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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    There’s the Wild Pitch & the 3 walks in an inning that he worked around in a recent outing……..”control” was his problem after health…..can’t be perfect but he’s been better than solid! Innings total is whatever it is - he’s not allowing runs when called upon.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Yep - ROY, lofty thoughts! Hope he’s the Twin’s ROY or the A.L. Central ROY…..that would be great at age 23.
  3. JD-TWINS
    2:40 CST on Thursday…..am hoping Team can ride him for 3 starts to get them to the Break!! Should be fun to watch. Paddack back after 3 full weeks off & a couple refresher sessions to follow…..back July 24th at home. Maybe Festa can fill in for SWR for a start after the Break to give Simeon a little rest as well?
  4. JD-TWINS
    Not a popular thought but if Santana continues to hit through the year…..you’re right, he may be worth another shot at a similar price to this year? He’d be more RH specific than this year……… he would seem to be redundant with Miranda though. Wallner - Kirilloff - Julien ……I’d expect at least two of them to remain in organization if not all 3. Kirilloff is out of options & is becoming a trade piece as time goes by………going to have to package him with another couple guys to get any type of positive return. Just to get people thinking, how about Julien - Kirilloff - Headrick - Gonzales to Toronto for Berrios at the Deadline?? ’25 rotation: Lopez - Berrios - Ryan - Ober - SWR …..,, with BOTH Paddack & Varland in the Pen from the jump…..Stewart, Jax, Topa, Okert, Funderburk, Alcala Kepler & Santana & Margot & Thielbar & Farmer (gone) create some serious $$ to spend on an effective & fairly durable starter in Berrios……signed through ‘28 with player options after ‘26.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Agreed, the few vets that can be moved on from in ‘25, this action will be pursued. Kepler - Farmer - Margot - Santana - Thielbar….about $32M in salary at this year’s rates………if he remains stable & fairly productive, it’s possible to re-sign Kepler for 2 yrs. at maybe $13M per year? You have 11 guys in the mix above for 13 spots. Gotta believe that there’s no realistic way out of the Vazquez contract/situation……$10M sunk through ‘25. Therefore, I don’t see Camargo on the roster unless there’s an injury, through next season. Vazquez/Jeffers Miranda/Kirilloff Lee/Julien/Correa/Lewis (tough to fit Lee & Julien on same roster as both excel batting LH) Larnach - Martin - Buxton - Castro - Wallner As you stated, DH by committee. That’s roughly $77-$80M in salaries. Buxton/Vazquez/Correa make up around $60M. Wallner - Kirilloff - Julien all seem to be the most vulnerable for a trade or being at AAA in ‘25…….hoping these guys (at least 2 of them) turn it around next month!!!
  6. JD-TWINS
    Lee sounds more than reasonable………..Can still only carry 26 guys at a time - right???
  7. JD-TWINS
    I think Lee displaces Martin & then he’s in front of Kiersey again…..
  8. JD-TWINS
    He has not mastered the strikeout issue & it is a pretty good assumption that this issue is what’s keeping him from being in LF for big club. He gets to 25% for a handful of games & then 35% for 8 games. He’s always going to K as a power hitter but he needs to trim them some. I think it’s Lee for Martin - just because it’s “too early” to DFA a guy who is trending up for over a month (Farmer). The hesitation probably stems from Martin not playing poorly - he looks average or better at a minimum. Camargo is probably just depth for the remainder of the Vazquez deal, through ‘25.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Sounds like Topa and Stewart are both at least throwing a bit again. Getting one or both of these guys back by August 1 would be a real boost! Who gets removed from 26-man (what pitcher) in the next few days to make room for the spot starter???? …..Could Thielbar get DFA’d? ……he certainly isn’t high on the usage list lately
  10. JD-TWINS
    Completely agree - very unfortunate for Canterino - but bringing him up as having any kind of future at all, let alone August (??), it seems we are discussing a fictional character. I don’t think he’s put together a month w/o injury or at least that’s how it feels. Am certainly not expecting him to contribute at all this year.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Who threw the ball off line to first allowing 3rd run to score last week? (Lewis) …..should have been 3rd out in inning. Who got thrown out at 3B when tagging up at 2B in the 10th inning? (Lewis) Who walked #9 hitter with 2 outs last night? (Alcala) Off top of my head, these 3 of last 4 one run losses that have zero to do with the Manager.
