Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Twins 2, Orioles 7: Stick a Fork in Them


    Matt Braun

    The inevitable struck in predictable and lethal fashion. 

    Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Pablo López: 5 ⅔ IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 8 K
    Home Runs: None
    Bottom 3 WPA: Carlos Correa (-0.96), Royce Lewis (-0.82), Christian Vázquez (-0.67)
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

    chart(55).png.ef1ca3c7ca369108cbb6842ceb2afeae.png

    Minnesota took the field on Friday with a clear mandate: win. Win like you’ve never won before. Their only shot at remaining in the postseason race required sweeping the Orioles—good luck—AND having one the Detroit and KC lose out. Well, the Tigers won (the Royals did not), so the Twins’ mission became just that much tougher. They controlled their own destiny much in the same way that a man in the electric chair could take matters into his own hands by violently coughing. 

    Perhaps it was fitting, then, that their opponent was former Twins farmhand Cade Povich. The universe sure loves kicking you when you’re down. Naturally, he blanked them. For 5 ⅔ innings, the Twins could do little more than put the ball in play in vain, running directly into gloves and outs as the frames melted into each other. Some potential “bad luck” early quickly morphed into bland emptiness in the middle innings. Their best hopes at scoring were a two-out double by Byron Buxton in the 1st and back-to-back runners on second in the 5th and 6th. All rallies led to nothing. Good day. 

    Pablo López wasn’t so fortunate. In his final start of the year, he dipped into “effectively wild” waters, seeming only to have a vague concept of what the strike zone is—a far cry from his typical, controlled game. Outside of one swing, it worked. Unfortunately, that one swing resulted in a two-run homer. So it goes. 

    Typically, I would soliloquize about the game more, but the monotony of the last month has sapped almost everything from me; outs are simply just that, and runs are what the other team scores. Who cares. Some stuff happened; the Twins are now down. Rinse and repeat too often, and you’ll build a toxic calcium deposit of apathy—a vile curse that requires significant change to cleanse. 

    López exited, and an assembly line of Minnesota’s 4th-option relievers revealed that maybe the starter was more brilliant than he received credit for. Caleb Thielbar allowed a homer to a lefty. Kody Funderburk invited four more runs to score. Quiet was the forest these trees fell in. 

    The Twins did score when, in the 9th—with no stakes whatsoever—the Orioles took some pity on their opponents and allowed them to score. Twice. How kind. Maybe a Twitter account will post it. I doubt it.

    Whatever remained of Minnesota's fleeting hopes finally ungracefully ended when Ryan Jeffers grounded out to end the 9th. The long, slow goodbye had been in the works for some time now, but it was finally complete; the Twins, once solidly ahead in the Wild Card race, were eliminated from playoff contention.


    What makes a collapse so fascinating, I think, is the majestic totality of its grandeur: an entire collection of people failed at the same time—in differing magnitudes, certainly—but there’s no question that they faltered. The manager slips. The slugging DH misses a few hangers. Shoot, even the beer salesman dogs it. It’s a rare and unnatural phenomenon, but it’s one the 2024 Twins found themselves at the heart of, and there’s nothing more to be said than this: their season is over. Try again next year. 

    Notes:

    Pablo López ends the season with 198 strikeouts, two away from the 200 milestone and 36 off his high-water mark set last year. Still, his 2024 will go down as the 23rd most strikeouts in a season by a Twins pitcher, nestled between 1987 Frank Viola and 2010 Francisco Liriano, respectively.

    With two RBIs on Friday, Carlos Santana pushed his career total to 1,081, good for 231st All-Time. Three more runs batted in will tie him with Lou Whitaker. 

    Caleb Thielbar appeared in his 347th game as a Twin, the 8th-most by a Minnesota reliever. He is 18 appearances away from tying Glen Perkins.

    Post-Game Interview:

     

    What’s Next?
    The Twins and Orioles will play the penultimate game of the 2024 regular season on Saturday, with Zebby Matthews set to take the mound against the calm and turgid TBD. First pitch is at 6:15 PM.

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

    Screenshot2024-09-28083305.png.e9b6147c78b03c5793c35ef6d8c817c8.png

     

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    10 hours ago, cmoss84 said:

    Was thinking the exact same thing. 

