JD-TWINS
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Everything posted by JD-TWINS
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Guardians 11, Twins 4: The Slide Continues
JD-TWINS replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Ober dug a hole yesterday - gotta consider pitching around guys occasionally as an approach from the staff………Rameriz and Judge have done some serious damage over last handful of games! No issue with Funderburk - pitchers give up runs regularly. He gave up a run scoring double to a left handed hitter on a flare that hit 4 feet inside the left field line. He had to get loose in the first inning when Ober got to pitch number 30. Then he’s brought in 50-60 minutes later in the 5th. Jackson has been pretty routine. 1-2 good outings - then a clunker. Pretty regular pattern. Thought with more even usage and time he’d work things out. He’s not a regular use guy……….not a good fit and needs to the “mysterious IL stint” or be released. Assumption is they are trying to get to July to trade him and a couple others but he can’t be in the regular Pen mix. That said, relievers are human - not really an exciting opportunity to come into a game down 7-0. Some of his issues Saturday may have started between his ears (little focus) and leaked into his physical performance?- 39 replies
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- bailey ober
- byron buxton
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Guardians 11, Twins 4: The Slide Continues
JD-TWINS replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agree completely with statement #1 from Karbo!! The lefties coming up are always a concern ……could really use Lewis sooner than later. Could be a long 3-4 more weeks. Buxton has to contribute in batters box. Farmer has 2 RBI doubles in consecutive games and Margot went 3 for 4 yesterday. Guys need AB’s to get their performance back to the norm. Both Farmer & Margot are .255ish CAREER hitters. Last year Farmer hit .256 & Margot hit .264. Can’t get out of a hole without AB’s…………they play maybe 3-4 games per week maximum…….in range of 13 - 16 AB’s per week. Can’t quit on guys on May 1st………EVERYONE wanted Kepler to be DFA’d by mid-May last year and were almost rioting by mid-June. Often things work out over 6 months.- 39 replies
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- bailey ober
- byron buxton
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I get the fan’s reactions - it’s pretty frustrating (as you know) to see a guy steal 2B and have Castro TAKE ball 4 to get us to two on with one out………………only to have the ump call it strike 3. One guy on base with two outs - completely changes the feel of the inning!!! Ball was BOTH low and outside……..as you mention, there has to be a way to use something, maybe a challenge system a couple times per game? The fact that we hit into 3 double plays through 3 innings has as much or more to do with the loss than anything.
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I have stood behind Baldelli for the past 3 years here. “Players play” has been my mantra for the most part - Baldelli (nobody) doesn’t have a crystal ball on how a guy is going to perform in a situation at the moment - just a track record & odds to play. However, the quality of baseball over the last 4 losses (mentally & execution physically) has been tough to stomach. Some of that blame has to go to Coaching STAFF! Guys throwing behind runners - not knowing how many outs there are - illegal alignments - dropped fly ball on the track - etc. ……..all, principally falls on the players. it there needs to be a tightening of the mental attitude. I get that being wound too tight as a Manager could lead to team pressing but real time reminders - interaction with guys on the field from the dugout may help? Jeffers hit a home run and stuck out the following 3 AB’s Tuesday. Julien & Jeffers struck out LOOKING on 3-2 counts on fastballs……..that can’t happen & it needs to be made perfectly clear, particularly with Eddie. Get somebody to watch some re-runs of his backward K’s - it’s gotta change! Duran has been flawless BUT not throwing a fastball to Rameriz and throwing 3 curve balls with a splinker mixed in just gets his timing set-up……don’t understand the approach. If concerned about his contact on a fastball, throw it high or wide but you gotta show it to get the curve to be effective. This is pitching 101 stuff - starts with the Coaching Staff!!!
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Sands isn’t a high leverage guy but with Thielbar hurt, and then somewhat spotty effectiveness, Topa not being in his role, Duran out - guys had to fill the void, & lately Stewart being down………high usage of Pen arms as there were many games to be won over 3 weeks……..all if this has pulled Sands into higher leverage situations. Personally, I think he just needs to re-set. His walks are way down from 5.4 in ‘23 to 1.9 per 9 in ‘24. His K’s per 9 are great at 12.1. His WHIP is down from 1.52 to 1.07 per 9.0 innings. He has more arrows in his quiver than Balazovic! Rest, for mental clarity, is often as important as it is for physical recharge. Did anyone see Jax last night after 5 days off? He looked awfully sharp/effective!! Hoping Sands time off recently is beneficial for him.
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You stated you “generally agreed”…….my comment was directed at Doc Gast and the assumption that adding a good rotation piece is somewhat of a given…….if an organization chooses to go that route. I disagree with that - nothing personal.
