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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. Taylor Rogers, Trevor May, Tyler Duffey, Ryan Pressly, Glen Perkins, Eddie Guardado, LaTroy Hawkins. The Giants did it to Joe Nathan before the Twins got to him. The Twins foolishly DIDN'T do it to Liam Hendricks and the let the Blue Jays use the cheat code on him instead. Basically any reliever of note the Twins have had this century, except for Jesse Crain, were converted from starters at the MLB level or right before they got called up.
  2. Pretty sure the Twins defense had nothing to do with them not winning the World Series. Texas averaged 5.7 runs per game during the post season, the Twins averaged 3 runs per game. Half their games the Twins scored 2 runs or less. The Twins were never going to win it all with the hitting as cold as it was.
  3. In past years he would have appealed to me as well. He certainly has more upside than guys like Bundy and Shoemaker. But along with wanting a higher caliber pitcher, Flaherty has struggled with control the past couple years and the Twins have been excellent in resisting walks since the new front office took over. I think if we want to figure out which guys this team might chase, we should start by looking at BB%, then K%.
  4. I think the best omen that Lewis can avoid a Sophomore Slump is that he's come back from injury three times now in his short MLB career, and hit the ground running each time. If he can twice come back from 12 months off due to ACL injuries with no rust, a four month offseason and month of spring training should be a breeze.
  5. Keeping guys like this in the rotation is always tempting, but I'd say rip the band aid off now and let him adjust to the pen. Hoping for the the best in the rotation seems to work out so infrequently for these hard throwing guys with injury history, so don't waste the options and service time. That's how you end up losing guys before trying them out as a reliever for a full season, which is what I think you need to do. Some guys click right away, like Duran or Taylor Rogers, but most guys need a full year to transition before they become a bullpen asset.
  6. Without digging deeper, I’d bet we’d find that this is a spot you can regularly find useful relievers, while the other positions rarely pay off in any meaningful way.
  7. Jesus Luzardo, Braxton Garrett, Reid Detmers. Maybe Nestor Cortes, but he's not exactly young. Those first three would take some painful players to part with, but that doesn't bother me as much as it once did. Not as many left handed starters in the league as there used to be, but I'm just fine with right handers too. Either way, we shouldn't want the rotation to take a step back next year. Either via trade or free agency, they need to find another #1 or #2 to replace Gray. There's next to no need to shop for #5 starters any more as your Varlands, Obers and Festas tend to be no worse if not better. When you shop for back end starters, back end starter is almost always the BEST case scenario, and usually they end up being DFA/bullpen fodder by the time the team finally closes the book on them.
  8. So I had been thinking about E-Rod's unique numbers and how it's been noted that he comes by his high BB and K rates by taking a lot of pitches. E-Rod isn't striking out a lot because he's missing pitches, it's because he's taking too many. Or so the analysists say. Bringing up Julien as a comp has me thinking, because that's exactly what was occurring with Julien, Wallner and other's on the MLB club. Perhaps this unique profile that E-Rod has is due to the Twins interjecting this principal earlier in development than just the players' MLB rookie year. Without knowing how many pitches these guys are seeing, Yunior Severino, Alex Isola, Chris Williams, DeShawn Kieresy, Anthony Prato, Anthony Sabato and many others seem to test these same high walk/strikeout figures. If the Twins are pushing these young guys to see as many pitches per plate appearance as possible, while other clubs aren't dwelling on this, we likely will struggle with player comps for all the prospects. Fingers crossed, having them do this early will help them improve as they progress in both the strikeout and batting average area as they continue to practice this strategy.
  9. I'm up for trading just about anyone to get another top of the rotation arm. Fans and pundits always value prospects more than the teams do though, so it would take more than E-Rod to bring back something resembling Lopez.
  10. I like Marney and would give her the nod, but she seems pretty busy. Maybe she'd be willing to drop everything else, but she also seems like the kind of person who loves having her finger on the pulse of all things Minnesota sports. She feels like this era's audio/video version of Sid Hartman. In any case, she's a huge asset to the regional sports scene.
  11. That goes for any and all 'morning radio' shows for me. I don't need crank calls to Steve Lombardozzi and call-in give-a-ways sponsored by Kars for Kids.
