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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I like the idea of JJ McCarthy, but I keep reading about speculation that the Vikings are interested due to Adofo-Mensah's connection to Jim Harbaugh. If Kwese drafts a QB due in any part to his relationship with the QBs college head coach, he shouldn't be GM. Hearing similar reports is going to turn me off of McCarthy. Another thought to go along with that one: If Harbaugh is done at Michigan and returns to the NFL, will the team that signs him be the presumptive landing spot for McCarthy? Urban Meyer wisely (the only thing he wisely did) drafted Trevor Lawrence over Justin Fields, but it seemed there was consideration otherwise for quite some time.
  2. nicksaviking
    I don't like it. O'Neill got destroyed by Montez Sweat, which was probably a big reason why Dobbs didn't roll out to his right. Now he's going up against Maxx Crosby, who's even better than Sweat.
  3. nicksaviking
    If anything, the timing of this is a bit encouraging. Usually the propaganda comes out a couple weeks before spring training. I mean, they'd look a bit insincere if they were to comment positively on the situation and then go sign or trade for a CF during the Winter Meetings. That makes me think they'll wait and see how this plays out, which would indicate they at least think there's a reasonable chance it could play out positively.
  4. nicksaviking
    I don't think Rogers is worth Julien alone. His injury history is troubling and he wasn't good in 2022. I'd take a flyer on him, but I wouldn't give up too much of value. As for Cabrera, I'd guess the Twins have next to no interest in him. His stuff is awesome, but his command is awful. The Twins no longer deal with starters who allow free baserunners. They'd have to change their whole pitching philosophy to fit him into the rotation. If the Twins dealt with Miami, I'd guess it would only be for Garrett or Luzardo. Who would have very high price tags.
  5. nicksaviking
    I have no idea where Miranda's future will take him, but should he regain his form, his 18% K rate would be a bigger asset to this team than any free agent they could sign. That was the team's most troubling aspect, and a guy who puts the ball in play and puts up an .800 OPS would be huge. At DH, 1B or 3B, that would be a gigantic boost.
  6. nicksaviking
    https://sodomojo.com/posts/mlb-insider-fans-flames-of-yamamoto-to-mariners-talk-01hgbcpb7p7a They've also been linked to Yamamoto. The Mariners have done a fantastic job with their rotation, and while it runs counter to most MLB ideologies, they could feel that the best way for them moving forward is to industrialize their pitchers and move them out for hitting which they've struggled to develop outside of Rodriguez. And since their available pitchers are so talented, they could leverage it into deals that helps them now and in the future. I mean a Polanco + E-Rod + more deal would have to sound pretty enticing. I'd go as high as Lee as far as prospects go, but the Mariners sound like they'd be receptive to deal one of their starters, maybe more depending on how free agency goes for them.
  7. nicksaviking
    Last year the “depth” was comforting, but I think it ultimately cost them games. Gallo, Farmer and Vázquez kept Wallner, Julien and Jeffers off of the field early in the year. Had the young guys gotten 10, 20 or 30 more starts, how many more games would have this team won?
  8. nicksaviking
    OK, this one's a bit late, but just by happenstance I noticed that Michael Tonkin threw more innings out of the Atlanta pen than any other reliever. Heck, he was actually 4th on the team in innings, starters included. He wasn't particularly exceptional, but must have been good enough to keep giving him the ball. Hadn't pitched in the majors since 2017 and he averaged nearly 2 innings per outing despite him not starting a single game at any level or any league since 2011. Just a weird one that I thought I'd share.
  9. nicksaviking
    I think we as fans expected to build a 'pitching pipeline' but with hindsight, I don't believe that was the plan at all. Cleveland, with Falvey there, traded for just about all of their starters when they were still controllable. Which is pretty much exactly what the Twins have done since. I wouldn't have previously agreed with that tactic, but it has merit. Pitchers, particularly young ones, are the least predictable players to judge. Trading for them when they are ready or near ready for MLB action is a much safer bet to produce. As such, I'd do that again this year.
  10. nicksaviking
    He wasn't going to do another extension, he did that when traded to the Reds. The first thing he mentioned in his interview with Do Hyoung Park was that he was dead set at getting to free agency for the fist time. https://www.mlb.com/news/sonny-gray-on-possible-future-with-twins-before-hitting-free-agency “But going into Spring Training this year, [my family] wanted to become a free agent. We wanted to experience that. We wanted to see what it's like. I know how good I am. We want to bet on ourselves, essentially, and I know that I have a whole lot left to give to the baseball world.”
  11. nicksaviking
    There's only three free agent hitters I have any interest in, and I want them to trade for a young starter instead of signing an old one. So the payroll in my scenario was going to be low anyway, I'll take the free broadcasts. And re-evaluate next year.
  12. nicksaviking
    Just for fun, let's speculate the Twins will lose subscriber TV revenue because they plan on broadcasting the games to all fans over a free platform. What would everyone want then, Twins broadcasts at no charge, or 25M more in payroll?
