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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Honestly, the Twins should just DFA Larnach and Bell.
  2. bean5302
    Maybe there's a dog you can kick on your way in the door somewhere?
  3. bean5302
    In terms of chances at making the post-season, MLB is more competitive than the other leagues (including the NFL). Same with the championship games. There are just different reasons for the lack of parity. In leagues with salary caps, small and mid market teams can succeed. In MLB, they can't. Jeff Passan would make the same argument I'd make a couple years ago about how teams can make the playoffs so everything is okay. MLB teams cannot advance in the playoffs based on payrolls. No team in the past decade has made the World Series in a full season while in the bottom half of payroll. The smaller market, smaller payroll teams are honestly just cannon fodder for the real competitors. I want to see much closer to full rev share, a floor system of some sort. If it's not a hard floor, I want it to have teeth. Like every $10MM under the floor, lose your top pick. Go $100MM under the floor lose all your picks for the first 10 rounds. I want to see a hard cap or at least a prospect forfeiture tax. i.e. The Dodgers can go in at $300MM, but for every $10MM over the tax, say starting at $220MM, they lose their top prospect. That means they lose their top 8 prospects who are allowed to be selected as competitive balance picks or something like that. The ceiling has to have real teeth and long term consequences. I like the "tank/rebuild" strategy overall. It sucks for a couple years, but I think it's a good alternate strategy to just "spend more!" In other salary cap leagues, there's one strategy. Get lucky in the first round of the draft.
  4. bean5302
    Looks like you consider any start under a 10.50 ERA to be a good one. I guess we have different definitions of "good"
  5. bean5302
    Listen here, Tom Pohlad made that call. He wasn't about to let Buxton stay on his sofa! Tom needed the $$!!
  6. bean5302
    Gonzalez hasn't been impressive this year or over his past 20 games where he's put together a .257/.333/.443 OPS .776 wRC+ 98 line. 9.0% BB, 10.3% K shows his great contact rates, but if he puts the ball in the air, it's often a pop up. With only 2 days before 9/1, it appears Gonzalez, who has 2 more option years is more important to see at the MLB level than Emma. Gonzalez, who is honestly limited to DH or a below average RF makes no sense to me. I guess it's because he stands in the right handed batters box. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/08/twins-place-byron-buxton-on-10-day-il-with-hip-impingement.html
  7. bean5302
    No idea what the future holds for Wallner. Hard to believe no team was interested in him for cheap at the deadline, but it smacks of fear this front office wasn't willing to deal him for cheap or put him on the roster. This front office's ego seems fantastical to me. They must be desperate to avoid another Rooker. That said, Rooker probably doesn't even become Rooker except for the opportunity to play on a bad team not trying to compete. Wallner to the Rockies would make sense.
  8. bean5302
    Can't fathom this one. Emma's out of options. Martin should have gone down if they called up Gonzalez.
  9. bean5302
    He didn't really argue from my understanding. He turned while walking back to the dugout after being called out on a check swing, and got insta-tossed from what I read.
  10. bean5302
    Jenkins was a ground ball and pop up machine through the the all star break. He didn't start showing he was potentially going to be successful at the MLB level until August. Sure, the Twins could have called him up 5-10 games sooner if they were really aggressive. But this is the 8,724th article about this. Jenkins wouldn't have helped the team in any meaningful way.
  11. bean5302
    He's got plenty of muscle. He just needs to convert the fat to air.
  12. bean5302
    A lot of pitchers used to throw 80-85mph. Now they throw 95-100mph. Big difference in how the arm responds to that. MLB has changed its strategy in regard to what they look for in a pitcher.
  13. bean5302
    You're not going to find me defending Falvey. I believe he was a bottom 5 GM in baseball who made moves which were incomprehensible to me on a regular basis. Personally, I think Falvey repeated his pattern of trying to sign and trade players with +1 surplus value (Larnach-like) and found he was stuck with players the Twins honestly didn't want on the roster time and time again as a result. Wasted money. Wasted talent.
