Chembry
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Everything posted by Chembry
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BREAKING: Twins to Hire Derek Shelton as Manager for 2026
Chembry replied to knothole61's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Darren Wolfson reported Buxton likes Shelton and gave a “ringing endorsement”. He is a big fan of Shelton from their time together between 2018-2019. https://kstp.com/minnesota-sports/the-scoop-october-30/- 250 replies
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This has happened a few times in the past, as recently as last year. Zebby started 2024 in A ball and made his MLB debut in August 2024. Matt Garza made a similar ascent in 2006 (A to MLB). None of them had the same results Yesavage is having, but some have made a similar ascent.
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BREAKING: Twins to Hire Derek Shelton as Manager for 2026
Chembry replied to knothole61's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I don't want to nitpick because I don't think Shelton and Rocco are all that similar and I do agree with your statement. But, both Rocco and Shelton coached for TB under Maddon and Cash. They overlapped between 2011-2016 where Shelton was TB's hitting coach and Rocco held a few different positions.- 250 replies
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BREAKING: Twins to Hire Derek Shelton as Manager for 2026
Chembry replied to knothole61's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I thought this was an interesting interview: https://omny.fm/shows/rosters-to-rings/behind-the-plate-to-behind-the-lineup-derek-shelton This podcast was recorded right after the regular season ended and playoffs about to start. He talked about his mistakes in Pittsburgh and what he would do differently if given the chance to manage again.- 250 replies
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BREAKING: Twins to Hire Derek Shelton as Manager for 2026
Chembry replied to knothole61's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Exactly. I don’t think Shelton is a bad manager. By all accounts he is well respected and a good baseball guy. However, a different voice, not previously affiliated with the Twins would have been refreshing. I was hoping for Servais, but who knows if he even interviewed for the position. All that was reported was that the Twins were interested in him.- 250 replies
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Dan Hayes just reported that the Twins have narrowed the the list down to Derek Shelton, James Rowson, Ryan Flaherty, and Scott Servais.
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I saw the same thing. Don't know if there is any truth to it or not.
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What Will Minnesota Twins Do with Matt Wallner?
Chembry replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
What I am getting from most of the conversation here, is that fans expect a player to be traded or non-tendered if they have a down year. Is that correct? I am not particularly high on Wallner, but not necessarily down on him either...I think the vast majority of Wallner hate is unjustified and skewed on "what has he done for me lately" attitude based on 2025, ignoring the rest of his career. Here are his stats from 2022-2024: Season Age Team WAR G PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ 2022 24 MIN -0.3 18 65 57 13 3 0 2 10 6 25 0.228 0.323 0.386 0.709 103 2023 25 MIN 2.2 76 254 213 53 11 1 14 41 28 80 0.249 0.37 0.507 0.877 138 2024 26 MIN 2.2 75 261 220 57 17 1 13 37 24 95 0.259 0.372 0.523 0.894 149 Totals 4.1 169 580 490 123 31 2 29 88 58 200 0.251 0.312 0.500 0.866 140 10% BB 34% K Season Age Team WAR G PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ 2025 27 MIN 0.5 104 392 336 68 16 3 22 40 46 114 0.202 0.311 0.464 0.776 110 12% BB 29% K The stats show that over 2022-2024 Wallner was a well above average hitter. BABIP also took a big hit in 2025 going down from .361 to .228. Hard hit rate also reduced from 51.5% down to 45.5%. 2025 was a down year, no question, but that doesn't necessarily mean he can't return to pre-2025 form. And even though 2025 was a down year, he still played above replacement level. With that being said, Wallner should mostly DH. Defensively he has averaged -4 OAA since he came into the league. That also means ERod, Jenkins, etc... have stepped up and taken that role. There is no reason to trade or give up on him. Someone else mentioned Kyle Schwarber. I would put Wallner and Schwarber as similar architectural type of hitters. Power hitters that K at a significant rate. Schwarber has a career 34% K rate, but most here also value Schwarber very highly. Schwarber has had his ups and downs as well. He has two seasons where he hit below .200 (.197 and .188) and two others just above .200 (.211 and .218). I am not trying to compare the two, just pointing out that even highly regarded power hitters have up and down years. According to BBTV, Wallner has a trade value of 22.5 and Jared Jones has a BBTV of 19.5. Pretty close in value but would be considered a minor overpay by the Twins.- 101 replies
