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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Brandon
    I feel like he is just short. Another 800 or so ABs might have given him enough counting stats accross the board. I did an analysis on him a while back. I think Tori had 6 All Star appearances. 8 seems to be the number for guarenteed enshrinement. With those extra 800 or so AB Tori could push his career extra base totals to over 900. His career steals to 200 his career hit total to over 2600 and his RBI total to over 1525. At that point he would have a case as an all round player with his 9 gold gloves and media and fan favorite. Where he is at now, I put his odds in the 10 to 20 percent chance range. One thing he has going for him is i doubt anyone suspects him of using steroids back then. While he was only a 110 OPS hitter he did that against alot of steroid users so that may help his case. Was he really 110 or was he a 125 against a nondoping field? How much did steroids affect the competition during his career? I think if this narrative gets pushed alot his odds go up.
  2. Brandon
    I haven't heard anything about his preferences. We knew Shoteni wanted a west coast smaller market team. I know nothing of what this other player wants.
  3. Brandon
    Since Simmons will get more than 3 million. There are several team interested in him including the Yankees. If we can use the 5 million in savings toward the Buxton extension that would. be great. I wonder if the Twins are waiting to see if the Yankees sign Seager to trade Buxton to NY for their SS prospects.
  4. Brandon
    No. We are making our position clear. Sign Buxton to an extention!
  5. Brandon
    Here is some fun with numbers and then some thoughts. Cy young winner Ray IP 193.33 H 150 ERA 2.84 HR 33 BB 52 Ks 248 Berrios IP 192 H 159 ERA 3.52 HR 22 BB 45 Ks 204 These numbers are close together and Berrios could be considered the superior pitcher based on these numbers.... Also We all followed Berrios since he was a joyful 18 year old drafted by the Twins. We watched him grow and make his debut to an 8 ERA and then make his first and second all star game This year he was 9th in the Cy Young race. It would have been nice to root for him as a Twin his whole career. He is one of those type of players. not quite a home town Joe Mauer but as close as you can get. Same with Buxton. I get we can't keep all of our home grown stars but These two at the prices we are being shown should have been resigned, I do like the return on the trade of Berrios. I hope I do not have to find out what the return would be on the trade of a Buxton. But a part of me would prefer both players stay and continue their careers and March Towards Cooperstown here. and another part is excited to see what we get done this offseason and how the two prospects we got do overall.
  6. Brandon
    Why not do both. Sign a good middle of the road Free Agent like Pineda and trade for a rotation arm like Bassit. and now you have 2 rotation arms for around or just over 20 million for 2022. then we are 1 starter away and a SS and a bullpen arm from a good offseason.
  7. Brandon
    The Twins are loaded with starting pitchers in the minors who are only a year away. Duran, Balazovich, SRW, Cole, Winder.... There is also Canterino, Enlow, Varland just to name a few others. I would think the Twins would want a starter on a 1 year deal and another on a 2 year deal and a third starter on any contract because of this.
  8. Brandon
    I see the Twins targeting 3 pitchers in the 10 to 15 million per season range. Hence the reunion with Pineda, signing Kluber and trading for Bassitt. ( filling in the blanks with names) I would take Kluber, Pineda, Martin, and SMR over Berrios. But I will not accept prospects and savings over Buxton and 15 million per year extention.
  9. Brandon
    If we trade Buxton we may as well just blow the whole thing up. I wont be interested in following the team for a few years so we may as well start all over with a clean slate and a team of their guys so the front office can show they are inept and we can get new front office people who would be smart enough to extend a Buxton on a 7 year 100 million extension.
  10. Brandon
    Among the A's starters Bassitt makes the most sense to acquire on several fronts. 1. He costs less in terms of prospect capital. and 2. The cost to extend him will not be too much. He could probably be extended for a 2 year or 3 year for 15-18 million per season range. I would think a 3 year 45-50 million gets it done. Bassitt is 33 and has made only 8.25 million thus far. the guarantee of that size should be a big value to him and his family. To extend Montas will likely cost more in years and money per season. and the talent difference between the two is not that big. To get Montas I think the Twins would need to include a SP prospect and position player prospect and maybe 1 or 2 lottery tickets in low A or Moran or Gore also make sense. I imagine the prospect pool that Oakland would want to deal from would include: Arreaz, Rooker, Miranda, Jeffries, Larnarch, Martin, and Lewis. I imagine Killeroff is off limits but we see how the front office hates players they did not bring in so Rooker is probably less likely to be dealt then Killeroff. Also this makes Miranda a top prospect to deal too.... I could see Oakland wanting Miranda and Rooker and Moran and a low a lotto ticket. that would replace the power lost from dealing Chapman and Olsen. and give a bullpen piece.
  11. Brandon
    is there a phone line us Twins fans can call to express our extreme dismay or do we just need to wait till they go too far so that no one is even interested in following them anymore and ticket sales plummet.
  12. Brandon
    Kluber would be the third starter type brought in. In my scenario above. Pineda and Bassitt were the two big names and Kluber is the third. remember we have lots of starting pitching prospects who should be ready for a turn starting in 2022 season so if someone gets hurt or is underperforming we will have options. having a 1 year commitment helps too cause we will likely want that rotation spot next year for the young guys coming up. (Duran, Winder, Balazovich, Richardson-Woods, and Cole with Canterino not far behind them.
  13. Brandon
    I will say if the Twins trade Buxton and he signs an 8 year 120 million contract with 30 million in incentives, There will be very few people bothering to go to Twins games until we have a trustworthy new front office. and the fact that the current offer is 1 year and 50 million less than that even.......Lets wait and see but wow this is bad from where we sit.
