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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    He’s the emergency guy, came up as Catcher with Dodgers - I live in Cincinnati so am pretty familiar with him - good guy - needs a HOT streak!
  2. JD-TWINS
    Regarding Paddack & rest: Does he have any options? Do not think so. He could get a breather from this week’s start until after the All-star Break. He could go on IL with arm fatigue or some associated ill & Festa could throw at home against the Tigers on the 3rd and Varland could throw the 8th in Chicago………one option. Many ways to get him a break. Assuming a skipped start for SWR wouldn’t hurt either to get him closer to 10 days off through the Break.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Can’t imagine he’d get any other opportunities other than a possible minor league deal…..he’d be risking $900K - $1M. I really don’t want to see him in the roster again.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Can’t imagine he’d get any other opportunities other than a possible minor league deal…..he’d be risking $900K - $1M. I really don’t want to see him in the roster again.
  5. JD-TWINS
    MLB Network this morning backed up stats shown above here as they were praising Margot’s last 30 games - .830 OPS ……MLB average OPS is down this year to .706 at this point. Until he slumps across the board AND Kirilloff/Wallner/Lee/Julien push their way on to the 26-man ……Margot is the guy. If Lee or Julien are heated up enough offensively to play 2B they’ll move Castro to LF in a heartbeat. Somebody's gotta step-up to displace Martin - Farmer - Margot. All 3 of them are playing pretty well right now. Farmer has OPS+ of 88, 92, & 100 from ‘21-‘23 and his BA’s have been .263, .255, & .256 in those same 3 years. I still have confidence that he can get back to League average by Sept. 1st (.240) …….he’s only 33, can’t be toast yet.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Mike - my guy that hits a double was rhetorical - an example of my Q, why are random offensive events more important than specific defensive plays? I hear that it’s about RUNS & spread of score but if the pitcher doesn’t allow runs, he’s creating the capability for a “spread” in the score to occur. It seems to be an “event” stat. A pitcher can’t get 8 outs with one pitch but a hitter can hit a 3 run homer. Bottom line, for ME, it’s a shallow view of the game.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Why, with a 7-6 record & 51% of the season remaining……why is he not going to be able to have a decent season? His K to Walk ratio is 101-19. 10.3 K’s per 9……1.9 Walks per 9. His WHIP is only 1.178 - could get to under 1.100 over next 3 months plus. He’s on pace for approximately 180 innings. His ERA is up due to 3 really poor outings. He can get it back to around 4.00 - not great but better than the 4.50 mark used for Quality Starts. 15-11 with a 4.00 ERA & 200 K’s with a 1.100 WHIP would be a very nice season in the end - not at all Blue Sky thoughts.
  8. JD-TWINS
    I watched the last 8 innings……what does that have to do with questions about WPA? The author says Ober (pitcher) doesn’t get WPA credit because of all of the runs the offense scored. My question is, why do the offensive players get credit for the run spread but the pitcher gets zero credit for shutting the opponent out????? Why is some guy’s double mean more than a strikeout with a guy on base?
  9. JD-TWINS
    Not the “complete game” - the opponent didn’t score and that’s the most he, or any other pitcher can contribute to any win, regardless of the score.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Not here to be difficult but if what you say is true about WPA …….”why did the Team win?” How does Bailey Ober’s shutout on Saturday not merit a big piece of “why the Team won?”…….he didn’t let the opposition score - seems to be a big reason! I know it’s not your fault…….,but how does this make sense?
  11. JD-TWINS
    You in know the opponent and who is pitching for the Twins over at least the next week ……let’s see some of those known wins or known losses before the first pitch is thrown so we can all benefit. 7 of the 16 losses (they all count, understood) were prior to April 17. The Team was not hitting as a Team…..obviously, the opponents pitching plays into that. Team wasn’t hitting against anybody. My point is not to shy away from yours, it is to say they are much more of a complete offense at this point. Right now Paddack & Lopez appear to be the weakest links, and if that’s true the Team is in decent shape going forward. Kansas City - Boston - Washington - Seattle - Milwaukee are all playoff teams and Twins are 13-6 v. these clubs…..it’s not all bad.
  12. JD-TWINS
    Saw on MLB that Randy Johnson threw 82 pitches in a complete game (8 inning) loss v. Pittsburgh……..,Ober, obviously, threw 9 innings and kept it at 89.
