Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Minnesota Twins 2026 Spring Training Preview: Much to Sort Through

    As another spring training gets underway in Ft. Myers, the beleaguered Twins have plenty of questions to answer, navigating roster uncertainty and middling expectations.

    Nick Nelson
    Image courtesy of Jonah Hinebaugh/The News-Press/USA Today Network-Florida / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    Minnesota Twins pitchers and catchers reported to camp on Thursday, so spring training is officially on. Position players will trickle in over the weekend leading up to the first full-squad workout next Monday. Exhibition action kicks off with a contest against the Gophers on Friday, February 20th, followed by the first Grapefruit League game against Boston the following day.

    Coming off a 92-loss season, and a chaotic winter that saw more change off the field than on, expectations are fairly low but uncertainty is running high. The Twins have much to figure out and many questions to answer in the six weeks leading up to Opening Day in Baltimore on March 26th. 

    Key Position Battles

    Backup SS: Brooks Lee has not proven himself in terms of ability or durability, making this a critical piece of depth. The main contenders are Ryan Kreidler, Tristan Gray and Orlando Arcia, with the latter needing to earn a spot on the 40-man roster.

    4th and 5th SP: The three proven veterans — Joe Ryan, Pablo Lopez, Bailey Ober — are locked into the top spots, leaving the bottom of the rotation open for competition. Presumably Simeon Woods Richardson and Taj Bradley are currently topping the chart, since they've got significantly more experience than the rest of the pack, but guys like Zebby Matthews, David Festa and Mick Abel could shake things up with strong, healthy showings.

    4th OF: As things currently stand, Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner appear to be the starting corner outfielders, at least against right-handers. Byron Buxton will of course be in center. The Twins need a player who can back up all three outfield spots, and might have room for only one between Austin Martin, Alan Roden and James Outman.

    6th, 7th, 8th RP: The following bullpen spots are more or less claimed, pending health: Cole Sands, Taylor Rogers, Justin Topa, Eric Orze, Anthony Banda. These are all relatively proven MLB relievers. That leaves three spots up for grabs among a group that includes incumbents Kody Funderburk and Travis Adams, along with numerous NRIs and starters with conversion potential. It's going to be a free-for-all, but situational usage in spring games should give strong indication of who the team favors. 

    Health Situations to Monitor

    Bailey Ober: His mechanics were a mess last year, which Ober admits was due in part to nagging injury issues. He spent the offseason trying to get right, but his velocity and overall quality of stuff in camp will tell the story.

    David Festa: His 2025 season ended with a scary diagnosis of thoracic outlet syndrome, but Festa avoided surgery and supposedly went through a fairly normal offseason. He's a really important part of their pitching plans, whether as starter or reliever, so hopefully the righty is able to quickly put last year's shoulder problems behind him. 

    Cory Lewis: He's in camp as a non-roster invite and looking to put himself on the MLB relief radar, but Lewis and his intriguing knuckleball will be slowed out of the gate by a "moderate subscap" (shoulder) issue, keeping him down for at least the first two weeks. 

    Matt Canterino: Recovering from shoulder surgery, Canterino is not expected to pitch this spring, but he's still in camp, soaking everything in. It's been a hell of a road for the right-hander, now 28 with just 85 professional innings thrown, but he's worth dreaming on because the raw stuff is amazing.

    Royce Lewis: No specific injury concerns, but it seems silly not to list Lewis as a health situation to monitor. Last year he suffered a hamstring injury in spring training that cost him the first month, adding to a string of misfortune that finally seemed to let up in the second half last year. How will Lewis look physically coming off an offseason spent building on his healthy finish?

    Top Twins Storylines to Follow in Camp

    Building a bullpen from scratch
    Sorting out the bullpen makeup and hierarchy feels like easily the most pressing challenge ahead of Derek Shelton and Co. this spring. They've got a lot of high-leverage gaps to fill and a lot of unknowns vying for opportunities. Exhibition games in March aren't always the best basis for informing important roster decisions, but that's the task at hand. Keep a close eye on who's getting put into games and when.

    WBC departures create veteran leadership void
    The Twins opted to build around their trio of veteran All-Star talents rather than trading one or more and committing to a full-on rebuild. They see value in staying relatively competitive, as well as keeping these respected voices in the clubhouse to guide a bunch of developing players. But for much of this spring camp, all three of Ryan, Lopez and Buxton will be away, representing their countries in the World Baseball Classic. That could create some tricky dynamics as Shelton looks to establish a new clubhouse culture, but the flip side is that there will be more innings and at-bats available for other auditioning players.

