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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
    I doubt it would be easy to find a taker for Severino. His K rate for his age at AA is pretty bad and portends poorly. He might be a second player thrown into a deal, but his need to be protected on the 40 probably makes that unlikely, too. He might be the guy the team with a low value reliever is referring to when they say to the Twins, "Just give us a player we can take to our fanbase and say we got something." Jeremy, did the Twins waste $2.5 million on Ariel Castro? Should someone with that bonus be striking out 37.2% of the time in the lowest league possible? See ball, hit ball, no?
  2. twinstalker
    Cleveland knows what it's doing in general here. It's taking an unstable bleh stock that's been on the rise and selling at the top. I doubt Falvey could bring himself to make this same trade. Well, actually, I doubt Falvey could even get the name Manzardo out of his mouth with TB. He'd probably give up Maeda/Civale for one of TB's failed second base prospects.
  3. twinstalker
    Civale has been horse-bleep, and his good pitching stretches are more lucky pitching stretches. They got a steal here, and if you don't think the Twins should have sold Maeda for that (because he's better than Civale at their bests), you're not seeing things right. Mostly, though, two things will probably happen: the world will find a hole in Manzardo's swing that only the Rays can see now, and Civale will become 5x the pitcher he is now. Because that's Tampa. Or possibly not. While I'm sure Cleveland struggles to evaluate hitting, they must think Civale's at his peak, and they have some cred there.
  4. twinstalker
    I don't really think the ACL was a "fluke." First, Lewis was prone to that injury. Second, he was clearly out of his element trying to make a challenging but not all that tough of play, and together that caused his injury. Seems plausible something similar could happen again. It's sort of like calling Buxton running into a wall (when most CFs would simply make a good catch) a fluke.
  5. twinstalker
    It's not so much about a chance, there are six guys I like more as SP than Keuchel. It's more about the Twins giving some of those six a rest.
  6. twinstalker
    Probably is not a good thing for a not so good player. What might be worse, though, were if he were continually exposed to MLB pitching.
  7. twinstalker
    Does this mean finally Noah Miller has been taken off the top 20?
  8. twinstalker
    Rooker? How bad is he? He had a hot streak and pitchers again found his holes, and he's terrible. Might he become competent? Potentially, and I expect Larnach to have a year or two where he's competent. When you trade someone there has to be hope for that player or nobody would want him. They've actually waited far too long to trade Larnach, and now they're going to get a pile of sticks for him, but it's a pile that might be useful for a couple of months.
  9. twinstalker
    Good article. I'm not sure getting the overage tax from others is worth it, but I wonder if there are any more penalties for going over, like maybe it's one strike toward not being considered a small market team or something like that.
  10. twinstalker
    The good news: Twins really need a rhp vs righty specialist in the bullpen. The bad news: Target Field isn't LoanDepot Park.
  11. twinstalker
    Can't help but comment on both sentences: 1. Do you think they could have gotten more somewhere else, or do you think they should have kept Lopez? This has nothing to do with his son unless it's coincidence. 2. The trade with Balitimore is nothing more than a blip compared to the one with the Reds. Not to mention the process seemed good on the Lopez trade. The Twins apparently have nobody looking into the guys they're getting in return, but other than that process flaw (there's your catastrophe), the Twins seemed to make a reasonable deal there. With the Reds it was horrible from the moment it was suggested, and people who simply said something like "the Twins only gave up their 7th and 12th best prospects for a starter" have no idea what they're talking about on either side. Speer and CES may not have been updated, but it was quite clear they were top five guys at the deadline and traded for an injured guy who's background even when healthy was questionable. Just about the dumbest thing I've seen a team do, and on the heels of the Gobert trade to boot.
  12. twinstalker
    LOL. So, AK will have 2+ years service time at the end of this year. He'll hit for less power than is needed. He is a Boras client, so he will be gone at the end of six years unless the Twins overpay steeply to keep him. I hope people realize Falvey has sold his soul to the devil, and the devil has it now. Boras is the one who controls the Twins fate. This isn't going to end well for anyone except Boras. Not you, me, or Falvey, just Boras.
  13. twinstalker
    You can Royce Lewis off the list because he's surpassed rookie thresholds. You can take Noah Miller off the list because.