  13. JD-TWINS
    1) It seems to me that Carlos Correa is the most deserving……….Santana is actually having a very good year as compared to A.L. first baseman……..Griffin Jax is All-Star caliber. 2) Lopez seems to have some real execution issues with his sweeper and his change-up. Fastballs get hit but these other two pitches being left in the middle of the zone too often are hurting him. WALKS are his real downfall - he doesn’t seem to be able to work through giving up a walk mentally - that’s scary. Honestly, he hasn’t been right in more than 35-40% of his starts………. without injury, it would seem that there nearly has to be a fair amount of improvement. 3) Buxton seems to have settled in with a routine relative to playing time and his role. He’s definitely the most talented #7 hitter in the game. I like him down in the order as it stretches our XBH potential through the line-up. I do think he’ll improve through balance of the year with his power numbers. He seems to be a guy that runs into a fastball occasionally - punishes curve balls in zone - OK on inner third of the plate - can’t hit sliders nor lay off sliders (his big hole forever). Gotta get to 15 HR’s through balance of the year……not first half ‘22 output. 4) Yankees? I think Team can manipulate the members of the Pen to make it a strength in October (Paddack - Varland - Stewart) & the strong Pen allows the starters to ratchet up their approach with a 5 inning max expectation. The line-up has nice length right now………should add a guy or two into the current player mix……..may be able to go with 14 guys & 12 arms for a couple series to help get to the Yankees. Arizona was in the Series last year - Twins can beat anyone in October if healthy! 5) No Mauer trip for me but it could be a bunch of fun! 6) I hope Jeffers can find himself over the next few weeks - need him making contact to right side again while popping a few HR’s for Team to have good success.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Good comments/overview - am on the more Wins & best case side of the ledger.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Maybe Lee will play 3B? Lewis can play LF. Castro & Julien at 2B …….lots of options…..Royce seems overwound to have in the infield to me but am sure that’s not popular. Don’t get the over 50% of throws being on hop or more? Anyway, I agree about the purpose of the minor league’s and development. But saying that and then stating that the veterans should get jettisoned so we can determine what to do for next year by playing youth immediately makes no sense to me. Santana - CC - Lewis - Jeffers - Vazquez are fixtures in the infield…….Castro - Farmer - Miranda are auxiliary pieces……Lee could/should be in this mix soon…..,Julien on outside looking in right now. Keppler - Buxton - Larnach - Martin - Margot are the OF pieces………I do not see any other “youth” breaking into this group for a month unless Keppler or someone else is injured.
  16. JD-TWINS
    So if they think Lee is ready offensively, to me, he’s ready. Cannot be any worse than Julien at this point last year……If he comes up Castro can patrol LF……win, win!
  17. JD-TWINS
    Not the only one, nearly unanimous, that Castro should be a Utility/Bench guy. Why? He’s leading the Team in AB’s - he’s hitting .272 as a switch hitter - he’s got 2.3 WAR through June 21……a virtual lock to get to 4.0 WAR which is very good. His OPS+ is 121 ……why would ANY TEAM dial him back? Brooks Lee will shine when he’s ready……..Wallner is not too much different than the guy sent down in early April. His OBP last year was .370…….too lofty an expectation for ‘24 - granted. But, his walk rate isn’t changing and he still strikes out way too much………3 hits in 14 AB’s recently & all 3 were Homers - fantastic. He made outs 11 times and 9 times they were strikeouts. Hardly an offensive savior! Boushley???
  18. JD-TWINS
    Margot has hardly been a pleasing watch for Twin’s fans so far!……..however, citing failure early in the season (5-6 weeks) & then additional failure (last 5-6 games) leaves out the other 7 weeks……..he had a stretch from about May 20 - June 14 where he hit .371 over 23 games. He’s hitting .280 v. LH pitching for the year - that’s his deal, along with outfield depth (not good) & pinch hitting (terrible)…..to be fair, he gets sent to the plate as a PH v. LH pitchers but then the opposition counters with RH pitching. Really not his fault that Wallner and later Kirilloff fell flat on their faces at the plate. Margot is getting more reps because we’re short a LH bat that’s effective in the OF. Lee up soon & at 2B lets the Team alleviate the problem by putting Castro back in the grass. Martin is also a better option, apparently, than Margot v. RH pitching.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Don’t watch.
  20. JD-TWINS
    I’m pointing out your disagreement with my post that states Wallner has struck out at a 64% rate over his past 14AB’s and should not be called up. That’s it - no Alzheimer’s - no picking arguments with myself - no wish to be down on Wallner other than stating his performance isn’t up to standards.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Choose your stats of choice….,his performance is better than it was 7-8 weeks ago. OBP? OPS? BA is one indicative stat - if a guy is hitting .100 he’s not doing much right.
  22. JD-TWINS
    The goal is to get production from the players you have available and to try & win as many games as possible. The “I don’t think he’ll keep it up” is moot until he doesn’t keep it up. The guy has most HR’s & most RBI on the Team! Absolutely no reason & no logic I buy into that says he should be sitting. Julien doesn’t play 1B. I think Royce Lewis should play LF or 1B so Lee can play 3B & whoever earns 2B (Julien/Castro) can play there………unless the organization considers moving him it’s a senseless thing to discuss all the time. Julien gets zero innings at 1B to date and there’s no discussion of him doing so going forward.
  23. JD-TWINS
    ………..If he’s HOT it may be worth a look……..
  24. JD-TWINS
    I guarantee that after 2 games Lee is no less a 2B than Julien was at this point last year!!! If he’s got it may be worth a look for a minimum of 3 weeks…….don’t see the downside?
  25. JD-TWINS
    Walner & Festa & Gonzales for Berrios. Berrios is slightly less costly than Lopez. He’s got about 5-6 years left at $17.5M/yr. He’s a pretty comparable pitcher to Lopez IMO. He could be 1a in the rotation. How much of a rebuild will Toronto be looking at in July? This leaves them some flexibility to work things out with Guerrero or their SS (name?).
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