On a couple of cold winter days I went through the top 100 list and looked at outcomes. The outcomes were different for pitchers and hitters. The bust rate for pitchers was much higher and pretty much did not matter where they were ranked, Hitters was different. Where they finished in the rankings made a difference Top 10 was a high percentage of success. 10-20 a little less successful. 20-30 another drop. Past that the results were similar. Dropping in the rankings was even less successful. Dropping out was almost all busts. However, the once’s that did not bust in the last two categories were pretty exceptional. Memory says three of those were Judge, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. The specifics are a forgotten memory.