Chembry
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Everything posted by Chembry
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He hasn't pitched since the 2024 playoffs and just underwent another surgery, this time it's back surgery. Even in 2024, he only pitched 7.1 innings. He has pitched well but, just can't stay on the field. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/06/brusdar-graterol-back-surgery-dodgers.html
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- minor league reports
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Prospect Panic Meter: Emmanuel Rodriguez
Chembry replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I can try to shed some light. A significant part of his profile is swing and miss. His K rates from 2021 - 2026 are: 36.6%, 26.1%, 29.4%, 29.6%, 31.8%, and 28.7% respectively. His in zone contact rate has always been suspect (21st percentile in 2026 at 76.4%, 11th percentile in 2025 at 73.1%, and 14th percentile in 2024). Emma is a passive hitter who doesn't chase and walks a ton (BB rates as high as 21%), but also has very low swing percentages (as low as the 8th percentile in AAA). All that is to say, he strikes out quite a bit because he is passive and gets behind in counts, but also walks a ton because he doesn't chase. One thing Emma does really well is when he makes contact, he hits the ball very hard, as evidenced from his barrel%, hard hit%, and exit velocities (see the graphics below). The walks and hard hits lead to those OPS numbers you quoted. However, Ks/swing and miss will be the determining factor if Emma can reach his ceiling. I have high hopes as I love watching him play. He is fun to watch. -
This was a mailbag question at MLBTR. Someone asked if there is any hope that Buxton will roam the outfield of Truist Park. Dierkes response was: Buxton, who has a full NTC and 10/5 rights, has been adamant about being a Twin for life and stated that publicly many times. Buxton did express frustration that the Twins themselves didn't shut down trade rumors. He went on to say that Buxton "may" listen on teams if Ryan and Jeffers are traded (this was written before Jeffers got hurt). Of course, Buxton would be a good fit for the Braves, but he would also help a myriad of other teams. The overall tone of Dierkes response is that it's highly unlikely Buxton moves anywhere. Dierkes didn't suggest any trades to any team. All MLBTR writers, within the past 6 months, have taken the stance that the likelihood of a Buxton trade is very small.
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Daiber De Los Santos apparently was suspended. Do we know why yet? He was off to a pretty nice start to the FCL season.
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- minor league report
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Not necessarily...UCL thumb injuries typically return to action in 8 weeks. That would put him back in action sometime around end of July. This study showed a mean return at 8 weeks with no meaningful differences in performance. However, that doesn't account if the Twins will call him up or not though so your statement may still be correct. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5757434/ Edit: https://www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/story/_/id/19513187/mlb-mike-trout-thumb-procedure-recovery-process This is another article showing Andrelton Simmons and Mike Trout undergoing UCL surgery in their thumb. It states a return to unrestricted baseball activities is possible within 4 weeks.
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Injury update on ERod is he tore the UCL in his thumb and is set for surgery this week. Initial MRI showed only a sprain due to swelling, but second MRI showed torn UCL.
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I was watching as well. He got hit flush by a 94mph fastball. I think a big reason he stayed in the game is he was only running, but the Saints only had 1 guy on the bench and that was David Banuelos. Hoping it's only a bruise but it sounded brutal.
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Astros (McCullers Jr) vs Twins (Matthew): 5/19/26, 6:40pm
Chembry replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Dan Hayes just reported that Lewis has been optioned to AAA -
Twins (Matthews) vs Marlins (TBD): 4/14/26, 12:40 pm CDT
Chembry replied to C-Gangster's topic in Archived Game Threads
As others have said no we won't face Miz. He pitched yesterday, but was removed while warming up for the 8th inning due to quad cramps. -
Former Twins. Where are They Now? 2026 Edition
Chembry replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I believe the Marlins are on the hook for most of his salary and the Reds will only have to pay a prorated league minimum salary. FWIW- The Reds rotation is banged up. Greene and Williamson are on the 60 day-IL. Lowder is on the 15-day IL. Singer will probably need an IL stint. Their in-house options (Petty, Franco, and Aguiar) are all getting beat up at AAA.- 210 replies
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Former Twins. Where are They Now? 2026 Edition
Chembry replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Liam Hendrichs signed a minor league deal with the Cubs: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/05/cubs-sign-liam-hendriks.html Chris Paddack to Reds: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/05/reds-to-sign-chris-paddack.html- 210 replies
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Lou Trivino and Tom Kahnle are available now to help the bullpen
Chembry replied to darin617's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Lou Trivino signed with the Orioles yesterday and pitched for them last night. His line was 0.2IP, 6ER, 4H, 3BB, 0K. Rough first outing with them... -
TOS describes a wide range of nerve related conditions. Wheeler required surgery for TOS. Festa's TOS was on the "milder end" and thought it could be treated with Botox injections. However, it was reported earlier this year that the shoulder issue he is currently facing is different than TOS. Only time will tell.
