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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    How much would/should Larnach have been fined if this turned into a real tight game? Fly ball to the track in right-center ……2 outs ……..he starts on first then he’s two steps around second base and watching the fly ball……basically stopped and watches it bounce………..TWO OUTS……..he should have been able to back peddle to the plate. Instead, he was thrown out by 10-15 feet - absolutely pathetic base running!!!! Cannot play like that at this or any level - no excuse.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Per the post - he’s #4 in WAR as an outfielder in the A.L. ……….Judge - Soto - Duran are the only guys ahead of him. Some nice comments made here but, come on - his season to date has been fantastic. His offense since early-mid June has been on an extremely high level. Byron Buxton hitting .276 and a slug% over .500 and an OPS+ of 135 is special - better than I would have dared to hope for - on pace to play 125 games…….115 of those in CF.
  3. JD-TWINS
    I don’t care about the Guardians success or lack of success with their young players. I respect their organization - that’s it. All of my comments have been about the fact that the Twins aren’t running as many young guys through the SHOW because they have good veteran players and they can’t displace that talent nor number of bodies because there are only 26 roster spots. Have been trying to refute the idea that the Twins should be bringing up guys in the same fashion or at the same rate as the Guardians. Can’t experiment with guys in Minneapolis if there are already guys there doing the job…….doesn’t make sense………roster math doesn’t work.
  4. JD-TWINS
    I thought your article was going to be about how he’s going to have to start either Friday or next Tuesday v. Royals. Can’t cover those two spots/starts without some help from AAA! He’s definitely in the Pen in October! If the other starters hold up, am assuming they’ll move him to Pen by September 15, to get acclimated. Dobnak shouldn’t be on the 26-man ………Matthews isn’t really an option until he has a bit of sustained success in St Paul Really hope Topa has some level of competence in Minneapolis SOON!
  5. JD-TWINS
    Both SWR (4 days) rest & Ober (5 days rest) would/should be ready to go Friday, I would think? My assumption is they stick with regular guys for Cleveland & bring in Varland next Tuesday, when really squeezed for options. Already enough stress on the Pen with a doubleheader - Varland seems like a risky starter in that scenario………no “givens” with anyone though, I guess? Henriquez or somebody may be up to help with innings this weekend.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Duh - Lopez should be ready to go by Sunday for the last game with Cleveland…..no need in near-term for Louie…..maybe on the Tuesday v. Royals though?
  7. JD-TWINS
    Paddack - Varland - Topa - Stewart in the weeds for bullpen help ………no deadline regrets. Richards is serviceable as an 8th guy. Not his issue Okert - Dobnak - Thielbar are also in the Pen. He’s a number 8 guy and he’s currently number 5 or 6 in the Twin’s pen. Really hope Festa shows up as competitive for 5 innings tomorrow! NEED innings. Dobnak is not the answer …….,cement mixer sliders at 83mph and change ups that are thigh high…….no real pitch he can get by anybody. Scary!!! What’s wrong with Henriquez? Festa - Lopez - Ryan in Chicago………off day Thursday ……….SWR & Ober on Friday - Festa on Saturday - Ryan can’t go Sunday on 3 days rest - VARLAND?……make sense?
  8. JD-TWINS
    He looks the part of “The Bearded Nightmare”…..a nickname that’s gotta stick, from Trevor Plouffe. Jeffers - Kepler - Martin - Castro all big contributors………Kepler’s homer was huge to get them back in front. He hammered another ball later off LH pitcher that got caught. Good to see him picking it up a bit!!
  9. JD-TWINS
    Red Sox went down as well tonight!
  10. JD-TWINS
    Get used to Margot - Lee - Vazquez …….the 3 guys under 100 OPS+ …….they aren’t going anywhere in 2024. Can only have so many high performing hitters on roster……they won’t be displaced by churning from the bottom. Twins (with Correa) & Baltimore have 10 guys at 100 OPS+……only them. Royals have 6 guys at or over 100 OPS+. Yankees have 6 guys at 100 or over OPS+. Mariners have 5 guys at 100 or over OPS+ …….Arrozerena & Turner are over too but they have only played 6 & 3 games and they’ll regress. Red Sox have 8 guys at 100 or over OPS+.
