.500 Over/Under

[Thegrin]

game 4 and 1 game above 500. That guarantees that they will finish another game above 500. Which is what happened. Now, with the loss of the 1st game to KC, the Twins are 5 games of 500 or better, but a loss tomorrow could bring them below 500 again. I still like the over bet.

[Thegrin]

The Twins start against the Rays today at 9-9. This makes it 6 days at 500 or better.

[Physics Guy]

The Twins start against the Rays today at 9-9. This makes it 6 days at 500 or better.

I counted game 1 (0-0) so the Twins are at 7 and counting.

[Physics Guy]

The next three series will determine if they have a shot. TB, Det and LAD could bury them well below .500. I have the feeling this crew has a little more grit and may hang around .500 a little longer.

[SweetOne69]

I counted game 1 (0-0) so the Twins are at 7 and counting.

 

The OP criteria was "starting the day" at or above .500, not number of games at or above .500 so the correct tally is 6.

 

Day 1: Opening Day (0-0)

Day 2: Home Opener (3-3)

Day 3: Toronto Game 1 (6-6)

Day 4: KC Game 1 (8-7)

Day 5: KC Game 2 (8-8)

Day 6: TB Game 1 (9-9)

[jharaldson]

This thread titile is confusing. I thought it was a gambling discussion on Aaron Hicks OPS for a second ;-)

[Beemo]

I'm late to the thread but can you really count opening day as being at .500? Sure, you've won the same number of games as you've lost but your winning percentage isn't .500 either.

[Physics Guy]

The OP criteria was "starting the day" at or above .500, not number of games at or above .500 so the correct tally is 6.

 

Day 1: Opening Day (0-0)

Day 2: Home Opener (3-3)

Day 3: Toronto Game 1 (6-6)

Day 4: KC Game 1 (8-7)

Day 5: KC Game 2 (8-8)

Day 6: TB Game 1 (9-9)

 

No, the OP (who was me) criteria was:

 

So my question is, how many games do the Twins go into this year with a .500 record or better to start the day.

 

I meant to leave off the last part "to start the day". Sorry for the confusion. Like I tell my wife, "Listen to what I mean, not what I actually say."

 

They entered the following games with a .500 record or better:

 

Game 1 0-0

Game 7 3-3

Game 13 6-6

Game 15 7-7

Game 16 8-7

Game 17 8-8

Game 19 9-9

[Physics Guy]

The original statement would have been fine, except for the doubleheader against Toronto.

[AlwaysinModeration]

I think a more interesting question is the last day of the season the Twins are not below .500.

 

For example, if the Twins lose today, but hang around 2-5 below .500 all season until the last week and win their last five to finish 81-81, the total will be 6. Or 7. Whatever. But if they lose today and their next 30 ball games, and finish 59-103, the total will also be 6. Or 7.

 

But staying afloat until April 22 or Sept 30--big difference!

[Otto von Ballpark]

I'm late to the thread but can you really count opening day as being at .500? Sure, you've won the same number of games as you've lost but your winning percentage isn't .500 either.

 

I second this sentiment. A record of 0-0 means your winning percentage is calculated by dividing by zero, which is "undefined".

 

Mostly semantics, but it's probably better to count when their record is .500 or better AFTER every game. That gets rid of the 0-0 problem, and also includes their final season record in the count too (which we will hopefully be counting as over .500 this year!).

[Thegrin]

Going into the 3rd game with TB and the Twins are 10-10. That makes it 8 games. Only 4 to go to make the over

[Dave T]

I dunno what to say man. "Beer League" Colabello is driving me nuts. He stands 10 feet from the plate and hits everything. As long as he can keep doing this, I'm taking the over.

[Heimer]

Suprisingly good start for the twins which is awesome. But IMO Kubel's and Plouffes bats are already slowing down, I'll take the under for a dollar.

[Thegrin]

going into Fridays game, the Twins are 11-10. That makes it 9 games and 10 games are guaranteed. This is looking better and better.

[Thegrin]

After Fridays lost, The Twins are 11-11. Going into Saturdays game with Detroit, the Twins will have started 10 games with a .500 record. If they win the game the Twins are guaranteed to start 12 games with a .500 record or better.

[Thegrin]

The Twins won on Saturday and improved their record to 12-11. They will go into Sundays game for the 11th time with a .500 or better record. They are certain to go into Tuesdays game with a .500 record, which will make it 12 and a push. The twins need to win one more game to make the over for May. Win Twins !

[Thegrin]

The Twins are back to 500 again with a 15-15 record for the year. That means that tomorrow the Twins will have started 13 games was a .500 record. The Twins made the OVER for the year. That was fun

[Physics Guy]

It will be interesting to see if they can hover around .500 for awhile. The combined records of the teams they face for the rest of May is 127-118.

[ashbury]

The Twins are back to 500 again with a 15-15 record for the year. That means that tomorrow the Twins will have started 13 games was a .500 record. The Twins made the OVER for the year. That was fun

 

I'm very happy that my guess was wrong.