Twins Video
One sign of a player making a fundamental change to his approach is a change in the strikeout-to-walk ratio. Escobar has always been a bit of a free swinger. You might remember us wondering, in early May, when he’d get his first walk of the year. His ratio for his career is close to 3.5:1. It’s hovered around that each year of his career, including this year.
Which is why seeing a 10:10 ratio since August 5th is so jarring. Looking at his career, month by month, we’ve never seen anything like this. It’s only been a month, and I’ll be a lot more excited when I see it for a second month, but this bears watching.
Escobar won’t stay this hot. Eventually, pitchers will get the message that if they don’t throw him strikes, they're going to get ahead in the count, so they’ll adjust. But making pitchers throw strikes and not swinging at pitches out of the zone - that’s a skill. I wonder if we’re not seeing the first few signs of a whole new level of production from Escobar.
The Bad
Byron Buxton has all the tools to be an unbelievably good major league outfielder, and shines defensively even when he’s replacing Aaron Hicks. But he has frequently looked overmatched at the plate. And that isn't just the "eye test." He is off to a historically rocky start statistically.
Here are the highest strikeout totals for a Twins player in his first 22 games, along with walks and batting average.
One can argue that Buxton's strikeout total is partially a result of facing last night’s pitcher, Chris Sale, seven times. Or of ending his last stint with four strikeouts with a broken hand. But even with a handful of fewer strikeouts, he’s in the top three historically. And, of course, the strikeouts aren’t the real issue; it’s the strikeouts plus the lack of walks that is the issue.
It’s no big deal for a rookie to struggle when promoted to the majors over his first 20 games. Maybe some hits don’t fall or there is a little nervousness. But there is a difference between some initial struggling and just not being ready for play at this level, and the most frequent place that shows up is in K:BB ratio.
Buxton is fun to watch. He’s elite defensively. He should eventually be a star. And he might be the best option the Twins have for a third outfielder when Aaron Hicks comes back, though I think there can be plenty of room for contradicting opinions on that point. (And if you want to hear plenty of contradicting on that point, check out the latest episode of Gleeman and the Geek.)
But he looks so overmatched right now at the plate that it isn’t clear that he belongs in the majors yet. Let’s not forget that he’s only 21 years old and has had about a week in AAA. If things don’t turn around in a hurry for him, he might not only lose his starting role in this pennant run, he might also give second thoughts as to which level he should play next April.
The Ugly
Giggle. Gawd, I love playing the White Sox. Here's the play of the game. Also, your moment of zen:








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