on their end but given how well they produce pitching maybe not. I just don't see them changing the rule but who knows maybe after this they will. Edit just saw they gave up nothing on the 40 man. Oh well all they did was get a lot better.
  24. Dman
    I wonder who Cleveland is dumping of the 40 man?
  25. Dman
    As a fan it would be hard to make through 9 years of literally no hope baseball. The Twins had about a 5 year spell of that and when your team it is out of it after the first month or two it becomes hard to care at all. 9 years of that would erode the fanbase for sure. Still that one glorious season where it all goes your way and your team gets to be the best team in baseball. There is no greater feeling as a fan than the bragging rights of a world series title. I guess this article just proves how hope is such a powerful force. Just being "in" it goes a long way with sports fans. I guess if it is hope that feeds your passion then just winning seasons and being in the hunt would be better. If cold hard titles and bragging rights are what you cheer for then yeah, you take the bad years and then the title. I would like to see the Twins win one more Series so I would take those bad years to get a title but I am also a fan of the team so would be fine either way. I am just going to watch and complain and cheer and hope no matter what.
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