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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    I would hope the org is OK with this. (And realize you’re not saying they shouldn’t be.) The concessions to development of putting Buxton in a AAA lineup...and as a lead off hitter no less...already having been made, Skinner decided to use Buxton’s fourth at-bat to try to win the game. If the organization doesn’t want even that type of move/decision to occur with Buxton, it would be much fairer to Rochester players and manager...and better for Buxton as well...if the Twins moved him to a level where his bat making solid contact with the ball is more than a random accident.
  2. jkcarew
    I think the point with Austin is that he can hit left-handed pitching, and for power. Look at the numbers against lefties, not the overall numbers. That...particularly if/when Dozier is gone and Sano has yet to find his way...makes him a potentially better fit than LoMo. Based on the scarcity of 25-man spots available to position players, Austin would have to improve at least some against righties to have a shot....but I’m sure that’s the thought in accepting him in the deal.
  3. jkcarew
    Dabbled in other religions such as Olympic Games. We should have been more wary of him!
  4. jkcarew
    This is a primary reason why, when God created baseball, (person pronoun of your choice here) put the trade deadline so much before the point of mathematical elimination for even finge contenders.... It creates communion among the followers.
  5. jkcarew
    I guess if winning a Division title is an important goal, we can’t know which side of this argument is ‘correct’ until we see where Cleveland ends up. Depending on whether...or how badly, Cleveland sputters in Aug/Sept, it could end up that the Twins would have had a realistic shot...or not. For my money, I’m glad the Twins are not behaving as though an unlikely...or even a ‘decent’...shot at a Central Division title in 2018 is a goal worthy of any act or omission of act...no matter how small that act may seem today...that doesn’t help the club’s chances to realistically compete for a pennant some day. I see this as what many fans would have hoped for with a new management team... a front office that is not going to be concerned with ‘pressure’ to follow the path of least resistance...one that is not interested in the strategy of celebrating mediocrity....or that has experienced futility for so long, that they confuse mediocrity with actual goodness. Now, IMO, they need to follow through with the theme before the deadline hits.
  6. jkcarew
    If the Twins catch Cleveland, they are still massively inferior to at least 2 (and probably all 3) other teams in the AL playoffs. The AL in 2018 is the opposite of a year to bet on a long shot. But, more to the point, IMO, is that you have to make decisions based on the team you have, not the team you hope you have. If the team finished 10 games below 500...which is exactly what their performance over nearly 100 games points to...and you didn’t sell when you had the chance...especially the assets not under control in 2019...then the FO would be, and should be, open to massive criticism.
  7. jkcarew
    Twins were going to get nothing for him. Not challenging for anything meaningful in 2019...a theoretical division crowns with 83 or 84 wins does nothing for me...as unlikely as it is. This was the right move. Could they have done better is the only question I would have, but this seems reasonable...and infinitely better than nothing. One of my favorite guys on team. Still, the right move, IMO.
  8. jkcarew
    Expanding rosters a disaster...unless it comes with big restrictions (enforceable) on pitching changes.
  9. jkcarew
    Lewis Diaz is on 7-day DL with fractured right thumb. (Sounds like it would end up being more than 7 days.)
  10. jkcarew
    I think Garver can be as good offensively, and his arm is better than Harper’s. Harper’s receiving skills, though, were good...Garver, yikes! We’ll see, I hope. Need to play him (basically) every day behind the plate and see how much better it can get. Nobody was giving Harper much of a chance. His first year with the Twins was his first shot at being an every-day catcher...at age 28. Garver is 27.
  11. jkcarew
    I agree. If you QO him, you better be prepared for him to accept. Then what do you do with him the next year? To me, you either need to sign him to a 2-3 year deal/extension....or if preliminary discussions with his agent indicate that that will be problematic, you need to sell high now. But I wouldn't be shocked if they QO him. I guess it could be argued that (at least for 2019) his flexibility would have more value for the Twins than for almost any other team in the market...as it's hard to imagine that any other team will have as many questions at multiple infield spots in 2019 as will the Twins.
  12. jkcarew
    Because he was the team’s best player over a period of 4 years heading into this year? Might that be why?
  13. jkcarew
    I like your logic, and it might help. But, part of the issue, is that today batters wear the body armor and stand right on top of the plate (not all...many). Meanwhile baseball’s own little PC movement has made it a federal crime to pitch aggressively inside to knock the batter off the plate. The unintended consequence in this case is that there is no pitch that catches even the outside corner that most pull hitters can’t pull with authority.
  14. jkcarew
    Nice to see Rochester’s offense break out.
  15. jkcarew
    I do suppose you start running out of currently available and viable options...especially if both were to be moved.
  16. jkcarew
    Ironic. Just today I had expressed the opinion that I wanted the Twins to be ultra conservative with Sano and make sure they take all time needed to ingrain new behaviors whether they be in game or preparation/conditioning. I'm very happy that he's making good progress. I just hope this isn't premature, and based on some short-sited urgency regarding the notion of getting back into it in 2018.
  17. jkcarew
    If I were the Twins, instead of that...I'd go with this... Since 2016... only 3 lead-off hitters have had more RBI than Dozier Among 33 batters that have had more than 500 PA's as their teams lead-off hitter (500+ total PA in games where they lead off the first inning), Dozier has the 5th highest RBI rate (RBI per plate appearance).
  18. jkcarew
    To be fair, some of the pessimism regarding Dozier's trade value, if expressed even 3 weeks ago, was a little more warranted. Even with Dozier, it's still hard to project his value above the productivity he demonstrates in the 350 plate appearances that occur before July. His wRC+ is currently 12th among qualified second-basemen, and 18th among second-basemen with more than 200 PA. But this article is the blue-print of how the Twins would/should present Dozier in trade negotiations (except for the GB rate (: )
  19. jkcarew
    That opinion isn't in my post . Just stated the willingness on the part of the Twins to make that offer would be the only justification (IMO) for not trading him. Or, another way of saying the same thing..."if you're not willing to offer the QO, you HAVE to trade him." (Assuming the Twins consider themselves sellers by the deadline.) You're not going to extend him at this point, months away from hitting the open market and having a career year.
  20. jkcarew
    I'm 'optimistically cautious' (how's that!) on Rooker. He's also 4th in the league in strike-outs with a K% of nearly 30. And looking less and less likely to stick defensively in the outfield. The good news is the power continues to show that it would probably plays at 1B/DH....and the K-rate is holding steady from what he showed last year at Ft. Myers.
  21. jkcarew
    Exactly this. Also, the frequent 10th inning pitching line: 1 R, 0 ER....and then I run off to look for who committed the error.
  22. jkcarew
    Yeah, in the picture, he's got kind of a baby-face, the-uniform-they-gave-me-doesn't-quite-fit-right, youth-league look about him. And he's about 2 1/2 years OLDER than Royce Lewis.
  23. jkcarew
    At any point it time, you are what you're record says you are. But to your point...maybe you don't pick up the phone until a week before the deadline....but you sure as heck better be answering it.
  24. jkcarew
    In my mind, the only justification for NOT trading Escobar is if the Twins have already made the decision that they are willing to QO him. I think it's arguable whether the team would/should feel that Escobar is worth a QO for 2019. Dozier, Sano, Gordon...even Polanco and Adrianza...a lot of decisions and moving pieces. It makes for great speculation.
  25. jkcarew
    My take-away from this article?... Is that Elizabethton's game field behind Larnach? Yikes. It looks like my high-school field in northern Minnesota looked every April, except slightly worse.
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