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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    Bloom came into a no win situation with needing to trade Betts. He got a near certain starter in Verdugo who was a top 100 prospect as well I believe. Verdugo didn't pan out as well as hoped but it seemed like a solid cornerstone player at the time. I do agree with the OP he should have gotten pitching in that deal. Deciding no on Graterol was understandable especially in hindsight as he is a reliever now, but it was a mistake not to get young pitching there from the Dodgers. TBH where else did he have to go but LA that was interested in giving up much for Betts? He pretty much had take it or leave it deals from Freidman I would imagine. So that was a tough first start and in hindsight he didn't get much to help the team. Given their pitching issues I never did understand why they didn't try to keep guys or bring in more starting pitching help unless to stay away from the penalties and if that was the case then hard to fault him for cleaning up the mess Dombrowski left him with. Still I think there were better moves he could have made and I never came away impressed with how he handles things in Boston. On the positive side he did build up the farm but will end up missing out on all the draft and development that happened in his time there. Mayer might be ready late 2024 and Teal looks like a fast mover and they have lots of other young guys that look like they could be difference makers. I think they will be a team on the rise in 2025 with cash to spend and young guys to fill in the gaps but he isn't going to get the time to reap those rewards. Maybe they just needed someone to blame to help get them out from under all the penalties and Dombrowski go for broke trades. In that sense he helped immensely, but I can't say I blame the Red Sox leadership as he just didn't seem to make great moves IMO.
  2. Dman
    You have me tuning into these now. They are very good and just the kind of content I am looking for though I know I am a niche fan. I am not a huge Cubs fan and while I live in Wisconsin and follow the Brewers I am not a true Brewers fan but more of a peripheral fan. So while I like prospect talk those sections don't interest me quite as much though I might come around on that in time. This is a long way of saying I like that you mark out the time spent on the various sections so that if I want to skip something I can. Really enjoyed the guest you had in Episode 4 and I just like hearing opinions on prospects in general both good and bad, Loved the update on Prielipp and have to say I agree. I think you guys are onto something pretty cool so I hope you keep it up or find enough support to keep it up. I appreciate the content.
  3. Dman
    No one in Minnesota liked losing Arraez and his bat was sorely missed the beginning of this season, but the team had a glut of players to plug into his position and had a great need for top of the rotation starters. The Twins needed a Pablo type pitcher even more than keeping around one of the best hitters in the game which sounds crazy as I write this, but given Julien's OPS is currently .842 and Arraez is at .842 it sounds less crazy. They get there in different ways but the production is close enough to cover for the lose of Arraez at least in IMO. Don't like OPS then Julien's WRc+ is 135 and Arreaz 128. Like War better Julien is at 2.3 and Arraez is at 3.1. Pretty much anyway you slice it they are close enough and we didn't have anyone close to the level that Lopez is at. Did I want the Twins to trade Arraez, No. Do I think they made the right move Yes I do.
  4. Dman
    I know that pure stat's wise it looks like Lewis will get Twins MiLB pitcher of the year but man I really love what Ohl is doing. He makes batters work to get on base and it looks like he has found ways to make it tougher to square his stuff up as he is always in the zone so the batter almost has to swing and his WHIP is still at about 1.00 for the year. He is not in the top 30 and I know he supposedly doesn't have an elite pitch and his fastball isn't fast enough but his results are crazy good. I thought as he moved up his stuff would back up, but it looks like I am going to be wrong. I didn't know Severino had Sano level power. If he didn't K quite so much he would be higher up on the prospect lists. He has a MLB bat, but is his eye at the plate good enough to handle MLB pitching? I guess we will find out soon enough as he looks like he will be added to the 40 man this fall. Nice to have a switch hitter with that kind of power as it makes for tough matchups for the other team. Lot's of great performances in the system this year. Sad to see the year coming to an end.
  5. Dman
    Yeah he goes through stretches like this all the time. I don't know if he tries too hard and over thinks instead of reacts or what the deal is, but when he is in a funk his bat cannot find the ball and it is generally ugly at bat after ugly at bat.. The Kernals had the league OPS leader up with the bases loaded in the 9th. He was the dream player to be up in that situation but mighty Casey did not get it done last night. On the bright side he will get other chances in the next game and hopefully he will be seeing the ball better. Home stadiums can cure a lot of ills and the Kernals have been good at home.
  6. Dman
    It is a tough situation. I can't see the Twins trading him with his value so low and I don't see how he is a future part of the team with Rodriguez getting closer and Wallner who seems to have passed him and who has more options. The Twins have Rosario not that far away and if Jenkins is a fast mover he might be a possibility in 2025. If they hang onto Kepler then it gets even tougher. I still think he is going to be a strong bat once he gets his shot. I don't know what the right answer is but they can't trade him for nothing and if they wait much longer than next year he might not fit at all. It is a tough spot to be in, but hopefully this FO can make it work one way or the other.
