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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. Not really. Twins need hitting desperately, and there's no reason right now to think they'll have that problem solved within three years. Cleveland hasn't figured it out for longer than that.
  2. Cedar Rapids, what? This is an example of many narratives here I often find hard to digest. Jenkins is going to spend the month and a half in the FCL trying to learn how to hit breaking balls. If he moves over to another field at the end and gets the experience of being on a low A team for a few games, well, that would be exactly what it is...an experience. To think he's going to conquer low A after spending half a second in the complex league is completely unrealistic.
  3. Twins missed on Brooks Lee, not that a number of teams wouldn't have taken him where they did. But he dropped for a reason, and we're seeing the fallout. I warned all spring that he was being overhyped and hadn't shown anything at AA, which is the separator. What he's showing is that he'll most likely be a second division infielder or possible super-utility man (like we thought Julien might be). He'll likely put up good to great numbers if he repeats the level, but I think we're getting the honest answer now. I don't know that AAA is going to tell us much, given what a hitters' park CHS is. There is still, though, hope that he might put up numbers in MLB close to what he's doing now. He's walking at a good rate (11%), and he's striking out at about a 16% rate, also good. I could see him repeating his slash line .265/.349/.423 in the majors, but I don't see potential star unless something major happens. At any rate, it's disappointing thus far, as we'd hoped for a star hitter, and he's providing stats we'd accept for someone taken much later in the first round.
  4. So have I. If it's affecting his batting, he wouldn't be able to play in the field. Next theory.
  5. He's intriguing, and we can at least put him in the conversation now that he's pitching to hitters similar to those from his college years. Double A will be the true test for whether he might be a true prospect, but any hopeful news in this system is sort of a big deal. Maybe not a 23 yr old catcher at low A but a 22 yr old pitcher at A+. Big difference.
  6. To be saying that Pagan and Kepler should be gone all offseason and then watch this game, you're allowed to crap on the Twins all you want. I hope Kepler gets dfa'd and becomes a star with another team. I don't care. Get him and Pagan out of here.
  7. I don't care where relievers come from, but you need to ensure you have plenty of good ones, and the Twins did the opposite. Personally, I even felt Duran may not have been able to be counted on, necessarily, between his wonky arm and natural drop off. I think I listed every reliever and the reason why you couldn't count on him, and though I didn't put percentages with them getting hurt or going south, my point was that the Twins completely neglected a unit they needed to address and in no way were they going to have enough, even if a Brock Stewart type emerged. I mean, Jorge Lopez is a head case (baseball-wise), and that should have been obvious from last year. How do you count on Alcala? etc. etc.
  8. One other thing: Wichita and St. Paul are bandboxes, so it's difficult to judge hitting. But seriously, is there anyone at A or A+ who can hit? I mean, anyone who isn't 2-3 years older than we need him to be? What in the world is wrong with Emmanuel Rodriguez? He's facing the same pitchers, except for the worst of them, that he faced last season. And Cedar Rapids/MWL is an easier park/league to hit in than Fort Myers/FSL.
  9. It's good to see that a guy we paid $11 million for can homer off the Cubs' #30 prospect. I wasn't sure. I am pretty sure the Cubs don't have any hitters left in AAA after promoting the ones doing well (some teams do that), but apparently Twins AAA pitching is even worse.
  10. I've been following him since the trade. I do believe he will be the Twins backup catcher of the future. There are reasons to believe he won't be more, but we can cross our fingers. I'll agree he's overlooked and one of the few actual prospects in the Twins system (who hasn't played MLB). The Dodgers have the best catching prospects probably of all-time these days, so it probably didn't phase them to give up their #8 or #9 minor league catcher. I'm surprised they didn't sign Ethan Salas!.
  11. The fact you have to say "even" is part of the issue. Larnach's upside is MLB mediocrity, and I wouldn't be wasting my time there. Somehow we've been propagandized to believe he might be good. He won't be, his MiLB and MLB work thus far predict yuck. If I hear Bonnes mention Larnach as an alternative one more time as Gleeman talks Kepler vs Wallner, my head will explode. Sorry, John! p.s. I'm not going all in on Wallner, either, but something in his background leads me to believe it's at least possible for him to succeed despite the horrid K rate. Can't really define it. I guess, to me, it seems he's good at learning.