    If they fire everyone, does that get fans off of their back and buy them time to not spend money?

    Nope. That's not enough. Jim Pohlad (not spokesperson, Joe) needs to make a statement about things. Take ownership for the hard reverse in team financial direction, and an overcorrection on salary reduction. Confirm this is the most disappointing year in his tenure of owning the Minnesota Twins.

    Then confirm Dave St. Peter is changing roles while the Twins pursue a fresh new perspective on how to get fans engaged with the team again, and fix the TV situation. Pohlad should admit ownership's role in the TV debacle, and make it clear the reason Target Field hasn't been drawing is a failure on the part of the front office and marketing rather than the fans not supporting the team.

    Finally, confirm the Twins are parting ways with Derek Falvey and Thad Levine with the intent of finding a new, experienced GM to run the baseball operations side. He can hark back to the position ownership had last year, that it was time for the Twins to be advancing in the playoffs, not just making them, and that ownership is committed to building a World Series Championship team, not just a .500 ballclub or just making the playoffs.

    5 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    If they really feel they need to keep Rocco because he is under contract and they don't want to pay two managers then that's one more piece of evidence that the bottom line is more important than winning.

    I think firing Rocco now is a mistake. Let the new GM decide whether or not he wants Rocco.

    2 hours ago, Riverbrian said:

    As I watched the game... I kept saying to myself. Povich is shutting us completely down. Povich shouldn't be shutting anyone down but... with our hitters he hung zeros as he lowered his ERA from 5.59 to 5.20...

    Look at Povich's recent starts, man. It looks like he's figuring stuff out. Last 5 starts 2.60 ERA, 3.13 FIP, 3.42 xFIP 10.41 K/9, 2.60 BB/9.

    1 hour ago, Riverbrian said:

    Look for Italian Restaurants specifically. 

    They must have an Olive Garden somewhere.  

    I would go to the local markets and purchase the food there.  I bet their Chef Boyardee is amazing.

    Even when they were winning games and had a good record, they often seemed a little flat this year.   That is a bit true of last year as well, the pitching kept them in the race until the offense finally caught fire later in the season.

    51 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    No way. When the Pohlad's creak open the dusty wallets for any type of decent giveaway, they're gone 30+min before game time. Some gates run out 1+hrs before game time.

    Went to a Dodgers game against TC a couple years ago.  They gave out 40,000 Freddie Freeman bobble heads.  Wife and I both got one. 

    TC giving 5,000 fan appreciation hats.

    19 minutes ago, Parfigliano said:

    Attendance will crater if they trade Pablo

    Nobody cares if Pablo pitches for the Twins next year. Like zero people. It won't matter 100 season ticket packages. Attendance went up after Kirby Puckett retired. Attendance went up after Joe Mauer retired. Lopez is just another good, but not great pitcher. If Lopez left and the Twins brought in Blake Snell (not happening in a million years), nobody would care that Lopez wasn't here anymore. Fans do not care about players. They care about the team. Nobody was devastated when Kyle Gibson left. Attendance went up after Jose Berrios was traded.

    Also, it's 10,000 hats, not 5,000, but still. Fan appreciation for 1/4 of the stadium capacity, LOL. We appreciate 25% of you who might attend, haha. I do believe the total is 10,000 and season ticket holders are allowed to purchase give-a-ways before the season. My guess is maybe 8,000 hats are left after season ticket holders are forced to purchase the "free give-a-ways" if they actually want a shot at getting them.

    1 hour ago, S Bart said:

     

    AL LEAGUE AS OF TODAY Starters

    6th in strikeouts

    8th in innings pitched

    5th in wins

    He had a couple of bad loses that boosted his ERA.  It does not help when there is no hitting to help him out. You are right, hopefully his ERA will match the 22 million. Regardless, there are several on the list below that are not pitching at all and some who are making a sum, e.g. Verlander has a 5.55, Scherzer a 3.95 with a 2-4 W/L record.. Corbin a 5.62, DeGroom has pitched 10 innings this year, So, hopefully can surpass those individuals.

