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    Orioles 4, Twins 2: Sweeping Away the Misery


    Ted Schwerzler

    Everyone keeps saying it's hard to hit home runs at Camden Yards now. It doesn't seem that hard to hit home runs at Camden Yards. Maybe it even needs to be harder.

    Image courtesy of © Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher: Pablo López 6.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 K (87 pitches, 55 strikes, 13 whiffs)
    Home Runs: None
    Bottom 3 WPA: Griffin Jax (-.365), Steven Okert (-.232), Byron Buxton (-.137)

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

    chart(3).png.bdb92afd19dd47942a76f2f366c54405.png

    Pitchers of a Different Ilk
    Scheduled to face former Twins prospect Tyler Wells today, Minnesota instead was opposed by Albert Suárez, with Wells going on the injured list due to elbow inflammation. Wednesday’s start was Suárez’s first appearance in a major-league game since 2017, and the first time he was making a start since 2016. They don't make big-league hurlers much more different from one another than Suárez and Pablo López.

    Despite not having much of a track record and struggling mightily during his brief Triple-A showing this year, Suárez acquitted himself in the first inning. Blowing pitches past Minnesota leadoff hitter Edouard Julien, it was as though the Twins hitter couldn’t touch his fastball. Ryan Jeffers and Byron Buxton went down on softly-hit fly balls, and Suárez kept it simple with nine straight fastballs. For whatever reason, Minnesota could not adjust.

    Gunnar Henderson stepped in against López, having homered in back-to-back games, and decided to make it a third straight. Before Minnesota had recorded an out, they trailed 1-0. Minnesota’s ace got out of the inning without allowing any more damage, but once again, the Twins trailed early.

    Suárez Continues to Shove
    Despite having been out of affiliated baseball for years, and looking like organizational fodder at Triple-A to start this season, Suárez showed up ready to compete against the Twins today. Rocco Baldelli has watched his lineup be largely lethargic for the duration of the season, but Wednesday in Baltimore was a new low.

    Velocity has long been a significant part of the game at the highest level. What Suárez flashed against the Twins was impressive, but his 95-96-mph fastball shouldn’t have overwhelmed a competent big-league lineup. It did, anyway.

    Through four innings, Suarez had generated 10 whiffs on his four-seam fastball, and 13 total in just 56 pitches. A pair of doubles from José Miranda and Alex Kirilloff were the only positive outcomes in the early portion of the contest, and as the Twins have done for a while now, they stranded both on the bases. The gameplan at the plate seemed to be nonexistent. It might be time for both David Popkins and Rudy Hernandez to find themselves in hot water.

    Pablo Does His Job
    After a pair of victories for Baltimore, the Twins needed their ace to be a stopper. While Henderson did get the solo home run leading off the game, the Minnesota starter settled in thereafter. While he didn’t seem to overmatch Orioles hitters at the same confounding level that Suárez did against Minnesota, he continued to set them down.

    Following a Ryan Jeffers hit by pitch, and move to second base after a wild pitch, Baltimore countered by bringing in former Minnesota reliever Danny Coulombe. (He could still be in the Twins bullpen, but that’s a rehashed frustration for a different time.) Coulombe got Kirilloff to ground out and turned over the inning.

    López got Jackson Holliday and Henderson both on whiffs to start the sixth inning. Then Adley Rutschman stepped in and got acquainted with Austin Martin in center field. With Buxton operating as the designated hitter today, it was Martin patrolling the deep green. Ranging to his right and diving, Martin came up with a big catch and sent his teammates back to the dish

    Martin then found himself in a position to impact the game offensively during the next half-inning. Manuel Margot took a one-out walk, and running on Martin’s base hit to left center, Tommy Watkins got aggressive and sent him in to tie things up at one. Martin came through in the field, then immediately knotted things up in the top of the 7th inning.

    Despite looking utterly lost in his first two at-bats of the game, Farmer lined a 2-2 single to left field that allowed Martin to score from second base. Martin’s speed is a significant part of his game, and going on contact with two outs, there was never a doubt as to whether he’d be sent home. López was in line for a well-earned win.

    Short-Lived Lead
    Despite López being at just 87 pitches through six innings, Baldelli opted for his bullpen to take over starting the seventh. Steven Okert was the first man up, and after getting Austin Hays to fly out, he gave up a big fly to Anthony Santander tying the game at two.

    With an off day next on the docket for the Twins, and both Brock Stewart and Griffin Jax fresh in the bullpen, having your ace go seven would have been ideal, and not allowing him to start that frame was a frustrating decision by the Twins skipper. Stewart came on to bail out Okert needing one out with runners on the corners. Getting Jordan Westburg on strikes, he preserved the tie.