    "The one good thing about that this spring is because of the WBC, and we’re losing three starters to the WBC, we’re going to be able to evaluate guys in more meaningful innings. And what I mean by that is, the challenge with evaluating pitchers, especially starting pitchers, in the spring is who they face. Because all of a sudden they end up piggybacking or pitching innings 4-6 and then they get guys that may be in Double-A or Triple-A because Major League players have rotated out. This spring we’re going to have the ability to evaluate because three of our top guys are pitching for their country." - Derek Shelton to media including Twins Daily on Thursday

    Eyes on the shortstop position
    There's a reason I listed backup shortstop atop the list of key position battles above. The Twins have much to figure out at this all-important spot in the post-Carlos Correa era. FanGraphs has Minnesota ranked dead last in projected WAR at SS. We've got to see something from Lee this spring, or at the very least he needs to stay healthy and keep the back problems at bay. The notion of Tristan Gray or Ryan Kreidler as Opening Day starting shortstop is scarily plausible. Will Kaelen Culpepper make a statement and accelerate his timeline?

    Prospects showcase what they've got
    On that note, the biggest reason to feel optimistic and hopeful about the Twins — even if not in the short term — is the wave of talented, highly-regarded prospects who are on the doorstep of the major leagues. Many of them will be seeing plentiful action in Twins camp, including Culpepper, Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Connor Prielipp and Gabriel Gonzalez. Up-and-comers like these offer the most compelling reason to tune into some of Minnesota's 25 spring games available to stream.

    It's been a long, tumultuous offseason and I find myself feeling as low on the outlook of the Minnesota Twins as I have entering any spring in a long time. Still, I'm very happy baseball is back and there will no shortage of things drawing my interest over the next month and a half leading up to Opening Day. What's catching your attention as 2026 spring training gets rolling?

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Riley Quick

    Fort Myers Mighty Mussels - A, RHP
    Start #3 for the 21-year-old went well again. He tossed three scoreless innings with no walks. He gave up one hit and had three strikeouts. In 8 IP through 3 starts, he's given up 0 runs, 1 hit, 3 walks, and 13 strikeouts.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    You could also have mentioned Buxton.  He had a great 2025!  But hes only played 2 full seasons in 10 due to a long list of injuries.  He needs to have another healthy full productive season for the Twins.  Also i would tender the enthusiasm regarding the great prospects that are major league ready.  We've been down that path for over 10 years.  Many of the can't miss prospects in the passed have fizzled out or regressed so badly.  The current list of major league ready players in the minors have a lot to prove before we get all excited by their eminence.

    28 minutes ago, LeatherAntenna said:

    Royce Lewis in keeping his tradition will blow out his hamstring the first AB in the first game of the season.

    Which is another way of saying "Health of Royce Lewis" as a thing to watch. 

    Uncertainty ... Definitely a problem ...

    Will the starting rotation carry the team to a 500 record , 

    Will the defense improve enough to help our pitchers sustain ...

    Will our offense improve enough to score 4 or more runs a game and give our pitchers support , definitely do need players to have a better approach on hitting ( will some succeed , stay the same or just keep on regressing ) trotting out practically the same lineup every year hasn't been beneficial ...

    Will the offense ever find the mental approach to be clutch hitters with no outs and runners in scoring position ...

    Will our Baserunning blunders improve or stay the same ...

    will the adjustments come , will players that are struggling keep getting playing time ...

    middling expectations .. 

    I have no high expectations or middle expectations  , just low expection ...

    Will be pleasantly surprised if the twins are a 500 ball team at seasons end or for that matter finish above the White Sox in the standings ...

    If they can play quality baseball that is exciting , win or lose that will be enough for me ...

    Quote

    If they can play quality baseball that is exciting , win or lose that will be enough for me ...

    That would be refreshing in itself.

    I would like to see more fire and holding players accountable for their blunders from the manager. Fire at least looks like they have a sense of urgency into winning the game. Benching a player after mental breakdowns shows the player it's either shape up or get shipped out. 

     

    Quote

    It's been a long, tumultuous offseason and I find myself feeling as low on the outlook of the Minnesota Twins as I have entering any spring in a long time. 

    Me too. Too many players have to improve too much in order for this team to contend. 

    Is it assumed that Larnach and Wallner are the starting COFs?  I don't know if it's ideal to have them both in the outfield at the same time.  That leaves a lot for Buxton to cover, and it's not platinum-glove Buxton out there anymore.  I could see Martin and Roden/Outman (Rodman?) taking care of LF the majority of the time early in the season.

