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Chembry

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Everything posted by Chembry

  1. Chembry
    Bradley had a sub 4 ERA through May of this year. He had about 4 not so great outings in June/July. We also have Marco Raya and Andrew Morris at AAA that could be included on the list, but may want to see what they have as starters before we move them to the bullpen. The track record of converting fringe starters to high leverage bullpen arms is well known in the Twins organization as well as others. Raya may be a good candidate for a bullpen arm. He doesn't have great overall numbers at AAA, but had several good starts in a row. Time will tell, but I hope we convert a couple of these guys to bullpen arms. Could shore up the bullpen faster while taking advantage of our SP depth.
  2. Chembry
    Most would agree where you are coming from on Outman. We don't need another LH outfielder, but he is very good defensively and a backup option for Buxton. Yes, we probably could have gotten May back in return, but he is purely a rental and an unrestricted FA at the end of the year. Bobby Miller had a decent 2023, but an ERA of over 8 in 2024 (13 games) and over 12 this year (limited sample size at 2 games). Not sure I would want either of those in place of Outman, unless we could extend Dustin May, which I am not sure we would with all the SP we have. Personally, I would have liked to see if we could get River Ryan, but not sure that's possible since he is out the remainder of the year with TJ surgery. He is their #9 prospect and started 4 games in 2024 with a 1-0 record posting a 1.33 ERA before injury. He was sitting at 96-98 with his fastball topping out over 100 with a repertoire of plus secondary pitches. I agree that Ryan may be on the block this winter, especially if Abel and Bradley come up and show promise. I think most of us would agree that we would rather keep him and extend if we can. However, it has since come out that the potential deal at the deadline centered around Duran or Abreu. Those talks may heat up in the offseason. If we can get Duran and Casas for Ryan, my thinking is we do it and run. Duran is the type of player you want, so if we can get him, we should do everything in our power to do it.
  3. Chembry
    Curious if anyone saw this play from Houston:
  4. Chembry
    Since the deadline, it has come out that: 1. Jax requested the trade 2. Twins asked for Christian Walker in return for Correa, but Houston said no. A few thoughts. I am actually ok trading Jax. I am in the minority, but I do think Taj Bradley has a bigger upside if he can become more consistent with his mechanics. I do think the Twins take some of this starting pitcher depth (Raya, Zebby, Festa, Bradley, Morris) and move a few of them into high leverage reliever/closer roles. There are several examples of this transition (Duran, Jax, Varland, Perkins, Mason Miller, etc...). Personally I really like the thought of moving Zebby into the closer role. He has the fire you want as a closer, great secondary pitches, and could really air it out. Whether it happens or not is a different story, If the Astros would have agreed to Christian Walker, my guess is that both Varland and Jax would still be here. Nevertheless, here we are. I don't think our everyday lineup is any worse. In fact, when Buxton and Keaschall come back, I think our lineup will be better than before the deadline. Obviously the question is still the bullpen. In my opinion, we should save our best bull pen arm to close out games, right now that is Sands. Maybe the bullpen transition of Raya should start now? He doesn't have great overall numbers as a starter in AAA, but has several good starts in a row and does have very good stuff.
  5. Chembry
    According to the Saints roster, Outman hasn't reported yet. My guess is that's why he wasn't called up.
  6. Chembry
    Agree, was taking a shot because he has MLB experience. Edit: I also thought he was still on the 40-man, but he isn't so that is definitely a no go.
  7. Chembry
    I will take a stab: Position players: Outman, Roden, Keaschall, Martin, Julien, and Bride Pitchers: Ober...Beyond that, no clue...
  8. Chembry
    Just saw that the Astros wanted the Twins to cover $50 million of his remaining salary plus throw in an outfielder
  9. Chembry
    This is probably dead with Houston's acquisition of Urias, at least for now. I don't think anyone would be surprised if something happens with Houston in the offseason now knowing Correa would waive his NTC to go back to Houston. That is of course pending new ownership/front office that is still willing to make that move and their desire to sign free agents.
  10. Chembry
    Even if Tanner Scott netted 3 of the Padres top 5 prospect, one of those prospects was #44 overall, and he was purely a rental. Both Jax and Duran have 2 years of team control beyond this year, so that is a big bargaining chip on top of their status as relievers. I am not arguing with you, I am trying to understand why you don't think we get that. I do understand, it's a big price and I do understand that relievers can be volatile, but historical transactions (i.e, Scott transaction) show it may not be out of the realm of possibility.