    Sent to the Orioles in the Jorge López trade, Yennier Canó came on for Baltimore against his former organization. He got Jeffers to ground out, and a Buxton strikeout pushed the struggling slugger's strikeout-to-walk ratio on the season to 22/1. Kirilloff drew a walk to make things interesting, but Miranda went down swinging and Minnesota was going to need the ninth inning. Stewart got Minnesota over the hump, but the lineup again needed to come through.

    Mullins Ends It
    Ending López’s day early and turning the ball over to the bullpen, Baldelli had committed to Stewart and Griffin Jax to finish the first nine innings. Stewart did his job, while the lineup failed to produce another run. In the bottom of the ninth, Cedric Mullins called game.

    Mullins finishing them off neatly rounded out the narrative for this series. From his run-saving catch in the first inning of the first game, Mullins symbolized the sheer superiority of the Orioles at this moment in time throughout the set. The two-run shot secured the sweep for Baltimore, and Minnesota was set to return home after going a terrible 2-5 on their road trip.

    Notes
    Max Kepler, who has been on the injured list dealing with a bone bruise, is starting a rehab assignment with the St. Paul Saints on Friday. The Twins Triple-A club is in Indianapolis this week, so he could presumably rejoin the big league club sometime early next week if things go well.

    After DFA’ing Michael Tonkin earlier this week, the Twins found out they have lost him on waivers to the New York Mets. New York is who Minnesota claimed Tonkin from, and to make a spot for him on the roster, they DFA’d another former Twins prospect, Tyler Jay.

    What’s Next? 
    The Twins return home on Thursday with their final scheduled off day of the month on tap. Welcoming a pair of divisional foes to Target Field, both the Detroit Tigers and Chicago White Sox represent beatable teams for Minnesota to use as a get-right spot. Needing to turn the tide of their start, it’s getting late early for Baldelli’s club should things continue.

    Postgame Interviews

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

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    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    Featured Comments

    3 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

     

    If a few more fans would spend a little money to attend the games, payroll wouldn't have been slashed. The Twins are 19th in MLB in payroll at $130MM. The team's payroll is competitive with their revenues, and $130MM was sufficient to field a competitive team.

    OAK = $63MM
    PIT = $84MM
    MIA = $97MM
    TBR = $99MM
    CLE = $100MM <-- Bottom AL Central in spending, top in the standings.
    CIN = $102MM
    BAL = $102MM <--- The team that just swept us.
    MIL = $106MM
    DET = $106MM
    WSH = $110MM
    KCR = $116MM
    MIN = $130MM
    CHW = $133MM <-- Top AL Central in spending, bottom in the standings.
     

    I'm "right-sizing" my Twins related spending this year.

    7 hours ago, LastOnePicked said:

    I don't know how Baltimore got to be so good. I've been reliably told that organizational rebuilds don't work.

    Indeed; however pointing this out makes you a bad fan so I've been told (mainly from the same commentors who enjoy the hitting approach and think the bullpen is #1 in baseball).

    4 hours ago, bean5302 said:

     

    If a few more fans would spend a little money to attend the games, payroll wouldn't have been slashed. The Twins are 19th in MLB in payroll at $130MM. The team's payroll is competitive with their revenues, and $130MM was sufficient to field a competitive team.

    OAK = $63MM
    PIT = $84MM
    MIA = $97MM
    TBR = $99MM
    CLE = $100MM <-- Bottom AL Central in spending, top in the standings.
    CIN = $102MM
    BAL = $102MM <--- The team that just swept us.
    MIL = $106MM
    DET = $106MM
    WSH = $110MM
    KCR = $116MM
    MIN = $130MM
    CHW = $133MM <-- Top AL Central in spending, bottom in the standings.
     

    Channeling that 2022 DSP energy. 

    This is reminding me of 2021. High hopes going into the season then....this ****. And I'm sorry but as great a talent as Royce is, he's injury prone. These guys have so much time, youth, & resources they shouldn't be pulling or straining soft tissue this early in the season. And it's just a matter of time before Buxton wobbles over to the Injured list. Yeah, I said it again. 

    So now it's the fans fault for the payroll reduction?  Come on that's crazy.  That's like blaming the Pohlads for being rich.  Yes payroll was reduced to allow for a reduction of tv revenues, or so they say.  After the Twins were offered to resign with Bally sports for 85% of previous deal they took it.  Estimates were the reduced amounts were at around 46 million.  Was that restored money put back into payroll?  No.  Also with increased concession prices and ticket prices this year the team went from being the second or third cheapest to go to the ball park to 19 overall.  Baseball used to be affordable.  Its not anymore.  The Twins play lethargic baseball because IMO they have a lethargic ownership group and a management team hired to cater to that group.  In retrospect it sure wasn't very smart to pay Correa, Buxton and Vazquez all that money if you want to keep a cheap payroll.  Very foolish indeed to pay 3 guys nearly 50% of your payroll and left with such glaring holes.  