  12. JD-TWINS
    Don’t get the criticism for bringing in Alcala? That situation is him doing his job. Bullpen was completely rested going into the game. He walked a guy (#9 hitter) after getting first 2 outs……gave up an ugly run…….not the Manager’s fault. Jeffers has been played less (no DH role) for 3-4 weeks because he was in an absolute free fall. He hit the ball great last night and has shown signs of coming around lately……no reason to re-write how poorly he hit for a month. I think last night was his first, maybe 2nd HR of June? Glad to see Buxton & Jeffers pick up the back end of the line-up!
  13. JD-TWINS
    How is the guy leading the Game in hits not able to hit? Julien - Wallner - Kirilloff are the guys that can’t hit.
  14. JD-TWINS
    I forgot you are a retired GM
  15. JD-TWINS
    We have found out that Lee has a long term back issue and Julien forgot how to conduct himself in the batter’s box………Castro can play LF 70% of the time if he needs a spot w/o disrupting anything. Gonzales is a prospect that may help the Team in 2028…..moving a prospect arm (AA or A) and/or a guy that has experience in the Show to get an offensive threat seems like a logical move. Boushley - Winder - Headrick are all options, that as individuals, don’t sting the organization at all with their absence. How excited would Correa - Miranda - Buxton - Kepler be knowing Arraez was along side them down the stretch? He’s got 104 hits (most AB’s too) …..it’s like adding Volpe of Yankees into the line-up (not the speed nor defense) - Arraez hits 50 points higher ….. his OBP is 20 points higher …..OPS+ is 4 points higher. There’s no terrible downside.
  16. JD-TWINS
    DH him - play him at 1B - where’s Eddie this year…..doubtful he’s pushing for a Gold Glove.
  17. JD-TWINS
    Seriously? Julien, our starting 2B got sent down while hitting .205 and not hitting a HR for as long as Arraez……right now our Utility guy is stuck at one spot because other options are risky or meager…..could use him in LF and to be able to float as needed. Arraez v. Julien is pretty much a wash on defense at 2B…..he could play 1B as well v. RH pitching to get Santana off the field as needed when hitting from left side. His OBP is .350 and his OPS+ is 112. He can lead off, bat second, or even hit in 5 hole and drive somebody in about 50% of his opportunities.
  18. JD-TWINS
    What if the organization flipped the emphasis away from pitching?…….“let’s trade for offense” & make the best of what we have for pitching? Lee to 3B……Miranda at 3B v. LH pitching Lewis to DH ……floats on defense a bit….a little SS - maybe some 3B - maybe get some work at 1B? Castro to the OF to spell Buxton - Kepler - and play fairly regularly in LF The TRADE is for Luis Arraez to play 2B every day. Tatis just went to the IL & Darvish has a sore elbow……..they don’t love “prospects” but a young arm from AA guy and maybe a Winder/Headrick type could get their interest……..maybe a AA pitcher and Julien and Gonzales? He’s probably $13M next year…..his OBP and ability to create traffic up front in the line-up would be huge! Arraez -2B….Castro -LF….Lewis -DH….Kepler -RF….Correa -SS….Lee -3B….Buxton -CF ….Santana -1B….Jeffers -C That is a long line-up for post trade deadline!!!! Miranda - Vazquez - Farmer - Larnach is short-term bench…….Martin or Wallner may scoop Farmer’s spot in August? I mentioned in an earlier post, TWINS are #2 in A.L. since April 21 in Runs Scored behind Yankees. With Arraez Twins rival anyone in baseball with their line-up.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Not personal, but I don’t get why ANYONE thinks Texas, who has been paying for & waiting for Sherzer all year, would entertain trading him. They are the defending Champions and they potentially have Tyler Mahle & Jacob deGrom coming in another 4-6 weeks. All they need is pitching with that line-up. Just now coming up to the half way point of the schedule. I just can’t imagine them moving Sherzer.
