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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Robo umps are bad for the game. They remove controversy and fan engagement. Umpires get things wrong occasionally, but hating the ump is part of the game which gets the fans excited. How many times have the fans been engaged watching an angry manager trot out of the dugout arguing balls and strikes? How many times have cheers rained down on the field watching a manager get ejected for arguing those calls?
  2. bean5302
    The Petty trade could definitely end Falvey's tenure with the Twins. The reports on him made me feel he was just soooooo far ahead of what people were expecting.
  3. bean5302
    2020 = $6.7MM 2021 = $21.0MM Total = $27.7MM
  4. bean5302
    Buxton might as well get his 1/2 a year on the IL taken care of now. At least he'll be more likely available if the Twins surprise the league and make the playoffs then.
  5. bean5302
    Petty would have made the list, though Graterol is no longer a prospect as he lost his rookie status. MLB grades Chase Petty's fastball as a 70. They put his slider at 55 and his changeup at 50 while Baseball America was even more bullish with a 70, 70, 55 ratings on those pitches, respectively. The MLB world will know far more about him once he starts pitching against professional competition this year.
  6. bean5302
    Velocity isn't the only thing with fastballs. Jim Hoey is the perfect example. A 100mph straightball is easy for an MLB hitter to knock out of the park. Deception on delivery and movement are key to fastball value. Velocity matters, but the type of fastball matters too. Sinking fastballs generate weak ground ball contact with late break downwards (Jordan Hicks) and four seamers generate strikeouts (Chris Sale) while cutters can generate both on unpredictable movement (Mariano Rivera). Other pitches wind up playing into the fastball as well. A pitcher with a great changeup automatically makes the fastball better because it adds to the deception if the hitter can't figure out which pitch is coming their way. Great control adds to it again since results do kind of find their way into the grades of the pitches themselves as well.
  7. bean5302
    As a season ticket holder, I'm excited for the pitch clock. So many 7pm games going until well after 10pm makes it hard for me to stay and watch the full games when I have many friends along next to me. They have to be up for work the next morning and leaving at 10:30pm, either taking an express shuttle to a park and ride or an uber/drive back to my house gets them home and in bed close to midnight. Then there are the extra innings games... forget it. I've been to many games which don't end until after 11pm. Considering there are already rules in place governing pace of play like the pitch delivery time rules and batters constantly stepping out of the box, it's clear the players won't follow the rules unless they're enforced in a consistent and obvious manner. Just like the "sticky stuff" pitchers were warned and warned about. The extremely slow pace of play adds to the perception of baseball being boring and hurts the game's marketability as well.
  8. bean5302
    I don't think you understand the phrase you're using... "Let him eat" comes from the same line as "Let him feed" or "Feed him" which means to give him something to eat on or an opportunity to excel. Like "feed him the ball" in football would mean give him the ball because he's going to excel with it. Throwing pitches isn't feeding Duran... Perhaps if you re-phrased your statement as "give him space to throw the baseball and let it eat!" the subject and verb would properly align with your apparent usage of the phrase. The reality is the all bold furious response means I was probably all too close to the truth to begin with.
  9. bean5302
    This is their year!!!!
  10. bean5302
    No, it's an arrogant statement about how Duran is going to chew up MLB caliber hitters after being unable to get AAA hitters out last year.
  11. bean5302
    Rooker's exit velocity, hard hit, barrel rate were better than average last year and xwOBA were far higher than his actual results. Not to mention Rooker runs faster than the MLB average player. If he's on the team, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was traded, I expect Rooker will probably be a starting corner outfielder. Sano going to be on the team. He makes a better DH than he does a 1B. Sanchez is going to be the starting catcher. Not sure why he's in the discussion as a likely common DH. He might have a handful of games at DH, but unless he's hitting far better than he has recently, I don't expect him to come out from behind the plate much.
  12. bean5302
    I would say it's actually fairly likely the Twins won't start Miranda on the 26 man. After all, keeping him off the roster for a couple weeks is still going to be the tried and true way of manipulating service time. The only way it comes back to bite the Twins is if Miranda has a great season, and if he has a great season, they get an extra year of All Star performance instead of a low percentage draft pick.
  13. bean5302
    IMHO, it absolutely came out of the blue. Correa didn't signal his willingness to sign a short term deal until just a couple days ago. This was a desperation signing by Correa. He needed to get into camp and have a full Spring Training.
  14. bean5302
    Correa is highly likely to opt out if he's healthy this year. He'll still be going in to his age 28 season after this year. I think the Twins expect that to happen as well, but they got their bridge to Lewis, provided the Twins don't deal Lewis.
  15. bean5302
    I don't think Urshela is a given as the starter over Miranda at 3B. He's probably better as a fielder than Miranda and would probably make the better of the two when it comes to utility. Urshela had a pretty awful year at the plate (by his standards) in his age 29 season last year. I also don't think the Twins are done. With Polanco, Miranda, Urshela, Arraez and Gordon, there's too much redundancy. If the Twins are looking to move Gordon to full time utility outfielder, it still leaves at least one too many valuable every day worthy guys at 4-5-6.
