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beckmt

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Everything posted by beckmt

  1. My feeling about Colume is that he is great on an average or below average team, but not as good if the expectations are high. Don't want this side show again.
  2. Twins have a ton of close minor league talent and no way of knowing how good any of it is. You have to give some of it a chance. I do believe in resigning Pineda, one more FA, and rotating through the upper level good prospects. We might be able to do without the FA, but that would ask a lot of the system this year. I think to get one of the 5 SS, you have to resign Buxton and sign a very good FA pitcher. Otherwise why would one of the top SS come here to play on an average team. Seager is not going back to LA unless they part with Trea Turner, otherwise what do the Dodgers do with Lux? Sieman is too big a recession chance too early in his contract. Twins will not pay Correa, do not want Baez (who has the same issue as many of the Twins players), Story and Seager seem to be the best options for both money and length of contract if you want to go this route. Like the idea of a trade, but like other sites talking about Buxton for pennies on the dollar, the trades I have seen have almost no chance of happening. Modesci is interesting, but the price might well be higher than you think. Maybe it is doable, seems to be a decent idea, but would have to be more than many posters here think to get it done.
  3. If you don't add a couple or three quality arms, you are punting on 2022. I agree we need to look at the young pitchers, but the bulk of them did not pitch major innings in 2021. You must assume most will be on innings limits in 2022 (starters). Relievers are mainly another year away. We might get 1 - 2 in 2022, but counting on them is dangerous. That being said, we are going to have to look at a lot of them next year, because 40 man roster crunch is going to get us, and we can't afford to give away more talent. That may mean making a riskier trade or two to send out more players and get closer players to the majors back.
  4. I agree Buxton is first, but hopefully we are only talking incentives from the base contract that was floated. It is doable. I like Seager, since the Dodgers will probably let him walk. Twins need bullpen and 1 very good starter. That is doable, so we shall see.
  5. Some of the argument is about command and control. Movement and ability to locate the fastball on the top edge of the zone is very important. As many pitchers have proven lack of movement just means a lot of doubles and homers when the fastball gets caught up to.
  6. Movement to me is the key, along with command. A 98 MPH fastball with no movement will eventually get hammered. A 93 MPH fastball with a lot of movement is a big issue to batters. With Mario Rivera most players knew what was coming, with the movement they still could not hit it.
  7. Doubt Stashak will be claimed, We have better prospects to protect and he has a pretty low ceiling.
  8. There are some leagues in the Twin Cities if anyone is interested, I can put you in touch with a couple people. I was in for over 30 years until my wife objected to the time spent.
  9. I don't think it will be tough. Only maybe 4 - 5 of the names I saw will need to be kept. Rest can be DFA'd and hopefully 1 or 2 signed to minor league contracts. Twins had little depth this year, so replacing the marginal players should be automatic. Plus we have a lot of minor leaguers to protect.
  10. I think you will see a lot of guys DFA'ed in time. Turtle, gone. Rooker will be kept as a depth option. Pitchers if Smeltzer, and a host of other relievers are kept, I will be very surprised. Do not expect Colume's option to be exercised. We shall see in a few weeks how this shakes out.
  11. Ok, lets see, 7 spot (usually Rooker or Cave or Sano), 8 spot Jeffers or other catcher outside of Garver, 9 spot Simmons. Question did any of these players have an OBP greater than .300? Unlikey Buxton saw many players on base.
  12. Don't like alot of Rocco's decisions. Hard to evaluate when 2020 was a lost year, and Twins needed their young pitching to develop. We are now a year or two away from seeing the fruits of the pitching coming. Hope it is good or it will all be a waste. Would give Rocco a D+ and feel the best thing this team can do is show him the door and put Rowson in as manager. He seems to connect at least with the hitters. Only defense is the lack of a bench coach exposed issues that had been covered.
  13. The above are you minor league filler. Thielbar will be here, the rest may find opportunities with other or rebuilding clubs. You must protect the future. I know the Twins have several prospects injured, that is a bummer, but you have to deal with it and not give the future away.
  14. The next CBA has a lot to do with this exercise. Also whether the Twins extend Buxton. If they don't and trade him this list will look a lot different with a good number of trades for the next group to be 2024 - 2026. Expecting Buxton to be extended, Rooker, Minaya, and Gordon are the only fringe prospect that i would keep to start. Then add the 6 you need to add, and Palacios, Maybe Severino. You could cut Dobnak, but if next CBA has a salary floor, I can see a Pittsburg or the like taking him. I like Garza jr. , Jax would probably not be claimed and if he is, not a big loss in the scheme of things. Also do not see a lot of use for Gant, and hopefully a trade or two will thing things further. Biggest blow up on this site would be if Vallimont taken in rule 5 and turns out to be a major league starter.