  7. Dman
    If you like to follow the draft at all you have to watch this show. Guest was so knowledgeable and fun to listen to. Was a real treat. Thanks Jeremy and Jamie for an awesome show!
  8. Dman
    I go back and forth on whether to keep him or trade him, but I have the team picking up his option no matter what. When healthy I don't think we have a better 2nd baseman on the team. Still he is getting older and his trade value is likely the highest it will be this off season. The Twins have a glut of utility infield type players even beyond Lee so they can easily backfill if they move on. However, the team is in compete now mode so making room for him probably makes more sense than trading him, Unless of course there is an offer for pitching help that is too good to pass up.
  9. Dman
    He has been a pretty consistent pitcher all the way up through the minors. The only thing holding him back was his lower velocity fastball. Still he rarely gave up HR's in the minors and that skill bodes well for making it in the majors. Yeah he got crushed in a high leverage situation where he was struggling with command sometimes that happens but I think he could be the reliable lefty we need. Working on that fastball might be key though. Maybe Thielbar can help him some there.
  10. Dman
    Jenkins is good at making contact. I don't think I have seen a bat like him since maybe Joe Mauer (another tough guy to strike out). Agree the sample size is too small to gain much insight and there are a lot of challenges ahead, but he is off to a really good start and those are hard to come by for 18 year old's in their first year. Really happy to see him doing so well and hope he becomes a star player in time.
  11. Dman
    Not sure I have the faith you do in Miranda but can't say I disagree all that much. He was good at the plate once before and should be good again. Donnie Barrels is old and limited defensively, but I am not sure what the Twins will do there. Not a ton of space on the 40 man and they need these younger players to build value so you could be right. I should have clarified that I meant Celestino and and Martin are almost identical hitters. They walk about as much as they K. Both are good at getting the bat to the ball and both aren't really known for their power. Both players most likely position is center field but yes Martin could play the infield if needed as well so he does one up Celestino for position flexibility and Martin has all three option years left. They might not "need" to trade Celestino but they also don't need two of the same type of player on the 40 man. Not sure if I would go with a DFA but if there is no trade interest at all from other teams then I guess that says all that needs to be said about his value.
  12. Dman
    I have the Twins trading or trying to trade Farmer after the season. They have Lewis who can handle short in a pinch and Castro with Lee likely on the way and all three can bat righty if needed. I think all three can likely match Farmer's .700 OPS. With Martin, Severino, Rodriguez and Carmargo likely adds to the 40 man I just don't see room. Also Martin and Celestino are almost identical players can they afford to have both on the 40 man? Martin would have a full three option years left, appears to have more power and runs as well as Celestino. Moving Celestino would make sense as well if you ask me. I don't know what they do with Solano. He is a clutch right handed bat and would be hard to replace. How long he can keep this up is hard to say but since he doesn't need to play every day maybe the Twins can keep him fresh if they can hang onto him.
  13. Dman
    I have the Twins trading Farmer after this season. They have Correa for short and Lewis can spell him as well as Castro. Castro is also a versatile defender who can play anywhere and they will likely need room for Lee at some point next year and Lee can play short as well. Farmer looks redundant in too many ways to me and his .700 OPS seems easily replaced. He is a favorite of mine but I don't see a spot for him with the Twins likely needing to add Severino and then later Lee. It is going to be hard for Miranda to build his value up but dominating AAA like he did before would be a good start. From there maybe the Twins can get him some games at 1st or DH and see how he does again but it will take some time for him to prove that he belongs again.
  14. Dman
    I agree with others that he needs to build his value back up before trading him. I also agree with the OP that there really isn't room for him on this team anymore. He won't be a plus defender anywhere and maybe not even an average one. He doesn't have great plate discipline to fall back on. The Twins have far more athletic players to put in the spots Miranda would be in. Things could change if he hits well at St Paul next year but I think given this Twins team the best case scenario would be for Miranda to get traded to a rebuilding team that can play him a full season and I think he blossoms in time. I still think he will be a dangerous hitter once he figures things out but I also think that is going to take time and he seems unlikely to fit on this Twins team. It looks like 1st base or DH to me so he will need to show the same hit tool or better at AAA to get his next chance.
  15. Dman
    I love the optimism, but Cleveland isn't all that far behind the Twins and we found out this year the Tigers look like a pretty balanced team and their farm is on the rise. The White Sox still have talent but do appear to be on the down side depth wise. KC does have a ways to go. The Twins system does lacks elite pitching and the cost to acquire arms is high looking at the Gray and Lopez trades. They might have good bats to trade though as the farm and team is looking good in that regard. They can still find arms in Free Agency as well. Still with a volatile pen and not a lot of ready arms on the farm there are weaknesses for the Twins as well. Yes if things break right the Twins could dominate but baseball is a fickle game. Injuries can change things in a hurry. There is a lot to like for the future, but I don't think it is going to be as easy as this article makes it out to be.
