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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Did you watch Sano’s at bats last night? Two walks. The second walk was at least 9 pitches and became the game tying run in the 8th. A drive to the left center gap and a diving catch by Gamel. A fly ball to the wall that advanced a runner from second to third. Four very good at bats out of four.
  2. jorgenswest
    It is really hard to sort out the experts. There is so much scouting and prospect reporting by the stat line. Reports are repeated by other sources giving them additional weight. The only way to reliably assess a catcher’s defense is to watch them in person several times. How many experts saw him catch several games? I think he has worked very hard and improved considerably from the time he was drafted. We have read about his hard work and improvement. Those phrases are also a cautionary flag about a player. I don’t recall reading about Buxton improving defensively or working hard on his defense.
  3. jorgenswest
    I don’t see the Twins trading for him so he will have to clear release waivers and become a free agent. His options at that point could be the Astros who need a DH and the Rockies who need a 1B. There will be other interest. I don’t see why he would select the Twins over opportunities from the Astros or Rockies. With Mauer, Morrison and Sano his path to regular playing time is more limited. Does anyone have a great enough interest that they would trade for him?
  4. jorgenswest
    I think Seth’s maybe is reasonable. Do we know if he can be close to an average shortstop defensively? Hitting major league pitching is incredibly difficult. We have seen several players do well in AA and struggle. There is no way in looking at a stat line to know a player’s readiness in the field or at the plate. The staff seeing him every day is in a much position to better determine readiness. The Twins long term success relies on the skill of their staff. He could easily struggle at the plate and be much worse in the field than Adrianza right now. Long term Gordon appears to be at least a starting 2B. I hope they keep developing his glove at SS where his bat will play much better.
  5. jorgenswest
    Just took a look at AAA... It is hard to find a someone playing better than Astudillo that a team would be willing to trade. In the IL only one player younger than Astudillo his hitting and I would guess it would take a lot to pry Danny Jansen away from the Blue Jays. The other young catchers are Francisco Mejia and Reese McGuire. We might go after McGuire but he has never hit in the minors. In the PCL the younger catchers have been called up in Carson Kelly and Jacob Nottingham. Nottingham is back in AAA. He didn’t hit well outside of PCL. When the Cards brought up Kelly, they also moved Andrew Knizner up a level. He is a good prospect. The Cardinals have Molina through 2020 and a few good 23 year olds. They are the only team I can see to target once Molina is healthy. Gordon might be a fit here. The Blue Jays have Jansen and McGuire but they also have a major league need at catcher. I can’t see them very interested in moving either and certainly not Jansen. Maybe there is some hope in Astudillo.
  6. jorgenswest
    i think Wade needs more time to develop his bat. We don’t know how often he is getting a pitch he should barrel up and instead he misses it hitting a foul ball or puts it in play to weak contact. With his large number of walks, he must be seeing lots of pitches and should have more opportunities to get a good pitch to hit. With all of those walks must be plenty of counts in his favor and pitchers needing to throw him a good pitch. How often is he getting those good pitches and not taking advantage or recognizing them? How often does he end up with a walk when somewhere earlier in the count he should have barreled up a pitch? We don’t know. The Twins staff should know. There should always be a at least a caution flag up when you see a player with a lot of walks and little power in the minors.
  7. jorgenswest
    Who is ready to trade him for a major league catcher? Straight up for Realmuto? If the Marlins say no, how about Ramos? I don’t consider either. I am waiting until he gets close to 2000 PAs and appreciating the defense.
  8. jorgenswest
    Did you look at his team stats of the the team he left? He wasn’t close to the best bat on the team and team ERA was above 6. The team OPS was above 900. Blash, Fernández, Fletcher and Ackley all had a better OPS with a high of 1281. I am certain Grossman would be among that group also. Let Carter show the same bat in Rochester for a month.
  9. jorgenswest
    Still a chance to get a return for Buxton. Do you trade him for a major league catcher?
  10. jorgenswest
    Carter fits because he is willing to be in AAA. Is there space for Ramirez, Morrison, Mauer and Sano on a major league roster? Probably not. How long will Mauer out? If the answer is months, Ramirez after clearing waivers makes sense.
  11. jorgenswest
    The Twins should know what they have in Garver defensively. They shouldn’t have to wait until he is in the majors wondering what they have in his defense. They should know or they need to overhaul the minor league staff. There isn’t anyway for outsiders to know and most data in a partial season is of little value. If the Twins have assessed Garver to be an average or better defender they should be playing in 4-5 times a week. If not, they need to be aggressively seeking their next catcher.
