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twinstalker

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  1. There must be something wrong with Blaze Jordan. His slash, age, and K rate project well. He struggled at AAA after the trade, but he'd hit well AAA for Boston. He was 22 with a .928 ops and 11% K rate at AA and Bos AAA was .820 and 10.5%. His K rate after the trade AAA was 12% with a low BABIP. Nothing says star or anything, but he should be a legit player, unless... ...there are other issues we don't know about. It could be as simple as defense, it could be extracurricular stuff, I suppose. Pintar strikes out way too much for his age and level. Rumfield simply hasn't hit well enough for age/level in those Yankee bandboxes. Blaze is interesting but a Rule V has to start and end in the majors. He's not ready, so we'll see if the Twins have totally given in to the mockery of what they've become.
  2. If EmRod had a 20.6 K rate rate, he actually would have a chance at being good player. You got the walk rate and K rate confused. I'm not sure why anybody thinks he can possibly hit in MLB. After the initial period, they'll strike him out most ABs. His rankings here have been, um, inflated.
  3. First, the distress about Larnach was only appropriate four years ago when it was obvious he wasn't more than replacement level going forward. Second, despite the above, he actually is much better than some guys at his position. Corollary: see salary. Third, why in the world are people arguing about what the Twins should do this coming season? They've given up. The fact they don't explicitly say they've given up shouldn't fool you. Gleeman, Bonnes, and the writers wouldn't help themselves by stating this any more than they already have, but it shouldn't be that big a leap for the semi-intelligent Twins fan. Until the Twins address their true issues, it's just not going to matter.
  4. Coveted, yes, but they're not getting anything good for him. They could get someone who has a great slash line in the minors but has underlying statistical issues that many people here ignore. Kala'i Rosario is an extreme example of this, but it will probably be someone more like Owen Caissie or Dalton Rushing, guys whose similar issues are less obvious and covered up by some of the dunderheads who rate them highly. Teams (most of them, anyhow) know who their real future regulars/stars are, and the Twins aren't getting them by sending out Lopez' salary, as good as he's been. Ryan would get that. But here's a possible deal for Lopez that would be really good for the Twins: Lopez for Yankee's SS/OF Dax Kilby. Basically, the Yankees know he's far away, they can probably take on Lopez' salary, and Kilby has a real shot at being good. Straight out of high school, he was placed in the low A FSL (pitcher's league) and struck out only 14% of the time while putting one of the nicest slash lines in the entire draft class at age 18. If the Twins were smart, that would be their target for Lopez. Aiming too high or going for guys with high K rates (Caissie) or guys who were old for their leagues and played in systems with only bandboxes (Rushing) is probably more likely. I doubt the Twins have someone like Kilby at the top of their list for Lopez, and he should be. I doubt they get better.
  5. I know, let's take our only good player besides Buxton, one who has only six years of team control, and trade him! It would be the star on the tree, though. The tree of not knowing in the least what we're doing.
  6. If the Twins can get one okay not good prospect for Lopez, they do it, because the money is the main concern here, not future talent. Unfortunately. If the Twins prioritized rebuilding, they'd trade Ryan, but that's not where their heads are. The periods 1980-86, 1993-2000, and 2011-2016 were not just losing periods, but truly awful baseball. Pretty sure we started a new one in 2024 plagued by horrible ownership and some front office ineptitude (hitting, drafting). edit: I left out 1971-75, which had a mix of mostly veteran HoFers (Harmon, Tony O., Carew, Blyleven, and Kaat) transitioning into a new, fun class (Carew, Hisle, Bostock, Goltz, Campbell) that ended the period and went on to winning records 3 of the remaining four years of the '70s. The 1971-75 period only seemed really bad because of the great years before and the long playoff drought to 1987, Or maybe it was Darwin, Soderholm, Kusick, Thompson, Terrell, McKay, Mitterwald, Woodson, Eddie Bane, and Bluegill Hughes that made it seem bad., But they were .500 or better in three of the five years. Fun fact: while the 1970s was considered a down decade for the Twins, only three of those years did they finish below .500: 1971 (74 wins), 1974 (76 wins), and 1978 (73 wins).