  14. bean5302
    Smith seems like he's got the zone figured out much better, but A ball pitchers seem to have almost zero control so it seems like getting a feel for the zone might be more difficult. Actually, it feels like the level of control and polish in all the levels is pretty trash over the past decade. High velo throwers unable to place their pitches, but trying to beat hitters by getting the balls past the plate faster than the hitter can read it seems to be the plan. Back to Smith. Hopefully he can keep it up. The power seems real enough, and I like seeing his K rate dropping over time. I suspect some regression as the plate appearances climb, but he'll start off in AA next year if he keeps it up!
  15. bean5302
    Amazes me how heavy baseball players have gotten in the past decade. Anything over 210 at 6'2" is wasted weight for any baseball player. It's like... this is your career. Put the bucket of ice cream back in the freezer.
  16. bean5302
    Honestly... what would Prielipp's ERA be without the relievers allowing inherited runners to score? I feel like I've seen it time and time again where Shelton lets Prielipp pitch to a batter or two, then pulls him mid inning and the bullpen allows all the inherited runners to score. There is no "September" competitive stretch. The Twins are DONE. D. O. N. E. They own a 5.6% chance statistically, but are EIGHT games under .500 and have 4 teams ahead of them in the chase for the last Wild Card. In any case, Prielipp should keep pitching in the rotation and gaining experience. There's no harm if he gets blown up because the Twins are cooked. Berrios came up in 2016 and pitched to a 7.27 ERA from 8/1+. Prielipp is a legit rotation arm getting killed by LOB. I'd move Kremer to the 'pen.
  17. bean5302
    I wonder how plausible it would be to have a ticker for game data?
  18. bean5302
    I think there was a much more plausible path for Roden at the deadline last year, especially for this year. I don't think anybody expected Larnach to return or some of the other questionable roster moves the Twins have made over the offseason and into this one. Plus Roden was the toss in. As a sweetener, and given the assumption Larnach wouldn't return, Roden should have been able to cover CF as a lefty and provide some depth insurance. Rojas was the big get.
  19. bean5302
    Its in reference to another thread where somebody was claiming Buxton came off the IL because Tom Pohlad wanted him on the active roster for more fan revenue/interest. I'm totally going to be rolling with Tom Pohlad making every injury decision on the Twins for a while because I'm highly entertained by such a ridiculous (but well supported) comment.
  20. bean5302
    Buxton begged Tom Pohlad to let him recover for a couple weeks on the IL, but Pohlad said no. What can you do? It was a big fight when Pohlad decided Buxton had to be reactivated before he was ready a couple weeks ago.
  21. bean5302
    I would have much preferred Buxton to the IL and Roden optioned to call up Rodriguez, but at least the Twins have somebody who can potentially catch balls in center field now. Jenkins has obliterated RHP, but there's a massive drop off against LHP with a much lower BB and higher K rate. Emma, on the other hand, has hit LHP almost as well as RHP with a pretty flat K:BB rate. Probably not enough to warrant optioning Martin and playing Emma vs. LHP, though. Martin has always hit lefties well.
  22. bean5302
    Tinney was 0/11 in stolen base prevention. He's now 3/17 meaning he's starting to more reliably showcase the arm over the past couple games. Really nice to see. Seems like he's also adjusting to the poor quality of location on pitches coming his way in A-ball as he's reducing the K rate and seeing the hits start coming. Sounds like the umpire was on a power trip ejecting Houston. Emma should definitely be called up and Roden sent down.
  23. bean5302
    I think Andrew Morris might represent an interesting comment in a quick interview of Justin Verlander a few weeks ago talking about how the game has changed in regard to pitch selection. It used to be batters told pitchers what was a good or bad pitch. If stuff was getting smoked, the pitch doesn't work and the pitcher would change it or stop using it. Now, analysts tell pitchers what a good or bad pitch is. (PitchingBot, Stuff+). Even if stuff keeps getting crushed, the analysts will look at the pitch profile and say it's a good pitch based on movement and velo.
  24. bean5302
    I think a lot of the change from 1st to 2nd is sleeve color, but there is a minor shift.
  25. bean5302
    Max Kepler for Walker Jenkins, sure. 60 grade raw power, very good contact rates, below average K rates, good plate discipline, just barely good enough speed to cover CF, great defensive instincts, solid arm, left handed batter. That makes a ton of sense. For Emma, I don't see it. Emma has elite raw power, and terrible contact rates. Kepler's career K rate is only 18.7%.
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