  12. jorgenswest
    The path is a prolonged recovery for Mauer and another injury to Sano or even an injury to Morrison. Might be unlikely but Carter is probably a better fit to fill in than Vargas. Hopefully that doesn’t happen. We might not have seen a path for Petit before the suspension of Polanco, release of Aybar and injury to Sano. Carter probably never wears a Twin uniform but I don’t see how to argue that he isn’t worth some cash given the alternative in Vargas.
  13. jorgenswest
    Sano? They really need a bat.
  14. jorgenswest
    They should cash that in soon. Wilson playing once a series is OK but they should be actively looking for an upgrade.
  15. jorgenswest
    The return of the concussion light sensitivity symptoms from this injury is a real concern. They really need to wait until he has no symptoms. He could be out a long stretch. Sad to see such a fantastic career wind down this way. He and the Twins need to take the return of these symptoms seriously.
  16. jorgenswest
    Yes. I keep pitching Lynn. I count on his walk rate to return to his career norm prior to this season and I trade him in July. I start May in AAA with his last option and I ease his workload up. He hasn’t been a starter since June of 2015. The time in AAA will be valuable and it will be much easier to adjust his workload and give him any needed extra rest at that level. I think we do agree that this roster is not one that can compete with the best of the AL. My plan would be to try to squeeze out the most value I can from the players who will be free agents. It is reasonable that Lynn will perform over his next 8 starts near his career norms. If that happens, the Twins will find a trade partner. The previous 8 starts aren’t a great predictor of the next 8 starts particularly when those previous 8 are not inline with career norms.
  17. jorgenswest
    To salvage they need to hope Lynn, Rodney, Santana, Morrison, Escobar, Dozier and Duke have a solid next two months and they get something in return at the deadline. None of them are bringing an elite prospect but the volume could help them hit on one. It is on the Twins staff to find those rough diamonds. I don’t know who they might receive in those deals but they take the best offer and move on. After the purge of players who will be free agents, they have two months to take a look at a Polanco upon return, players acquired in trade and whichever minor leaguers really stand out.
  18. jorgenswest
    I am not sure 8 previous starts is predictive of the next 8 starts. If they were and it was reasonable to expect the same walk rate going forward then he should be removed from the rotation. It might also be reasonable to expect the walk rate to return to previous norms. I hope he has a good June and July so they can flip him at the deadline.
  19. jorgenswest
    Not in the box score but I appreciated this Drew Butera story. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/23543772/kansas-city-royals-catcher-drew-butera-keeps-promise-dyes-hair-pink
  20. jorgenswest
    Wouldn’t free agent 2021 give them the next three post seasons and not the +?
  21. jorgenswest
    I look at the Yelich deal where Brinson was often top 25 plus three others. Catcher is more scarce than centerfield. They have to expect to get better for Realmuto even when comparing 3 years of control against a possible 5 for Yelich. Gordon is seen by many as a 2B which is not a position of high value and Gonsalves as a 4th starter. They are good prospects with a major league future. It will take a great prospect. Is there anyone willing to trade Lewis or Romero for Realmuto. Note. Low ceiling does not equate to mediocre. A likely future starting 2B and 4th starter are not mediocre prospects.
  22. jorgenswest
    Gordon is likely a 2B. Gonsalves is likely a fourth starter. The Marlins should seek prospects with better ceilings. One high ceiling guy is better than these two higher floor low ceiling guys. The return for Yelich was so much better and he isn’t a catcher. Also I keep reading two years here. His earliest free agent is 2021 according to baseball reference. Isn’t that three years or do we round down to 2 to help fit our narrative? Maybe baseball reference is incorrect. Otherwise trading for him helps the Twins in 3 seasons. Lewis or Romero or look elsewhere.
  23. jorgenswest
    I am certain every team would agree. I am all in if Gordon, Gonsalves or Sano headline the trade. If that level would get the trade done, he would have been moved by now. The Marlins will get a better headliner in the trade.
  24. jorgenswest
    Realmuto is one of the best catchers in the game with team control through 2020. They need Lewis or Romero to headline the deal or they need to look elsewhere.
  25. jorgenswest
    To advocate it has to include willingness to trade the high upside prospect the Marlins are seeking. The Twins have two of those guys in Lewis and Romero though Graterol may get there by midseason. I think most of us would trade a package of lower ceiling guys like Gordon and Gonsalves. To me, that isn’t calling for a Realmuto trade. Should the Twins have been willing to part with Lewis or Romero? Some team will be willing to trade a prospect with that upside.
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