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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Again, we agree! This team struggled for long stretches when the lineup was homogeneous. It was just too easy for opposing pitchers when the lineup could all be approached the same way. the lineup really clicked when Gallo and Buxton were benched in favor of Julien, while also a 3 true outcomes hitter, took a different approach to get there
  2. I agree with this, and wonder if his potential to already be injured at the time of the trade, was the reason why he was so cheap? did the Twins see something in Mahle’s medicals to reduce the trade cost?
  3. The Twins traded Dave Hollins to the Mariners in exchange for Big Papi. That worked out pretty well!
  4. Gogo Gomez and Philip Humber netted 0.6 fWAR for the Twins. Johan netted 5.2 fWAR in his first year with the Mets. He signed an extension though… if you count his whole tenure 13.9 fWAR
  5. Hopefully you purchased in 1997
  6. Edit: Ninja’d! Amazon pays $1b per year for 17 NFL games per year and didn’t raise the rates for prime. It’s been at the $120 per year annual rate for several years prior to its NFL deal. Amazon uses the streaming service as a loss leader to keep the subscribers buying stuff online. the Twins last broadcast deal was $54m per year, if Amazon paid that per team for all 30 teams it would be $1.6b. Likely a deal to stream every mlb game might be more than that because the Yankees and Dodgers (and some others) would be worth more… but $2b or 3, isn’t exactly a killer when YTD operating income through q3 was in excess of $22b sports are great for advertising because it’s live, it’s also great for subscriber retention because fans are loyal
  7. You buried the lede… this is in response to a Parker Hageman Tweet “launching sloppy taters”
  8. Economically speaking, more experience would help you be more productive at you work, no? 20+ years into my supply chain management career, and I’m far more productive than the youngsters. the difficulty with comparing an administrative job to pro athletes is my job doesn’t require the reflexes, strength, and hand-eye coordination that theirs do. Those skills have a different productivity over experience curve. MLB isn’t a free market, and this discussion will likely get too deep in the weeds quick, but shouldn’t pay peak when the production does?
  9. it’s not supposed to be equitable, it’s supposed to a merit bonus for pre-arb players
  10. You do… I also believe you put up more realistic trade proposals than Cole Sands for Whit Merrifield and George Springer
  11. A decade of 40 man roster spots netted 7 players developed, one of which was great, a couple were good, 4 of which were fodder for other teams, out of 400 roster spots and zero free agent spending. 1.7% isn’t technically zero, but it’s effectively zero
  12. In other news, my sources tell me “water is wet”. Shocking turn of events indeed
  13. William Safire was a white house speech writer. If we’re getting this far down the technicality rabbit hole in early December, I shudder to think what we’ll be like come Winter Meltdown
  14. This is where I’m at too. Vázquez is a miss, but a small one. Dobnak is couch cushion money. Correa still provided 1.4 WAR with plantar fasciitis and there’s no reason to believe he’s unraveling health wise. Buxton to me is the only real miss, but is that really a miss? He signed a low base, high incentive contract because of his injury history. If he had a strong health history, that contract would have been much closer to Correa territory, and that would have colored the forward look on Buxton’s contract much more unfavorable. i think what we learned from the article is the Twins haven’t made many mistakes
  15. It needs to be a cross stitch courtesy of flosscross.com
  16. Agreed, I have no idea either. That’s why cost is so hard to discuss like this.
  17. A 30 share of 5 nights a week for 27 weeks, plus 1 day per week for 27 weeks. That’s lotta eyeballs. No matter what, their revenue isn’t dropping $50m, and they know it.
  18. Broadcast TV would still pay the Twins to broadcast the games. The owners of Judge Judy get paid to air the program in syndicate. the question is what’s the Twins worth to whatever Tv station that wants to air them. Half the difference should be the payroll difference (up or down)
  19. The Twins already produce the broadcast, that’s not new cost. The MLB already distributes via streaming, that’s not entirely new cost. I admit, there might be some new distribution cost… but I don’t think new costs are very high. We don’t know the costs in the model, but Bally/Diamond only shouldered the cost of distribution in a cable tv network, and MLB shouldered the streaming distribution cost. No cable, no cable cost. Yes cable/broadcast, then there’s something, but wouldn’t you have a distribution partner for that who gets a cut? I guess I don’t really care what Bally’s costs were.
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