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Bradfoot

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Everything posted by Bradfoot

  1. Bradfoot
    If we are ever able to quantify the increase in production that these provide, I think we will find it to be very minimal increases and only applies to particular players. But if it adds a few points to your OPS then you better take it. I don't think this will take anyone from average to superstar like people seem to think. The hype is only happening because a very good Yankee lineup trounced a pitcher that they know better than anyone else. If it originated from a team like the Diamondbacks (2nd in runs/game), I think it would be a couple minor articles that already fizzled out.
  2. Bradfoot
    Every time someone is sent down it presents an opportunity for someone else. I would rather they have someone fresh than possibly finding themselves in a situation where you have to choose between overpitching someone to injury or going with a position player. I have no concerns with how things currently are.
  3. Bradfoot
    Not a bad signing for the Tigers but it is still a decent risk for them. After all, Maeda is entering his late 30's and has averaged less than 70 innings per season over the last 4 years. A decent pitcher when healthy but if we are going to trim payroll and still try to be competitive it's understandable to not be excited to tie up 12M on a question mark.
  4. Bradfoot
    It's hard to imagine a team that has stated it plans to cut payroll adding the 26M Goldschmidt or 24M Alonzo contracts.
  5. Bradfoot
    The bottom half is good though. It means less injured players. 19th most injured players means 11th fewest. It was only 2022 that we ranked high with reds, pirates, cubs.
  6. Bradfoot
    Deep dive into number of players injured each of last 5 years. Seems like 2022 was an outlier. MLB 2022 Injured Reserve Tracker | Spotrac 2022 - Twins ranked 3rd with 32 players injured (team) (number of players) (number of days) (amount of money on injured list) Cincinnati Reds 37 2,638 $33,712,787 Pittsburgh Pirates 34 1,730 $10,499,570 Chicago Cubs 32 2,158 $45,160,984 Minnesota Twins 32 2,363 $32,712,075 San Francisco Giants 31 1,462 $39,365,278 2021 Twins ranked 16th most injured players with 28 2020 Twins ranked 19th most with 14 players 2019 Twins ranked 16th most with 19 players 2018 Twins ranked 19th with 18 players
  7. Bradfoot
    Should be interesting watching the Sano critics who obsess over batting average react to Gallo this year.
  8. Bradfoot
    The mega deal makes more sense to me for the Mets. The Giants don't seem to be ready to capitalize on the first few years of this deal like the Mets are. At the same time, I wonder what the Mets will look like in 5 years when all these expensive players are hitting their mid 30's. The Mets will probably be able to stomach all these deals even if/when the players have fallen off but it certainly seems like they are all-in now and will deal with the consequences later. Sounds like the Giants got cold feet and were looking for an out. Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle tweets, the “Giants flagged something in [Correa’s] physical and doctors disagreed.”
  9. Bradfoot
    The White Sox seem to be hitting their stride. This can still be a very scary lineup. I'm starting to see them as the favorite. Since August 1st Eloy Jiminez .366/.444/.565 190wRC+ Jose Abreu .329/.377/.401 124 wRC+ Elvis Andrus .303/.340/.528 147 wRC+ Lance Lynn 1.81 ERA 10.51 k/9 Dylan Cease 2.18 ERA Cueto 2.87 ERA
  10. Bradfoot
    The article says Lucas Gioloto has a 75.27 ERA. I expect some more offense today.
  11. Bradfoot
    I think the Twins will continue to play like they have been and finish at or slightly above .500. The question is will that be enough. The division is awful and will likely be up for grabs until the end. The new playoff format might be interesting this season though. As things are right now, the lowest seed in the AL (Rays) would play the 3rd seed (Guardians/Twins) while having a better record than them. If they win that game, they would face the 2nd seed. On the other hand, the first wild card team or 4th seed (Blue Jays) would face the 5th seed (Mariners) that currently has 3 more wins than the 3rd seed then play the 1st seed if they move on. It seems like the 6th seed will have an easier path than the 4th seed because of the weak Central division.
  12. Bradfoot
    I don't think the trade calculators are capable of valuing a potential future trade properly. For instance, Miami does not need to trade Lopez. There is no urgency for that. Larnach and Steer may seem like an even trade to the calculators but does that trade value convince Miami to sell someone that they have no reason to sell? I don't think so. I think a seller trading a highly regarded player with 2.5 years of cheap control would be reasonable to expect to "win" the trade by a fairly wide margin. It would take more than Larnach/Steer to get Lopez.
  13. Bradfoot
    I don't really see Miami parting with a great starter that still has 2 full years left. They could find a corner outfielder of Larnach's caliber much easier than replacing Lopez. They want to be competitive next season and I believe Lopez would be a big part of that. I think odds are better of them finding an extension for Lopez in the next 2.5 years instead of trading him. I could see him getting a deal similar to what they gave Sandy Alcantara last offseason, buy out the arb years and get 2-3 additional years.