  14. twinstalker
    Smart: Trading Sonny Gray because the Twins are not playoff-caliber. Dumb: Trading Sonny Gray because it appears he would maybe quit baseball instead of taking $60-$80 million. I'll try an Aaron Gleeman-type analogy here: No, screw that. If it doesn't make sense as is, I can't help you.
  15. twinstalker
    Thanks, Jeremy.
  16. twinstalker
    Not really. Twins need hitting desperately, and there's no reason right now to think they'll have that problem solved within three years. Cleveland hasn't figured it out for longer than that.
  17. twinstalker
    Cedar Rapids, what? This is an example of many narratives here I often find hard to digest. Jenkins is going to spend the month and a half in the FCL trying to learn how to hit breaking balls. If he moves over to another field at the end and gets the experience of being on a low A team for a few games, well, that would be exactly what it is...an experience. To think he's going to conquer low A after spending half a second in the complex league is completely unrealistic.
  18. twinstalker
    Twins missed on Brooks Lee, not that a number of teams wouldn't have taken him where they did. But he dropped for a reason, and we're seeing the fallout. I warned all spring that he was being overhyped and hadn't shown anything at AA, which is the separator. What he's showing is that he'll most likely be a second division infielder or possible super-utility man (like we thought Julien might be). He'll likely put up good to great numbers if he repeats the level, but I think we're getting the honest answer now. I don't know that AAA is going to tell us much, given what a hitters' park CHS is. There is still, though, hope that he might put up numbers in MLB close to what he's doing now. He's walking at a good rate (11%), and he's striking out at about a 16% rate, also good. I could see him repeating his slash line .265/.349/.423 in the majors, but I don't see potential star unless something major happens. At any rate, it's disappointing thus far, as we'd hoped for a star hitter, and he's providing stats we'd accept for someone taken much later in the first round.
  19. twinstalker
    So have I. If it's affecting his batting, he wouldn't be able to play in the field. Next theory.
  20. twinstalker
    He's intriguing, and we can at least put him in the conversation now that he's pitching to hitters similar to those from his college years. Double A will be the true test for whether he might be a true prospect, but any hopeful news in this system is sort of a big deal. Maybe not a 23 yr old catcher at low A but a 22 yr old pitcher at A+. Big difference.
  21. twinstalker
    To be saying that Pagan and Kepler should be gone all offseason and then watch this game, you're allowed to crap on the Twins all you want. I hope Kepler gets dfa'd and becomes a star with another team. I don't care. Get him and Pagan out of here.
  22. twinstalker
    I don't care where relievers come from, but you need to ensure you have plenty of good ones, and the Twins did the opposite. Personally, I even felt Duran may not have been able to be counted on, necessarily, between his wonky arm and natural drop off. I think I listed every reliever and the reason why you couldn't count on him, and though I didn't put percentages with them getting hurt or going south, my point was that the Twins completely neglected a unit they needed to address and in no way were they going to have enough, even if a Brock Stewart type emerged. I mean, Jorge Lopez is a head case (baseball-wise), and that should have been obvious from last year. How do you count on Alcala? etc. etc.
  23. twinstalker
    One other thing: Wichita and St. Paul are bandboxes, so it's difficult to judge hitting. But seriously, is there anyone at A or A+ who can hit? I mean, anyone who isn't 2-3 years older than we need him to be? What in the world is wrong with Emmanuel Rodriguez? He's facing the same pitchers, except for the worst of them, that he faced last season. And Cedar Rapids/MWL is an easier park/league to hit in than Fort Myers/FSL.
  24. twinstalker
    It's good to see that a guy we paid $11 million for can homer off the Cubs' #30 prospect. I wasn't sure. I am pretty sure the Cubs don't have any hitters left in AAA after promoting the ones doing well (some teams do that), but apparently Twins AAA pitching is even worse.
  25. twinstalker
    I've been following him since the trade. I do believe he will be the Twins backup catcher of the future. There are reasons to believe he won't be more, but we can cross our fingers. I'll agree he's overlooked and one of the few actual prospects in the Twins system (who hasn't played MLB). The Dodgers have the best catching prospects probably of all-time these days, so it probably didn't phase them to give up their #8 or #9 minor league catcher. I'm surprised they didn't sign Ethan Salas!.
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