    Bell can play 1B if you want both Larnach and Wallner in the lineup at the same time (the one not in right takes DH), since I assume that means they're facing a righty

    I wonder if Zoll would take a mulligan on tendering an offer to Larnach at this point if given the chance.   I thought he'd have been traded by now if there had been any interest in giving up a competent reliever for him at his arb salary

    11 minutes ago, The Great Hambino said:

    Is it assumed that Larnach and Wallner are the starting COFs?  I don't know if it's ideal to have them both in the outfield at the same time.  That leaves a lot for Buxton to cover, and it's not platinum-glove Buxton out there anymore.  I could see Martin and Roden/Outman (Rodman?) taking care of LF the majority of the time early in the season.

    Bell can play 1B if you want both Larnach and Wallner in the lineup at the same time (the one not in right takes DH), since I assume that means they're facing a righty

    I wonder if Zoll would take a mulligan on tendering an offer to Larnach at this point if given the chance.   I thought he'd have been traded by now if there had been any interest in giving up a competent reliever for him at his arb salary

    RISP in April - June - August, v. RHP who do you prefer at the plate? ……….. Outman - Roden - Larnach

    That’s why he was tendered.

    2 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    RISP in April - June - August, v. RHP who do you prefer at the plate? ……….. Outman - Roden - Larnach

    That’s why he was tendered.

    I'd rather pinch hit with Bell/Caratini/whomever else is available off the bench and bring Rodman in for defense and use Larnach's salary on the bullpen or maybe towards better middle infield depth.

    I realize Bell and Caratini weren't on the roster at the time he was signed, but surely they knew they'd be bringing in someone who could hit righties given the $14MM they spent on those two.  Walking from Larnach would've been one of the easiest ways to rebalance the roster given their constraints.

    I was in favor of tendering Larnach because I thought he could be moved for a reliever.  And maybe he still can. 

    I also don't think they're legitimately competitive, so an alternate answer is "I don't really care, stop wasting our time/your trade resources and get on with the rebuild."  But that ship has sailed

    Quote

    Matt Canterino: Recovering from shoulder surgery, Canterino is not expected to pitch this spring, but he's still in camp, soaking everything in. It's been a hell of a road for the right-hander, now 28 with just 85 professional innings thrown, but he's worth dreaming on because the raw stuff is amazing.

    Do you know any pitcher who suffered a shoulder injury that kept them out for three seasons in a row and returned with the same stuff they had four years ago?

    Wallner, Larnach, Lee, Bell - start all four and give the pitchers a bottle of Advil.  Talk about GOLD Gloves - these are made of Iron.  Clank.

    My biggest hope is that we are not wedded to the past.  That there is true evaluation on all levels and we cut veterans, rookies, DFAs according to their ability and no one has a lock on anything.

    Sorry, Ryan, Pablo, Jeffers, and Buxton - we are counting on each of you.

    31 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    Emmanuel Rodriguez

    Will Emma be healthy for more than 35 days at a time? ………..if he is great! Outman & Roden & Clemens are not the answer and at $108M for ‘26, how much more does the “Team need to save”? People keep saying the organization shouldn’t have “spent” on Larnach - come on - in real terms across the game, he’s almost free. I like Larnach’s bat v. RH pitching until someone forces him off the roster.

    9 minutes ago, mikelink45 said:

    Wallner, Larnach, Lee, Bell - start all four and give the pitchers a bottle of Advil.  Talk about GOLD Gloves - these are made of Iron.  Clank.

    My biggest hope is that we are not wedded to the past.  That there is true evaluation on all levels and we cut veterans, rookies, DFAs according to their ability and no one has a lock on anything.

    Sorry, Ryan, Pablo, Jeffers, and Buxton - we are counting on each of you.

    Get ready: Lee & Bell, as switch hitters, will be in the Line-up 80% of the time together.

    1 hour ago, The Great Hambino said:

    I'd rather pinch hit with Bell/Caratini/whomever else is available off the bench and bring Rodman in for defense and use Larnach's salary on the bullpen or maybe towards better middle infield depth.

    I realize Bell and Caratini weren't on the roster at the time he was signed, but surely they knew they'd be bringing in someone who could hit righties given the $14MM they spent on those two.  Walking from Larnach would've been one of the easiest ways to rebalance the roster given their constraints.

    I was in favor of tendering Larnach because I thought he could be moved for a reliever.  And maybe he still can. 