  14. Bradfoot
    The 13th ammendment does have to do with this since you saying the consequence of breach of contract is forced servitude. The 13th ammendment does not allow that behavior. If there was a breach of contract it would be more of a early termination fee or barring him from working for a competitor which I don't think they can do in this case since it is not another pro baseball team. Finding a substitute is nowhere close to impossible. Even if the Twins did not promote the most logical person (the assistant), there are hundreds of candidates available. If the Twins wanted to go the college route again they can talk to any of those that just finished their season. There are also hundreds of past pitching coaches out of work, former players that would like an opportunity to coach, etc. Making the argument that Wes Johnson is the only person in the world that can be our pitching coach next week is not at all true. "During a pennant race" is also not true. We have not met the halfway point of the season yet. He cannot be forced to finish the season, there may be a penalty for ending the contract early but there is no legal method of forcing him to coach the remainder of the season against his will.
  15. Bradfoot
    The 13th amendment specifically says Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except for a crime which they have been convicted, shall exist in the United States of America. Employment contracts are not fully enforceable, there may be penalties for breaking it or non-compete clauses but that would depend on the contract. Even if the team doesn't give their blessing, the player or coach can absolutely leave. In most cases they would only forfeit the remaining money and not be able to sign with another team in the same league for a set period of time. Since the NCAA is not affiliated with the NFL or MLB in any way, the NFL and MLB don't have any say in who is hired by NCAA. A non-compete clause would not be applicable in this move since he is not moving to another MLB team. The Twins are not in competition with LSU.
  16. Bradfoot
    You can't fault the guy for making what he must feel is the best decision for himself and his family. As we have seen many times, the teams don't show much loyalty when the team is under performing or if a better opportunity is available.
  17. Bradfoot
    I watched a couple of those White Sox games against Cleveland. Some of the sloppiest defense I have ever seen. Dallas Keuchel must be frustrated that he got charged for 8 runs when his infield was booting groundball after groundball. They were very generous with the hit ruling in that one.
  18. Bradfoot
    The Microsoft Mariners of Seattle and the U.S. Bank Twins of Minnesota will play a 3 game series at T Mobile Park. The first pitch is brought to you by Arby's "they have the meat." Lets take a look at the starting lineup brought to you by..... Theres the 3rd out brought to you by All State, "you're in good hands." Now lets pause for 3 minutes of uninterrupted advertising.
  19. Bradfoot
    With this small of a sample size it is pointless to analyze batted ball data, 4 batted balls without a hard hit would make Larnach's 50% hard-hit rate become 38%. But since we are playing this game, it is curious that you highlighted Larnach and not Nick Gordon. His sample size is even more ridiculous at 6 events (compared to 14 for Larnach) but I wouldn't have bet they would average over 95MPH. Nick Gordon - Average Exit Velocity 95.7 (3rd on Twins), Hard-Hit rate 66.7 (14 plate appearances) Trevor Larnach - Average Exit Velocity 88.4 (11th on Twins), Hard-Hit rate 50 (19 plate appearances)
  20. Bradfoot
    Perfect games and No hitters are romanticized feats hyped up by the sports media. Are they cool and impressive? Absolutely! Do they mean anything in a team's quest to win a championship? No! Any team trying to win a championship should be focused on the big picture and protecting an injury-prone pitcher in his first start of the year, after a weird Spring Training schedule, on a cold day, and with a huge lead makes perfect sense to me. I support the Dodgers decision.
  21. Bradfoot
    I wouldn't say a 26-year-old pitcher with 300 major league innings is obviously in decline.
  22. Bradfoot
    16 strikeouts too. 4 of his 6 runs allowed came from a grand slam. He had a nice Spring for whatever that is worth. His ceiling is much higher than Paddock's (and pretty much all of our young pitchers). You are correct, Rogers would not land him in a one for one.
  23. Bradfoot
    Love this signing. It would be a bummer if he opts out after 1 year though. Shocking that he agreed to 3 years, thought for sure he would find one of those absurdly long deals that burns the team for last 3-4 years.
  24. Bradfoot
    For me it is about how good the American League is looking this year. It's possible that the East produces four 90 win teams again. Houston should be solid again, Seattle, LAA, and maybe texas could be interesting. The Twins better do really well against central teams.
  25. Bradfoot
    This trade seems to fall in line with my speculation that Gray could be traded if we are not in the mix for a playoff spot. They can easily dump Urshela, and Sanchez for more prospects at the deadline. Adding to it is that we removed the riskier years of Donaldson's contract as he approaches 40. Every move so far seems like we are taking a chance on competing this year without locking us into an immediate win-now window. If we fall out of the race again, we can look to unload any of Urshela, Sanchez, Gray, Kepler, Duffey, Bundy and get another influx of nearly ready prospects to help in 23 and beyond.
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