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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. Question: How Can the Twins Be This Unfathomably Bad with the Bases Loaded? Answer: Their hitting is unfathomably bad. We're all questioning how the hitting can be better to help win the division, but what appears to be a truth is whatever the hitting can become at its best will never be enough to challenge playoff pitching.
  2. Too lazy to look up, but isn't Schulfer (sp?) supposed to be a possible something? Ah, I just looked him up: 2.70 ERA but only 13 k in 20 ip. That won't do.
  3. Larnach's problem wasn't struggling for one series. I wish commenters and especially article authors would understand that guys who strike out a ton (like Larnach, Severino) in the minors really aren't going to be anything in the majors unless they're really, really young for their level. Larnach has very little chance, though a few years from now he might break out for a half a season or so, anything is possible. Julien is on the cusp. The one interesting strikeout guy who's not super young is Wallner. I expect nothing from him, but his toolset is interesting. But Larnach I almost guarantee will never be anything for the Twins. When he was in the high minors, the Twins needed to move him to one of the few non-analytical teams left. I don't think there are any anymore. Meanwhile, Larnach's "hot start" had faded already with the strikeouts mounting before he went into the series deep dive. When you have a whole team of guys barely better than this, it makes you shake your head at trading Luis Arraez, a trade I didn't like in the first place.
  4. You only need to track his strikeouts and age to level to know he's not going to be anything with the Twins. The combo rather dooms him to AAAA.
  5. Twins have about five minor leaguers who can mildly help now, Brooks Lee who may help in a couple of years, then a long wait.
  6. Why would Lee be able to help the Twins? I don't understand. He's not really helping Wichita that much. He's never shown he's anywhere close to being more than decent at the AA level. He catches a bad pitcher every once in a while. On that last point, he'd fit in with the Twins lineup well. Over the years, they've hit mediocrity well and have shown near zero aptitude vs top pitching, the type you'd expect to see in the playoffs.
  7. LOL at premise. Mahle was hurt, it should have been obvious to a team researching him, and the chance he might help was worth about a Hajjar. Not even knowing how hurt Mahle was, there are those of us who absolutely hated this trade because it was way too much for a healthy Mahle. If you're so desperate that you'll give your best prospects for an injured pitcher in the hopes he might help, maybe you should have worked harder to put together a better staff to begin with. You can't be sitting on your hands with a lockout looming or when it ends.
  8. Who could have foreseen this? Certainly not Falvey! And which struggling team would give anything at all of value for CES? I've got to believe those teams are more excited about any average players under their control. And how in the world could the Twins even use someone like Steer? It would be impossible to come up with a scenario where the Twins would need him. Clearly, the trade was a force majeure, and nothing could changed this outcome. Boy, are we cursed. Gee.
  9. Severino is not young for his level (for a real prospect), and his strikeout rate is absurd. Unless you walk and hit for excess power like Matt Wallner, you don't stand a chance with a 30% k rate, much less YS's 40% k rate. Nobody is going to steal him from the Twins, especially since he's not great in the field. This is truly the most nothing Twins system I've ever seen. Cossetti is the same age as Severino and two levels lower. He may have put up the best numbers for the level he's at, but he's three years older than you'd want a prospect to be there, so his numbers don't mean squat until he moves up at least two levels. I doubt he's as good as Severino when that happens. There's a real chance that when Varland, SWR, Julien, Lewis, and Wallner graduate from rookie status this year, it will objectively be the worst system in baseball for prospects They'll have Lee, who projects as a regular, K-prone EmRod who has a chance, and then some guys in the Florida Complex League or lower, i.e., lottery tickets.
  10. We sit here and pray and pray for Kepler to hit well so he has some trade value. Then when he does, we're afraid to trade him.
  11. I could be wrong, but I've never seen a lefty throwing infielder, which you list Jacob Gonzalez as.
  12. Oof. This was an ugly week for so many. I think it could be the case that the Twins have very few real prospects.
  13. I wonder what we'd have given him if he'd pitched like he did in his first four starts last year.
  14. You win because I was joking. I'd love to be wrong about him (me: "upside is utility infielder bat").
  15. Mostly taking your word for it on the velocity drop. Lots of variables at play that might not be adjusted for and can truly influence a small sample size with correlated basic outcomes.
  16. ...we ask after one turn of the rotation and compare to a year with shortened spring training.
  17. Noah Miller was a vast overdraft, can't hit a lick, and will at his peak be a utility man in the infield if all goes as well as possible over the next several years. So we're not really serious with the question, right? It's like the Twins blew this one, and nobody wants to admit it. Why is this harder to admit than Aaron Sabato?
  18. Holy cow, so far it looks like one of the Twins' worst trades ever. They've gotten exactly nothing so far for two guys who look like productive major leaguers, one now, one probably later in the year. Nothing is going to win this trade for the Twins, you just hope Mahle can provide some help they wouldn't otherwise have toward making the playoffs. So far...he's provided nothing extra, and there's an extreme injury worry.
  19. He's done well. I've even taken him in my fantasy simulation league. Twins bullpen is being incredibly overrated for some reason by the locals, and I think it's going to have to be patched together with the likes of Coloumbe and a number of others we didn't sign (oops). To think the Twins will have an above average (among 20 or so contending teams) bullpen, you have to think all of this: 1. Relievers who stayed healthy will stay healthy again. 2. Regression to the mean is fictional (this is for Duran, Moran mostly) 3. A reliever who's career has been horrible will pitch lights out for the Twins after pitching to a 4.37 ERA for them last year (Lopez). 4. Pitchers who miss a year due to a major injury will have no issues this year (Alcala). 5. Pagan is different from what all the evidence suggests his whole career. My guess is Megill, Jax, and Thielbar probably pitch about the same as a group as they did in 2022, and that's not overwhelming. I think as much as the Twins created depth for its lineup and rotation, they ignored what's going to happen in the bullpen.
  20. Reds fans: "We got Steer! We got Encarnacion-Strand!" Twins fans: "We got a rock."
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