bean5302

In my opinion, plan A is Royce Lewis as the starting shortstop next year with Jermaine Palacios as his backup. There's no more kid glove time for Lewis. He needs to play.

Lewis was walking 3 weeks after surgery. The surgery was non-standard as they elected to insert a brace to reinforce the joint and Lewis has the procedure performed in Dallas. Not sure the name of the place.

I went through the 40 man roster projection in the last couple days on a thread around here somewhere. I don't see any crunches.

As soon as spring training starts up, they'll move to the 60 day IL and be removed from the 40 man roster. Side note: Lewis is an interesting case at this point. Apparently, his doctors have him on an aggressive return path of as quick as 10 months, which could see him on the field just a couple weeks into the start of next year. If his quick recovery continues, I don't think the Twins will put him on the 60 day IL.

The Twins have a "good" team. I don't think they've been playing to their potential lately, but they game out of the gate outperforming. The team got better at the trade deadline, but they're not the best team in the division and there are some surprises in the American League this year. I'd say the Twins have a 50/50 shot at the post season right now. Maybe 30% to win the division, 20% for a Wildcard. I don't think it happens unless the rotation pitchers step up, though.

This just a couple days after Baldelli gets tossed and makes the front page news for losing his mind during AND after the game.

MLB's total revenues peaked at $10 billion. A salary floor of $200MM would be $6 billion in player salary (0.2B * 30 = 6B). Player salaries are about 50% of league expenditures so the league spent $5 billion in other costs. Even assuming the leagues expenses remain at $5 billion, that means $11 billion in expenditures vs. $10 billion in revenue or every single team loses $33MM annually. Yeah. That'll work out great.

Maybe, but I'm guessing the front office is going to be looking to dump more salary based on the Twins probably losing money this year. Also, I'd wager it's far more likely the Twins decline their options and bring Archer or Bundy back on 1 year deals at $5-6MM or something like that.

I'd like to see Canterino's "stuff" play for more than a handful of innings at AA or higher before I hop on the bandwagon.

This was a bad start by Gray. When your starter gives up 4 runs (3 earned) and can't make it through 5 innings, you're not winning many games. If you expect the bullpen to go out there and pitch 4-1/3 innings giving up 0 runs, you're nuts. They'd be expected to give up at least 1 (2.07 ERA) and more likely 2 (4.14 ERA) over that span. This means the Twins would have needed to score 6-7 runs to win the game, reasonably. Gray had a couple starts in a row where he was lucky and the runners didn't cross the plate on him much, but that caught up to him a little.

Archer has 0.4 fWAR this year. Not sure what's impressing you about him. I'm sure Archer is going to opt into his $10MM (mutual) option, though I'd hope the Twins do not. Bundy is a fair candidate for the Twins to bring back, but only if his results start mirroring his metrics. The long ball is destroying him in much the same way Tyler Duffey was experiencing. There aren't better $10MM options on the free agency market?

Let me put on my surprised face. Just give me a minute... Nope. Can't even pretend to do it.

Joe Ryan is a young guy and still trying to work out how his stuff plays against MLB batters who are also making adjustments. It's a game of chess right now, but Ryan's striking guys out well enough and showing solid enough control to stick. He is a fly ball pitcher so learning how to keep those balls in the park is going to be critical to his development. Ryan does not have the stuff to be a front line starter. His fastball is really deceptive, but his offspeed and breaking pitches haven't been effective this year. He's going to need to learn what works to set those bendy pitches up if he's going to reach his ceiling of a mid rotation arm. I feel confident saying he's at least got a spot in the rotation, though.

There can also be some decisions based on what teams have roster space. Rookie Ball is unlimited, but the full season leagues are limited to 28-30 players and those MiLB teams are usually essentially at the limits. With the trade deadline in play and a lot of prospects being moved around, the Twins might keep people in Rookie Ball until they figure out where to move everybody around. Not so long ago, there were extended trade deadlines which might have impacted roster decisions longer into the season.

I don't think Jomboy's video was posted, but plenty of comments/reactions on the site to a terrible overturn. Of course, MLB and their umpires pulled the oldest trick in the book when it comes to undermining themselves by fining Baldelli and insisting the overturn was correct. It's like Gary Bettman snuck into the MLB offices... https://www.yahoo.com/now/baldelli-fined-outburst-says-absolutely-122200290.html

Yes. It matters. Blue Jays at Rogers Center or Mariners at Target Field. If that doesn't matter to you, then I guess you don't care if the Twins win. It's also not based on 1 game. It's based on the Twins slowly giving up ground, then being passed based on overall play since the end of May.

Ryan is pitching just like he was, he's just not getting lucky. He's experiencing regression to the mean. Joe Ryan is not and has never been the kind of pitcher you'd rely upon to lead a rotation. Joe Ryan - April/June vs. July/Aug 3.20 ERA & 4.65 xFIP vs. 5.33 ERA & 4.61 xFIP He's literally the same pitcher.

For the love of all that is good, Jimmy Nelson needs to give his number to "W.D. Smith" so he can use the nickname WD40.

...and MLB would officially go bankrupt and collapse in 2 years regardless of the revenue share due to annual losses exceeding 20% of league revenue. But yes, players would agree to it.

