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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Apparently not, since they are on a 91 Wins pace without Lewis since the 3rd inning of game 1. That’s w/o ever seeing DeSclafani and Varland going 0-4 in 4 starts. Duran down, Topa down, Correa down, Buxton down & Wallner disappearing, along with Julien not performing……not to mention the hated Margot - Farmer - Vazquez trio. Somebody’s gotta play. Kirilloff is coming around again…..Santana has steadily climbed ………Margot has hit .254 - .274 - .264 the past 3 seasons ………he was hitting .150 a few weeks ago and is trending in the right direction as he’s now at .209…..I’d expect .230 by All-star break.
  2. JD-TWINS
    If he was a 29 year old he’d be a bum is my assumption? ……….As mentioned previously, he hasn’t hit a home run since April 25th so taking those 7 HR’s and blending them over 10 weeks of play is just fooling oneself into thinking he’s a “league average” hitter. How is .207 over the year & zero power for the last 60% of the season a league average hitter……..? If he was League average he’d be in the line-up Tuesday night. Can’t imagine that Martin wouldn’t be more effective at 2B at this point……but that shouldn’t be the bar. He’ll be back within a month if/when he responds in St. Paul.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Not trying to be smart here but Eddie needs to focus on hitting RH pitching as that is where he’s been at .190 for the past 6 weeks……it’s also who he’ll be facing when he comes back up. He needs to add some level of being able to be more aggressive on pitches in the zone and not just try to outguess the pitcher. Hitting a home run or three in AAA might help his mental make-up as it’s been since April 25th since he’s had one of those.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Are we crippled if Margot doesn’t play CF. Julien plays ONLY 2B! I really like Eddie!! He’s not performing at the plate - nowhere near good - that’s a fact or he wouldn’t have been sent down after the Manager stood behind him and said “he needs to work things out here”. He hit 7 HR’s in 24 games and hasn’t hit one since April 25th……through June 2. 4 good weeks don’t make 10 acceptable weeks…..he has stunk at the plate for the most part for 30 plus games. His OBP is almost 80 points lower than last year and 55 of those points are batting average DROP. He strikes out trying to walk, routinely. He needs to figure out a way to be more of a complete hitter with 2 strikes - coaching, mental refresh, something! What???? Seriously do not believe sending him to the plate in the Show & having him work it out now makes sense. If he gets help & then can still get plenty of opportunity from July 1 forward, that seems smarter. He can be back as soon as June 14 series if that makes sense - he’s not banished from the Roster. The converse situation………They DFA Farmer - Julien pulls a hamstring 3 days later - they are scrambling……Castro loses position flexibility & Lee isn’t ready……..It’s only June 3rd lots more changes to come.
  5. JD-TWINS
    His last HR was April 25th after 7 in his first 24 games. He strikes out routinely while trying to walk. He’s hitting a few points less than a struggling Margot. All of these things point to this being the right thing for the player because he needs a mental refresh.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Julien has had way more OPPORTUNITIES to play well, as he should. 169 AB’s v. 92 AB’s for Farmer……..he had a .380 OBP in ‘23 as a Rookie - big shift so far this year and he needs a refresh. Options, when faced with a Roster Crunch are always part of the deal. Farmer hit .256 last year in 120 games & he was out a month after getting hit in the face……his career Average coming into ‘23 was .255. To me, Margot is in the OF playing time mix with Larnach, Castro, Kirilloff, & Wallner……he’s becoming more effective, slowly bringing his average up. With a .255 career Average as well, he’s hit .254, .274, & .264 over the past 3 seasons. Wallner had a really good 10 weeks ….. Julien had a really good 4 months…..hasn’t hit a HR since April 25th ……,something needs to get fixed …..,maybe a coach or a Sports Psychologist or maybe film study - I don’t know, but he’s better than his performance over the past 6 weeks. The fact that Margot is 45 points under his career Average & many want him DFA’d and Julien is hitting lower says a lot about Julien’s performance.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Unless somebody gets hurt during a game, I can’t imagine Miranda at 2B! Castro regularly v. RH pitching with Farmer v. LH pitching AND more innings in 2nd half of games as needed/appropriate for Farmer. I think this is a two - four week opportunity for Farmer to get in the mix or he may be gone in July. He & Vazquez have improved contact and aren’t getting very good fortune but at some point the numbers are what they are & a change will come. I think Farmer steps up!!