    MLB's highest-paid starting pitchers in 2024 AS OF MARCH, 2024:

    • 1. Los Angeles Dodgers RHP Shohei Ohtani: $70 million

    • 2. Texas Rangers RHP Max Scherzer: $43.3 million

    • 2. Houston Astros RHP Justin Verlander: $43.3 million

    • 4. Texas Rangers RHP Jacob deGrom: $40 million

    • 5. New York Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole: $36 million

    • 6. Washington Nationals LHP Patrick Corbin: $35.4 million

    • 7. Washington Nationals RHP Stephen Strasburg: $35 million

    • 8. New York Yankees LHP Carlos Rodon: $27.8 million

    • 9. Philadelphia Phillies RHP Aaron Nola: $24.5 million

    • 10. Seattle Mariners RHP Luis Castillo: $24.2 million

     

    Not sure where you pulled this list from. Blake Snell should be on it. A bunch of those guys will be dropping off it next year.

    Funny enough, in addition to Pablo next year, Sonny Gray will also make a comet-like appearance near the top of that list in 2025, based on how his contract was structured. 

    Ohtani belongs not on the starting pitcher list but on the ‘Unicorns’ list, with him as the only name on that list. 🙂

    3 hours ago, Maybe Next Year said:

    Funny- Cleveland's payroll is $30 million less than the Twins, Detroit's was $22 million less and KC's was $10 million less.  Gee, how did they all make the playoffs with such a low payroll?  This is proof it isn't just a spending issue- it's a front office and manager issue. The manager is horrible and the front office isn't much better. Time to clean house!

    I haven't been a Rocco hater, but look at Detroits team.  Tarik Skubal and 25 other guys.  And A J Hinch.  

    I don’t know exactly how to quantify it, but after taking in (in person, broadcast, online) most of the games this year (I’m retired), I’m puzzled to think of how an organization could get LESS on field performance than what we’ve seen, given the payroll and talent we have. I’ve voiced my great displeasure with the movement toward new analytics seemingly driving every lineup and on field decision. It’s producing a boring brand and is making it hard for me to get behind the players the way I’m used to. But beyond that, I’m still wondering if I’d have a better fan experience if I was watching an organization that was honestly trying to build towards something from the ground up. The apparent lack of emphasis on the basic fundamentals is appalling to me. I’d feel better about a massive housecleaning even if that meant being realistic about not having a championship type team next year. As it is, I feel like I’m being lied to by the organization with how things have played out. As far as Rocco, as far as I can tell he’s a high character, positive person. I liked him as a player with the Devil Rays, probably would love to have a beer with him. As a professional baseball manager, I’d look elsewhere for what I want our young players learning and growing with. Full disclosure - I’m not that fluent in pro sports financial analysis and frankly don’t have the energy for it. I love baseball, I’m a lifelong Twins fan, and just want pleasure/entertainment from the experience. 
    I hope they accommodate that going forward. 

    15 hours ago, ashbury said:

    Rocco's use of Funderburk was in direct contradiction of what he said in yesterday's post game about not giving up until elimination was mathematically official.

    Look at the Bullpen chart above - Blewett threw 39 pitches Thursday - Tonkin threw 18 pitches on Thursday - Thielbar had already pitched in the game - Funderburk is the only guy left that hadn’t thrown the two previous days consecutively.

    3 soft contact hits and he was in trouble - not pitching poorly just getting nicked to death.

    They DO NOT SCORE runs………. the Managerial decisions to use pitchers that are available aren’t the problem - strategy isn’t losing games - averaging 1-2 runs per game is a real problem………hitters need to look in the mirror!

    1 hour ago, Hosken Bombo Disco said:

    Not sure where you pulled this list from. Blake Snell should be on it. A bunch of those guys will be dropping off it next year.

    Funny enough, in addition to Pablo next year, Sonny Gray will also make a comet-like appearance near the top of that list in 2025, based on how his contract was structured. 

    Ohtani belongs not on the starting pitcher list but on the ‘Unicorns’ list, with him as the only name on that list. 🙂

    ????

    Just now, JD-TWINS said:

    Mr. Upbeat in New York………

    Sorry to tell it like it is. Unless something drastic is done, attendance will fall. I can lie if you'd prefer. 

    This incompetent organization was expecting a rise in attendance after '23 and anyone paying attention knew that wasn't gonna happen. Came about 300,000 people short of projected, which has to be at least $15 million in game day revenue. 