  20. JD-TWINS
    Cannot imagine Wallner up before Lee……the 40-man spot is a key detail. Castro out to the grass & Lee getting reps at 2B works for me. Festa would need a 40-man spot as well. Maybe Thielbar is a surprise DFA in a couple days?? Stewart to 60 day IL would get Festa a spot in short-term…..,somebody earlier said Stewart would be available again around August 12. Not a bad move. However they backfill the roster, should be a good 20 days plus off for Paddack!!
  21. JD-TWINS
    SWR is good, IMO - just don’t know if he’ll hold up. With the recent IL decision on Paddack, we probably will get a feel for Festa and a bit more of Varland prior to A-star Break. Should be a window into how desperate they might be.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Pivetta pitches for the Red Sox - they are currently a game behind the Twins and are in line for the Playoffs - not happening. Fedde would cost a fair amount because of control in ‘25 and I doubt the Twins want to give the Sox a head-start on a re-build …..,.same situation with Detroit and Flaherty. she is only on a one year deal so they are a possibility - I think some Team in the market will give more than Twins would. I’m still in love with Montgomery from off-season. Could be easier dealing with AZ as they are in the N.L. and they might want to save the $$$ - a third of his $25M????
  23. JD-TWINS
    I get wanting to “get better”…..regardless of opponent recently the Team’s won somewhere around 11 of last 15 with 3 straight one run losses mixed in there. Hardly problematic. TWINS have scored 2nd most runs in A.L. since April 21st, trailing only the Yankees. Lewis just started playing 15 games ago. We’re OK. This is people’s reality - it’s not entertainment to them. Saying that you would “prefer to roll the dice” with a couple guys that are talented has some emotional merit - it makes zero sense for organization to get rid of a guy whose OPS is .830 over last 30 games - League average OPS is .706 as of yesterday on MLB network. Kirilloff is hurt….. he was hitting .202. Wallner is still striking out at a 33% rate. Rolling the dice with them just doesn’t add up to me. To me, when guys improve you continue to play them…….you don’t search for a trade partner. They were brought in at a sunk cost to do exactly what they’ve been doing for past 5 plus weeks……I do not see them going anywhere other than being DFA’d after July 31 due to lack of performance. There’s no getting ahead of the curve with these guys to get some future value in a trade.
  24. JD-TWINS
    I think Paddack starts this week…. and regardless of that success I then hope for a start from Festa on the 3rd (Detroit) & then a start from Varland on the 8th (White Sox), all while Paddack is on the 15 day IL for some arm issue. He’d get 15 days off and then another 4-5 after the break before he’d start again, at a minimum. Varland stays stretched out through August as SWR & Paddack are both pretty high risk at this point. After August 1, Festa and company are the back-up starters from AAA corp. …….,I eluded to a Jordan Montgomery trade in another post - that would be like hearing the Calvary coming!!! Varland & Stewart for last 6-7 weeks in the Pen would be nice……..Paddack in October as well. Lee is the call-up guy at some point in July. Who gets moved is the Q? I still think Martin would get optioned and Castro would go out on the grass……at least until after the deadline.
  25. JD-TWINS
    First, if they pitch nearly up to speed - neither of these clubs is incapable of catching the Mariners - not selling arms, either team! Relying on either of these plus 40 guys in “must perform” situations is good & BAD. Their talent and experience are huge but their propensity to breakdown is way too much in play!! The “move” is for the Twins to take out the D-Backs the next few days, softening their record & them on a potential trade of Montgomery at the Deadline or sooner. Their recent history (last year) getting to the Series with a blah record in regular season makes this a stretch but it could be a nice fit for player & Twins! …….will D-Backs consider selling????
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