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MangLitch

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  1. I think this is fairly simple. Gray - If you can get more value than a Comp Round pick in next year's draft + the remaining two months of starts... you do it. Everyone saying that the QO is a given hasn't followed the Twins long enough. Injury is always a risk. Maeda - I would have to be blown away here. Not that he is that valuable, but that he is a stabilizer in the rotation and I wouldn't just give him away because he could leave this offseason. He has a lot of upside for the rest of the year. I wouldn't get attached here. The Twins are getting bounced in the first round if they don't implode before then (like last year). Make solid moves now and hope some of your depth is ready. Would be refreshing to have our cake and eat it too for once. Then maybe this offseason our front office actually tries to address some KNOWN weaknesses in the bullpen and the lineup
  2. Ryan for Ohtani, straight up? Only if Ohtani signs a long term deal and even then I am not sure..... 😏🎣
  3. #FreeMattWallner.... Guy is raking and our offensive juggernaut of a Twins team is just letting him sit there because Kepler is so valuable. I think we can take the defensive risk here.
  4. Gotta figure out how to keep Wallner up at the MLB level. I know Max is good defensively but, at some point, you gotta let this kid breathe fire at the MLB level for the rest of the year. He could be a real impact bat and we know what Kepler is. Get him to focus on defense in the offseason, but let him mash now. Hell, throw Buxton is center 3 out of 5 games and then let Wallner DH… gotta figure something out
  5. Didn’t Matt Damon say that once? I hope you have better success with it lol
  6. Not correct. Only being down by 1 with no outs, it is best for Larnach to attempt to take third on the catch to put him in scoring position.... You have to remember, any capable outfielder catches that ball so I can't blame Larnach for assuming a catch and tagging up. Both runners behind him need to be heads up of that as well. Sano is really the issue, he needs to be looking at Urshela.
  7. This rotation could absolutely implode this year. Gray - Least likely but age could start to show Bundy - Oh boy...... this could be bad Joe Ryan - Should be fine but homers could become a problem Ober - Who knows, these guys seem to get figured out at some point Archer - Complete wild card. None of these guys really scream to me that we have a stopper, or even a good #2. Seems like 3 #3 starters and two #5's (generously so).... God I hope I am wrong but won't be shocked if the Twins are really bad in the pitching department.
  8. I believe WAR is position based. So corner outfielders produce more at the plate on average than Catchers. Therefore, Kirilloff is closer to replacement level due to the higher production on the position. Could be wrong though.
  9. Or...... Or..... Hear me out here..... Go out and tell the Red Sox you will take on David Price for 27 mill a year and send them a bag of baseballs and a couple Schweigerts hot dogs and Sheboygan brats. Maybe they are pursuing this and not making noise but IMO an expensive contract on a player that had a down year and looking to give a way is just the type of upside play that can send you over the top. Even if he pitches like a #2, he is an upgrade over Gibson and Perez. It's just money and 3 years, which shouldnt impact signing any of the guys who (hopefully but no guarantee) will be due raises. Trading big pieces for Syndergaard under the assumption that Buxton and Sano are sure fire fixtures is more risky than just paying 90 mil over three years and seeing how it plays out. If he returns to Price form, we have another by low Cruz type play. Risk the cash, not the assets. Plus, just think of all the bad "price is right" puns we get to hear. Bonus
  10. The Purge: Twins Edition Looks like its finally done. Interesting to see what comes of all of this but in the end it had to be done. I don't feel like we lost anything for the future and maybe a couple of these guys pan out. Who knows. Bottom line is you cant win the lottery without a ticket. Ill take my chances when I am giving up expiring contracts. It's prudent, especially when you are selling in the face of 1.5% odds of making the playoffs. That is a pretty easy exercise in value. If one of these guys is a positive WAR guy, it would be worth all the trades if you are only giving up 1.5% chance this year. Tough to swallow but prudent. Let the tanking begin.
  11. HMPFFFF... not sure why you take forsythe back in the package unless it was a must from the dodgers... If so, then that should have enhanced the package. Looks like 19 and unranked.... odd trade. I didn't expect a ton but more than this. Forsythe is just weird.
  12. Speaking of luck. I think we are just seeing a pretty bad outlier this season and I dont believe 2019 is a bleak as others think. Think of what happened this year and the odds: - Lance Lynn has worst year of career - Morrison somehow forgets what he did last year and pulls the complete inverse - Santana comes back 2 months later than expected - Buxton gets injured again (yes, seems more probable but the guy could catch a break here at some point) - Sano still has lingering effects from leg - Odorizzi has almost a career worst year - Dozier is just not Dozier Thats quite the list and way past coming back to the mean for some of these guys. Luckily they are all on one year deals and we can try the same strategy next year. These things happen but I think if you find some FA's next year that dont completely tank out of the norm, this team is a 90+ win team. This year was just a weird year. PS - this is my only glass half full post of this year. Had to get one in
  13. While true on the Lewis luck, I like the frame of mind. It is much more likely to strike gold with these guys when you take a guy that can likely be a top 5 prospect in your system and save money to get guys like Rooker, etc.... But the brilliance is in the fact that they obviously saw the free option with Lewis and that option was that he had the ceiling of something special. It's an exercise in scenario analysis that is expected out of these analytical types. They had a feeling that at worst, Lewis was an athletic CF that could hit for average and steal bases while giving them money to pursue other talent later. This paired with the option that he may actually be the best pick and a stud. This type of thinking is what putting your money in the pot with the best odds is all about and probably why they seem to be killing drafts so far. Time will tell. So luck, maybe. But maybe the idea of putting their chips in with the best shot is actually manifesting in a way that just looks lucky. In short - I dig it
  14. I get the SSS approach for Krilloff, but the big league club can't turn away impact bats. Im not paid to make these decisions but I would move the kid to AA and see if he continues to rake. See if he adjusts in Aug and crushes for the remainder of the season. If so, push the kid up to the bigs for the back half of September. I never understand why we think struggling at a level ruins a kid. Krilloff obviously is a kid that can handle adversity. Push him until he struggles and then reassess. Who knows, this kid just may be that fast mover. But we will never know if he HAS to stay at a level for a set time. FO has been aggressive but the kid obviously isn't being challenged. Every night its 2 or 3 for something with XBH and RBI's. FREE KRILLY - (thats obviously his Molitor nickname when he gets up)
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