    8 hours ago, bean5302 said:

     

    If a few more fans would spend a little money to attend the games, payroll wouldn't have been slashed. The Twins are 19th in MLB in payroll at $130MM. The team's payroll is competitive with their revenues, and $130MM was sufficient to field a competitive team.

    OAK = $63MM
    PIT = $84MM
    MIA = $97MM
    TBR = $99MM
    CLE = $100MM <-- Bottom AL Central in spending, top in the standings.
    CIN = $102MM
    BAL = $102MM <--- The team that just swept us.
    MIL = $106MM
    DET = $106MM
    WSH = $110MM
    KCR = $116MM
    MIN = $130MM
    CHW = $133MM <-- Top AL Central in spending, bottom in the standings.
     

    This is a sarcasm or a joke correct? Did we forgot what happened in 21, 22 and the beginning of 23 when they played unwatchable baseball (finished 23 pretty darn good) and started this season exactly like 21, 22, and the beginning of 23 playing unwatchable baseball? I will add how 19 and 20 ended?

    There is a famous line in a baseball movie, build it and they will come, and what the Twins want to say is come and we will build it.

    On a different note, Just realized Pablo is only making 8 million this year and next year makes 21, looks likes another super fun off season for the fans.

     

    8 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    If a few more fans would spend a little money to attend the games, payroll wouldn't have been slashed. The Twins are 19th in MLB in payroll at $130MM. The team's payroll is competitive with their revenues, and $130MM was sufficient to field a competitive team.

    Where did the playoff (attendance and TV) revenue go to, you would think that would be incentive to put a good to great team on the field  

    49 minutes ago, Whitey333 said:

    So now it's the fans fault for the payroll reduction?  Come on that's crazy.  That's like blaming the Pohlads for being rich.  Yes payroll was reduced to allow for a reduction of tv revenues, or so they say.  After the Twins were offered to resign with Bally sports for 85% of previous deal they took it.  Estimates were the reduced amounts were at around 46 million.  Was that restored money put back into payroll?  No.  Also with increased concession prices and ticket prices this year the team went from being the second or third cheapest to go to the ball park to 19 overall.  Baseball used to be affordable.  Its not anymore.  The Twins play lethargic baseball because IMO they have a lethargic ownership group and a management team hired to cater to that group.  In retrospect it sure wasn't very smart to pay Correa, Buxton and Vazquez all that money if you want to keep a cheap payroll.  Very foolish indeed to pay 3 guys nearly 50% of your payroll and left with such glaring holes.  

    Love this response!  

    The biggest frustration for me is that most of the time so far the Twins are not competitive.  Also some of the young players we have been hearing how great they are a not performing at all.  The team wasn't doing well at all in spring training and continued that poor play.  Very poor start to season.  Very boring baseball again.  But we are in the central division.  So even though we have a very bad start there still is hope.  I imagine the fans in Cleveland and Kansas City are happy with their start.  Even the Tigers.  I wonder if they believe games in April don't matter.  I think the extra competition can only help the Twins in the long run.  That is of course if the Twins are serious about being competitive.

    I was moved by the call for fans to spend more so the Twins can spend more or pocket more depending on their mood.  So I am moving all my retirement into the Twins account - except that I just found out Correa makes more per game than my retirement fund.  Guess I will keep it. 

    3 minutes ago, mikelink45 said:

    I was moved by the call for fans to spend more so the Twins can spend more or pocket more depending on their mood.  So I am moving all my retirement into the Twins account - except that I just found out Correa makes more per game than my retirement fund.  Guess I will keep it. 

    The Twins are like professional pan handlers, crying poor and begging for money, and then when they leave in a nicer car than I have and go home to a nicer home laughing the the whole way calling us suckers.

    17 hours ago, Vanimal46 said:

    The scary thing is the Twins may not be able to feast on weak AL Central opponents that we’ve grown accustomed to in the last 5-10 years. The summer months get long when your favorite baseball team stinks. 

    The Twins ARE the weak AL Central opponent.

    2 hours ago, TwinsDr2021 said:

    This is a sarcasm or a joke correct? Did we forgot what happened in 21, 22 and the beginning of 23 when they played unwatchable baseball (finished 23 pretty darn good) and started this season exactly like 21, 22, and the beginning of 23 playing unwatchable baseball? I will add how 19 and 20 ended?

    There is a famous line in a baseball movie, build it and they will come, and what the Twins want to say is come and we will build it.

    On a different note, Just realized Pablo is only making 8 million this year and next year makes 21, looks likes another super fun off season for the fans.

     

    It's not a joke. Twins fans have been attending games at a similar rate to the early 2000s Metrodome fans in recent years = Not Good. In general, no fans = no revenue = no spending. That's business.