  8. JD-TWINS
    Unless somebody gets hurt during a game, I can’t imagine Miranda at 2B! Castro regularly v. RH pitching with Farmer v. LH pitching AND more innings in 2nd half of games as needed/appropriate for Farmer. I think this is a two - four week opportunity for Farmer to get in the mix or he may be gone in July. He & Vazquez have improved contact and aren’t getting very good fortune but at some point the numbers are what they are & a change will come. I think Farmer steps up!!
  9. JD-TWINS
    IMO, Farmer for sure v. southpaws, or he shouldn’t be on the roster. Can’t imagine Kirilloff or Larnach sitting v. RH pitching anytime soon!………..seems Santana will be the odd guy out v. RH pitching, much more often. Kirilloff at 1B - Larnach in LF - Castro at 2B - Miranda at DH……….v. RH pitching would seem to be the regular line-up. What an interesting position the Team could be in, IF, Wallner & Julien & Lee all come together over next 3-6 weeks…..hoping for tough decisions!
  10. JD-TWINS
    Agree about nobody getting Alvarez out ……I think the Thielbar comment refers to broad problems historically & potentially more going forward in key spots. I do think the Catcher pitch calling issues are a “group effort”. Meaning the coach & Catcher & Pitcher are mostly on the same page. They get together between nearly every inning. I’m not in love with the calls for certain pitches either through the season but the pitcher can shake it off OR execute. (Also, there are 140 to 175 pitches thrown per game - lots of chances for 3-4 bad choices or poor execution - they’re human) Typically, more about where the pitch is thrown v. what pitch is thrown.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Agree! Starting Miranda v. LH pitching ahead of Santana at 1B won’t happen. Pretty sure they’ll give the veterans (Margot/Farmer) an inordinate amount of time to regress back to their norms ……….no real logical reason not to if the guys supplanting them are inconsistent young guys like Wallner & Julien……,hope it happens at some point and those two “force themselves” back in to the MLB roster. As an aside, Vazquez isn’t going anywhere until the end of ‘25. If Jeffers were to get nicked up the Team can’t have the “fallback position” only be guys currently in AAA.
  12. JD-TWINS
    So the move is the clear cut correct one in my opinion. Even if Lewis wasn’t coming back, Julien needs to refresh his approach. I think most of it is between his ears with approach but I’m not an MLB player - just seems he has the capabilities to overcome adjustments the League has made against him as well as his 2 strike mindset. I think you are saying above that Castro will play LF & Farmer at 2B v. LH pitching? I think Farmer will be in games more or at least sooner as circumstances evolve in the games. I do think this is an opportunity for Farmer to prove his worth, or without an improvement, it further justifies his DFA move in the future. How about Miranda? He won’t let up - looks more polished all the time - nice aggressive approach! I do not see Miranda DHing more, or better said, ahead of Larnach at DH v. right handed pitching. I think Santana & Kirilloff will continue to get 95% of the reps at 1B……,Miranda pinch hits couple times per week …….starts at 3B once or twice to ease Lewis into regular time…….DH once or twice. I think getting Kepler some regular rest with Kirilloff & Larnach (occasionally) in the corners could happen going forward with Lewis at DH or 3B along with Miranda. Do not see Jeffers kicking up time much at Catcher this early in the year. His hitting drop has come from regression to the norm but his playing nearly every day probably has an affect as well. He may pinch hit a little more with the ability to come in and catch late in Vazquez starts………bottom line is Staff is doing well, Vazquez is part of that, don’t see pushing Jeffers with 100 games left to play. He may catch 53 - 50 with Vazquez here on out but not much more, IMO. Kepler pinch hit for fellow LH hitting Julien the other day……..I could see Jeffers coming up to pinch hit for Vazquez after the 5th in a key situation. Tough for Vazquez but he’d still be getting time/starts & working with the rotation on the regular.
  13. JD-TWINS
    The change of atmosphere - pressure - competition level - absolute “need” to perform that a guy feels in the Show changes in St. Paul. It’s not about X’s &O’s of the swing. …….try to relax a bit - build some confidence - feel you can get it done. I like the rotating pitcher idea - resting Paddack (IL stint) & then possibly SWR (optioned) as well by sending a guy (Festa, Varland) up to pitch and then back down, as Mr. Bell suggests….as I type though, it seems the roster swell on the day the AAA guy pitches creates the same 27 man total, if there are 14 position players - right? Seems to ME that Julien is the logical guy relative to plate performance and need of a refresh.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Tired arm ….. arm strain……bad back…….he “could” have a whole bunch of things bothering him.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Makes perfect sense - his “to do list” was quit walking guys!
