Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Chembry

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    409

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Chembry

  1. Chembry
  2. Chembry
    My current thinking is that we trade either Wallner or Larnach. We can't go into the season with both on the roster. Hopefully Outman isn't anywhere near the roster.
  3. Chembry
    To me, the most encouraging news is that the Twins didn't wait out the market. Years past they waited out the market until spring training and signed a leftover. Recent signings of Carlos Santana, Ty France, Harrison Bader, Danny Coulombe were all within a week or so of spring training. Seems like they targeted Bell and went out and signed him. We can question who they targeted and why, but I am happy they actually being proactive. Now lets sign a few arms.
  4. Chembry
    Personally, I like Nathaniel Lowe better. He is a gold glove caliber 1B and won a silver slugger. According to MLBTR, he could be had at 1yr/$5-6M. Bell isn’t inspiring, but at least he is a decent hitter, albeit streaky.
  5. Chembry
    Twins signed Josh Bell to a 1-year deal with a mutual option for 2027
  6. Chembry
    Earlier in the Offseason, O’s fans were asking on MLBTR chats what it would take to get Ryan, MLBTR staff all said Mayo or Westburg as the headliner. That’s the reason I mentioned Ryan or Lopez. Obviously, it could be different now and I would have no argument against that. He was a consensus top 50 prospect a year ago. But you are right, it’s a different conversation when asking what would it take to get Mayo. To be clear, I would like Mayo. His power is very real, but he is a risk. If we can get him by trading Ober or SWR, I would do it. The Twins FO has historically been risk averse and I would like to see them take a few risks this offseason. Whether that’s taking a risk on trading for a young 1B like Mayo, Ryan Clifford, Tre Morgan, Jonathon Long, or Bryce Eldridge (very hard to get)…or signing a FA like O’Hearn, Lowe, Okamoto to contract longer than a year.
  7. Chembry
    He won a silver slugger as well. We don’t know what was going on behind the scenes in Washington, but Lowe was right back to Texas level production in Boston. Lowe makes a ton of sense, both financially and performance, assuming he plays similar to his Texas and Boston level of production. If the Twins can get Lowe for a $5-6M AAV contract, that leaves room to sign several relievers. Here is a picture of the question I asked and Franco’s response.
  8. Chembry
    I asked a question on the MLBTR chat today what it would take to sign Lowe. Anthony Franco responded that a 1/$5-6M would get it done. I would rather sign a longer deal, because I don't want the continuously revolving door, but a $5-6M AAV seems like good value.
  9. Chembry
    100% agree with that. Someone asked on today on the MLBTR chat what it would take to get Mountcastle from the O's and Anthony Franco said a 35 grade prospect...so we are talking none of our top 30...Seems like a decent value to me.
  10. Chembry
    MLBTR was discussing fits for Ryan earlier in the year and Mayo or Westburg was talked about as the headliner. I'm not coming out of nowhere with that assumption...of course that could always change
  11. Chembry
    I understand your viewpoint. I guess the way I look at is, Mountcastle has been at 2-3 WAR production between 2022-2024 and had OPS+ of 108-117, which is above average. He would be a steady presence, but definitely had a down 2025. He is only 28 so he could easily bounce back. If you look strictly at BBTV, EmRod has a surplus of 27.5 and Mayo has surplus value of 18. Baltimore wants pitching though. Mayo lost some value this year...but I don't think Baltimore parts with Mayo unless we part with Lopez or Ryan. I don't think they even look at Ober/SWR/Festa/Matthews. Mayo has struggled in his short time and would be a gamble, but he has big time power. Yes, MLBTR arb estimate is $7.8M...I am thinking off a down year he may accept guaranteed offer. There are many ways to structure a contract to make up any sort of difference, incentives or signing bonuses for example. If he gambles and on his FA value and has another down year, he may not even be looking at $5-7M guaranteed? Just a thought.
  12. Chembry
    Would you be interested in Mountcastle if the Twins could extend him at a rate $5-7M average AAV? I assume the extension would include opt outs at various phases. I would be in on Mountcastle if we could avoid arbitration and renegotiate a 2-3 year contract with options. I understand not everyone would like that, but it would stabilize 1B and he is only 28. He still has good upside. On the other hand, Mayo would would require Lopez or Ryan.
  13. Chembry