    Colorado Rockies attendance vs. Twins
    2019 = 37.0k/game (71-91) vs. 28.4k/game (101-61)*
    2020 = (26-34) vs. (36-24)*
    2021 = 23.9k/game (74-87) vs. 16.4k/game (73-89)
    2022 = 32.0k/game (68-94) vs. 22.2k/game  (78-84)
    2023 = 32.2k/game (59-103) vs. 24.3k/game (87-75)*
    2024 = 26.6k/game (4-15) vs. 22.4k/game (6-11)
    *Playoffs

    Rockies fans support their team at a high level and allow for the (idiot) owner to spend more in payroll even though their team hasn't posted a winning record. In case you're wondering about this year's attendance, Coors Field can be awfully unpleasant in April (colder than Target Field for evening games). Twins fans have not supported the franchise well. I see arguments every day on this site about how the Twins should be spending more. The Twins have lost money on a cumulative basis after 2019 and 3 of the past 4 years despite pushing payrolls higher and higher and higher.

    Do you know why Rockies fans attend games at Coors Field? It's a great venue which caters towards adults and the overall gameday experience. Personally, I feel Dave St. Peter is at fault rather than fans who literally have no idea how to optimize their game day experience because Twins marketing is pathetic.

    In any case, I'm not sure what your requirement is? "If you build it, they will come" is about a stadium venue to watch the games. Target Field is built. It's a nice venue to watch baseball games. It's a nice venue to get out with the crowd.

    11 hours ago, USAFChief said:

    I'm "right-sizing" my Twins related spending this year.

    Hey, totally your prerogative. I think people should 100% spend their money on whatever makes them happy. If that's attending Twins games and the game day experience, great. If it's classic muscle cars, nice (they're expensive). If it's import cars with giant fart cans, your call (please, please drive someplace other than the parking garage near my house). If it's having a beer and watching the game at a Twins Daily event, sure. If that's a Twins Daily subscription used solely to avoid ads so you're not distracted while posting rage comments about spending, it's how some people will roll.

    Meanwhile, Falvey looks desperately for another $5MM has-been/never was, but who was good at hitting left handed pitching in the 6th inning in early evening games when it's a light rain and nobody is on base in 2021 so Baldelli's broken Excel macro spreadsheet can find a platoon for that...

    50 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    n any case, I'm not sure what your requirement is? "If you build it, they will come" is about a stadium venue to watch the games. Target Field is built. It's a nice venue to watch baseball games. It's a nice venue to get out with the crowd.

    My point was this, you basically said come to the games and the Twins will build a watchable and hopefully good team, instead of building a watchable style of baseball so fans will want to come.

    That doesn't even take into consideration how many people can't watch the games on TV and learn about the players and build a liking of players or basically being told you are living in the past and probably aren't smart to understand the Twins strategy.

    16 hours ago, Verified Member said:

    Do you suppose the hitting coaches are actively trying to do to Julien what they did to Austin Martin and turn him into a power hitter at the expense of contact, or is he just not swinging at strikes? I do not understand how both he and Wallner got so bad, really beyond bad this year so 

    In the old days you signed a player and hoped if he was good , that you would get 10 or mores years out of the player , today  I don't think they value any longevity  and careers are shorter as  players are being coached to play another style of baseball  , 

    Man did Baltimore out play us with hard contact and discipline  ...

    24 minutes ago, TwinsDr2021 said:

    My point was this, you basically said come to the games and the Twins will build a watchable and hopefully good team, instead of building a watchable style of baseball so fans will want to come.

    That doesn't even take into consideration how many people can't watch the games on TV and learn about the players and build a liking of players or basically being told you are living in the past and probably aren't smart to understand the Twins strategy.

    What I was really meaning to say is Dave St. Peter should learn how to market or be replaced by somebody who does so people want to come to the games. The rest would figure itself out. After the abysmal 2011 campaign, 34.2k fans still went to the average Target Field game, and 30.5k fans after the continued horror of 2012, and 27.8k fans even after the trifecta of 2013. Attendance stayed at 27.4k in 2015 even after the team sucked in 2014 for the quadfecta of horrible seasons before.

    There's plenty of reasons for people to attend a Twins game at Target Field, and if it's marketed properly, the seats will be filled at a solid clip. It's not being marketed well, and people don't want to go and that is absolutely impacting the Twins' player budget.

    39 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

     It's not being marketed well, and people don't want to go and that is absolutely impacting the Twins' player budget.

    Bring back Wally the Beer Man and a hot dog and a beer for less than 5 bucks, the stands will be full.

    1 hour ago, Blyleven2011 said:

    Man did Baltimore out play us with hard contact and discipline  ...

    They did, and it was beautiful. That's the kind of team I want to see at Target Field ... and not just in the visitor's dugout.




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