  16. JD-TWINS
    30-24 is 90 W’s on the nose. ……Duran, Thielbar, Stewart, Correa, Buxton, & LEWIS all hurt at various points. Wallner - Farmer - Vazquez all being essentially offensive no-shows. Along with DeSclafani & Topa never touching the ball & the Varland 0-4 debacle…….to be 32-25 as of tonight is a really nice accomplishment!
  17. JD-TWINS
    IMO - he threw a bunch of pitches in his last outing before he was sent down…..he would have been unavailable for 3-4 days. He has options so he gets moved. Also, he was still walking too many guys through his first two stints with big club. Looks focused and very effective in first two outings since getting back this week!
  18. JD-TWINS
    Santana makes a really good play or two every other game at 1B……completely agree, offensive position though! I just think he needs to play v. LH pitching for sure and on defense as needed from there. RH pinch hitter as well. With Wallner hitting zero & Larnach being hurt early, forced Santana to start v. RH pitching - then Buxton went down & Castro had to play CF & Kirilloff in right. The $$ are spent on Santana and that carries some weight. …….Kirilloff could play as much as 65% of games at 1B if desired. Miranda, if the goal is to platoon him at 1B with Kirilloff going forward, needs to PLAY 1B in St. Paul to learn the position to become adequate defensively. He can work there in the winter and in Spring Training. To me, learning a position in the Show when your Team is in a Pennant race/Division race is not a good idea. If Julien goes down, Miranda as key pinch hitter - 3B twice a week - DH twice a week…… that’s 17-18 AB’s per week - projects to 306 more AB’s……,gets him into high teens for homers and a chance to show consistency.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Santana was supposed to be late inning D, pinch hitter, & everyday 1B v. LH pitching. Wallner absolutely collapsed, Buxton out hurt, so Kirilloff has to play Left field v. RH pitching & Larnach is DH - gotta fill out the line-up with Santana hitting left handed at 1B. If Buxton can play CF & Castro can man left field - Kirilloff at 1B - Larnach as DH v. RH pitching, it’s all good!! To me, for a brief 3-4 week reset, Julien is the guy to go down. He hasn’t hit a HR since April 25th!!! Miranda plays 3B twice a week and is DH once or twice per week - couple shots at pinch hitter if appropriate. That’s his level right now. Putting a poor defender at 1B isn’t smart.
  20. JD-TWINS
    Kirilloff has 5 HR & 14 XBH total Santana has 7 HR & 13 XBH total Guerrero has 5 HR & 15 XBH total Castro has 4 HR & 19 XBH total Guerrero has been on a big heater for last, roughly 14 days, and his average has shot up to .295 with a couple of 4 hit games - commendable. Seems to me he blends right in above with our middle of the pack to lower end guys! Where’s the “thump”? He’s been criticized all of last year and the first 6-7 weeks of this year for underperforming & inconsistency. Don’t see the attraction and the potential issue signing him after ‘25.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Jorge has been emotionally uneven since he came into my vision in summer of ‘22. I hope he can get stabilized and back into the game at some point in the near future……..he seems to need some help.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Jeffers IS a lesser defensive catcher. Real stuff. Jeffers has been spiraling downward at the plate. Having him catch MORE doesn’t seem to be the prudent move. Jeffers has had a bunch of opportunity at the plate as DH (on his days off behind the plate) & he can’t play every day……,the whole basis of playing in a platoon.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Somebody needs to “gift” Jeffers some success at the plate……..down 65 points from 15 days ago……he is struggling Big Time. Did anyone see Vazquez throw out the tying run in the 9th inning???
  24. JD-TWINS
    I don’t think he is catching MORE games. When have they not strictly alternated games this year? If he does catch more often than “he’s deserving” it’s so Jeffers can/could DH. Jeffers can’t catch and DH……. he also can’t play every day. Threw out go ahead run in 9th last night. He’s been nothing but very solid on defense. He makes $10M per year, not $15, per a couple comments. Also, he’s not going anywhere!! What happens if they let him go with some creative move (can’t dump his salary to anyone in the game - right?) & 2 weeks later Jeffers gets hurt. We have a Team ready to win with ZERO EXPERIENCE at catcher. Camargo hasn’t shown he’s really any different hitter than Vazquez in the Show. Gotta have depth and live with the positives along with the negatives.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Throwing the tying run out in the 9th as well!
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