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When will we start seeing changed to MLB Roster?
Chembry replied to jaimedude's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I am not sure it was reported here, but Festa suffered another setback. He reported more shoulder discomfort after facing live hitters Saturday. This really isn't good news for him and his hopes for the 2026 season. -
Jeff Passan sits down with John Schneider and Dave Roberts to discuss the 2025 World Series. If you are interested, I would suggest listening to this, it's fantastic. One thing that John Schneider said was during the 18 inning game 3 marathon, they intentionally walked Ohtani 4 times. It was partly due to the Jays not wanting Ohtani to beat them with his bat in extra innings, but also they wanted to tire him out because he was pitching the next day...and Roberts confirmed that it worked. Even after IVs etc..., Ohtani was still cramping up. I love the games within the games. Edit: Louie Varland gets wonderful compliments from both Schneider and Roberts.
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Giolito had a decent year last year. He started 26g and finished with 145 IP, 3.41 ERA, 4.17 FIP, 1.29 WHIP, 9% BB rate, 20% K rate. He turned down his $19M mutual option for 2026. He was thinking he would get a longer deal or more money. Obviously, that hasn't turned out to be the case. MLBTR wrote an article on him. He is quoted saying "I just want to play for close to what my value is"...That would lead you to believe the reason he hasn't signed is because he thinks he is worth more than his $19M option and no team wanted to pay that. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/04/lucas-giolito-throwing-roughly-75-pitches-in-side-sessions.html
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It's not a Twins issue, it's a systemic issue that traces all the way back to high school aged pitchers. High School aged pitchers are chasing velocity to get college offers. College pitchers are chasing velocity because stuff and velocity drive projections, which drives draft selection. This isn't speculation either. In 2014, 5 high school aged pitchers threw 95 or harder at the Perfect Game Showcase. In 2024, that number rose to 36. Ulnar collateral ligament (UCL) reconstruction surgeries in the major leagues jumped from 21 in 2010 to 46 in 2024. Minor league numbers paint an even bleaker picture, as procedures surged from 83 in 2010 to 240 in 2024. To answer your question, yes it causes more strain on the elbow. Baseball America wrote an article back in February on this topic. A quote from an orthopedic surgeon in the article stated when asked what has changed "If you could take one factor, it’s velocity" It's a good read if you are interested in learning more. https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/is-velocity-really-the-culprit-behind-rising-baseball-injuries/
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I didn't see the game, but according to the box score he was moved to LF later in the game. Salas was moved form LF to 1B. I don't know why though.
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- connor prielipp
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If you have Netflix, it's a great series to watch. It's called The Clubhouse: A Year With the Red Sox. In the series, you really get a deep dive into several of the Red Sox players, Jarren Duran and Triston Casas being two of the more prominently featured players. It was filmed during the 2024 season
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Baseball America published it's mock draft 2.0 yesterday. They still have Emerson at #2 and have the Twins taking Vaugh Lackey at #3. Lombard at #4 and Flora at #5. What surprised me is that Justin Lebron dropped down to #14. https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2026-mlb-mock-draft-2-0-updated-first-round-picks-for-every-team/
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We all agree that Houston struggled in high A. Just my opinion, but I do think those struggles were overblown. I don't want to speculate as to why he struggled because it doesn't really matter, but I do hope he continues to make contact and follows a similar path as Culpepper. Just one point of clarification, Houston cut his K rate to 15.7% at Cedar Rapids. 8 Ks in 51 PA. He was at 22% in Fort Myers (13 Ks in 59 PA)
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- minor league report
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Ranking 2026 Twins Top Prospects By Best Hit Tool
Chembry replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Yes, Culpepper struggled at A+ the year before. I am sure both Houston and Culpepper struggled with endurance which played a significant role in their struggles toward the end of the year after playing a full college season, then jumping into professional baseball. Yes, Houston has a history of contact and zone recognition. Even with his struggles at A+, his K rate was low and contact rate was good. Hope he takes the same step forward that Culpepper did.- 27 replies
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For those wondering, Gabby Gonzalez has seen some game action at 1B in minor league spring training games. That is good news because we want Roden, Jenkins, Rodriguez, Gonzalez playing everyday and this also gives Gonzalez an additional path to MLB. I am higher on Roden and I think he can be an above average hitter (110-120 OPS+) and an above average COF, but I want him playing everyday. I don't want him in MLB as the 4th OF only playing 1-2x/week or a defensive replacement trying to get his foothold.
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