old nurse
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Everything posted by old nurse
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Looking Back at the 2019 Twins Draft Class
old nurse replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
- 47 replies
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- keoni cavaco
- matt wallner
- (and 7 more)
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Looking Back at the 2019 Twins Draft Class
old nurse replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Steer in 488 games has produces 5 bwar,, 4.5 fwar WRC101 Wallner in 225games has produced 4.5. BwarI, 5.1 FWAR and 131 WRC+. In what universe is Steer the better player?- 47 replies
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- keoni cavaco
- matt wallner
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Ryan would have been a Red Sox if they would have matched the Twins’ price. Falvey or Zoll (dear autocorrect, I did not want Zola, why are you so persistent?) can only trade him once so expect a high price as they would have to win the trade. Will he be traded? Not until the deadline. Of course by the deadline all those prospects listed in Seth’s other article will be leading the Twins to the top of the division.
- 121 replies
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- joe ryan
- jeremy zoll
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(and 2 more)
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Road to a Rebound: Royce Lewis
old nurse replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yup, better contact, go the other way, more barrels,, walk more, strikeout less, better this or that from the metrics. Pretty much the problem with any hitter,. Just do it says Nike easier said than done -
Pitch count. Snell was at 101, That is a normal pitch count. Snell was efficient. Yamamoto was 111. Not grossly over a pitch count. Glasnow was 99, Ohtani 100 They were also going to each have a long rest. They couldn’t do that in the regular season. Also note how the Dodgers have so many overuse injuries.
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Pitch location is critical. It is on the pitcher to do it. If a blogger can figure that out about the pitcher, teams in baseball have people who figure that out with all of the data they have available. How to correct it is the age old problem. Putting a. Ball an inch left/right/up/down is easier said than done.
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23 to 24 Lewis slumped, Farmer slumped, Jeffers and Castro regressed. Julian imploded. Hitting coach Popkins
- 44 replies
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- vladimir guerrero jr.
- george springer
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Hoffman went to the Phillies and became good there
- 44 replies
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- vladimir guerrero jr.
- george springer
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All you hear from fans is complaints about winning yet in 2023 when the team was winning there was a real lot of empty seats.
- 44 replies
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- vladimir guerrero jr.
- george springer
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What Will Minnesota Twins Do with Matt Wallner?
old nurse replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Look up a lot of the trades Miami has made, the 5 for 1 trades- 101 replies
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- matt wallner
- trevor larnach
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(and 1 more)
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Managerial selection: a broader opportunity
old nurse commented on ashbury's blog entry in Left Coast Bias
Are Cashman and the guy in LA great GMs or does the money mean they can buy all the right players? Billy Beane has cycled up and down with the Athletics. They wouldn’t write a book or a movie now. He is still employed. Is he a genius now like then? John Mozeliak produced winners in St Louis, until he did not and got early retirement. Did he forget what made him successful? Andy McPhail was the Boy Wonder after winning 2 championships, Never at a loss for a job but never ended a season with a big win. Terry Ryan had a string of success, came out of retirement to have a total system failure. That bunch that was a total system failure was called Ryan’s core when the team won a division under Falvey. Is Falvey competent? Maybe, maybe not. He probably came up sounding competent in the interview talking about pitching. He might be as competent as the developer of an internet site that has a system that regularly crashes in the middle of a note, The competency will be evaluates on the next wave of pitching. He certainly had a half dozen relievers get better while he was leader. Was it competence to trade them all will not be determinable right now. Is it competency when a lot of the arms start blowing out? With the random thought out of the way, here is the random opinion. Baseball is a game of adjustments, One of the hardest adjustments is to change what a team drafts or signs as amateurs. Baseball when Falvey took over was on the position player side was becoming 3 outcome baseball. Note that for all three outcomes defense isn’t part of the equation. The focus is offense. The money for position players always has been offense. They draft for offense, Problem was the shift by MLB in the ball they used. That shifted the metrics on the three outcomes, HR were not as easy to come by, Third row power became warning track power. Contact became important. When contact, ie ball in play, became important, thus the defense matters. The metrics on what works change in baseball. How quickly a FO adjusts is the competency. The other part of competency is trades. What is winning a trade? Losing a trade is hard to define. The Dodgers paid the cash but the Margot trade was a loss. Luis Arraez won batting titles, Lopez got Cy votes. Did either team really lose that trade? The DeScalfini trade, the Giants pretty much paid his salary. Topa was injured again, the prospects were still developing. Polanco played so well his option was not picked up. Has anybody won at that point? Assessing trades can take longer than many people’s attention spans will allow. That makes it hard to assess trades. That makes it hard to assess competency. So what is the fan to do to assess competency of the FO? When the team loses over 90 games, finishes out of the playoff, loses in the playoffs, or otherwise does something the fan does not like there is only one thing for the fan to do. That is thump their chest, holler they know baseball and utter an expletive filled tirade about the competency of the front office. How does the owner decide competency? 3 ways. Pocketbook is one. Make the owner money. Whim is number 2. It is called dysfunctional franchise. Way number 3 is unproven but maybe having the pictures or some documentation for leverage helps. Circling back to where I started. Cashman has every advantage and how many years has it been since a World Series win? Almost a whole generation? He must have leverage. -
Road to a Rebound: Brooks Lee
old nurse replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well, I was going to say Cuddyer. Mauer and Morneau were pretty talented from the get go, Hunter had a couple of years of OTJ major league learning before he blossomed, as did Cuddyer -
Scratch Suzuki off the list. He is going to manage the Angels
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Road to a Rebound: Brooks Lee
old nurse replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The last player to be fully developed into a complete player by the Twins was Torii Hunter. That was so long ago that Torii’s kid has come and gone in baseball -
Developmental players, fill in players, change of scenery players, below average players and adjust, adapt and overcome players Keaschall, Lee, Roden, Martin and Rodriguez are developmental players. Development is non linear has been a mantra here, except when it doesn’t fit the narrative. Lewis, Wallner, Miranda and Julian are slightly past that level. They could hit until the pitching adjusted. They are the adjust and adapt stage. Doubtful for 2 of them. Outman was a change of scenery guy. Great rookie campaign. Adjustments tried? Probably happened. Change of scenery? The team tried Roden out before Outman, so there is your expectation level. Larnach has had up down alternating years. Last year was the down cycle. Still a below average for a starter player. The rest of the list with their amount of playing time is why league average is a useless stat. Nobody should consider these players as anything but fill in. That is how they ended up on the roster.
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The question was asked why the Twins pivoted from spending money. It was an obtuse analogy, not a poor one. They had 2 star players in Correa and Buxton, traded for or signed 3 players. They gambled and they hoped by winning that the team would be back to sellouts, a full house. Drawing a hight three of a kind in draw is long odds. You fail, you pivot from the high stakes, and go back to penny ante.

