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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    40 man spots are more valuable than these guys. Doesn't matter the low salary. Minor league deal with a player opt-out a month into the regular season, or like that.
  2. ashbury
    I suppose it happens once or twice an off-season.
  3. ashbury
    Every free agent is too rich for 29 teams, because Highest Bidder.
  4. ashbury
    What I'd love is to see others pitch in to help write them.
  5. ashbury
    Catchers ERA has been studied to death over the decades, with no one finding that it's a repeatable statistic that reliably indicates the skill for the position. There are too many factors lying beneath the surface, such as quality of opponent, or simply how to factor in when a pitcher with a good track record comes to the mound with no feel for his curveball the first three innings that day. Since catching tandems don't stay together for many seasons in a row, apples-to-apples comparisons are rare just on that basis alone. Using poorer ERA as evidence for superior talent due to mentoring is a new one, however.
  6. ashbury
    I was offering a reason why your scenario probably wouldn't play out. I would trade Francis Peguero to the Orioles for Kyle Bradish. It's what I'd do. If the Orioles aren't willing then never mind - I'll turn attention to Tanner Bibee, maybe by offering Balazovic.
  7. ashbury
    That team with the good prospect - why wouldn't they sign the other, less expensive catcher, and save themselves the prospect? If the answer is that the other, less expensive catcher is worse than Vazquez, well, maybe that is 10 million good reasons to keep him after all.
  8. ashbury
    Yes, but those numbers for 2023 don't support the narrative people seem to want: Jeffers ERA: 3.61 Vazquez ERA: 4.09
  9. ashbury
    This year Sonny completed 6 or more innings 19 times out of 32 starts. He pitched into the 6th 3 other times. No, Rocco didn't "usually" fail to trust him for more than five. But, but, but, the other pitchers. The Twins in 2023 were tied for third most innings per start. They led the majors in the number of Quality Starts, which can't happen unless the starter goes 6; Sonny contributed 17 of those, more than half his starts. This narrative about Rocco pulling his starters died, once he had good pitchers to work with.
  10. ashbury
    If the Twins turn out to be a juggernaut during the dreary 1970s, then I'll start to worry about balance.
  11. ashbury
    The raw stats are what they are and should never be diminished for the actual events that they reflect. But for analysis, the more formulas, the better. And the more they disagree, the better - when they mainly agree then maybe you learn something about the players, but when they disagree then that's when you may learn something you didn't expect about the game. If two versions of a formula always agree, then one can be dispensed with.
  12. ashbury
    Certainly did in real life.
  13. ashbury
    No spoilers, now. Give everybody time to guess.
  14. ashbury
    "Don't like being backup?" I say (to both). "Then beat him out for starter's minutes." Who knows what heights Bench might have attained if he'd ever been pushed a little. Ryan Jeffers and Christian Vazquez, eat your hearts out.
  15. ashbury
    I play the long game. As long as I've got Tommy Helms, Jimmy Stewart, and Lee May to give him, I'm sure Chief can convince me to take overrated Joe off his hands around 1971 or so.
  16. ashbury
    (Not to threadjack or anything, but....) Wait, I've got Thurman Munson at catcher too? And Jim Wynn in his prime? And I've still got Frank Robinson? Hm, wonder if I can somehow interest Baltimore in swapping us Milt Pappas for a bag of baseballs. Oh, and I've got Jerry Reuss? (Rubs hands with glee...)
  17. ashbury
    (Ash had put in a good word.)
  18. ashbury
    Late 60s? Big Red Machine, baby! (I'm going to make sure to trademark that in advance!) See you in the World Series some year. Or two. Or three.
  19. ashbury
    However you write it up is fun. I'm interested in following the progress of individual players - the stars mostly, but any surprise contributors are fun to see in this Alternate Universe.
  20. ashbury
    Twelve one-pitch outings is interesting. Guys like Tony Fossas and Jesse Orosco each had a couple dozen such appearances over their long careers as LOOGYs, and yes your blog post prompted me to go take a look, but Flores is in exclusive company of a sort with that on his resume. I'm not sure what it SAYS, exactly, except that major league managers had a particular kind of usage in mind when they sent him out there. It's kind of the domain of the LOOGY - the only righty I noticed with a bunch of one-pitch appearances was Brad Ziegler (but I may have missed somebody because I briefly scanned).
  21. ashbury
    You're both right to call out that last paragraph. What I had in mind was a comment made by another TD member in another thread, and I thought by prefacing what I said here with "if" in a couple of places would be clear enough, but obviously (now) it wasn't. I do think it's a possibility that there is more going on here than just payroll considerations, but I've not seen anyone reputable offer whispered scuttlebutt about Vazquez's own view.
  22. ashbury
    CS% is one aspect, but simply how often opponents tried to steal is a valuable metric, and during Mauer's tenure behind the plate teams never ran wild on the Twins. Instead the low CS reflects extra caution. Once Joe stopped catching, attempts (and successful steals) crept up.
  23. ashbury
    Maeda pitched while hurt in April. After he came back in June, his ERA was 3.36, going 6-4. But apart from the bad April, the record shows he didn't cover a ton of innings as starter. Across 16 starts he averaged just a hair under 5.1 innings. Going into any Maeda start you have to expect a burden upon the bullpen. If the FO wants to continue the strategy of putting less burden on the bullpen, I could see that as the deciding factor of whether to invest the necessary resources to keep him. Much depends on what the FO ends up doing to fill the rotation, before making a final judgment on how they assessed Maeda.
  24. ashbury
    At the moment I count 19 position players and 17 pitchers. In past seasons this FO, like many of their counterparts, have entered the season with 21 or 22 pitchers under contract - there might even have been a moment or two where it was 23 or 24. It would not surprise me at all if every one of the current 17 makes it through to at least Spring Training - if they need room for a 22nd arm they might by that time have traded away one of the veteran bats perpetually being discussed, or one of the marginal bats like Nick Gordon, before they would part with one of the pitchers mentioned in this article.
  25. ashbury
    Still in the theatrical realm, Bugs Bunny's changeup would make him a hall-of-famer.
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