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- carlos santana
- sonny gray
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Worked well ……we were trading from position of strength to dump salary when not competitive, not the reverse. I didn’t say there are no opportunities at the deadline but we aren’t trading a veteran for a prospect to improve long term………. it’s apples & oranges, hence the need to make you & others sigh. The point is, with expanded wild card spots, there will be (has been) a whole bunch of competition for any reasonable starters. IMO, not improving the Team in the offseason and assuming a pitcher, that’s going to improve your rotation, is going to be available is a stretch. It is extremely difficult pick up a solid guy at the deadline. It’s not just a formality of making a couple phone calls. Lastly, to get a guy that looks good on paper, it costs guys like Steer and Encarnacion-Strand.
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- carlos santana
- sonny gray
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“So far”, goes for Margot as well as anyone else. I get Gurriel should improve from where he is …….,,NOBODY has more room for improvement than Margot! Polanco is hurt - leading the League in K’s - hitting .192. How is trading those totals (& $10M) a bad deal?
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- carlos santana
- sonny gray
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They just won 17 out of 20 games prior to Yankee series……they started terribly and are 2.5 games out of 1st place in Division…….Sands has had a couple bad innings after being excellent for weeks ……..Kepler, since coming back April 21, has 7 hits for RBI with two outs and he’s hit near .400. Not sure what your expectations are?
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- carlos santana
- sonny gray
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Polo trade needed to be made regardless - Julien was going to play 2B & Lee is coming at some point…….either DH, 3B or 2B. Polanco, as of Thursday, was leading the A.L. in strikeouts and hitting .192…….,and needed some time off due to tight hamstring. They got a young kid that’s a top 100 prospect on neutral observer list. Topa has the capability to help win games…….maybe not until ‘25 - that would be a drag but it’s possible. I get it, gotta get in the field to help team. Same issue with Jorge. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .231 with an OPS+ of 88……..2 steals & 5 homers. He’s making $14M/yr for next 3 years……………Margot costs $5.5M and a cheap buyout for ‘25……..he’s terrible…….can’t argue that, but no evidence that at 29 he was going to play like he’s 39. He’s hitting 83 points less than last year and almost 100 points less than ‘22. Lourdes is no savior though & at $14M, not a great value!!
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- carlos santana
- sonny gray
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I live in Cincinnati and watch every Twins game I choose to………any other game in MLB as well, daily. People have Apple TV to watch tonight’s game but refuse to get Prime? $149/year on Prime and MLB subscription gets you every game broadcast. …………maybe (my ignorance) there’s a blackout for local broadcast??Assume this works wherever one resides - maybe not?
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Seems dramatic - the series absolutely sucked - however, we’re down our 6th/7th best offensive weapon and CF in Buxton as well as our best hitter in Lewis. The Yankees are down a diminishing D.J. LaMahue. Make a catch in LF yesterday (Kirilloff) & remember there’s only 1 out on the fly ball in game 1 (Castro) & we had 2 decent starts v. Yankees. The Yanks are the best team in the A.L. at this point and second best record in baseball. Still embarrassing but not end of the world. I think Twins will be fine in Playoffs if full strength. Concerned about Julien - still too many K’s. Were getting production with K’s previously - lately, not much of anything!! Kirilloff/Wallner/Larnach will give us one decent option in LF by October……this will sort out. Could use Lee’s bat from Left Side as DH sooner than later………any update on him starting to rehab?
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- joe ryan
- cole sands
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I was the biggest proponent for 3 months to sign Montgomery. The Rangers are an odd example as they have Scherzer & deGrom on their payroll. The post is about the cheap ownership of the Twins……..not the hyper aggressive front office of the Twins (that doesn’t exist) Cole Ragans is now K.C.’s future pitching anchor. How did the Mahle trade work out for the Twins??
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- carlos santana
- sonny gray
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They don’t grow on trees - these “top starting pitchers” available at the deadline. With the aforementioned frugal ownership position, it’s going to be pretty difficult to be in the mix. We’ll use up a good player/prospect or three and it will be for a 2 month rental as there’s no intention of paying anyone into the future. Don’t see this approach as realistic, nor smart.
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- carlos santana
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Who Can Fill the Bottom of the Bullpen?