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The Latest On Minnesota Twins' Managerial Search
Chembry replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
MLBTR reported, by way of LaVelle, that the Twins are interested in Scott Servais. Off topic but also interesting…MLBTR also reported that Pujols and Hunter are out of consideration for the Angels position.- 73 replies
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The Middle Matters Most for Minnesota Twins in 2026
Chembry replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Marcelo Mayer has a significant injury history as well. There is no chance that the Red Sox part with Mayer if they can't bring Bregman back. If they do bring Bregman back, I somewhat agree with your comments, but the likelihood is higher. This trade has been floated by many sources, even into October. So it's not coming out of nowhere, but agree that the odds are very low: https://www.si.com/mlb/red-sox/boston-red-sox-news/red-sox-blockbuster-trade-idea-swaps-marcelo-mayer-for-twins-all-star-jackson3 https://www.newsweek.com/sports/mlb/red-sox-predicted-to-trade-marcelo-mayer-for-twins-all-star-10842973- 29 replies
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Arbitrary Thoughts: Bailey Ober
Chembry replied to Sherry Cerny's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Both Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober were named preseason dark horse Cy Young candidates by MLB. https://www.mlb.com/news/2025-mlb-cy-young-award-candidates- 28 replies
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I'm not as big on the Mets system as others here, but love all the comments. McLean would be interesting for sure, he definitely had a strong debut. I'm not as high on Jonah Tong. I don't know much about Benge or Williams. A trade of McLean and Vientos for Ryan could be interesting. As someone else pointed out, Vientos has played 1B at both the MLB level and in the minors, and would be under team control through 2029. However, as someone else pointed out, I would love to see other entries in this series. Particularly, Red Sox, Phillies, Cubs, and Giants.
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I have the same thought process on this topic. The question is who do they target in a trade? Would it be to fill a need at 1B/C/SS or just the best prospect they can get regardless of position? The reason I include SS is because Culpepper has some positional flexibility playing 3B in college and some 2B in the minors. My stance is we try to fill a position of need first with the best MLB ready prospect they can get. Whether that's Eldridge, Harry Ford, Moises Ballesteros, as well as others...
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Arbitrary Thoughts: Royce Lewis
Chembry replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Lol…it wasn’t me, it was a direct quote from the SI article. I should have been clearer on that. I was simply stating he hit better as the season went on. Do you disagree? Edit: I do understand your point about cherry picking dates and somewhat agree. I tend to compile and calculate my own stats. I was just too lazy this time and quoted the article. But to some extent, you have to pick dates to show a point. I don't know how the author decided on August 17th as the start date. However, the end date was defined by the date the article was published, which was September 23rd. Your point on OPS is well taken. However, the OPS quoted in the article (.791) is still well above league average of .719 for 2025. It would also put him at 54th place of all MLB hitters, above Spencer Torkelson, Gunnar Henderson, Brandon Lowe, Elly De La Cruz, Jarren Duran, Jose Altuve, PCA, Ian Happ, Trevor Story, Mookie Betts, etc... It did surprise me that Lewis only walked 10 times since August 1st and 25 times all year. His BB rate was 6.2%. https://www.si.com/mlb/twins/minnesota-twins-news/royce-lewis-admits-he-came-back-too-soon-from-hamstring-injury -
Arbitrary Thoughts: Royce Lewis
Chembry replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Spot on. Royce admitted in an SI article he came back too soon from the hamstring injuries. That along with the ACL tears have changed his lower body. As the season moved along, you could tell he started to feel more comfortable with his lower half. His feet still move quite a bit, but he is adjusting and hope he will be closer to the Royce we know he can be. His second half stats were much better. From Aug. 17 through Sept 23rd, he hit .270/.299/.492 with a team-best eight home runs and 24 RBIs in 127 plate appearances. I was happy to see Royce start stealing bases again, but made me nervous almost every time. I think we all would be very happy if he sustained that production for the year. -
Arbitrary Thoughts: Justin Topa