    And probably another $15 million next season.

    Thank goodness they right sized by $30 million to save money! 

    1 hour ago, lukeduke1980 said:

    I haven't been a Rocco hater, but look at Detroits team.  Tarik Skubal and 25 other guys.  And A J Hinch.  

    This just tells me you don't know anything about their team. 

    Whats is incredible is they became just the second team to successfully utilize openers as a pitching strategy. Pretty cool if we're being honest. 

    4 hours ago, Aggies7 said:

    The entire organization needs to get back to teaching fundamentals. It was glaringly obvious that guys coming up from the minors were terrible at basic baseball skills, like baserunning and holding baserunners. Situational hitting. How could a guy like austin martin not be able to get a bunt down? I guess when you’re so obsessed with numbers you have less time for the basic stuff that’s won baseball games for 150 years. 

    The powers that be (the FO and Rocco) won big in 2019 with the HR ball setting a MLB record. They've gone whole hog in that direction and now they are paying the price. You don't teach fundamentals, like baserunning, holding runners, sacrificing, bunting, situational hitting, opposite field hitting, etc, etc, if your only goal is to hit the ball as hard as you can, swinging for the fences. Without even checking, I'd be willing to bet the majority of the games they won were games they hit at least 1 HR or more, and the games they couldn't score enough to win, they didn't hit any. 

    2 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    No way. When the Pohlad's creak open the dusty wallets for any type of decent giveaway, they're gone 30+min before game time. Some gates run out 1+hrs before game time.

    You got that right. I got an e-mail last night celebrating "Fan Appreciation Weekend" with a wheel to spin to win various prizes. Supposed to run through Sunday. I "clicked to win" about 1 pm today (Saturday) to get to the wheel and arrived at a page bannered with "This Promotion is Over"....

    1 minute ago, NYCTK said:

    Sorry to tell it like it is. Unless something drastic is done, attendance will fall. I can lie if you'd prefer. 

    This incompetent organization was expecting a rise in attendance after '23 and anyone paying attention knew that wasn't gonna happen. Came about 300,000 people short of projected, which has to be at least $15 million in game day revenue. 

    And probably another $15 million next season.

    Thank goodness they right sized by $30 million to save money! 

    You say attendance is poor, or going to drop, 3 times a day for last week ……, don’t recall a lot of posts nearly all season …….maybe I missed them but I’m on here every day so doubtful.

    26,000 and change last night with the season essentially over from a competitive standpoint. People in MN will go out and watch Pro-sports - no matter which team, if they’re competitive. Twins will be competitive or better making nearly zero changes to pitching and only a handful toward refreshing the offense.

    2 days ago I said any forecast of more than 2% increase over ‘23 draw of 1.97 million would have been careless with all the TV issues that came out of the Winter. I also said they wouldn’t be more than 35-70K light on attendance (using your $75/fan revenue number) that would result in a maximum shortfall of ($75 x 70,000) $5.25M max. …………my comments were in response to what you had called out ……… then, you gave my comments a thumbs up!!! Today you’re back at the chicken little attitude on attendance……let it go instead of acting like the definitive Nostradamus .

    16 minutes ago, NYCTK said:

    Who cares? In June, sure. If you've given up? Sure. But if you're claiming to try to win the game, that's irrelevant. 

    It’s not irrelevant if guys aren’t going to be effective - it’s not fantasy baseball. I’m not concerned with innings for the year at this point but guys can’t throw 20 plus pitches 3 days in a row at the end of September. The announcers were discussing the topic from 2nd inning forward ……,”pen is extremely short tonight”. Sure 2-3 of those guys were available if absolutely needed but not with 14 outs to go.

    9 hours ago, CRF said:

    Get ready for more of the same next season. Very disappointing.

     

    I remember the 86 Twins.  They had a good core to start with. Guys like Hrbek , Gagne, Gary Gaetti, Viola , Burt Blyleven, etc ...In the off-season, acquired Gladden, Juan B, Jeff Reardon. We know how the story ends. 

     

    Question is. Do we have a front office that has a clue about what moves to make? An owner that will prevent any possibly of acquiring a game changing FA? 

