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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    But I don't care about the payroll, the bottom line is they cannot take a step back in terms of quality of the rotation next year. Whether it's via free agency or trade, they have to get someone who slots in ABOVE Ryan/Ober/Paddock, not someone who slots in with with them.
  2. nicksaviking
    In just about every business except for professional sports. It's pretty much just the initial investment and then they can nickel and dime the operation to their hearts content; see the Pittsburg Pirates. Buying a pro sports team is basically just an ATM for these billionaires. But, the Pohlad's haven't been doing that recently, and I don't see them reducing their current investments. We don't have the world's greatest pro sports ownership group, but we're better off than most of our peer markets and I'm fine with the bird-in-the-hand we have.
  3. nicksaviking
    No chance he accepts, because even the Twins would surely be willing to extend him an offer that would top the QO, so even if he was dead set on playing here, he'd play here under better terms. As for playing for a winner, he seems like the perfect replacement for Charlie Morton in Atlanta; I'll bet he's near the top of their list of wants, and it's hard to top the 'winning' situation there. And while St. Louis was a loser last year, they normally aren't and are probably only a couple of starters away from being a contender. Both cities are closer to his hometown as well, should he be concerned with that sort of thing. Twins likely are front runners to retain him, but not with the QO.
  4. nicksaviking
    Strange aura that's floated over me today, but have a feeling that either Hall or Dobbs is going to play well enough to make some fans (some, not all or most) have second thoughts about what direction to go with QB this off season. Neither will be top notch QBs, but I'm betting which ever one they settle on will play well enough to start the conversation. And really, for all his warts, had Dobbs been throwing to Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson in AZ, they'd probably be playing .500 football and he'd still be their starter.
  5. nicksaviking
    I too am a reader not a watcher, and based on the TD model here, I'm guessing most of our followers are, but plenty of room for all forms of Twins related media on the site. Lots of effort put into making a video.
  6. nicksaviking
    You're understating the quality of the Twins defense, and really underselling it if you're concerned about the players they're developing. Correa's at short forcing Lewis to 3B. Lee and Martin are knocking on the door and cut their teeth playing short but will be bringing their qualify defense to other spots on the diamond. There is no reason for concern about the Twins current or long-term defense, it is and will be fine. The offense, as always, is more important and most pressing.
  7. nicksaviking
    Jimenez is 3.5 years younger and has strung together two good seasons of effective relief work compared to Pagan's one season. I could see Pagan getting a two year deal, but I'd be surprised if he gets three. Atlanta does have a history of getting their current players to take below market deals, but Pagan shouldn't be able to match that deal. I really couldn't say if Pagan has actually figured things out, or of the law of small sample sizes just finally swung in his favor for a few months. In any case, I don't have strong feelings one way or the other about re-signing him.
  8. nicksaviking
    Turning your starters with injury history or too few quality pitches into relievers isn't some secret trick relevant to Bill Smith and Terry Ryan. Everyone does it, probably since the game was invented. Here in Minnesota, we've seen the payoff for such a move repeatedly and frequently.
  9. nicksaviking
    Taylor Rogers, Trevor May, Tyler Duffey, Ryan Pressly, Glen Perkins, Eddie Guardado, LaTroy Hawkins. The Giants did it to Joe Nathan before the Twins got to him. The Twins foolishly DIDN'T do it to Liam Hendricks and the let the Blue Jays use the cheat code on him instead. Basically any reliever of note the Twins have had this century, except for Jesse Crain, were converted from starters at the MLB level or right before they got called up.
  10. nicksaviking
    Pretty sure the Twins defense had nothing to do with them not winning the World Series. Texas averaged 5.7 runs per game during the post season, the Twins averaged 3 runs per game. Half their games the Twins scored 2 runs or less. The Twins were never going to win it all with the hitting as cold as it was.
  11. nicksaviking
    In past years he would have appealed to me as well. He certainly has more upside than guys like Bundy and Shoemaker. But along with wanting a higher caliber pitcher, Flaherty has struggled with control the past couple years and the Twins have been excellent in resisting walks since the new front office took over. I think if we want to figure out which guys this team might chase, we should start by looking at BB%, then K%.
  12. nicksaviking
    I think the best omen that Lewis can avoid a Sophomore Slump is that he's come back from injury three times now in his short MLB career, and hit the ground running each time. If he can twice come back from 12 months off due to ACL injuries with no rust, a four month offseason and month of spring training should be a breeze.
  13. nicksaviking
    Keeping guys like this in the rotation is always tempting, but I'd say rip the band aid off now and let him adjust to the pen. Hoping for the the best in the rotation seems to work out so infrequently for these hard throwing guys with injury history, so don't waste the options and service time. That's how you end up losing guys before trying them out as a reliever for a full season, which is what I think you need to do. Some guys click right away, like Duran or Taylor Rogers, but most guys need a full year to transition before they become a bullpen asset.
