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Muppet

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Everything posted by Muppet

  1. Muppet
    The bullpen is the strength of this team.
  2. Muppet
    TODAY is the day they turn it around. Like magic, everyone will find their swings. Twins win 16-4. Led by Larnach.
  3. Muppet
    Yes. This prediction quickly did not age well.
  4. Muppet
    There's a team in Arizona?
  5. Muppet
    Baily Ober will be in the top 3 of AL Cy Young votes.
  6. Muppet
    This has to be a misprint. It says Buxton is leading off.
  7. Muppet
    Looks like he has had 1 full year in the minors. My guess is that it would be better for his psychological and physical development to have another great year in the minors rather than a terrible year in the majors (which would be a distinct possibility). If Julien and Lewis continue to crush it in 24, and Lee has a better year in the minors, perhaps he is the piece that brings us our ace starter for the postseason. After all, it is hard to deny he is being blocked by three potential all star, hopefully MVP caliber infielders. One thing that I do seem to notice, though, that would support bringing him up early is that players don't seem to have a lot of time in the majors before people start talking about them as aging race horses. If he has his rookie year at 25, sophomore slump at 26, starts hitting his stride at 27 and 28 then by the time he should be in his peak he'll already be in the 'he's slowing down' 'his glove won't be as flashy anymore' or 'if he can stay healthy' category.
  8. Muppet
    I'm hopeful but skeptical. Wallner might be a sophomore slump candidate. One thing I notice on his stat sheet is that he faced a lot of pretty bad teams. While the Twins have to beat the bad teams too, I'd still like to see a more ABs against teams that are better than AAAA. He DID dominate in his 9 PAs against the Blue Jays though.
  9. Muppet
    I think this is precisely the idea that is up for debate now, which his why it would be interesting to see advanced metrics around this point somehow. IF increases in strikeouts is due to increased hitter patience and increases in strikeouts are also tied to increases in home runs, then perhaps increases in strikeouts are just different ways to get outs. Are more strikeouts tied to more runs overall? It is possible, which I think would be unfortunate because that would lead to more boring baseball. I like seeing people run from 2nd to 3rd on groundouts and people advance on pop outs, etc... But maybe, in total, those runners score less than they would with the 20% increase in team home runs making increased strikeouts a moot point. I'm sure none of this really matters. In 10 years we'll all be watching AI generated games with non-real people producing results via algorithmic calculations with fake human robots announcing "in play, run" in place of real announcers. Happy Monday to you too.
  10. Muppet
    I have heard that a strikeout is just an out... but I'd bet if I knew where to look I could find the stats to examine this more closely. Is there a productive out stat? Something that measures the net movement of baserunners with batted outs? Maybe multiple stats where some measure rbis on outs (or sacrafices - sac squeeze/sac fly); others measuring runs moved up that eventually scored; and another stat that just measures runs moved up in s and non-s positions... All -DPs. It would be an interesting addition to a slash line that helps measure the difference between someone who can be clutch in less-than-two-out situations compared to someone like Correa who just hit into a DP whenever there was someone on first. Then again, there is such a things as too much information.
  11. Muppet
    Margot hit .173 with 2 outs, but .336 with 0 outs. Heh... A new leadoff guy? Last year he also hit slightly better with RISP (.293) and a bit over .300 in ABs that were 'late or close' though both likely had too few PAs to be significant. (Those stats did not hold up over his career) Here's to hoping for a career year out of Margot!
  12. Muppet
    Hell's yeah. Throw me on the small lump of fans that don't care about Sonny Gray or payroll. I'm more excited about this team than I was last year at this time. Last year was the first year I was excited about this team since Mauer and Morneau were coming off MVP seasons. This is the perfect time to think of every players ceilings and not their floors. We can replace Sonny Gray with Bailey Ober, Pablo Lopez, and Joe Ryan getting even better and Paddack and DeSclafani having successful returns from injury. The combo of Julien and Lewis remind me of a time when Barry Bonds and Bobby Bonilla or McGwire and Canseco were ready to define a team for years to come (though hopefully in the Twins case it works out much better in the end). The rest of the diamond is stacked. Really stacked. Not a single Gallo in the group. This is gonna be a great year. I'm gonna call it. Bailey Ober gets Cy Young votes this year.