    That's what kills any hope for me. 

    22 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    You say attendance is poor, or going to drop, 3 times a day for last week ……, don’t recall a lot of posts nearly all season …….maybe I missed them but I’m on here every day so doubtful.

    26,000 and change last night with the season essentially over from a competitive standpoint. People in MN will go out and watch Pro-sports - no matter which team, if they’re competitive. Twins will be competitive or better making nearly zero changes to pitching and only a handful toward refreshing the offense.

    2 days ago I said any forecast of more than 2% increase over ‘23 draw of 1.97 million would have been careless with all the TV issues that came out of the Winter. I also said they wouldn’t be more than 35-70K light on attendance (using your $75/fan revenue number) that would result in a maximum shortfall of ($75 x 70,000) $5.25M max. …………my comments were in response to what you had called out ……… then, you gave my comments a thumbs up!!! Today you’re back at the chicken little attitude on attendance……let it go instead of acting like the definitive Nostradamus .

    We were guessing. And the there was actual reporting. And now I'm guessing again. 

    This is fun. This is supposed to be fun. 

    16 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    It’s not irrelevant if guys aren’t going to be effective - it’s not fantasy baseball. I’m not concerned with innings for the year at this point but guys can’t throw 20 plus pitches 3 days in a row at the end of September. The announcers were discussing the topic from 2nd inning forward ……,”pen is extremely short tonight”. Sure 2-3 of those guys were available if absolutely needed but not with 14 outs to go.

    I don't take their word seriously. Pitchers can pitch three days in a row if needed. Rocco didn't think it was needed, cause he'd given up. But we all had so, makes sense. 

    14 hours ago, cmoss84 said:

    Was thinking the exact same thing. 

    If they fire everyone, does that get fans off of their back and buy them time to not spend money?

    It shouldn’t, but it probably will here.  Getting any sort of real criticism/tough questions out of the local media isn’t going to happen.  And. There’s too many fans that are content spending $300 to hang out in nice summer weather with no regard for the product.  There’s never a real consequence.

    That’s the thing.  This is the absolute easiest market to run a sports franchise, and the current ownership group still can’t get out of their own way.

    All it takes is throwing the fan base a meager bone once in a while.  Sign Carlos Correa at a discount when nobody else wanted him, and they have NPCs on places like this doing their best to drag anyone that dares criticize their spending policies for the next decade.

    I just heard a few stats on a podcast.  This team has won 90 games twice since target field opened.  It’s managed one play-in tournament win against an equally inept franchise in the last 25 years (and we had fans celebrating like we won’t back to back World Series).  The current FO was brought in under the pretenses of building a pithing pipeline.  This team still can’t pitch a lick and they’re nearly a decade into their administration.  There’s still a subset of people that will die on the hill of this franchises proven loser of a team building strategy.

    I recently saw someone defending on the basis of the strong farm system, which is mind blowing.  They just had Jenkins, a top 5 prospect fall into their lap.  What else have they done?  They didn’t want to pony up for Greene so took Lewis, who may never play a full season in his career, and frankly, is not that good (can’t play defense, can’t run, and we’ve just recently discovered, isnt a world beater at the plate either).  They’ve burned first round pick after first round pick on slugging DH types that never materialize.

    Frankly, I don’t care what ownership does this offseason.  I can tell you it won’t be enough.  It never has been, and never will be.  They don’t care.  Their ultimate goal is to do just enough to con the fans.  Not an inch more.  This is 100% hopeless.  Last year was the absolute ceiling for this franchise.  And, considering the pop-up of the Royals and Tigers this year, we’re not seeing that again for a very long time.

    Last thing.  Can everyone that doesn’t understand accounting quit with the “what do you want them to do, take a loss?  It’s a business.”  Do you really think they’re losing money?   Amazon has a run an operating loss every year of their existence.  How’s Jeff Bezos doing?  They’re still making out like bandits financially, so let’s quit with the nonsense that they can’t afford this or that.

    This franchise needs a real, competent business man running the ship.  Someone that understands return in investment and long-term positioning.  These trust funders in place now have been led to believe that’s them.  They were born on third base and think they hit a triple.  Then, while pretending they know how to run the bases, they got picked off.




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...