  14. nicksaviking
    Without digging deeper, I’d bet we’d find that this is a spot you can regularly find useful relievers, while the other positions rarely pay off in any meaningful way.
  15. nicksaviking
    Jesus Luzardo, Braxton Garrett, Reid Detmers. Maybe Nestor Cortes, but he's not exactly young. Those first three would take some painful players to part with, but that doesn't bother me as much as it once did. Not as many left handed starters in the league as there used to be, but I'm just fine with right handers too. Either way, we shouldn't want the rotation to take a step back next year. Either via trade or free agency, they need to find another #1 or #2 to replace Gray. There's next to no need to shop for #5 starters any more as your Varlands, Obers and Festas tend to be no worse if not better. When you shop for back end starters, back end starter is almost always the BEST case scenario, and usually they end up being DFA/bullpen fodder by the time the team finally closes the book on them.
  16. nicksaviking
    So I had been thinking about E-Rod's unique numbers and how it's been noted that he comes by his high BB and K rates by taking a lot of pitches. E-Rod isn't striking out a lot because he's missing pitches, it's because he's taking too many. Or so the analysists say. Bringing up Julien as a comp has me thinking, because that's exactly what was occurring with Julien, Wallner and other's on the MLB club. Perhaps this unique profile that E-Rod has is due to the Twins interjecting this principal earlier in development than just the players' MLB rookie year. Without knowing how many pitches these guys are seeing, Yunior Severino, Alex Isola, Chris Williams, DeShawn Kieresy, Anthony Prato, Anthony Sabato and many others seem to test these same high walk/strikeout figures. If the Twins are pushing these young guys to see as many pitches per plate appearance as possible, while other clubs aren't dwelling on this, we likely will struggle with player comps for all the prospects. Fingers crossed, having them do this early will help them improve as they progress in both the strikeout and batting average area as they continue to practice this strategy.
  17. nicksaviking
    I'm up for trading just about anyone to get another top of the rotation arm. Fans and pundits always value prospects more than the teams do though, so it would take more than E-Rod to bring back something resembling Lopez.
  18. nicksaviking
    I like Marney and would give her the nod, but she seems pretty busy. Maybe she'd be willing to drop everything else, but she also seems like the kind of person who loves having her finger on the pulse of all things Minnesota sports. She feels like this era's audio/video version of Sid Hartman. In any case, she's a huge asset to the regional sports scene.
  19. nicksaviking
    That goes for any and all 'morning radio' shows for me. I don't need crank calls to Steve Lombardozzi and call-in give-a-ways sponsored by Kars for Kids.
  20. nicksaviking
    I think Bowden's rankings are a bit off, but in the ballpark, which is unusual for him. I doubt anyone has a true idea on what kind of offers Yamamoto will get. Agree that Montgomery/Nola/Snell is the next group, but I bet it's in the opposite order, Snell/Nola/Montgomery, in terms of contracts. I also bet the Twins will not have interest in Snell due to his high BB%; that's contrary to the current pitching game plan. He's a good pitcher, but I don't think he's a fit currently. At least I bet that's how the team would see it. That Giolito deal looks like a real high reward/low risk bargain. $12M is just a move a team does on a whim these days, that's Joey Gallo money. That would be a real easy gamble, though I'd still want someone else better/safer to go along with him. If he's looking at that kind of offer, he'd be better off doing one of those make-good one year deals with options to try to rebuild his value. But all that said, Gray at 3/64 is probably the biggest steal. If that's the price, the Twins will work out a deal before free agency begins. I bet his AAV will be closer to 25M than 21M. Still, as per custom, I'd expect a trade, not a free agent.
  21. nicksaviking
    Probably needed to clear his salary to fit Mahomes under the cap.
  22. nicksaviking
    The last season Nick Mullens got an extended run as a starter his QBR 36.3. He's not a good QB in any fashion. Not saying Dobbs is, but at least he can move and doesn't have more interceptions than games started.
  23. nicksaviking
    Agreed, it says more about Mullens. Hall is almost certainly still starting this week; Dobbs isn't coming in and learning the offense in a week on a team that's apparently trying to win. Mullens on the other hand was likely looking at the job two weeks from now if Hall didn't blow people away. Which is fine I guess. I'd rather have Dobbs than Mullens. At least he can get outside of the pocket and make something work with his legs if needed. He doesn't look to be half as interception prone as Mullens either.
  24. nicksaviking
    Dobbs is probably the perfect QB to get this team somewhere between 7-10 and 10-7.
  25. nicksaviking
    Our savior has arrived, sigh: https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/vikings-acquire-josh-dobbs-in-trade-with-cardinals
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