  12. I think Bowden's rankings are a bit off, but in the ballpark, which is unusual for him. I doubt anyone has a true idea on what kind of offers Yamamoto will get. Agree that Montgomery/Nola/Snell is the next group, but I bet it's in the opposite order, Snell/Nola/Montgomery, in terms of contracts. I also bet the Twins will not have interest in Snell due to his high BB%; that's contrary to the current pitching game plan. He's a good pitcher, but I don't think he's a fit currently. At least I bet that's how the team would see it. That Giolito deal looks like a real high reward/low risk bargain. $12M is just a move a team does on a whim these days, that's Joey Gallo money. That would be a real easy gamble, though I'd still want someone else better/safer to go along with him. If he's looking at that kind of offer, he'd be better off doing one of those make-good one year deals with options to try to rebuild his value. But all that said, Gray at 3/64 is probably the biggest steal. If that's the price, the Twins will work out a deal before free agency begins. I bet his AAV will be closer to 25M than 21M. Still, as per custom, I'd expect a trade, not a free agent.
  13. Probably needed to clear his salary to fit Mahomes under the cap.
  14. The last season Nick Mullens got an extended run as a starter his QBR 36.3. He's not a good QB in any fashion. Not saying Dobbs is, but at least he can move and doesn't have more interceptions than games started.
  15. Agreed, it says more about Mullens. Hall is almost certainly still starting this week; Dobbs isn't coming in and learning the offense in a week on a team that's apparently trying to win. Mullens on the other hand was likely looking at the job two weeks from now if Hall didn't blow people away. Which is fine I guess. I'd rather have Dobbs than Mullens. At least he can get outside of the pocket and make something work with his legs if needed. He doesn't look to be half as interception prone as Mullens either.
  16. Dobbs is probably the perfect QB to get this team somewhere between 7-10 and 10-7.
  17. Our savior has arrived, sigh: https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/vikings-acquire-josh-dobbs-in-trade-with-cardinals
  18. I didn't know I was due to get emotional today. Wish I had gotten to watch more games last year, but Dick was a broadcaster unique to only us Twins fans and he'll be missed.
  19. That's a convincing argument for sure. Reminds me back in the day when I was jealous that Roberto Alomar got all the accolades instead of Chuck Knoblauch.
  20. Jordan Montgomery has been good for three different teams across both leagues the last two years. Since he's come back from his injury issues three years ago, he's been about as consistently reliable as anyone in the league. He certainly would be amongst the safest bets when it comes to adding qualify pitching. Maybe not the Cy Young/#1 upside that Nola, Snell and Giolito have, but probably a safer bet not to be bust. His strikeouts are trending down though, and the Twins do like that number up.
  21. I wouldn't mind having Sale, but I wouldn't trust him. He's not a guy I'm plugging into the #2 spot in the rotation, so the Twins still need to be looking for a top of the rotation arm in addition to him. Hopefully one that's longer-term and sustainable.
  22. I guess 2020, 2021, 2022 and April, May and June of 2023 aren't exceptions? Three months a super-star makes I suppose.
  23. If they're going to replace Sonny Gray, I want them to replace Sonny Gray. I like Ray, but he can't be considered a top of the rotation arm with a TBD return date, and the other guys sound more like replacing Kenta Maeda. The Arraez trade worked out great for both clubs last year, I'd hit up Miami again. Getting Luzardo or Garrett would be no less painful (and perhaps more painful) but I'd be willing to dip into that well again. Obviously there are other options if the scope was expanded to right handers as well.
  24. Leonard Williams just got traded for a 2nd and a 5th and he's also on an expiring contract. Hunter has to be worth more than that. But as foolish as it sounds, this organization seems more likely to trade away draft picks than trade for them, even though to everyone else, the season is clearly over. I bet Kyler Murray rumors start to escalate to a nauseating level very quickly over the next 24 hours. They won't pull the trigger, but I bet we get reports that they there was internal debate and almost went ahead with a deal.
  25. I don't know what the answer is, but it can't be Taylor again, he absolutely devastated the lineup. His 33% K rate and .278 OBP were soul crushing rally killers. I know everyone was a fan of his defense, but the Twins just can't afford to make that spot in the lineup a permanent black hole. A guy with no power but above average on base skills would be a better fit for this team.
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