  12. Twins need to trade for prospects because they are bereft of prospects from A, A+, and AA (save for the overrated Lee). They need to trade Kepler for a complex league pitcher who breathes. They do not need to give up any more prospects for players they overrate or are injured. Their scouting seems especially weak. I'm seriously doubting Falvey has any idea what he's doing. There are strengths, certainly, but he seems the guy you want to trade with in your fantasy league.
  13. This is a really sad article. Seriously, what's wrong with Falvine? Somewhere in my comments this winter/spring, I damned the Twins for not adding relief (and for trading Arraez). If it's obvious to a nobody like me, how is it not obvious to people whose living depends on it?
  14. This is basically true of any prospect who provides real hope. Sure, there are exceptions, and so far, apparently, Salas hasn't faced the exceptions. Basically, we're looking at a worst possible outcome here. 20 isn't by any means old for A+, but given he played there last year and can't do a damn thing this year, he's for the most part taken himself off the prospect list and onto the depth list, much like Wander Javier did. The only real hope is there is something seriously wrong, mentally or physically. Real talent shows itself one way or another, and nothing is being shown here.
  15. My guess is they rehabbed Martin to get him some playing time this year but will shut him down for TJS in/by August. Won't be surprised if he's DHing fully his final X weeks. He'll be able to start batting in the spring and playing the field again at some point. Better than him missing a full season now.
  16. Age. Put this in the "it doesn't matter" category. Rosario is more age appropriate, but his k rate is horrid. Severino has both issues. Twins system is hurting. After Lee there's not a single player you can for sure say will play in the majors. The AAA guys who have and Brooks Lee are the only "sure things," and none of them are especially exciting. Waiting on Mercedes, Chourio, and Acuna to have hope for four years from now!
  17. Steer and CES are exactly what they were supposed to be at the levels they are at now (not sure where CES goes from here, but likely at least MLB competent at plate). So we traded that for an injured pitcher, a guy who had been injured, got shelved again before the deal, and was able to make three decent starts to fool a team only looking at the bare surface. This isn't the worst of it. Wait until Pablo Lopez crumbles similarly. Pitchers with shoulder problems rarely are both good and stay healthy. It's no wonder Falvey is looking for a lesser college hitters to play sooner than a legit #1 HS player. He's traded away hitting for injured pitchers, and his end might be soon.
  18. Isn't this all about the "Twins overthinking this?" I'm not sure what we're supposed to comment on if not that.
  19. This should have been the case. He needs to put it all together this year, and I think he was on the right track prior to the Twins getting all needy with him and all. But sometimes it just doesn't work out for a guy the way it should, and he seems a candidate for that. 2023 is his prep year, and he's hurt the first half at least. Whether he's the solution or not, I don't see the Twins counting on him, and they'll likely bring another in. BTW, you can say Buxton is the fifth best DH right now, but his stock is almost nil in the simulation leagues I play in where defense is just about as important as in MLB. Owners won't be able to play him in CF next year, Nobody sees all that much value in him as their DH relative to alternative. So we can talk him up all we want, but this is a really bad situation for the Twins.
  20. Five legit #1 picks, and the Twins are looking at lesser and cheaper options to what end? They can use the excuse of saving money to sign better players later, but what it appears to come down to is a front office not wanting to wait on a high schooler because, perhaps, they believe they may run out of time. I mean, why would you pass on one of these five guys unless it's to take another of the five? Now, if you wanted to take low upside guys who probably will never hit, well, you listed two in this article. Pray the Twins don't go there. My order of priority for the Twins: Crews, Skenes, Langford, Clark, Jenkins, but they pretty much have to take one of them. My realistic hope is Langford, as Jenkins and Clark could easily go 3-4. Of the two HS guys, I'd want Clark right now. (Disclaimer: I really know nothing except these five are VERY separated from the rest)
  21. Thanks, Seth. Tough to read these things this year. Excited for Mercedes, Chourio, and Acuna in the FCL, as we need to find some player to give us hope.
  22. When are the Twins going to call up Brooks Lee? Seems like he'd be a good fit.
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