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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    The Twins 40-man is thin in the lefty department, so I see Moran making the team, but not among the top arms in this pecking order. More a LOOGY, modified by the rule on minimum batters faced. Which is also kind of Thielbar's role (though he's reasonably effective against righties too), so watch out for opponents stacking their batting orders with left-handed hitters.
  2. ashbury
    If Jake Cave or Kyle Garlick is an answer, I refuse to consider the question. Aside from that, here's hoping that Max breaks through to the next level. It's not too late for a career year!
  3. ashbury
  4. ashbury
    AAA would be a splendid, splendid place for the poor fellow to recuperate and make sure there are no lingering effects.
  5. ashbury
    I was just thinking that 3 catchers is a reasonable luxury for a 28 man squad but not for 26. But, when you get down to the nuts and bolts, it's not even as simple as that. Part of my dilemma is not viewing Sanchez as a catcher.
  6. ashbury
    Ugh. Wrong era of the Doobs' repertoire. Tom Johnston, Patrick Simmons, or GTFO.
  7. ashbury
    I don't want a stud at catcher. Oh, sure, I'd take one if he dropped into our laps. But at the expense of passing up a stud at a different position? Nope. Joe Mauer cured me of that. And I think Joe's a Hall of Famer. But a catcher doesn't play enough games compared to other position players, and nobody has the impact on a given game that a pitcher does. Moreover, if your catcher is really that much of a stud, then you will want him as DH on the days you rest his legs, and that puts pressure on your roster. A stud at catcher is a rich team's luxury, in the sense that they probably also can afford a stud DH, meaning that you pay the stud catcher the big bucks to sit, on his days off, like any normal catcher should. I like catchers taken in the 2nd round, don't get me wrong. Rortvedt was an ideal bet.
  8. ashbury
    When's the last time in your estimation we had one of those?
  9. ashbury
    I want Larnach to prove something for a month at AAA. So I'm very much OK with his demotion. Rooker is the easiest final cut for me, again with a challenge to prove something at AAA (either that he's elite and not just passable at bat and can be a DH, or else that he's learned to play a position, any position). Two pitchers, that would be Moran and then, um, I dunno, maybe Stashak. Looking ahead to when it's time to cut down 2 further in May, Godoy looks like one - 12 position players is pretty thin but we have a lot of positional flexibility. One more pitcher, but chances are that in a month's time that decision will make itself, likewise for position players actually, now that I think of it.
  10. ashbury
    Communication is easier than ever now. Build a good relationship in person during several weeks in the Spring, and you can stay in touch by text or Zoom or whatnot and have it be nearly the same for several months, to a degree that wouldn't be nearly as beneficial without those first weeks.
  11. ashbury
    Yeah, in 14 plate appearances he's struck out 5 times, walked twice, had a sac bunt, and a sac fly. So in the 5 remaining chances, where it seems he put the ball in play normally, it fell in safely for a base hit. Yeah, that rate of .800 is sustainable, to support his .333 BA.
  12. ashbury
    Yay! We have someone who can make major-league plays at SS!
  13. ashbury
    Scouts have this slick trick called "looking at the family tree". Nick's father Tom Gordon at five-nine and 160 pounds could have been a slight tipoff versus whatever the scouts noticed in Sanó's bloodlines that led to reports I recall stipulating "assuming he doesn't grow out of the position."
  14. ashbury
    Like, because it's impossible to post in blue or some other color, or in a different font, already?
  15. ashbury
    I share your general lack of enthusiasm about the role of the #5 starter. It's a role that lacks a consistent usage pattern, and generally is occupied by one of three types: 1) rookie trying to establish himself, 2) veteran looking to re-establish something or else disappear from the majors, 3) Andrew Albers on yet another emergency start. For practical purposes, in my world there is no such thing as a #5 starter, merely pitchers on their way up or on their way down. I suppose the rare exception would be a contending team so deep in starters that they say "nah, we're good" to any thought of improving the rotation.. When I see someone's attempt at a prospect scouting report that says "ceiling is #5 starter," I think to myself either this player is not really a starting pitching prospect or else this writer is not really a scout. . The team should be trying to acquire talent, period.
  16. ashbury
    No. He was only just added to the 40-man. He should have all 3 minor league options remaining. You might be thinking of the decision last fall to add him to the 40-man, which was necessary to avoid the risk of losing him in the Rule-5 draft (that never took place due to the lockout).
  17. ashbury
    I'd like to see Larnach get some time at AAA to work on regaining his power stroke, and I think Celestino is far enough along to provide more overall value to the big club. Otherwise I have no modifications to the positions players - Gordon won't provide much value but the 40-man is so lean on position players that there isn't someone else I put in his place and his lack of minor league options becomes the deciding factor. (If I could send him down, going with a 12-man position player roster wouldn't be overly risky.) Pitching, wow, with 23 guys on the 40-man, picking 8 to drop to AAA is kind of a crapshoot. I can't see raising that number to 9, so a non-roster invitee is not making the team. Fortunately only 7 pitchers of these 23 lack minor league options or otherwise can't be sent down, unless I miscounted - I had thought there were more forced choices than that, so kudos to the FO for turning over the roster in a way that provides flexibility. Cotton, among your bullpen "guesses", lacks minor league options so I see him as more of a sure thing. I don't feel strongly enough about anyone else to change your list.
  18. ashbury
    Just to be clear, the Twins didn't release him. The roster moves they made (waivers and designation for assignment) meant they hoped to keep him, just not on their 40-man roster. The Red Sox didn't go along with that plan.
  19. ashbury
    Human resources generalist for Best Buy, huh? Don't forget to turn off the lights after you lay off your last employee, Josh.
  20. ashbury
    Babe Ruth exposed a flaw in the rules. My solution is that any ball hit over the fence and lands out of play is simply a foul ball, and the plate appearance goes on. Will never be adopted of course but it should have been added to the rules as soon as fences became prevalent.
  21. ashbury
    Ghost runners? Boo!
  22. ashbury
    You left out what is shaping up as chronic knee problems that stand to get worse with age.
  23. ashbury
    Just one of the many services I offer this site.
  24. ashbury

    Risk vs Reward

    ashbury commented on ashbury's blog entry in Left Coast Bias

    There could be some trade value to be had, but weighed against the very negative reaction to waving the white flag again. I bet season ticket sales have zoomed in the last week due to this signing, but in future years an exactly equivalent signing could be met with relative yawns. I think a deadline deal would be quite risky for the long-term.
  25. ashbury

    Risk vs Reward

    ashbury commented on ashbury's blog entry in Left Coast Bias

    The press conference introducing him touched on this a bit. The lockout seemed to play an outsized role in the decision-making for all sides. I was impressed enough by Correa's statement that he'd like a long-term arrangement with the Twins to momentarily wonder if my thread of logic in this post needed to be completely re-examined. But I suspect that the shoe's on the other foot now, and after the season our FO will be the ones to say no to $300M overtures. In which case Correa's back to opting out, assuming all has gone well with the season.
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