    I also don't think they're legitimately competitive, so an alternate answer is "I don't really care, stop wasting our time/your trade resources and get on with the rebuild."  But that ship has sailed

    No offense - this is to everyone who feels the “$$ spent” on Larnach are recklessly spent. The recklessness is an organization that has gotten So So So cheap that their fanbase thinks there is some ceiling or constraint on spending - for some reason other than the OWNERSHIP BEING CHEAP. Larnach makes less than $5M and the total Salary spend is somewhere around $108M for the year. His salary is almost free on 65% of the rosters in the game. $108M spend in ‘26 after spending $155M in 2023 is an embarrassing twist……….$122M in ‘21 & $136M in ‘22.

    The spending on Larnach not taking place “so the organization could use it elsewhere” because they can’t spend any more, is, or should be, sickening to the fanbase.

    26 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    No offense - this is to everyone who feels the “$$ spent” on Larnach are recklessly spent. The recklessness is an organization that has gotten So So So cheap that their fanbase thinks there is some ceiling or constraint on spending - for some reason other than the OWNERSHIP BEING CHEAP. Larnach makes less than $5M and the total Salary spend is somewhere around $108M for the year. His salary is almost free on 65% of the rosters in the game. $108M spend in ‘26 after spending $155M in 2023 is an embarrassing twist……….$122M in ‘21 & $136M in ‘22.

    The spending on Larnach not taking place “so the organization could use it elsewhere” because they can’t spend any more, is, or should be, sickening to the fanbase.

    I care nothing about Larnach's salary. What I care about is that he is a below average corner outfield platoon bat. The Twins were dissatisfied enough with their current corner outfield options to bring in 3 left handed hitting corner outfielders at the trade deadline. Now those guys are blocked by the holdover corner outfielders and are likely to be leapfrogged by the near ready minor leaguers.

    Explain how any of that makes sense. Even better the Twins have likely blocked up the dh spot by what they did this winter at catcher and first base.  One of the reasons people are expecting a Larnach trade is that its the cleanest way to clean up the mess they have made of their roster. 

    Now, that might not be the best way to fix the outfield situation but by waiting this long to address the situation they will likely find limited ways to improve their roster.

     

     

     

     

    1 hour ago, Jim H said:

    I care nothing about Larnach's salary. What I care about is that he is a below average corner outfield platoon bat. The Twins were dissatisfied enough with their current corner outfield options to bring in 3 left handed hitting corner outfielders at the trade deadline. Now those guys are blocked by the holdover corner outfielders and are likely to be leapfrogged by the near ready minor leaguers.

    Explain how any of that makes sense. Even better the Twins have likely blocked up the dh spot by what they did this winter at catcher and first base.  One of the reasons people are expecting a Larnach trade is that its the cleanest way to clean up the mess they have made of their roster. 

    Now, that might not be the best way to fix the outfield situation but by waiting this long to address the situation they will likely find limited ways to improve their roster.

     

     

     

     

    Exactly.  It's not about the level of spend, it's asset allocation and roster construction.  It's about understanding that dollars spent at an area of surplus - whether it's $2MM or $4MM or $10MM - are dollars not spent at an area of need.  They need bullpen pieces or more than they need another mediocre left-handed corner outfielder that is best off being DH'd.  And they had the easiest off-ramp for Larnach this season relative to their other similar pieces.

    He's also a symptom of their delusional belief that they are a competitive team and their misguided refusal to finish the rebuild that they started as they risk of the withering away of the trade value of their remaining valuable pieces that won't be here when they have a real chance to be competitive again.

    8 hours ago, Jim H said:

    I care nothing about Larnach's salary. What I care about is that he is a below average corner outfield platoon bat. The Twins were dissatisfied enough with their current corner outfield options to bring in 3 left handed hitting corner outfielders at the trade deadline. Now those guys are blocked by the holdover corner outfielders and are likely to be leapfrogged by the near ready minor leaguers.

    Explain how any of that makes sense. Even better the Twins have likely blocked up the dh spot by what they did this winter at catcher and first base.  One of the reasons people are expecting a Larnach trade is that its the cleanest way to clean up the mess they have made of their roster. 

    Now, that might not be the best way to fix the outfield situation but by waiting this long to address the situation they will likely find limited ways to improve their roster.

     

     

     

     

    I know of Outman & Roden …… not sure who the 3rd OF guy “brought in” is? DFAing Outman and keeping Roden in AAA or as the LF while Larnach is the DH v. RH pitching is a solution that’s likely.

