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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    Archer is still building endurance and throwing on the side is not the same as facing hitters. He looked really good for four innings and then it was totally obvious that he had lost both feel and command after two pitches in the fifth inning. It was painful to watch him struggle through the next three batters and he was elated to escape damage when Witt hit into a DP. I'm not sure what was going on in that inning. Was Rocco hoping Archer could complete five to get the W? For those who watched the game, he was toast and lucky his pitches stayed out of the strike zone for walks instead of being squared up. Archer should be good for 70-85 pitches next start if his arm is ok.
  2. tony&rodney
    Twins fans who are interested in watching a competitive team in 2022 will likely have a fair idea of the direction by June and certainly by the All Star Game. Many others, based on posts during the past several months, will look to the next five years and the minor leaguers as they support some ideal of asset management and responsible spending for small market teams. Today looks cloudy for the Twins and sunny for a few prospects, so it becomes a matter of which one supports. I am still hoping that Buxton and Kirilloff find themselves in the lineup 5-6 times every week. It is a long season and the better players need to show themselves sooner than later. Rocco? I just wish he would be less visible because he has bad luck.
  3. tony&rodney
    Some good plays but some not so good. Archer looked decent until he totally lost it and then pitched to two more batters after running out of gas.
  4. tony&rodney
    Cron has had a nice little career thus far but he is not good with a glove. Sano was the obvious choice but his glove is a rock too. Sano still has a chance to be decent DH and hopefully Kirilloff comes back and plays first base. Rocco just follows orders and we may see Sano at 1B all season. We can wish Cron well, but I don't miss him.
  5. tony&rodney
    It is more than reasonable to think Donaldson was part of the problem. Perhaps, except for every player on record has had nothing but praise for Josh Donaldson. I searched articles from Oakland to Toronto to Cleveland to Atlanta to Minnesota to the Yankees and each time the posts are positive regarding JD as a teammate. I wonder if he was an irritant to GMs, managers, and reporters and this seems possible because there is not a similar track record of support from the management types and Josh called writers out for lazy questions and innuendo. He actually called out a reporter for this in his first press conference in NYC and his teammates absolutely loved it. Maybe someone (Falvey, Baldelli) will eventually come clean and explain this trade but for now it is totally guess work based on personal thoughts, some of which are quite unfortunately tied to money.
  6. tony&rodney
    Ryan looked great. Sano ran into one. Sanchez and Kirilloff squeezed hits through the infield, and the relief pitchers were fine. Arraez needs to make the play to him at third and Garlick needs to catch that fly ball, although as someone pointed out on another thread Devers does a good job of hitting a nasty pitch. Duran was good again, but looking at the box score he takes a dive statistically. They don't charge empty net goals against a goalie, but a no touch misplay rarely is charged as an error in baseball despite the wording of errors as normal effort.
  7. tony&rodney
    2B is his best position, but it is already taken ... so DH. This is why, despite a deep appreciation for his tough at bats, Arraez was and is a prime candidate to trade.
  8. tony&rodney
    The Twins should have a decent idea of what their club is like by June 1.
  9. tony&rodney
    The analytics game and launch angle are not Miguel's friend. If only he could keep his bat level through the zone .... Vladdy Jr. strikes out a ton but his bat is level through the zone and he crushes more than he misses because of the mathematics of a level versus launch angle swing. Jorge Polanco may need some launch angle to hit a long ball but Sano only needs to hit the ball for it to disappear.
  10. tony&rodney
    Rodriguez was not set up to pitch more than 3 innings and the full assortment of relief pitchers dictates a little action for a couple of others eager to pitch in the beautiful April weather; that was brutal leaving him go past his limit. No idea how the staff doesn't notice a difference in swings from Kirilloff or why the communication was non-existent.
  11. tony&rodney
    I have been watching the Wichita games and agree with the assessments that suggest shortstop is a stretch for Martin. An athletic outfielder who can have a high on base percentage is valuable. It is early but Martin looks really uncomfortable at shortstop.
  12. tony&rodney
    The absurdity of the game was everyone running for cover with lightning striking all around as the field crew dutifully took the field and struggled to cover the playing surface. They should have just said that the field will be covered when the lightning stops.
  13. tony&rodney
    The Twins absolutely need Urshela to be the best player he has ever been. Arraez is such a tough hitter but we saw again tonight why he isn't a regular. Three missed plays in one game hurts. He is best at second base and that can only happen once a week at most. Perhaps Arraez can DH more often. Urshela does have a decent glove.
  14. tony&rodney
    Thank you for the complete response.
  15. tony&rodney
    Falvey has stated that he has attempted to acquire Paddack since 2017. We should accept that rationale. The many moves this last month were attempting to improve the team. We will know the answer by October. These moves were not related to finances or asset management, just according to the ideas put together to make the team better. We can agree or disagree with the trades. San Diego clearly thought their side of the trade benefitted their team as did the Yankees and Rangers in the other major trades. When individuals state that the Twins cannot win this year, they forget the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants from last season. They also forget the 1987 and 1991 Twins among a host of many other teams. The Twins are not favored as they were last season but they could catch a wave and ride players like Buxton, Correa, and Polanco to the playoffs. I am a fan of Trevor Rogers but a long time Twins fan and am very hopeful that the pitching of Chris Paddack and others makes Falvey look good in 2022.