  16. bean5302
    Honestly, this was an enormous discount for the Twins. Correa was projected at 10 years and $345MM so to see him sign at $103.5MM is a no brainer. It's actually quite shocking, but it may be a sign for the future in general. The owners shifted a lot of money to the younger players and that will have an impact on the veteran long term, top free agents. Had Correa been willing to accept this deal last fall, he wouldn't have been on the market for a single day and there are a lot of front office's in baseball who are stunned by this move. The Twins have tended to be relatively competitive in average annual dollars for free agents before, but they've always been short on years. I would have never expected Correa to sign a contract this short at under $40MM per year. A lot of comments about how the Twins are big spenders now... but just about any team in baseball will take a player at 1/3 of their contract value.
  17. bean5302
    I believe it was just recently Lewis reportedly ran another timed sub 4.0sec to first base. That's faster than Buxton. Baseball America reports Lewis can flash 80-grade speed. You're selling him dramatically low
  18. bean5302
    Royce Lewis has 70+ speed from the reported home to first times and many scouting sources. Baseball America, Prospects Live, Roto Wire all have him at 70+
  19. bean5302
    Speed isn't what's most important for shortstop. It's quickness, accleration and reaction time. Speed is definitely valuable and helps with range, but it's rare you'd see a shortstop reach top speed playing a ball. A strong arm is more important at the position, and more than just a strong arm, high velocity with a quick release and short windup. Pitchers can throw very fast, but they have a huge windup with it. The biggest criticism I've seen with Royce Lewis' arm is his throwing technique having a long windup and slow release to generate the high velocity. The Twins supposedly had Lewis working on that hard in 2020. Aside from that... there's focus and and fielding technique. A good shortstop needs to be a reliable fielder. Air mailing balls or rock hands leads to high error rates and unplayable defense. This appears to be Nick Gordon's achilles heel, but we'll never know since the Twins won't play him at SS.
  20. bean5302
    The issue isn't losing Rortvedt. The issue is Rortvedt may be a starting caliber MLB catcher and the Twins may or may not have one of those in the system anymore so from a positional need perspective, Rortvedt was important. Rortvedt may turn into Drew Butera, but there is a substantial likelihood Rortvedt will be as defensively strong as Butera, but hit far better. Rortvedt hitting .230/.300/.385 over 140 games is worth 2.5+ fWAR. Can he hit that? Maybe. His projections are all pretty close to that. Steamer is at .226/.288/.382. Jeffers had a lot of plate appearances last year for his numbers to be a fluke. 293 of them, and in his second year of MLB experience. .199/.270/.401 with average defense isn't playable as a starter. Sanchez is probably a bit borderline when it comes to starting caliber and he's a free agent next year. The Twins just don't likely have a starting catcher on the roster for 2023+ and they may not have a catcher who will be worth starting this year. Godoy is an emergency depth kind of guy.
  21. bean5302
    Byron Buxton hit .156 in 2018, just in case you or anyone else here needed a refresher on his offensive capabilties. Mike Trout hit .220 in 2011, just in case you or anyone else here needed a refresher on his offensive capabilities. Babe Ruth hit .200 in 1914, just in case you or anyone else here needed a refresher on how he was always destined to be a nameless, faceless roster filler candidate.
  22. bean5302
    Godoy managed a wRC+ of 84 at age 26 in AAA last year. Rortvedt, wRC+ 101 at age 23. What Godoy did in Rookie Ball does not provide value in his hitting evaluation. Is Rortvedt likely a plus hitter? Nope. He's a defensive stud with the potential of being a close to average MLB hitter. Godoy is a defensively adequate and will be a very below average hitter. There's no real projectability or ceiling left. It's why he was on the waiver wire.
  23. bean5302
    You're feel to read the write up I posed on Donaldson. or another writeup with a more sensational headline by a different member here. In 2017, Donaldson missed qualifying for the Championship awards by just 8 plate appearances. Sano has qualified for Championship awards just once in his entire career. Buxton has qualifed once. Ever. I think the fact Donaldson was reliable (by modern baseball standards) in the past 2 full seasons in a row gives him wiggle room and makes the "very injury prone" statement weak.
  24. bean5302
    I'm entitled to my opinion as much as anybody else. If you've watched Rosario and the kind of utterly trash pitches he's driven hard, you might feel different. Rosario hit .288 and .290 while still chasing trash and walking at 5% across 2017-2018. Rosario typically posts excellent contact rates despite his aggressive style and the fact he receives a low percentage of pitches in the strike zone. Rosario does and can recognize balls vs. strikes. He's just overly aggressive. Rosario could compete for the batting title if he'd lay off the trash pitches. Instead, early in his career, Rosario sold out for power trying to keep up with Sano and I believe he's been arrogant as a result of his successes in hitting garbage. There is some hope for him. Rosario is trying to tighten up his game based on his swinging strike rate and o-contact rates. His swinging strike rate was under 10% last year and his o-contact rate has skyrocketed while his overall swing percentage hasn't dropped much.
  25. bean5302
    From MLB.com Austin Martin = 65 Royce Lewis = 55 Misael Urbina = 55 Danny DeAndrade = 55 Alerick Soularie = 50 Jose Miranda = 50 Aaron Sabato = 50 Emmanuel Rodriguez = 50 Spencer Steer = 50 Yunior Severino = 50 From Baseball America in regard to general definitions. A 50 grade tool is "average" https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/explaining-the-20-80-baseball-scouting-scale/ It's worth noting that a players batting average may not represent their actual hit tool as plate discipline and experience can make a huge impact here. I'd say Eddie Rosario has at least a 70 grade hit tool. If he'd learn some discipline, his batting average would skyrocket. Royce Lewis scouting reports also mention Lewis being over-aggressive at the plate, but his pitch recognition and bat speed being well above average.
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