  15. You seem to forget he is hitting at the top of the order, the last 3 hitters in the twins lineup have been bad this year, so his chances have not been as great as you would believe.
  16. First of all, St. Paul should have a great pitching staff to start next year, as I don't see the Twins bringing any of the prospects to Minneapolis to start the year, Position players are not hard. 3 catchers if you do not trade Garver, Sano and Kirlloff at 1B (also Kirloff in the outfield), Polonco at 2B, or SS. Gordon, Miranda, arraez and Donaldson (if not traded) at SS and 3B. Lewis on the 40 man, but not in consideration to start, Palacios I might add as SS depth. Buxton, Kepler, Rooker, Laurach (will probably expect him to start in St. Paul), Celastino and maybe a free agent depth outfielder, that gets me to 18 which is what I expect to have. Only thing that would change if I were bowled over by an offer for Buxton or Polonco for what I felt was a pitcher with a #2 floor and other prospects. You win with pitching. Cleveland has been competitive with their good pitching (even without much hitting).
  17. I can see keeping Rooker, since he still has options if not traded. Buxton seems to be OK with long term, let's get it done. Pohlads have always stepped up for long term face of franchise assets, that is how I view Buxton. If we sign Buxton, can see Kepler and Garver packaged for pitching. Too many holes to fill there. Gordon and Arraez and fine for utility players and should be kept and see plenty of AB's. Cave should be gone. Can see starting Kirlloff in left field and give Laurach some more AAA time until ready. He was rushed this year. If you don't resign Buxton this list is going to look a lot different.
  18. There are other players stated about like Cave and the Turtle, I would move on from first, plus a lot of the injured 40 man roster people Garlick, Refsynder, and other marginal players on the 40 man. He does have an option, which has value, but a trade after the rule 5 draft for pitching is probably the best we can hope for (As a minor part of a package for a mid-level starter.
  19. A lot of pitchers carry the cavet 'when healthy'. You could add Strasburg and Thor to that category. If you add 10 or more years, you find very few pitchers who qualify now, because most of them don't reach the majors until about 25, and 10 years is a long time. That may be the push for the Twins, when not good, get the youngsters up here, don't waste there bullets in the minor leagues. But service time issues play into this a lot, which is too bad. If you only go by world series, remember you need pitchers to get you there. Big Don Newcome was an example of this, won 20 games almost every year, never won a world series game. Right now there is a very small number of aces. Someone earlier counting, 10 was about right.
  20. Jeffers is my chief bounce back player. He still can greatly improve. Kepler as noted above is an issue here, don't have a solution at this time, but cannot make one until Buxton is extended (hopefully not traded).
  21. I agree with most of the above. Issue is what will it cost, we may have better options here. I also don't think Kepler will bring much. Garver might, but will it be worth it. We shall see.
  22. I would rather see if Martin is ready and role multiple players thru SS. That will get us another year to Lewis or Palacous, We need to spend money on pitching. To me we have to extend Buxton or we might as well go to a 3 year plan. I am more in a trade mode to identify a pitcher (Marlins, Cleveland, TB) and send Kepler and others for a decent starting pitcher. Most players on the Twins are decent moneywise, so it could work. For the SS if you are going to buy one, I would look higher up the list, Baez might just get a QO and accept it.
  23. This is all based on whether or not the Twins are able to extend Buxton. I believe they will, because of the PR hit if they cannot. So C - Jeffers, Rortvedt 1B Kirloff, Sano 2nd - Polonco ss - Martin 3B - Arraez LF - Miranda/Laurach CF - Buxton RF - Kepler DH - Sano/ host of others Garver is traded if we can get value, Donaldson is traded to get money for pitching down the road Martin may not be the answer at SS, but I like the idea of pest hitters. Players that make you throw strikes and a host of pitches. This club would seem to do that and become a problem with the bulk of players creating high pitch counts, which will ruin pitching staffs for days after a series with the Twins. This club will not require a huge payroll for the position players. I would funnel that money into really upgrading the pitching staff and running a host of near ready pitchers through to see what we have. Kepler will be here because he has little value at this time. Cleveland, which fits well as a trade partner, is not going to give up a good starter for a package headlined by Kepler.
  24. That would be hard to do, but they are supposed to be the pitching gurus . And some of that was Gardy's one size fits all hitting approach for the Twins. Not playing to the hitter's strengths
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