I disagree. Like I said, 10 years ago San Diego was "small market." They invested into their team year after year and more fans started attending. The team started performing better and becoming more popular and revenues dramatically increased. It was the same for the Royals. https://www.statista.com/statistics/294183/kansas-city-royals-gate-receipts/ The Royals had $100MM of gate revenues in 2015, with an NPV greater than any season by the Twins. Invest -> Win -> Market -> Increase Revenue The NFL also has tank/rebuild, regardless of revenue.

I'm not actually sure what the intent of this article is? Does it matter how the Twins get into the postseason? Yes. A huge, huge yes. As a Wildcard team, they'll have no bye week and they won't have home field advantage. As a division winner, lets be honest, they won't get a bye week because the Astros and Yankees are 14 games up from the Twins and it's inconceivable the Twins could close that gap, but the Twins would play the WORST Wildcard team. By the way, that's the Mariners right now with the Orioles 1/2 game back. Or the Twins could play the best Wildcard team. As of today? Blue Jays. Who would you rather play? Blue Jays on the road or Mariners/Orioles at home? Yeah. That's what I thought. Side note, as of today, the Twins wouldn't make the playoffs at all. Kind of reminds me of a Minnesota Swarm game I attended many years ago. The crowd was going to get free "Chips and Guac" from Chipotle if the Swarm won... but as the game went on and the Swarm fell further and further behind it was if the Swarm tied. Then it was if the Swarm lost by less than 3. Kind of a moving target thing. I think it's good to remain optimistic, even if I don't come across that way when I post. By the way... ancient history spoiler alert? The Swarm whooped their opponent with an epic comeback to the cheers of "Chips and Guac!!!!" from the fans every time a goal was scored.

...and by "resist" I think he means forces a shut down of the entire sport without any regard to long term damage.

I understand, though you must be talking about the comments because the topic from the OP has utterly nothing to do with market parity. ... but, there IS already parity in markets. San Diego was considered "small market" 10 years ago. The Royals have been to the World Series 2x in the past 8 years and when successful, they pushed their payroll to a level higher than the Twins have ever seen, even today. Right now, baseball has multiple different methods to be competitive.

Running down the list: 1. Gray 2. Mahle 3. Ryan 4. Maeda Those are our (4) MLB caliber starters out of the 5 we need. I don't think we have too much pitching. In bold, the potential opening day rotation and candidates. Stretch Out Candidate: *Duran - Yep. That Duran. He wants to start and I could see the Twins stretching him into the role to see how it pans out because he's worth far, far more if he's effective in the rotation. Injury Replacement Depth Caliber: *Dobnak - Spot starter, swingman, long reliever talent. *Smeltzer - Same as Dobnak Still injured: *Paddack - It wouldn't be reasonable to "expect" Paddack back before mid-season. He had TJ on 5/11/22. A 12 month timetable is extremely aggressive with 15 months more reasonable and 18 months a possibility. So maybe after All Star break is a better expectation. Bullpen Destined *Ober - Long and storied history of injuries and ailments from high school on. *Winder - Can't pitch more than a couple dozen innings before his shoulder flares up. *Sands - Without a lot of velocity (throws 90-92) and not a ton of control, Sands has been barreled up well so far this year. Probably better out of the pen, but not a guy I'd want to stick in the rotation. Question Marks/Prospects *Canterino - Best case scenario. I think he's likely going to need TJ sooner than later. UCL strain two years in a row. *Woods-Richardson - He might be able to slot into the rotation and be good, but he's missed an awful lot of time and he's been pretty sporadic in terms of results. *Varland - I think the Twins are going to want to watch him for a bit at AAA. His stuff was effective "enough" at AA, but I think he's at his limits. Just have to see if he can push past those limits with a little more work. Low Prospects Living on the Edge of the 40 Man: *Enlow - He'll need to show improved results to remain a starter candidate, and he IS looking better, but I don't think he's going to get into the MLB rotation next year. He'll need to be stretched out in the minors and he'll be under an innings limit so by the time he's ready for MLB action, he'll be close to that limit. *Balazovic - Consistently annihilated within 3 innings every outing in AAA. He's a non-prospect at this point.

The NFL has parity! I keep seeing this BS, I keep thrashing it with statistics and the BS keeps getting reposted. 6 teams in the NFL had a winning percentage of .706 or higher last year. (that's 114 wins or more in a baseball season) 6 teams in the NFL had a winning percentage of .235 or lower last year. (that's 38 or fewer wins in a baseball season) 38 wins is below what would be expected if the AAA St. Paul Saints had to play the Twins' schedule. If the St. Paul Saints played the Twins' schedule, they'd be expected to finish 45-117 (.277). What do you think the record of the Golden Gophers would be if they played the Vikings schedule? I'll help you out. 0-17, with 17 blowout losses by 30pts or more. Every year the NFL features a half dozen teams with a winning percentage lower than any MLB team and higher than any MLB team. There is only parity in player salary. There is utterly no parity in on the field results. None of the major sports have as much turnover in the playoffs as MLB. More teams make the playoffs in MLB in a span of 5 or 10 years than any of the other major sports. None of the major sports have fewer and shorter playoff droughts than MLB. None of the major sports have more competitive regular season reasons as MLB. The NFL is far, far, FAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRR away from a model which should be replicated for competitive balance.