Bumping this.
The Twins have to pass three teams (Houston, Texas, and Seattle) to beat out the ALW winner. Because of games those teams have remaining against one another the most favorable possible result in the ALW is a tie between Houston and Texas at 86 wins with Seattle at 85 wins. If all three of those teams lose every remaining game against opponents other than themselves, and if Houston wins 2 of its 3 remaining games against Seattle, and if Seattle wins 3 of its 7 remaining games against Texas, the Twins would gain the #2 postseason seed with a 7-5 finish to their season. Any departure from that increases the number of games the Twins need to win.
With tiebreakers accounted for, Houston’s magic number over us is 8, and for Texas and Seattle it’s 10.
The Twins have been eliminated from passing Baltimore and Tampa Bay