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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    They need to give Navaretto every opportunity to develop his bat in the minors. Give him that opportunity.
  2. jorgenswest
    Set the bar high for a Gibson trade. Get a good return for Odorizzi or keep him. Same for Reed. Take any offer better than a comp pick for Escobar and approaching a comp pick for Dozier. Take the best offer for Rodney, Duke, Lynn, Morrison. DFA Grossman. Release Belisle. Fill those spots with young players either acquired in trade or in the system. Prioritize catcher. DFA Wilson upon acquisition.
  3. jorgenswest
    What would they correct? His strikeout and walk rates have improved considerably. If his BABIP is .270 the slash stats look OK.
  4. jorgenswest
    I really tried to avoid partial season slash stats but it is hard not to notice Kepler’s this year. I took a look at the measures that have a large enough sample. His strike out rate of 16% is significantly lower than his career rate. His walk rate of 11% is significantly greater than his career rate. His ISO is below his career rate but reasonably close. His slash stats are so hard to ignore. I know they need a much larger sample. Is it simply the bad luck of a .240 BABIP? Maybe. It seems like he has made real improvement in strike zone recognition. I hope that improvement starts getting rewarded in the numbers. I don’t think it is time to overhaul his swing.
  5. jorgenswest
    I believe our previous management did a very poor job. How is it possible that they have Josmil Pinto for 8 years in the minors and still think he can defend at the major league level? How is it possible that Plouffe comes up as a shortstop? They should know quite a bit about a player’s defensive skill. I don’t know how they have assessed Astudillo’s defense at catcher, but there shouldn’t be a need to gather more information at the major league level. It should be gathered.
  6. jorgenswest
    We need a skilled staff that will project well based on working with and observing players develop in the minors. If they are relying on prospect projections of BA and fangraphs we are doomed.
  7. jorgenswest
    I would like to see him catch also but I don’t buy that they need to see him catch to gather information. How different is catching in the majors than AAA? They must have the information necessary to evaluate his catching skill.
  8. jorgenswest
    So difficult though. Did they reward Phil Hughes with a market level extension? Joe Mauer? Ryan Doumit? Jared Burton? How do you know if your good player of 2018 is going to be the deadwood of 2019 or 2020? They need to pay based on projected future performance rather than a reward for past performance. We need a front office that is among the best at projecting forward.
  9. jorgenswest
    In either case first I try to trade him and take the best offer that is above the comp pick bar. That really isn’t a very high bar. I don’t think I offer 2/20 right now. The nice thing about the qualifying offer is that the Twins get to see that he ends healthy. They also see the progress Sano made towards being a regular 3B.
  10. jorgenswest
    I am not extending EE. I want the flexibility to see my needs after next season. One year deal for a player that can play 3 positions and plenty of money in the budget to fill other needs for next year. Does it look like the money is going to be so tight that they can’t afford this one year deal? Does it really come down down to the choice of Escobar or bullpen? I hate mutiyear deals to players who are average i their primes and will likely decline into their 30s. I hate multiyear deals to relievers. There is no position more volatile and I would strongly prefer younger arms in most of those roles.
  11. jorgenswest
    Are they really going to find two good relievers willing to take one year deals? How many relievers took a 1 year deal this year at 8-9 million? Escobar’s deal is a one year deal.
  12. jorgenswest
    Mid market teams are going to need among the best front office and contend. Is Molitor among the best 10 managers in baseball? If not, they need to seek a better manager. Mediocre to average isn’t good enough for this market.
  13. jorgenswest
    Astudillo has played 3B. Escobar can play SS or 2B.
  14. jorgenswest
    I expect around 2 WAR and am happy to pay the qualifying money on a one year deal.
  15. jorgenswest
    Do you have confidence they can identify two good bullpen arms for 17 million? Yes. I think Escobar adds enough value. I also think there is space for both Gordon and Escobar on the roster. I certainly don’t want to go into the season with Gordon at 2B and Sano at 3B and Adrianza as the top reserve.
  16. jorgenswest
    If the return is clearly better than a comp pick, take it. If not, make the qualifying offer. If Escobar takes the offer, we get a valuable piece and can afford the 1 year deal.
  17. jorgenswest
    Machado is getting several years. A qualifying offer is a one year deal. It isn’t close to comparable.
  18. jorgenswest
    Unlike Nunez I would offer Escobar (and Dozier) a qualifying offer. Any trade return has to clearly be above the draft pick value. If I get the offer, I take it.
  19. jorgenswest
    The Twins can afford to pay any arbitration costs. These are all one year deals. The only consideration should be years of control. That really isn’t a factor.
  20. jorgenswest
    If he is down there and working to make changes to his swing or approach then it isn’t going to go well immediately. He may need longer than a rehab stay.
  21. jorgenswest
    Gordon doesn’t have enough AAA plate appearances in support of an argument about whether he is ready or not. The Twins staff seeing him everyday can make that assessment. It would be fair to describe his performance thus far but not fair to use it in a predictive manner. We have no idea from fangraphs whether he is swinging out of the zone, missing opportunities to attack a pitch, barreling up a good number of balls or having difficulty with certain types of pitches. As he gets to 150 plate appearances we might be able to start looking at strike out rate, walk rate and ISO.
  22. jorgenswest
    Attended my first Kernels game last night. It is a fantastic setting for baseball. Both young pitchers looked very promising. Hopefully Enlow is healthy and will have a solid second half.
  23. jorgenswest
    Last year at he beginning of June Polanco was playing poorly. He went on family leave to the Dominican. The leave was real but I wonder if someone got to him there and convinced him that steroids would help turn his poor season around. He returned struggled for a while longer and then found power he hadn’t ever shown previously. Something turned his season around last year. I hope it was a coach changing his approach.
  24. jorgenswest
    It is hard to separate Belisle from this conversation but ... If Busenitz were already in this roster and they sent down Romero to bring up Duffey to add an arm to the pen today I might think good use of options. They get the arm they need today. They have an opportunity to get Romero reset. If it is a factor they can reduce his innings. He would potentially return July 5 with one start at Rochester. This short term could be beneficial to his development. The Twins will need one start in that span on June 30. It could be an opportunity for Mejia.
  25. jorgenswest
    This comment interested me in another thread but my response had nothing to do with topic so I started one here. Want a faster game? More pitch to contact? Three balls equal a walk will eventually accomplish both. It might start with a bunch more walks but then the command pitchers will start being more successful than the wilder hard throwers. Want to give value to positional bench players and shrink pens? Allow one re-entry per position player. I am guessing having bats on the bench gain much more value than that LOOGY in the pen. I think I would enjoy the conversation around when to use that hitter once for Wilson and also how to construct the roster to best utilize those opportunities. I don’t see how eliminating the shift will either change the time or shift the power/strikeout environment. It will result in more Joey Gallo types.
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