  13. nicksaviking
    I just don't see him as a fit. As you noted, he's a high groundball starter which is anti-Twins these days. The relievers throw sinkers and the Twins tend to make defensive replacements to accommodate. The Twins starters get tons of strikeouts and groundballs.
  14. nicksaviking
    That bar is still significantly lower than I want this team to jump over. Unless they only care about winning a terrible division, they need to trade for a Sonny Gray replacement. I get that you may not get Cy Young runner up results, but they need two pitchers they can feel confident in to start games 1 and 2 of the post season series. That's not Ryan, Ober, Paddock, Varland, Montas, Wiley, Shoemaker, Bundy, Maeda or any of these other nice mid-to-back end pieces.
  15. nicksaviking
    Montas was only ever good when he pitched in the Oakland Colosseum. The Yankees were absolute fools for not bothering to check even the most easily accessible road stats on this guy.
  16. nicksaviking
    If the Twins go for Miley or Montas it will show they learned nothing from the Archer/Bundy/Happ/Shoemaker days.
  17. nicksaviking
    Unless he improves, which I don't think can be assumed, Keller would still be closer to the Ryan/Ober/Paddock group. That's not good enough.
  18. nicksaviking
    Even four QBs going in the top 20 seems like it would be a record. But in any case, trading up from the middle of the draft to closer to say number 10 is easily do-able unless this organization continues to think drafting is a fantasy game and having more picks is more fun than having high picks. Also, if Quinn Ewers comes out he's a wild card and we haven't seen the 'under-looked' small school guy pop up yet. Michael Pratt possibly. And guys like Spencer Rattler, Carson Beck and Riley Leonard probably would have headlined the 2022 QB class. There will be interesting QBs available deep into this draft. I'd be fine if the Vikings took two.
  19. nicksaviking
    My take at the outset, was that the way the roster is constructed, and with more players in the upper minors than they can protect, this was likely to be a lower payroll year regardless of the TV deal. This team won't give the required years to get top end starting pitching, and they don't need more back of the rotation arms, to improve the staff, they'll have to trade for it like always, which doesn't tend to add to the immediate payroll. And offensively, the 26-man roster is already full. They can basically just sign one offensive free agent at the expense of Gordon/Larnach. But signing anyone beyond that likely means picking off the more pricey vets already on the team. Obviously signing only one or two free agents as opposed to a half dozen is going to keep the payroll lower. So I'll throw out another possibility. The payroll was always going to be lower organically, and mentioning the TV deal provided a bit of shade for both the front office and ownership.
  20. nicksaviking
    I want a starter more since that's what worked last year, but they need to find or develop more consistent producers on offense. Too many current players are roller coaster rides.
  21. nicksaviking
    Yes, getting another top of the rotation arm needs to be the priority. The Twins won because of the pitching, and getting that back near to what it was last year should be the focus. I'm only taking issue with continued pushing of the idea that the Twins need to keep sacrificing offense for defense, when the defense was fine last year and the offense was extremely inconsistent and unreliable for long stretches.
  22. nicksaviking
    Since I would agree to that deal before the Padres could finish asking the question, my assumption has to be that it's waaaaaay too lopsided in the Twins favor.
  23. nicksaviking
    I think you're underselling the fact that they traded for catcher who could hit. They didn't take a step back offensively with the trade. And we're only a month removed from the season. I don't understand how anyone watched the Twins last year and didn't think that the biggest issues with that team were on the offensive side of the equation. This team can't afford to lose offense, they need to improve it.
  24. nicksaviking
    I agree with all of the Fields stuff, and would add that in addition to the inaccuracy, poor vision and pocket presence, Fields also suffers from severe indecisiveness and a lack of faith in himself. He holds onto the ball way too long and ends up checking down anyway. He's like the worst parts of Mariota, Christian Ponder and Mac Jones, he just so happens to have Jalen Hurts' legs. I think some of those things can be coached, but not the indecisiveness. I disagree that Shanahan is a QB guru though. He can coach one very specific kind of niche QB. If you want an immobile game managing pocket passer, he can work that to a T. But if you're looking for a QB who plays a modern style, he's 0 for 1. At least 0 for 1 in trying to get a modern QB to play within the niche he likes. Shanahan would probably be the last guy who could get anything out of Fields.
  25. nicksaviking
    Hard pass on the draft this year. There is next to no room on the roster for an offensive player, and the little room they can squeeze out needs to go to upgrades not scratch off tickets. And if they are comfortable with the untested youth, they already have at least a half dozen of their own players better than what's in the draft sitting in St. Paul and Wichita. They need at least one more high end starter and a second wouldn't hurt. They could pick a guy for the pen, but this team cycles through the back of the bullpen regularly, this isn't a team that can hide a guy. Let teams like the Royals, Pirates and A's have fun in the sandbox, the Twins don't have room.
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