  16. Dman
    Yeah if they have that kind of precision they should make home plate a little larger or the zone larger. Once everyone gets used to it it will be OK. But having it so tight seems really hard for pitchers.
  17. Dman
    Rosario hit a home run for the magic number 20th time this year and leads the league in HR's and he is 3 to 4 years younger than most of those guys at the top except for his teammates Ross and Rodriguez. He still strikes out too much but his walk rate is very good and his power is legit. This could be the right handed bat the Twins have been waiting for. FWIW all three Kernel's as of today would lead the Midwest league in OPS. For as much crap as I give Rodriguez for some really ugly plate appearances and not getting to that .900 OPS mark, he is one of the youngest hitters in the league and leads the league in OPS. He is going to be a really good player in time. I think expectations might be skewed because of how he dominated for half the year last year.
  18. Dman
    Lewis was happily at the top of most boards and being fast tracked through the system until 2019 where he didn't perform well with the bat. The High leg kick and hands movement caught a lot more scrutiny after that. He lost the Covid year and then 2021 to injury. He only played a months worth of games at AAA in 2022 and then was injured again. There never was a large enough sample size for Lewis to gain his prospect status back and he also was getting older which knocks your status down as well. I think this is just a case where he was stuck with that one bad year and not enough time after that bad year to re-evaluate. IIRC most of those sources made caveats like "The swing can be changed over time for the better" or He still has a ton of talent but is not passing the eye test on the bat right now. He continued to rank high on boards but with no data to back him up for several years I can understand why he dropped and with the initial questions left unanswered why there was a lot more uncertainty about his future outcome. Royce Lewis never gave up on Royce Lewis and after a lot of adversity he is finally seeing all the hard work he put in pay off. Happy to see him playing well. The Twins need a star player and hopefully he is one of many on the way.
  19. Dman
    I too thought the 6th was early to pack it in but upon reflection this is Cleveland's last gasp. With that game lost they absolutely need at least one to have the tie breaker over the Twins and would love to win the last two as it essentially gets them an extra game closer because a tie would go to Cleveland because they will have won the series. I don't think this is something that would happen earlier in the season at least in the 6th inning if it weren't that he needs his best arms for Tuesday and Wednesday. If they just win one of the next two it is like getting two games back and the closer they get to the Twins the greater chances of something bouncing there way. You hate to see a team give up on a game that early but given the stakes it makes sense to me. If the Twins really want this to be over they need to sweep the Guardians as they have the starting pitching and bullpen to compete even with the good teams it is just scoring runs that seems to be holding them back this year. The Twins have the upper hand regardless of outcomes but it would be nice to rest some arms and get guys ready for the playoffs. If Cleveland wins the next two things are going to get tight.
  20. Dman
    Really nice to see Salas have a 4 for 4 day. His bat and eye at the plate have been better since his return from the development league. Hopefully this is him turning a corner and he follows Miller upping his game at the plate. Rodriguez has really turned things on late as well and is second in the league in OPS. Ross and Rosario are tied for the lead in HR's and while Cossetti and McCusker don't qualify they both have .900 OPS's. Pitching has been great at High A and it seems like the Twins powerhouse team this year. The starters and pen have all been pretty solid all year and their record shows that. Helman with the game winning hit. He has had a tough start as he rounds back into game shape so nice to see him turn up clutch with the walk off win. Fun week for the affiliates and surprisingly Wichita is still in the hunt for second half playoff spot. Guys just seem to come through as needed and hopefully they get their season record back to .500. That would be an incredible accomplishment considering where they were at the half way point.
  21. Dman
    Stevenson has good righty lefty splits so I wonder if MAT ends up on the 15 day IL to rest the hamstring while they give Stevenson a shot? His speed will be nice to have and he seems like a decent contact hitter. Will be interesting to see how he does earning his way back to MLB. Hopefully he can be a catalyst for the offense and defense.
  22. Dman
    No idea and I agree with you about replacing Gallo with Stevenson. I think Stevenson would have more value to the team with more offensive flexibility as he can steal bases and play elite defense. He also doesn't K as much so can at least put the ball in play and is really hard to double up. Why not add him a day earlier?
  23. Dman
    My thinking was they use Stevenson to give MAT some time off to heal this month but will be taking MAT on the post season roster not Stevenson.
  24. Dman
    I was wondering if he is sort of a MAT replacement if that hamstring really is an issue? If that is the case Martin seems like the better choice but I guess I have no idea what they are thinking with this move.
  25. Dman
    Yeah not sure I understand that either. I assume he is there to use his speed as a weapon, He has stolen 44 bases at AAA and I can't tell you how many times players have rushed throws to 1st that ended in him getting on base via an error. I assume they are picking him because he is expendable? If they lose him it would be easy come easy go. He puts the ball in play if they do play him with only a 20% K rate. His walk rate could be better but in general he is an aggressive batter. Has some power too with a .500 slugging percentage. Not a great arm but can run down anything in the air. It seems like a solid move to me but if he performs well why not give him a chance to be on the playoff roster?
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