    Texas traded Lowe because they wanted some salary relief and wanted to address bullpen deficiencies. They had already acquired Jake Burger earlier in the offseason which made Lowe expendable. Texas thought he could step in and replace Lowe. Additionally, Burger was pre-arb at the time and just now getting to arb1. I didn't say Boston was sold on Casas. I believe they view him as a backup option that is under team control for another 3 years. I could be wrong, but I don't think Casas will get moved until they sign/trade for another IF. But Casas is young and talented, just needs a change of scenery.
  14. Chembry
    Personally, I don't like Keaschall moving to the OF. These types of plans may never see the field, but it does bring questions as to roster construction. How can they keep Buxton, Martin, Roden, Wallner, Larnach, Outman on the roster then? Short answer is, they can't. There is no way the Twins carry 7 OF into opening day 2026, plus have room for Jenkins, Rodriguez, and/or Gonzalez at some point next year. I do believe, Larnach will be traded. I also believe the Twins will release Outman. Wallner will serve as the primary DH. That leaves Buxton, Martin, and Roden as your starting OF with Wallner as 4th OF. I also believe the Twins may explore trading Wallner or E-Rod. Sounds like the Twins wanted to play Keaschall in the OF this year, but the broken forearm and TJ surgery didn't allow that to happen. There are people in the Twins organization that believe he is a better OF than 2nd baseman. Keaschall played quite a bit of OF in the minors. My guess right now is Keaschall won't be an OF option after spring training, especially with the lack of depth at 2nd.
  15. Chembry
    I get it... I do view the current FA that are being pursued as upgrades over guys like Ty France, Carlos Santana, Michael Toglia, and many others. We do differ a bit on Lowe and Mountcastle. I do see them as decent 2-3 year candidates, with options. I don't see Hoskins in that light though. That would allow stabilization of the position and give Mendez time to develop. If Mendez develops faster, then we have options to get out of the contract. Just food for thought.
  16. Chembry
    I saw this last night that the Twins are planning to have Keaschall play the OF some next year.
  17. Chembry
    If we could get one of the FA rumored for 2-3 years at a decent AAV, would you be ok with that? Another potential option is trading for Mountcastle. He only has 1 yr of arbitration left, but theoretically, the Twins could extend him at a reasonable rate (guessing ~$7M/yr AAV). He is younger at 28 and still has offensive upside and is decent defensively. There are so many trade candidates though, it would take a book to walk through them all.
  18. Chembry
    Boston non-tendered Lowe for several reasons: 1. He isn't worth the $13.5M projected arbitration, especially after the first half of the season for the Nationals. However, he was right back to Texas level production in Boston. 2. They already have a younger, cost controlled version of him in Casas. Say what you will about Casas but he has better career OPS/OPS+ than Lowe. He doesn't hit for as high average but he is more of a pure slugger. 2. They were after Alonso and are pursuing the 2 Japanese sluggers, Bregman, and Bichette. They have flexibility in their infield to move pieces to fit whoever they sign. 4. Red Sox have stated they are reluctant to go over the first luxury tax threshold (~$223M). That doesn't allow them much flexibility (~$22M), and they didn't want Lowe's contract getting in the way of them signing Alonso, Bregman, Bichette, or either of the 2 Japanese sluggers. They would go over the first threshold to sign a big name FA. If they do sign a big name FA, they will also trade away Jarren Duran to get back down to the level of the first threshold. They have also been rumored to shopping Yoshida and Hicks. Its all laid out in the MLBTR article: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/latest-on-red-soxs-payroll-flexibility.html
  19. Chembry
    I think it makes Mountcastle expendable. Mayo to a lesser extent. I don’t think they trust Basallo behind the plate full time yet. My guess is that the O’s use Adley as primary C, Basallo as a primary DH and backup both C and 1B. Mayo will also back up both 1B and 3B with Westburg as the primary 3B.
  20. Chembry
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/12/twins-exploring-mid-tier-first-base-market.html#comments
  21. Chembry
    I am torn on Mayo. He has struggled, but showed a bit more late in the season last year. He could be turning a corner. His power seems to be real! He would cost a significant more than Mountcastle.
  22. Chembry
    Just saw that the Twins are getting 17 year old DSL catcher Miguel Caraballo...
  23. Chembry
    Interesting...
  24. Chembry
    Yes
  25. Chembry
    Double post
×
×
  • Create New...