  7. Just wondering in all seriousness: What's the point of something like this? When you have no chance of winning, what's the point of worrying about what scrapheap relievers the Twins get? This has zero snark behind it. It would seem there's nothing important but that which can truly improve things in the long run. I understand that the detrimental effect of becoming a laughingstock is important to avoid, and that's probably reason enough to write about whether Jason Foley is better than Michael Tonkin, but it just feels like a waste of time.
  8. When I was in grad school our department was, let's just say, very friendly with each other. A few years later, reunited the day after one's wedding, we were all playing volleyball with our beers near our feet. I reached for the closest one and asked "is this my beer?" The gal friend behind me slowly shook her head and said, "How could it possibly matter?" I've always found that incredibly amusing. I knew immediately what she was saying and that she was right, of course. Just like I know that would be the perfect answer to this article's title.
  9. I actually think the identification of hitting has been such a problem that it clouds development. The fact that the Twins haven't taken a flawed hitting prospect and worked a little magic is deeply concerning, yes, but the main problem is they're missing the guys who have a real chance.
  10. Which makes them non-interesting. I didn't read as far as seeing what other hitters would have been considered, but I'd guess there were better candidates. I'd keep,Olivar and De Andrade over those two, though I doubt either would be taken. I think Culpepper gets taken unless teams have injury concerns.
  11. So many to drop, so little time. Twins are obviously, I hope, trying to trade them, thereby keeping them on the roster for the time being. But I do wonder how they could leave Culpepper off unless they know for sure they're adding him after dealing with these guys one way or another. I've claimed for a couple of years now that he needs TJS, so maybe that's playing a part, too. Very happy people seem to understand why Rosario isn't kept. I have yet to read page 2 of the comments, though.
  12. You're assuming the goal is to improve the team, long-term. I doubt that is the priority. Ryan is cheap this year still and even next year ,comparatively. The Twins priority is likely to rid themselves of salary.
  13. Flares and Burners, as defined, are what BABIP is all about. Getting "unlucky" is simply having too many of those, and of course it's not all luck. Generally the pitcher is responsible for a portion (how hittable is his ball?). A lot of pitchers deal with this early in their career and figure it out to the extent they can.
  14. Amick is...not good. Not now, not last season, not in college, not in the future. There aren't a lot of guys I know to stay away from in the draft, but the Twins have selected four of them in the first two rounds of the last two drafts. That's counting Delmon's nephew who I actually hadn't heard of but immediately gagged when they took him and I read the stats history. They don't know what they're doing wrt hitters. For the record, I didn't like the Culpepper pick much, but it was mostly because I wanted them to take Ryan Waldschmidt. I didn't view KC as "stay away." I liked the Riley Quick pick. Both KC and Quick have a chance.
  15. You nailed the six, Seth! Rosario is not a coin flip, though. He's not a keeper, and if the Twins somehow lost him, they'd get him right back before the end of the season, not that I care.
  16. The interesting thing is that he's supposedly a pretty good CF (but a bad LF in 2025).
  17. LOL. Zero chance of doing anything until a new front office with some $$$ to spend has a few years. So how long until that all takes place? Would that be ten years out? Then you're dealing with other playoff teams with better players and more money, and the chances of winning it all probably will yield an average of twenty years (to be generous). So, I'd say betting on 2055 or later is probably worth it.
  18. No, the concern was before he was drafted. Horrible pick. Said it then, will continue to say it. Guy won't hit a lick in the majors.
  19. Who's going to evaluate the return? The front office doesn't know what to look for, or it would draft and or sign it.
  20. Yes, the Twins are great at developing hitting. No real chance for Houston to hit. Horrible pick. Said it when picked, said it about DeBarge, said it about Amick, said it about Noah Miller, Keoni Cavaco, Aaron Sabato. This is what your favorite team is doing with its top picks. They need a system overhaul.
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