  14. Brandon
    So far my top 50 predictions are way off. I had Noah Syndergaard excepting the QO and Rodriguez in SF.
  15. Brandon
    I am going to guess with 1 year of arbitration remaining the Twins were offering a 5 year deal in the 75 to 85 million range.berrios probably wanted a 6th year and around 120 million. Thats a big gap but mostly from the 6th year. I bet Berrios probably thought he would get most of his ask so he stuck by it and git what he wanted.
  16. Brandon
    I think Bassitt should be their top pitcher to acquire. At his age and only one year of control, the cost to obtain him will not be as high. I thought he had 2 years of control remaining. plus Bassitt hasn't made as much at this point in his career. The Twins could offer him a 2 or 3 year extension for around the 15-20 million per season. I doubt he wouldn't be amenable at this stage of his career. He is entering his age 33 season having made 8.25 million thus far. a 3 year 45 million contract for his age 33, 34 and 35 seasons. or 4 and 64 through age 36. so for Minnesota he is going to cost less in talent, less for an extension and he has less mileage on his arm. How does this not have Minnesota written all over this deal? And from Oakland the cost to get his would be some prospects. probably something like Winder and Moran and maybe a low a flyer or filler. If Oakland is committing to trading their top 5 players for prospects they will wat players who are close to ready so they can come up next season and return to contention quickly. If those 5 players can net them 8-10 strong prospects plus another 5-10 low level players plus they do have a good farm system if I remember correctly then they would return to contention quickly.
  17. Brandon
    The teams dealing starting pitching thus far: Miami, Cincinnati. and Oakland. only 1 is seeking major league offense and the other 2 are going into a full rebuild so prospects....
  18. Brandon
    I bet the Twins offer maxed out around 5 years. They are not fans or giving pitchers too many years. If Berrios gets injured in year 2 of the contract and wrecks his arm, and is never the same..... That would be 100 million down the drain.... Same issue with signing Darvish and if you remember the Twins wouldn't top 5 years on a Johan Santana extension, hence his trade. Also , did anyone noticed the Angels signed Noah Syndergaard to a 1 year 21 million deal? Angels To Sign Noah Syndergaard - MLB Trade Rumors
  19. Brandon
    From the group in the article, I see Kluber as the top choice. I see the Twins with 2 short term contracts a 1 year and a 2 year deal. The third starter could be for any number of years. The Twins have too much pitching close to the majors to not give several of them opportunities. Kluber on a 1 year deal. 12 million Pineda on a 2 year deal 11 million per year Chris Bassit in a trade with Oakland 10.5 million total cost is 33.5 million so we have money for other needs.
  20. Brandon
    If Atlanta resigns Freeman they will likely not have room in their budget for Buxton. Also their President of Operations AA is not a fan of long term contracts. While I am sure Buxton would love to sign with the Braves, He would also love to sign with the Team who will pay him too. And he does have the character to resign and stay planted where in a place he and his family know. We do have pluses on our side of the ledger too. The Twins are a known family oriented organization. And Buxton has played his entire career here....
  21. Brandon
    Does this mean we are guaranteed minor league ball next season should the union not agree to a new plan with the owners of MLB? As a fan I prefer no union at all. I do think the minor leaguers should be paid at least minimum wage. I am ok with taking into consideration signing bonuses. don't forget the union doesn't always represent the player (the individual either) unions represent what is voted to be the best for the collective. I know I don't go to work for the betterment of you. I may work twice as hard as you.
  22. Brandon
    Here are a few thoughts to consider. The Twins have something in the neighborhood of 5 or 6 solid starting Pitching prospects in AA or AAA going into 2022. Jhoan Duran, Balazovich, Richardson-Woods, Winder, Sands, and Valimont, plus Canterino and Varland and Enlow when he recovers from injury. I think it would be smart for the Twins to get a starting pitcher with a year of control, another with 2 years, and the third starter we acquire this offseason doesn't matter. By reducing the amount spent on our rotation in 2023 and 2024 will allow us to keep more of our offensive core together longer. So that would be Kluber on a 1 year deal, Pineda on a 2 year deal, and the other starter can be by trade or signing and can be 2 or more years of team control. I too was thinking of a Buxton to NY trade this morning. and when i did that and we acquired a top SS prospect and a starting pitcher the team budget came in 17 million under budget cause we signed one less starting pitcher and low cost SS of either Villar or Galvis and an OF who can play CF some like Pillar. This was so Martin or Celestino could get the call up about a month or two into the season.
  23. Brandon
    I thought it was 8 years and 80 million guarentee. But if I am structuring incentives I think the ability to make 25 to 30 million would be the max. Going higher is just out of our price range. I would say 5 million bonus for either 80 games or 300 PA 5 million for 100 games or 375 PA 120 games or 450 PA for 5 million and 135 games or 525 PA for 5 million. And then incentives fir MVP votes 1 million for being in top 25 in votes. 2 million fir top 15. 3 million for top 10 4 million for top 5 and 5 million for winning award.
  24. Brandon
    Trades are hard to figure fair value and to determine proper needs of the other team. I think you did a good job. I was nitpicking to challenge you is all. Great job.
  25. Brandon
    Nice outside the box thinking. On your Arizona trade, I doubt the want to trade for a closer 1 year from FA. Maybe its a 3 team trade or there is somone else with value. Also Graveman and Rogers are making about the same.. There is no need to swap them out. Also what do we get for Donaldson and where is he traded? I think Story and Strom get more years on their contracts.
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