JD-TWINS replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Canterino has never been healthy more than 2 weeks at a time. I see him as a stretch to ever pitch in the Show…….Varland is (has to be) starter depth until at least mid-August if not longer. He’ll be in the Pen by September 10th. Alcala will be back as needed for innings relief in the short-term…….don’t get the “sympathy” push for Alcala, due to his mistreatment? He gave up runs in one outing……..how badly mismanaged could have been? The long outing, where he did get knocked around, he got a bad missed strike call - he made some poor pitches - they were out of arms in the Pen and needed him to finish. If they bring Balazovic back, he’s got to be awfully good or he gets replaced and DFA’d……maybe in June if there’s a spot, a need. Jensen & Winder (if healthy) are both reasonable options as well!!- 13 replies
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- jordan balazovic
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David Festa is an MLB-Ready Top 100 Prospect
JD-TWINS replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I would think they are independent of each other as they are both depth options at this point. ………If there’s an injury, Varland is up next. If everything is stable, I see Festa getting an opportunity in a month. Something will happen with rotation guys and Varland will be needed over next 12 weeks. Essentially a certainty aligned with history across any staff in the game. Once September arrives, assuming Festa is an option as depth starter, Varland can shift to Pen……..really don’t see that timing changing. -
David Festa is an MLB-Ready Top 100 Prospect
JD-TWINS replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Mid-June is my assumption for him getting his feet wet in the Show. He’ll have an opportunity to throw 5 plus innings 2-3 times between now and then. I think he’ll come up for a game to get a feel at Target. Then back in August for a handful of starts over 4-5 weeks to let other rotation guys skip a start or two. Hope he stays on the right path!! Saw a couple short clips of him throwing and eye test seemed very positive. -
Starting pitching is a draw & w/o Varland in the mix, it’s pretty positive. I get you are commenting on just the information shown, strictly. The bettering of all aspects probably isn’t realistic. They got to 8 games over .500 with these circumstances. Correa being out for most of 3 weeks hurt the SS rating - pretty solid there as well. Kepler was out for 16-17 days and it turned out to be a blessing going from 1-20 start to super HOT! RF seems solid as well going forward. Lewis out is obviously a problem at 3B. Relievers have not had great health - they will be up & down but I still think this will be a positive in another 3-4 weeks as guys get healthy. Left Field is an issue! Larnach has stabilized the DH spot v. RH pitching……..consistency going forward?
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Well, Eddie looks really ugly as he tries to lead the League in backward K’s! His K% has come down to 34 plus% from 40% a couple weeks ago. He needs to get his BA to .250 in next 4-5 weeks. His OBP would get to the very effective .350 level at that point. I’ll say it, the good news is we traded Polanco. He’s actually leading the League in strikeouts with 53. He’s hitting .192. He’s headed to the IL today with hamstring tightness. Sorry, I get the sentimental attachment, but it was clear he was a high risk guy with injury and at the start of declining production. If Topa ever pitches it’s still a positive move. Stewart - Topa coming back in June should bump up our Pen performance for 2nd qtr. Not having Varland in rotation should help those stats 2nd qtr. as well……..Gray has been great in St. Louis until last outing with 6 runs in 5 innings……Maeda is hurt and has 6.75 ERA. I think we’ll improve at 3B - LF - 2B - 1B in 2nd qtr. Royce will be back in 4 weeks - Wallner won’t be allowed to wallow for 4 weeks with no production - Eddie will be better and so will Farmer (gotta be) - Santana has leveled & Kirilloff has to have bottomed out. I think the off season moves will start to pay off as we go forward through June.
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Why do the Minnesota Twins Hate Jorge Alcalá?
JD-TWINS replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That is correct. The conspiracy theory against Alcala seems a bit silly to me. He walked guys early and worked out of it - hence Rocco’s talk about specific things to work on…….I’m sure this is & has been a point of emphasis with the whole Pen & particularly Alcala. His last outing , the multi inning use was twofold reasoning. First, the Pen was burned and nobody left to throw. Second, he needs to get outs - period. If he gets screwed on a call or somebody kicks the ball, he needs to bounce back & perform. His lack of effectiveness lead to the extended outing and large number of pitches. It was unfortunate series of events but Alcala needs to carry most of the responsibility.- 47 replies
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I really don’t expect to see Stewart until early, mid-June. 15 day IL & then re-evaluate and then a couple week ramp up after cleared to make sure he’s good to go. Topa is icing on the cake at this point. Disappointing but that’s probably realistic. Broad thoughts on PEN: Alcala - Staumont - Jensen - Henriquez will be filling the last 2 spots as they have options. Duran - Jax - Funderburk - Sands - Okert - Thielbar - Jackson are the core for short-term. Stewart - Topa in June?? If SWR can hold up I could see him being the optional #4 Starter in October. Paddack & Varland part of a 9 man Pen in the Playoffs.
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- earned run average
- blown saves
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Flared up then, it’s been a recurring issue with his knee. Held up well in ‘23.
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