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Chembry

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Everything posted by Chembry

  1. Chembry
    Baseball America released their August in season update today. Marek Houston is now on their top 100 list at #90. Culpepper started at #74 in January and now up to #26 in this most recent update. The 5 Twins prospects are: Walker Jenkins (#10) Vaugh Lackey (#23) Kaelen Culpepper (#26) Emmanuel Rodriguez (#45) Marek Houston (#90) Prielipp was on the list but graduated in their July update. Not Twins related anymore, but Dasan Hill was up to #86 in the May update, but dropped off the list by July.
  2. Chembry
    Take this back...Jon Heyman just reported that the Padres are in on Larnach.
  3. Chembry
    Doubt Larnach gets traded now. Astros are getting Varsho.
  4. Chembry
    Fielding Bible had a different take on his defensive metrics. +13 DRS in 2025, +11 in 2024. Historically, he strikes out at a 23-26% rate, which is still below league average but not nearly the rate he has shown this year. His BB rate is also way up this year. My take on Neto is he is proven MLB shortstop with above average MLB production since his debut in 2023. He has put up 14.5 WAR in 3.5 seasons. Plus he is still only 25.
  5. Chembry
    He is +13 last year and +11 in 2024 in DRS by fielding bible. Baseball Savant has a different story in -8 OAA this year, -8 OAA last year, and -5 in OAA in 2024. The two metrics are calculated differently and honestly, I don't know which is better. Pretty sure I have heard Gleeman say he prefers fielding bible over baseball savant, but I could be misremembering
  6. Chembry
    Bob Nightengale said on Foul Territory that the Twins are trying to get Zach Neto...
  7. Chembry
    It appears as if you are correct. Cooper Ingle has been declared as "selected but inactive due to MLB callup".
  8. Chembry
    Cooper Ingle made his MLB debut on June 26th and is on the MLB Futures roster. He was the only one that I was aware of that has made his MLB debut and on the futures roster. Good for Culpepper though! I am excited to see him make his debut, hopefully sooner rather than later. He got hit pretty hard on the hand last night. Fingers crossed it doesn't result in an IL stint.
  9. Chembry
    It's pretty ridiculous that Alejandro Kirk made the final two catchers hitting .183 with a .547 OPS and only 17g played. And it wasn't even close for 3rd place...Kirk had 350,000 votes over Dingler (who deserves to go).
  10. Chembry
    No the Twins have kept him on the 15-day IL
  11. Chembry
    Marek Houston has been promoted to AA.
  12. Chembry
    Wrong Thread...
  13. Chembry
    I am going on Wednesday as well. Hopefully I am not the curse...We are 0-5 in in games that I have attended this year.
  14. Chembry
    Noah Miller hit .223/.309 OBP/.340.648 OPS at Cedar Rapids in 120g. Miller's career A+ numbers are .236/.321/.336/.657 OPS in 221g
  15. Chembry
    As many others, I think the Twins should trade Jeffers. Do we really think we can get Lombard, Elmer Rodriguez, or LaGrange for 2 months of Jeffers? I understand Jeffers will probably the best catcher available at the deadline, but I just don't think that's realistic... Lombard's prospect status is in the realm of Jenkins, not quite as high as Jenkins but similar. Would anyone trade Jenkins for a 2 month rental? I am sure the answer is no. We are really looking prospects in that #10 range in most systems. I am all for aiming high, but realistically if we can get 2 prospects, one in the 6-10 range in most systems, it would be a pretty good return.
  16. Chembry
    I posted a similar stat line (since the beginning of May) in the video post. Keaschall quietly had a good month of May.
  17. Chembry
    Keaschall quietly had a good May and start to June. Here is his stat line since May 1st: .281/.385/.359/.744/13.9% K-rate/11.4% BB rate/ 114 WRC+ He isn't hitting for much power (6 2Bs and 1 3B) and we really aren't expecting him to, but he has been getting on base lately. Personally, I would like to see more 2Bs, but as long as he gets on base he can create runs with his speed and base stealing ability. His .385 OBP in that timeframe puts him a 21st in MLB of all qualified hitters.
  18. Chembry
    Now all Twins fans can now rejoice that Outman is no longer on the 40-man…on the other hand he will likely go unclaimed and remain in the organization since he can’t reject an outright assignment, so we may see him again in the future.
  19. Chembry
    He hasn't pitched since the 2024 playoffs and just underwent another surgery, this time it's back surgery. Even in 2024, he only pitched 7.1 innings. He has pitched well but, just can't stay on the field. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/06/brusdar-graterol-back-surgery-dodgers.html
  20. Chembry
    I can try to shed some light. A significant part of his profile is swing and miss. His K rates from 2021 - 2026 are: 36.6%, 26.1%, 29.4%, 29.6%, 31.8%, and 28.7% respectively. His in zone contact rate has always been suspect (21st percentile in 2026 at 76.4%, 11th percentile in 2025 at 73.1%, and 14th percentile in 2024). Emma is a passive hitter who doesn't chase and walks a ton (BB rates as high as 21%), but also has very low swing percentages (as low as the 8th percentile in AAA). All that is to say, he strikes out quite a bit because he is passive and gets behind in counts, but also walks a ton because he doesn't chase. One thing Emma does really well is when he makes contact, he hits the ball very hard, as evidenced from his barrel%, hard hit%, and exit velocities (see the graphics below). The walks and hard hits lead to those OPS numbers you quoted. However, Ks/swing and miss will be the determining factor if Emma can reach his ceiling. I have high hopes as I love watching him play. He is fun to watch.
  21. Chembry
    This was a mailbag question at MLBTR. Someone asked if there is any hope that Buxton will roam the outfield of Truist Park. Dierkes response was: Buxton, who has a full NTC and 10/5 rights, has been adamant about being a Twin for life and stated that publicly many times. Buxton did express frustration that the Twins themselves didn't shut down trade rumors. He went on to say that Buxton "may" listen on teams if Ryan and Jeffers are traded (this was written before Jeffers got hurt). Of course, Buxton would be a good fit for the Braves, but he would also help a myriad of other teams. The overall tone of Dierkes response is that it's highly unlikely Buxton moves anywhere. Dierkes didn't suggest any trades to any team. All MLBTR writers, within the past 6 months, have taken the stance that the likelihood of a Buxton trade is very small.
  22. Chembry
    Daiber De Los Santos apparently was suspended. Do we know why yet? He was off to a pretty nice start to the FCL season.
  23. Chembry
    Not necessarily...UCL thumb injuries typically return to action in 8 weeks. That would put him back in action sometime around end of July. This study showed a mean return at 8 weeks with no meaningful differences in performance. However, that doesn't account if the Twins will call him up or not though so your statement may still be correct. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5757434/ Edit: https://www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/story/_/id/19513187/mlb-mike-trout-thumb-procedure-recovery-process This is another article showing Andrelton Simmons and Mike Trout undergoing UCL surgery in their thumb. It states a return to unrestricted baseball activities is possible within 4 weeks.
  24. Chembry
    Injury update on ERod is he tore the UCL in his thumb and is set for surgery this week. Initial MRI showed only a sprain due to swelling, but second MRI showed torn UCL.
  25. Chembry
    I was watching as well. He got hit flush by a 94mph fastball. I think a big reason he stayed in the game is he was only running, but the Saints only had 1 guy on the bench and that was David Banuelos. Hoping it's only a bruise but it sounded brutal.
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