Chembry replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Off topic here, but I bought a few Twins jersey grab bags at a couple of the games I went this past year. The jersey grab bags are team issued, game used, or autographed jersey of any current or former Twin. I bought them because I like the unknown aspect. My favorite one was a team issued Matt Canterino jersey. I am excited to wear it to games next year. I also got an autographed Carlos Correa and team issued Trevor Richards jersey. Pretty sure I am the only person, besides Trevor Richards, who has a Trevor Richards jersey. Seriously though, I think we all wish Canterino the best. He has talent in spades, but he hasn't thrown a "competitive pitch" since 2022 and that was in AA. I know he has pitched some in spring training in 2024. Cam Booser can be used as a case study. I think most of us are familiar with his story, but injuries derailed his career and he was out of professional baseball from 2017-2021. He signed a minor league deal with the Red Sox and worked from AA up to MLB, but took him 4 years to reach MLB. Obviously everyone is different and Canterino has pitched in ST, but he would need time to acclimate again. If he is healthy come ST, I hope he gets a look. However, the probability of him making it to MLB next year is low. In all likelihood, he would start at AA again and build up from there. -
List of MLB managers available for Minnesota Twins
Chembry replied to Irishman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I assume Scott Servais will have the inside track for the SD Padres position. Pure speculation of course, but he currently works for the Padres in player development. I like him for the Twins position because of his player development experience and he has direct experience with rebuilds. -
Personally, I do believe trading Ryan will only benefit the Twins in the long run. Especially if the package includes top prospects that are MLB ready, which is what I believe the Twins will ask for given we have Jenkins, Culpepper, Rodriguez, and Gonzalez that are all really close to MLB. However, a veteran pitcher like Pablo acts as a second pitching coach. He has publicly stated that he attends bullpen sessions and helps with both the mental and physical side of the game. A locker room presence like that is invaluable to all the young pitchers we have (Abel, Bradley, Morris, Prielipp, etc...). Add that to the many reasons I don't trade Pablo in the offseason. I don't like trading Ryan, but the likelihood of the Twins extending him after 2027 is zero. I also think the Twins could absorb trading either Ryan or Lopez, but not both. That's the reason I look to trade Ryan.
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That wouldn’t be a smart move. Skubal is a free agent after 2026, so you would essentially be trading at least 6 years of Jenkins (barring any trades or modifications to CBA) for 1 year of Skubal.
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That would be a nice package and I agree we need a SS. I also think Lee will get another shot in 2026. Mayer profiles are more of 3B, but can also play SS. If the Sox lose Bregman, not sure if they would be willing to let Mayer go. Arias has only played 10g at AA so probably between Culpepper and Houston in terms of readiness. Rafaela has potential gold glove caliber defense and under contract through 2031 with a club option for 2032. Hopefully, he can continue to grow as a hitter and cut down his chase rate. He cut his K rate from 26% in 2024 down to 20% in 2025. That is good progress.
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Maybe he didn't say that and that is fine. Nevertheless, that doesn't color my view of him and I will continue to be a fan. Did you watch the Netflix documentary Clubhouse: A Year With the Red Sox? If you didn't, you really should. It's fantastic and really shows who Jarren Duran is as a person. He is the type of teammate everyone wants. I agree with you and I don't want him to be traded to the Twins. He is under team control through 2029, but I would rather go young. It was reported that the Red Sox offered 2 of Arias, Garcia, and Tolle plus a lower level prospect for Ryan at the deadline. We don't know which 2 of their top 3 were offered. It could have been any combination, but at the time the Twins wanted Duran included. I would much rather see a package headlined by 2 of Tolle/Marcelo Mayer/Arias. It was recently reported by SI that the only truly untouchables for BOS are Crochet and Anthony, so maybe Rafaela would be available? I am not sold on the Password, Campbell, or Casas (only included because we need a 1B).
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Great quote from Duran. Not that we need another LH hitting outfielder, but Duran plays the game hard and the right way. I became a fan after watching Clubhouse: A Year with the Boston Red Sox and after saying this, I will always root his success no matter where he goes.
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