  11. JD-TWINS
    I get the sentiment on the Lefty Relievers ….bottom line is, in the Playoffs, the starter is going to face the guys like Alvarez & Tucker 3 times…….then in the 4th or 5th AB it would be great to have some advantage …….seems we just have to roll with good stuff from the right side and live with the results. 12 spot jump in BA 5 spot jump in OBP These seem to point to more consistency leading to Runs Scored than what Team did last year with being #3 in HR & way more K’s. Drop of 1 spot in Slug% & less K% helps keep everyone in the line-up viable. Once Correa is back and Lee is displaced from every day action, the Team has 10 guys playing regularly with OPS+ of over 100……….only Vazquez - Margot - Lee don’t meet that threshold.
  12. JD-TWINS
    Diatribe - seriously? Mike certainly isn’t the only guy within the TD group that thinks more youngsters should be playing for the Twin’s big club. It’s stated 2-3 times weekly. IMO he pointed to the Guardian’s success with young guys - wondering why they use so many and why/how they seem to be successful. They are spending $20M less than the Twins - gotta play somebody. …….I pointed out Naylor was pretty successful in ‘23 and not much of a risk going into ‘24. Like Eddie Julien, he’s had some flashes in ‘24, but bottom line is he’s hitting .203 at end of July. They aren’t all great successes.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Reliance on Stewart seems heavy and off balance somewhat ……..the guy throws 1 inning Max maybe 2 of 3 games played……that’s his normal workload when healthy. I agree he could be a nice piece, key piece of the Pen, but he isn’t driving the success of our staff. Topa could be a nice wildcard - hopefully we’ll see him in next 2-3 weeks! Paddack & Varland to the Pen, along with Stewart - Sands - Alcala - Jax - Duran could be the formula to finishing an Opener by SWR!! Don’t see the Staff as mediocre in any sense - don’t see a dominant top end guy yet but that’s not needed in a 5 or 7 game Series.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Bo Naylor had 200 AB’s last year and over .800 OPS………not exactly a big risk or not an obvious choice to start ‘24……….he’s responded by hitting .203 btw. I didn’t say we used as many young guys as Cleveland nor did I say we were even comparable - they’re desperate….Twins are not. I listed guys that have gotten a call to illustrate who has been up, for however long. My point is the roster’s only so big - I’m tired of hearing about how “other” young guys from the system should be getting a look. Who do they displace? There’s never a plan - just complaining that guys are hitting .289 in AAA and they should get a chance. If the Guardians didn’t exist, my opinion would be the same - the guys that are deserving of time at Target get it when they are needed.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Martin - Lee - Camargo - Festa - SWR - Castillo Wallner - Julien - Funderburk - Henriquez …..,assuming a couple I’ve missed over last 1 1/2 yrs…….. Kirilloff - Miranda - Larnach just prior This seems to me to be a pretty large % of the 26-Man roster………..there are only so many spots available to “try guys” with 26 spots. I really do not see the reason for continually wanting other new players up “to get a chance”. Gotta win games once in The Show, not audition guys.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Agreed on the terminology…….not answering for others here - my concern with SWR is strictly with stamina to continue his similar performance over past 18 starts. The guy had a 3.25 ERA until his last start in NY……..IMO, he’s where he should be with the stuff and mental make-up he’s shown to date …..around 3.75 ERA.