  11. Chembry
    Did you mean Quero? Quero would be ok, but not my first choice. I don't think he the same type of hitter Rushing is, but is a better defensive catcher. The other guy they could target would be Ballesteros in the Cubs organization, but that would probably require at least Jax or Duran (one of the two) plus at least Bader or Castro. There is no way the Brewers would trade Jackson Churio.
  12. Chembry
    I was reading some comments from Red Sox fans on a different proposal involving Ryan. This was a Joe Ryan for Jarren Duran trade that involved some other prospects. Some fans vigorously disagreed with the proposal saying Joe Ryan is an average #3 starter at best while Duran is one of the best OF in the game. They continued to state that Joe Ryan is inflating his value this year and will regress back to normal next year. A few came to point out that Ryan has been pitching this way for a few years and this is not an aberration. A few others pointed out that Duran's value is also inflated after his year last year. I agree with your statements on what the Twins should get in return should they trade Ryan/Jax/Duran.
  13. Chembry
    This is a best case scenario. Rushing fills a significant need. He can play C/1B, but his playing time is limited in LA behind Smith and Freeman. Between AA/AAA last year he hit .271/ 26 HR/ .896 OPS. I don't like giving the Dodgers any help, but that is who the Twins should target. We may be even able to swindle Jax for Rushing straight up, but if we have to add someone else, the Twins need to consider that.
  14. Chembry
    Personally I like that trade for Jax. However, that is probably a no deal from the Red Sox perspective. Jarren Duran has much higher value as an everyday starter and under team control through 2028. MLB trade rumors had a podcast where one of their own suggested a Duran for Duran trade. It was a unanimous sentiment that the Twins would need to offer more than Jhoan Duran for Jarren Duran. Adding Tolle in there is a bonus, but maybe they would overpay? If the Red Sox agree to your trade, we need to jump on that right away
  15. Chembry
    There are quite a few on other forums that are very loud and almost demand Buxton to be traded. The point most are making is that his trade value has never been higher and he can't keep up this level of performance. I have seen several in the past month still saying Buxton should be traded. A Buxton type of talent doesn't come around that often and he has historically outplayed his contract value. This is a direct quote from a Twins daily article in 2024: "Last season, Buxton struggled through his knee injury, attempting to provide the Twins with value from the DH spot. FanGraphs pegged him as being worth $5 million. In 2024, he has already been worth $14.1 million, and the season is only a little over half over. Minnesota has paid him $51 million to this point in his career, and Buxton has provided the Twins with nearly $163 million in total value. Buxton is living up to his contract, even if his performance declines in the second half. There are limits to what a team can get with $15 million per season on the market these days, and the Twins can get plenty of excess value when Buxton is playing at his current level." Let's all sit back and enjoy what we are seeing this year.
  16. Chembry
    I agree on Wallner. I really like what he brings to the table in terms of offensive capabilities. He was in the top echelon of RF's last two years. I was throwing the trade out as an idea because of his tremendous upside and our log jam of corner OF's. I also agree that Clemons has been a more valuable hitter than France this year. However, that doesn't account for defense. Ty is much better defensively. That is why I had them splitting time at 1st.
  17. Chembry
    Put me also in the ride it out camp. Royce is the type of talent that can carry a team. Yes, he is having a bad year, but I still don't believe he is fully healthy either. In the past few games you can see him grabbing at that hamstring and stretching it out at the plate. He does this weird front side flying open then clutching at his left hamstring. The bigger problem is Wallner. He has a huge upside, but can't seem to put it together. Seems to have taken a few steps back at both the plate and in the field. Personally, I think we need to send him down or trade him. Not sure we would get a ton in return, but we do have log jam of corner OF (still have ERod, Jenkins, and McCusker). I know ERod left the game Saturday with another injury, but may be time to see what McCusker can do at the MLB level. Personally I think our best lineup is Bader (LF), Buxton (CF), Castro (RF), Royce (3B), C4 (SS), Lee (2B), France or Clemmons (1B), Jeffers (C), and Larnach (DH).
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