  13. Muppet
    No better time to be optimistic than before the first game.
  14. Muppet
    I'd like to add to this that there is a decent chance that one or more from the list of Kirilloff, Wallner (yes Wallner..im not fully sold yet), Miranda, Vazquez, and Larnach makes significant sustained improvement. And those that don't can be quickly dumped back to AAA (in most cases) without giving them 100s of ABs that they'd give to a worthless player that they paid millions to acquire. With a healthy Correa and (supposedly) Buxton, along with Royce Lewis, and a Gallo sized hole filled with at minimum, mediocrity, they are already a much better team than they were at the start of the 2023 season.
  15. Muppet
    As the season has not yet started and anything is possible, I am looking forward to a much improved lineup with Buxton and Correa fully recovered and a continuation of Julien's OBP and Royce Lewis vying for an MVP. Pablo will be solid, Paddack will impress, and Ryan might grow up a bit and get his jitters out. Maybe if Ober wins 15 and keeps his season ERA below 3.33 people will finally stop underestimating him. I expect nothing out of Varland or DeScalfini as starters, but with better offense I'm hoping it won't matter. Be patient is the correct move. This team is better than they were last year if the old guard gets healthy and Royce/Julien maintain their dominance. There is a lot of room for continued improvement with they young players they already have.
  16. Muppet
    The Sonny Gray experience has shown that great pitching won't win if the team is on the wrong side of a 1-0 game. They need more bats.
  17. Muppet
    I hope Gordon has a breakout year. He was never going to get a good opportunity on the Twins.
  18. Muppet
    Ryan still has a lot of growing up to do (i.e. potential) and Ober somehow still has something to prove. If both of those improve this year and can continue to increase their IP, then all we have to worry about is Varland laying an egg. IF the bullpen is as good as advertised they'll be fine with a potentially sub-par DeSclafani who has the potential to actually not suck. I'm more worried about their hitting than the pitching.
  19. Muppet
    Bubba Thompson. We hardly knew thee
  20. Muppet
    If they are keeping Kepler and Soler never has to play right field, then yes. Do it.
  21. Muppet
    It is sad to see, but I agree with this trade. This team really does need a crappy pitcher and a bunch of good luck charms more than it needs Polanco. I just wish it had been Kepler.
  22. Muppet
    I wonder the degree to which his success is due to pitching in the AL central. If I remember right, he struggled against good teams and when pitching against hot shot pitchers. Either way, if he and Ober improve, the twins pitching will be in a good place.
  23. Muppet
    Going on memory, and not taking the time to look up all of the different performances, I'd say that Ryan has some growing up to do. He seems to be subject to pressure. If he is facing a well known or ace pitcher, he gets shaky and doesn't do well... which is fine when you usually play the Tigers, Royals, Guardians, White Sox, etc... but doesn't bode well for upper tier teams. Maybe all the attention around Ryan screwing up the second half majorly by playing hurt and losing big will help him get smart. My concern with Ober last year was that while he had great numbers, he wasn't really proven. Most of his MLB games came against AAAA teams. In 2023, he was great. If he continues to stay healthy (or rather uninjured... hate the term 'healthy') I'd be more than happy to have him as a 2,3,4, or 5 starter. Either way, despite losing what'shisname, I think their pitching looks spectacular going into 2024. But then again, I still have PTSD from watching Colon, Hughes, Slowey, Nolasco, Milone, et al. I've seen some of the worst pitching in my life come from this team.
  24. Muppet
    I'd be happy with him getting it back together enough to be in the Hall of Really Good Regionally Almost Famous players.
  25. Muppet
    I was searching for the Andrews Sisters' 'Going Back to Minnie' but I couldn't find it.
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