  17. JD-TWINS
    Not really in tune with the comments about adjusting our rotation so our best are throwing against Cleveland next weekend…….not having Ober face the Royals as well?? The Top 3 guys (unless physically not right) are going to throw every 5th game - no adjusting who’s pitching against who - reality doesn’t allow for this type of thing. Pretty sure SWR is right behind them in throwing on his scheduled turn every 5th game as well. The last spot is up for debate based on results they get from Festa in next outing or two. Maybe a Varland or Paddack spot start or two in September to get a guy to skip a start ……rest related.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Varland as a starter, just in case, for balance of August. If starters are stable, he transitions to Pen for last 3 weeks in September. Paddack, if healthy, is on the same timeline and path to the Pen. Health & Health are the keys. Correa back - Stewart back - Topa contributing ……… these things happen and all else will be good. If we can add these 3 over next 2-4 weeks it will be a big shot in the arm! Really don’t understand the complaints about Duran’s “stuff/velocity”? The guy is down 2 miles an hour on his fastball……100.8MPH. Jax throws 97 and he’s “electric”! Duran’s location and pitch sequencing are his issues. Throwing 3 straight curveballs to Bryce Harper - hanging a curveball to Jose Ramirez ….,,those are his real problems. Pitch mix is pretty easy to alter and get smarter about. His fastball in the zone to start, sets up his other two pitches - stop being cute and pitching backwards to look cool!! Command is every pitcher’s challenge - this, IMO, is what he needs to reign in to be consistently effective. Curve at 86MPH - Fastball at 100.5MPH - Splinker at 96.5MPH are all plenty fast enough. Stewart’s shoulder better by September 10th - I sure hope so!
  19. JD-TWINS
    Gotta tip your cap to Cleveland. I thought for sure that losing Francona it would be worth a couple swoons during the season …….all they do is win. The HOT AUGUST NIGHT energy nod is maybe the most positive TD comment of the year. If that doesn’t get you going nothing will!!
  20. JD-TWINS
    Buxton & Wallner both at above average production takes the length of the line-up out to a place I didn’t think this Team would get to in ‘24. Against RH pitching Wallner hits 6th & Buxton 7th & Jeffers 8th & Lee 9th………Lee may actually sit so Larnach & Miranda can both be in the line-up. Wallner - Buxton - Kepler OF Lewis - Correa - Castro - Miranda IF Jeffers C - Larnach DH Santana - Lee - Vazquez - Margot on Bench Really glad to see that coupled with health, Buxton has regained the HR power as well. Got to 14 total after Friday night.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Wallner could not hit RH pitching to start the year - nor in Spring Traing - nor in AAA for months ….,,,why would anyone think it’s a good idea for his psyche to send him to the plate against LH pitching to “try & work on it”?
  22. JD-TWINS
    Tony Oliva’s OPS against lefties was sub .675…… saying things about left handed hitters doesn’t make them real. Some lefties hit well against lefty pitching - given!! Not everyone does - most guys grow up facing predominantly RIGHT HANDED PITCHERS (regardless of which side they hit from) so it’s not as big of a deal for RH hitters. Not a big deal for some lefties to face lefties but it’s more common. The question about Margot comes up every 4 days - it’s nuts!! When Kepler can’t play - Buxton can’t play - Wallner’s been sent down - Julien’s been sent down - Larnach’s toe is messed up - Kirilloff is hurt or just sucks - Correa is out - Lewis is out, so Castro can’t play OF……..75% of pitchers are RH …….if he’s the only healthy guy available to play OF in maybe 50% of the games, he’s going to see lots of RH pitching. ……..Same with Santana when Kirilloff had to play OF - he got many more LH AB’s than were intended going into the season. It’s not some conspiracy nor complete lack of logic…….it’s how the performances of guys around him and mostly HEALTH has driven line-up decisions.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Stretch run for a playoff spot is not time for experimentation! .115 in 68 AB’s is enough for me to let him get some work in during the offseason & next Spring. Correct on the obvious choice!!
  24. JD-TWINS
    Pretty sure - unless he collapses in next 45-50 days, that’s the plan for RF.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Probable Wildcard foes: Baltimore - New York - Red Sox - Royals Orioles have 10 guys with OPS+ over 100 Yankees have 6 guys with OPS+ over 100 Red Sox have 8 guys with OPS+ over 100 Royals have 6 guys with OPS+ over 100 TWINS have 10 guys with OPS+ over 100 I think that we can compete with any Team offensively once Correa is healthy - no doubt!
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