  16. tony&rodney
    The Padres do this trade because they get a closer for MLB minimum, their chances to win games this year improve, and they are now below the CBT limit plus they didn't see any use for either Pagan or Paddack on their team for 2022. The Twins do this trade because, despite it costing them more money (around $4. million), they believe that Paddack will be a decent pitcher next year. Simply put, Falvey put a premium on acquiring Chris Paddack; it was his sole focus in dealing with San Diego. The Twins are nowhere near a limit where their profit margins for 2022 are endangered, unless the entire team tanks and attendance falls to near one million fans. We can agree or disagree with the current regime and how they assess the potential utility of individual talents/players. The judgment is always rendered by the won/loss column. The comment section is not for objective thoughts and my personal take is that the Twins will not be better in 2022 due to this trade. I also don't believe this trade saves any money for 2023. Nevertheless, I will agree that Rogers could get injured and miss most of the year while the Twins see Pagan and Paddack resurrect their flagging careers. As a Twins fan, I hope Rogers is excellent all year and has a long productive career while Paddack pitches spectacularly for the Twins in leading them through post seasons. 2 down, 160 to go.
  17. tony&rodney
    You are correct in my opinion. It is also noteworthy that the Twins are not in on any competitive salaries for pitchers (@$10.0+ range), instead choosing lower prices with incentives. Athletes are incredible positive people because their focus must be very narrow to eliminate distractions that contribute to doubt. Thus, many will choose incentivized contracts when the large guaranteed contracts are not possible. Falvey is taking advantage of that to roll the dice. Buxton and Archer are two current examples. I wonder how this is perceived across the league by players. It looks like both opportunity and a place to avoid if possible at the same time. The next year seems like it will be pivotal.
  18. tony&rodney
    Perhaps this is the part that is actually not explained by most viewpoints on this trade. The Twins will pay the salaries of Emilio Pagan ($2.3) and Chris Paddack ($2.25) plus MN sent San Diego $6.6 to pay all of Roger's salary minus the MLB minimum. So $11.15 - $7.3 (if MN kept Rogers) = $3.85 million. That is the increase in the roster expenditure, according to Baseball Prospectus. San Diego saved money and moved below the CBT (tax). We paid the Padres to take Rogers off our hands because the Twins front office believes that the two pitchers MN gained could eventually become useful, hopefully next year. Pagan has had some success in the past and once upon a time Paddack was a top 100 prospect. Both could still deliver on their past promise, which will be known in the future.
  19. tony&rodney
    Not in disagreement but just curious as to what made you think this was possible?
  20. tony&rodney
    I absolutely understood that you are focused solely on next year and beyond but you did not notice that my suggestion is that the money saved is irrelevant which you may disagree with. My question was simple - Miranda, Arraez, Urshela, or JD for this year without taking money into your decision? I also suggested that a good argument could be made for any of these guys as your pick. The Twins get to decide where the money goes, we don't. Thus, I don't consider the money as relevant. You are free to disagree. The money isn't up for discussion, just who you prefer at third base. I'm ok with any choice but interested in the choice.
  21. tony&rodney
    It is at the very least a little bit ironic that this claim was made last year by many folks on this same site. Last year the Twins sat with Berrios, Maeda, Pineda, Happ, Dobnak, Shoemaker, Smeltzer, Thorpe, etc. I think we can all agree that pitching is a tough job and success is difficult to predict. Yesterday, Berrios and Montas got hammered and Manaea threw seven no hit innings with Rogers picking up a save.
  22. tony&rodney
    Jose Miranda? I'm really bullish on his bat and am a believer in his potential to be the full time third baseman next year and I hope he takes the position by June 1 this year. My thinking is that a roster to win the AL Central this year could have been accomplished for $110 million and a good team could also be quite strong for around $80 million. The Twins could easily go to $150 million this year and make a strong profit. The decision rests on the specific goals for a team. The savings accomplished by the jettison of JD was about $6-7 million this year and less for next year unless the Twins release/trade both Sanchez and Urshela, which seems expected. While I agree with your optimism concerning Miranda, the Twins have not been players for large contracts thus the money saved seems pretty irrelevant. The Twins could have easily rostered both JD and Correa. The oddity, for me, is that a number of media people as well as Twins Daily posters have referenced or suggested that Donaldson was traded because of internal issues with his personality. I have no knowledge about that. The Twins have gone well past the roster budget suggested as a ceiling by most folks on Twins Daily and the club is being rebuilt continually in the mold desired by the current front office. The final judgment on whether this is effective is made customers (attendance and viewership numbers) and the won-loss record. I don't believe we need to worry about the money the Twins make or spend. I'm fine with a big profit for JP and I'm fine with JD/CC making big money too. Money aside, who would you choose to play this season at third base - JD or Arraez or Urshela or Miranda? An argument can certainly be made for Jose Miranda because injuries happen and he seems the most likely to play the full slate of games.
  23. tony&rodney
    He sure looked good in Spring Training and again today. Hopefully Duran can keep his command and control because he has awesome stuff.
  24. tony&rodney
    Maybe in the 21st century. Oliva/Killebrew - it doesn't get any better.
  25. tony&rodney
    Well, we hope so ... but what if the returns look so enticing?
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