    If Rodriguez or Jenkins or Gonzalez hits their way onto the 26-man, great. Worrying about “blocking Roden &/or Outman” isn’t a real concern for the organization. Outman was a flier trade for the oft injured Brock Stewart…..he threw 3 1/3 for the Dodgers before he was done for the season. Roden was the SECOND piece in the trade with Toronto for Rojas!

    Larnach’s OPS (as a true platoon) was .771 in ‘24 …….. he had 15 HR’s in a strict platoon with 355 AB’s. Last year they tried “to expand his role” and he had 118 AB’s against lefties (24%) and it dropped his overall OPS to .727. When he goes back to a straight platoon in ‘26 his OPS will rebound. He had 17 HR’s in 503 AB’s in ‘26. Bell at 1B with Carstini at C and Clemens or Roden in LF with Larnach at DH is the probable set of lefties, w/Wallner v. RH pitching.

    13 hours ago, JD-TWINS said:

    I know of Outman & Roden …… not sure who the 3rd OF guy “brought in” is? DFAing Outman and keeping Roden in AAA or as the LF while Larnach is the DH v. RH pitching is a solution that’s likely.

    If Rodriguez or Jenkins or Gonzalez hits their way onto the 26-man, great. Worrying about “blocking Roden &/or Outman” isn’t a real concern for the organization. Outman was a flier trade for the oft injured Brock Stewart…..he threw 3 1/3 for the Dodgers before he was done for the season. Roden was the SECOND piece in the trade with Toronto for Rojas!

    Larnach’s OPS (as a true platoon) was .771 in ‘24 …….. he had 15 HR’s in a strict platoon with 355 AB’s. Last year they tried “to expand his role” and he had 118 AB’s against lefties (24%) and it dropped his overall OPS to .727. When he goes back to a straight platoon in ‘26 his OPS will rebound. He had 17 HR’s in 503 AB’s in ‘26. Bell at 1B with Carstini at C and Clemens or Roden in LF with Larnach at DH is the probable set of lefties, w/Wallner v. RH pitching.

    Hendry Mendez, part of the Phillies trade.  He is younger than the others obtained, but he is a left handed hitting corner outfielder. The Twins are talking about trying him at first base. He falls in the same bucket with Gonzales and Rodriguez. So technically he is mostly blocked, if he is blocked, by the near ready outfielders already in the system.

    Sure they could dfa Outman and lets not worry about Roden.  But I circle back to the question, why did they trade for these 3 guys in the first place? If they don't fit the needs of the organization why not request different players in the trades? They did that with the catchers acquired at the deadline. Why acquire corner outfielders if you already have a bunch and don't really plan to get rid of any?

    Now, obviously there is likely a plan and the extras will be reduced eventually.  You can certainly justify Larnach's current place on the roster as you did.  The question is still why did they do what they did at the trade deadline and why have failed to address perceived weaknesses on the current roster?

     

    19 hours ago, Jim H said:

    Hendry Mendez, part of the Phillies trade.  He is younger than the others obtained, but he is a left handed hitting corner outfielder. The Twins are talking about trying him at first base. He falls in the same bucket with Gonzales and Rodriguez. So technically he is mostly blocked, if he is blocked, by the near ready outfielders already in the system.

    Sure they could dfa Outman and lets not worry about Roden.  But I circle back to the question, why did they trade for these 3 guys in the first place? If they don't fit the needs of the organization why not request different players in the trades? They did that with the catchers acquired at the deadline. Why acquire corner outfielders if you already have a bunch and don't really plan to get rid of any?

    Now, obviously there is likely a plan and the extras will be reduced eventually.  You can certainly justify Larnach's current place on the roster as you did.  The question is still why did they do what they did at the trade deadline and why have failed to address perceived weaknesses on the current roster?

     

    Again, Outman was a flier - maybe he comes in and starts to look more like ROY candidate from 2023………..hasn’t happened. Depth for Buxton for days off.

    Roden tore up AAA for a couple years but didn’t show much in his time with Twins & hurt as well. Again, Rojas was the central figure in this trade with Toronto …… if Roden forces his way onto the roster, great!

    Mendez is 22 through the season and doesn’t really relate to one more year of Larnach. AA is highest level to date. Also, potential CF depth at some point.

    Jenkins is still on the young man’s development path.

    Gonzalez hits RH.

    Rodriguez has shown year after year that the Team can’t count on him being available due to multiple health issues.

    A relatively inexpensive “known” in Larnach trumps a bunch of maybes. He’ll DH 80% of his starts. Can always shift things during the season. EVERYONE is blocked until one beats somebody out with performance!



    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...